Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$522.1K

Unrealized P&L

-$7.98K

Hit rate

94.8%

Resolved

247

Trades

1,232

lifetime

Volume

$1.09M

lifetime

Avg / trade

$882

Open exposure

$56.1K

2 positions

First seen

2026-08-04

last 10-22 15:12

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 16 days

Categories

Other

99% 69% +$522,540

Sports

1% 45% -$471

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

36 active days in 12wk • peak 119 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (28) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
another fed rate hike in 2026	Yes		+70,000	$61,500	76¢	$53.5K	-$7,950	10-22 15:12
Will Paris Saint-Germain win the 2026-27 Ligue 1 Championship?	Yes		+3,000	$2,630	86¢	$2.6K	-$35	08-05 14:19

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	318	$529.3K	1,069,574	0	+1,069,574	Yes	+$540,228	09-11 18:35
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	84	$379.2K	385,560	0	+385,560	No	+$6,370	08-28 14:10
another fed rate hike in 2026	60	$61.5K	70,000	0	+70,000	open	—	10-22 15:12
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	37	$30.8K	90,750	0	+90,750	No	-$30,838	10-20 12:35
Fed rate cut by October 2026 meeting?	9	$17.6K	17,732	0	+17,732	No	+$160	09-30 14:45
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	8	$9.5K	11,819	10,000	+1,819	Yes	-$1,873	10-14 15:20
Will Paris Saint-Germain win the 2026-27 Ligue 1 Championship?	12	$2.6K	3,000	0	+3,000	open	—	08-05 14:19
Will AC Milan win on 2026-08-28?	15	$2.4K	2,547	1,121	+1,426	Yes	+$530	08-28 20:34
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-08-28?	10	$2.2K	2,487	289	+2,198	Yes	+$531	08-28 19:38
Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?	10	$2.2K	5,560	0	+5,560	Yes	+$3,386	08-19 18:00
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-08-28?	13	$2.0K	2,157	899	+1,258	Yes	+$713	08-28 20:18
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-08-22?	7	$1.6K	2,388	0	+2,388	Yes	+$760	08-22 20:53
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-08-28?	17	$1.6K	4,725	136	+4,589	No	-$1,545	08-28 20:33
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-08-27?	12	$1.4K	1,786	0	+1,786	Yes	+$372	08-27 19:14
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-09-04?	1	$1.3K	2,000	0	+2,000	No	-$1,320	09-04 19:03
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-08-31?	12	$1.2K	1,336	0	+1,336	Yes	+$136	08-31 20:55
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-08-26?	9	$1.1K	1,171	147	+1,024	Yes	+$220	08-26 19:46
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-08-27?	10	$1.0K	1,050	161	+889	Yes	+$105	08-27 19:27
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-08-23?	6	$1.0K	1,132	224	+908	Yes	+$271	08-23 20:01
Will Fulham FC win on 2026-08-27?	5	$927	928	178	+750	Yes	+$119	08-27 19:31
US Open ATP: Arthur Fery vs Lorenzo Musetti	6	$904	748	449	+299	Lorenzo Musetti	+$71	09-01 20:07
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-08-23?	5	$716	1,331	9	+1,322	No	-$715	08-23 20:06
Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)?	6	$672	2,282	0	+2,282	Yes	+$1,610	08-19 18:00
Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica win on 2026-08-31?	2	$660	727	0	+727	Yes	+$67	08-31 20:16
mlb stl phi 2026 08 21	10	$530	556	333	+223	Philadelphia Phillies	+$42	08-22 01:19
ufc eli3 sha32 2026 08 22	2	$499	574	0	+574	Shanelle Dyer	+$75	08-22 00:22
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-08-21?	2	$499	620	0	+620	Yes	+$121	08-21 19:03
LoL: Dignitas vs FlyQuest (BO3) - LCS Regular Season	5	$490	637	0	+637	FlyQuest	+$147	08-23 21:33
Will Sporting CP win on 2026-08-28?	4	$465	628	0	+628	Yes	+$163	08-28 19:18
RC Celta de Vigo vs. CA Osasuna: O/U 1.5	6	$456	671	0	+671	Over	+$215	08-27 17:05

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-22 15:12:29	Another Fed rate hike in 2026?	Yes	BUY	3,835	80¢	$3,068	0xfb306b…
10-22 14:16:59	Another Fed rate hike in 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0x687f58…
10-22 12:19:26	Another Fed rate hike in 2026?	Yes	BUY	17	80¢	$13	0x294b84…
10-22 09:11:00	Another Fed rate hike in 2026?	Yes	BUY	0	80¢	$0	0x8a3acf…
10-22 08:21:47	Another Fed rate hike in 2026?	Yes	BUY	8	80¢	$7	0xbc252c…
10-22 07:57:27	Another Fed rate hike in 2026?	Yes	BUY	200	80¢	$160	0x88978e…
10-22 06:18:19	Another Fed rate hike in 2026?	Yes	BUY	30	80¢	$24	0xf8ca9b…
10-22 02:17:41	Another Fed rate hike in 2026?	Yes	BUY	25	80¢	$20	0x0d41a5…
10-21 22:56:36	Another Fed rate hike in 2026?	Yes	BUY	21	80¢	$17	0x3593ee…
10-21 22:41:51	Another Fed rate hike in 2026?	Yes	BUY	25	80¢	$20	0x889688…
10-21 22:11:05	Another Fed rate hike in 2026?	Yes	BUY	163	80¢	$131	0x99ca8c…
10-21 21:27:44	Another Fed rate hike in 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	80¢	$5	0xd68bcc…
10-21 21:27:44	Another Fed rate hike in 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0xc3158f…
10-21 21:27:36	Another Fed rate hike in 2026?	Yes	BUY	13	80¢	$11	0x85d271…
10-21 21:27:35	Another Fed rate hike in 2026?	Yes	BUY	73	80¢	$58	0xf29bf4…
10-21 21:01:32	Another Fed rate hike in 2026?	Yes	BUY	6,250	80¢	$5,000	0xe34475…
10-21 20:46:29	Another Fed rate hike in 2026?	Yes	BUY	3,725	80¢	$2,980	0x1b4156…
10-21 18:19:59	Another Fed rate hike in 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0xc13496…
10-21 18:11:39	Another Fed rate hike in 2026?	Yes	BUY	304	80¢	$243	0xac4612…
10-21 18:08:38	Another Fed rate hike in 2026?	Yes	BUY	371	80¢	$297	0xa97e57…
10-21 18:03:35	Another Fed rate hike in 2026?	Yes	BUY	44	80¢	$35	0x5b14ce…
10-21 17:31:39	Another Fed rate hike in 2026?	Yes	BUY	95	80¢	$76	0x5db2a8…
10-21 17:29:32	Another Fed rate hike in 2026?	Yes	BUY	109	80¢	$87	0xb95b07…
10-21 16:01:47	Another Fed rate hike in 2026?	Yes	BUY	123	80¢	$98	0x88f0a3…
10-21 15:17:33	Another Fed rate hike in 2026?	Yes	BUY	458	80¢	$366	0xb1053b…
10-21 15:02:21	Another Fed rate hike in 2026?	Yes	BUY	195	80¢	$156	0x850b17…
10-21 14:48:20	Another Fed rate hike in 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	80¢	$80	0xea091d…
10-21 14:12:54	Another Fed rate hike in 2026?	Yes	BUY	83	80¢	$66	0xface32…
10-21 13:04:42	Another Fed rate hike in 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	80¢	$16	0x9fbebf…
10-21 10:13:11	Another Fed rate hike in 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	80¢	$5	0x5d5986…
10-21 04:40:41	Another Fed rate hike in 2026?	Yes	BUY	360	80¢	$288	0x933f83…
10-21 04:40:35	Another Fed rate hike in 2026?	Yes	BUY	212	80¢	$169	0x077276…
10-21 04:33:54	Another Fed rate hike in 2026?	Yes	BUY	113	80¢	$91	0x164815…
10-21 04:32:51	Another Fed rate hike in 2026?	Yes	BUY	21	80¢	$17	0x852223…
10-21 03:34:09	Another Fed rate hike in 2026?	Yes	BUY	900	80¢	$720	0x07851b…
10-21 02:55:33	Another Fed rate hike in 2026?	Yes	BUY	42	80¢	$33	0xb66d90…
10-21 02:53:26	Another Fed rate hike in 2026?	Yes	BUY	200	80¢	$160	0xf472f1…
10-21 01:34:03	Another Fed rate hike in 2026?	Yes	BUY	200	80¢	$160	0x929ddd…
10-21 01:24:44	Another Fed rate hike in 2026?	Yes	BUY	25	80¢	$20	0x699b2c…
10-20 22:13:54	Another Fed rate hike in 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	80¢	$40	0x00b446…
10-20 12:35:32	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	924	13¢	$120	0x327b8f…
10-20 12:33:53	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	19,076	13¢	$2,480	0x6e7f93…
10-20 06:18:16	Another Fed rate hike in 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	80¢	$5	0x9e7db0…
10-20 05:44:53	Another Fed rate hike in 2026?	Yes	BUY	300	80¢	$240	0xf9afb7…
10-20 02:03:09	Another Fed rate hike in 2026?	Yes	BUY	39	80¢	$31	0x07982e…
10-20 01:34:48	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	10,724	14¢	$1,501	0x845608…
10-20 00:59:18	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	168	14¢	$24	0x474f6b…
10-20 00:14:38	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	5	14¢	$1	0xe70510…
10-20 00:01:33	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	21	14¢	$3	0x93b666…
10-19 23:16:41	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	15	14¢	$2	0xb90af1…
10-19 21:09:01	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	73	14¢	$10	0xe46e31…
10-19 19:55:45	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	158	14¢	$22	0xc311d0…
10-19 19:43:56	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	2	14¢	$0	0x94a586…
10-19 18:19:26	Another Fed rate hike in 2026?	Yes	BUY	12	80¢	$9	0x10d016…
10-19 18:06:30	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	36	14¢	$5	0xa2c24b…
10-19 17:20:50	Another Fed rate hike in 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	80¢	$8	0xfcd21e…
10-19 17:10:50	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	10	14¢	$1	0xa445a9…
10-19 16:43:29	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	2	14¢	$0	0x1dcaba…
10-19 16:34:48	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	1	14¢	$0	0xb25d66…
10-19 16:19:44	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	2	14¢	$0	0xa6f765…
10-19 15:26:06	Another Fed rate hike in 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0x8028a0…
10-19 15:14:30	Another Fed rate hike in 2026?	Yes	BUY	119	80¢	$95	0x9efcda…
10-19 15:07:05	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	200	14¢	$28	0xfdd0ef…
10-19 14:52:39	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	200	14¢	$28	0xeaee1a…
10-19 14:47:45	Another Fed rate hike in 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0x9a11fc…
10-19 14:43:11	Another Fed rate hike in 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0x609fc8…
10-19 14:42:12	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	36	14¢	$5	0x054831…
10-19 14:30:17	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	150	14¢	$21	0xcfde80…
10-19 14:30:17	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	2,000	14¢	$280	0x179432…
10-19 14:10:56	Another Fed rate hike in 2026?	Yes	BUY	19	80¢	$15	0xf69386…
10-19 14:05:09	Another Fed rate hike in 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0x47048b…
10-19 14:00:00	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	268	14¢	$38	0x738e33…
10-19 13:59:30	Another Fed rate hike in 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	80¢	$2	0xc46962…
10-19 13:59:24	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	5,931	14¢	$830	0x65c9a0…
10-19 13:43:50	Another Fed rate hike in 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,043	80¢	$834	0xf4a12a…
10-14 15:20:54	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	10,000	38¢	$3,800	0x94b1dd…
10-14 13:24:18	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	1,154	48¢	$554	0xd02167…
10-14 13:23:15	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	1,000	48¢	$480	0x634a6b…
10-14 13:21:35	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	22	48¢	$11	0x9120b9…
10-14 13:21:14	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	28	48¢	$13	0x5b2918…
10-14 13:21:08	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	1,780	48¢	$855	0x210f29…
10-14 13:21:03	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	19	48¢	$9	0x083d82…
10-14 13:21:02	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	7,816	48¢	$3,752	0x931f4f…
10-14 13:09:21	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	27,857	53¢	$14,764	0x05db53…
10-14 13:09:14	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	2,084	53¢	$1,104	0xd54f7e…
10-14 13:06:47	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	59	53¢	$31	0xd63fda…
10-14 12:58:53	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	28	45¢	$12	0xc30aa1…
10-14 12:58:53	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	17	45¢	$7	0x7238de…
10-14 12:57:18	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	706	45¢	$318	0x86bc46…
10-14 12:47:23	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	1,518	46¢	$698	0x086806…
10-14 12:47:17	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	41	46¢	$19	0x25a79c…
10-14 12:47:11	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	10,503	46¢	$4,831	0x2c5d83…
10-14 12:46:35	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	53	46¢	$24	0x084676…
10-14 12:46:14	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	53	46¢	$24	0x34696f…
10-14 12:45:57	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	100	46¢	$46	0xf374b4…
10-14 12:45:48	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	1,996	46¢	$918	0xf7d5f4…
10-14 12:45:45	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	4,167	46¢	$1,917	0x090820…
10-14 12:45:36	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	1,569	46¢	$722	0x4ef8be…
09-30 14:45:30	Fed rate cut by October 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	276	99¢	$274	0x01cab4…
09-30 11:45:21	Fed rate cut by October 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	200	99¢	$198	0x74fb21…