Royal-Muscle — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$14

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

81.4%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$296

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-03

last 05-07 14:12

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Crypto

97% 68% $-14

Sports

3% 0% $-0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

4 active days in 12wk • peak 34 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (26) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET	2	$22	12	12	+0	Down	+$2	05-05 13:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET	4	$21	19	19	+0	open	—	05-04 19:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	2	$21	14	14	+0	Down	+$1	05-05 13:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	2	$21	13	13	+0	Up	+$1	05-05 13:46
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	2	$14	9	9	+0	Down	+$4	05-04 20:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	2	$12	10	10	+0	Up	+$2	05-05 12:40
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 4?	2	$12	7	7	+0	open	—	05-04 18:37
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET	2	$11	12	12	+0	Up	+$1	05-05 12:21
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	2	$11	8	8	+0	Up	+$1	05-05 12:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	2	$11	8	8	+0	Up	+$1	05-05 13:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	2	$11	8	8	+0	Up	+$1	05-05 13:06
Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET	2	$11	7	7	+0	open	—	05-04 19:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 10AM ET	2	$10	8	8	+0	Down	+$0	05-07 14:12
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	2	$10	8	8	+0	Up	+$0	05-07 13:56
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	1	$10	17	0	+17	Down	$-10	05-05 13:32
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	1	$10	17	0	+17	Down	$-10	05-05 13:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	1	$10	10	0	+10	Down	+$0	05-05 17:32
Cavaliers vs. Pistons	3	$8	7	7	+0	Pistons	$-0	05-07 12:32
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	2	$5	3	3	+0	Down	+$1	05-05 17:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	1	$5	12	0	+12	Up	$-5	05-05 18:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	1	$5	7	0	+7	Up	+$2	05-05 16:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	1	$5	6	0	+6	Down	$-5	05-05 17:21
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	1	$5	6	0	+6	Down	+$1	05-05 16:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	2	$5	3	3	+0	Up	+$1	05-07 13:22
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	2	$5	3	3	+0	Down	+$1	05-07 13:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	2	$4	4	4	+0	Down	+$0	05-07 14:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	2	$2	2	2	+0	open	—	05-03 19:07
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	1	$2	4	0	+4	Down	$-2	05-05 17:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	1	$2	3	0	+3	Down	+$1	05-07 13:41
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	1	$1	2	0	+2	Up	$-1	05-05 14:52

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-07 14:12:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 10AM ET	Up	SELL	8	68¢	$5	0x4dd160…
05-07 14:11:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 10AM ET	Up	BUY	8	62¢	$5	0x7a570a…
05-07 14:03:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Down	SELL	4	50¢	$2	0xc9e3d0…
05-07 14:01:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Down	BUY	4	45¢	$2	0x062135…
05-07 13:56:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Up	SELL	8	67¢	$5	0x429412…
05-07 13:55:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	8	62¢	$5	0x6a00a9…
05-07 13:48:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Down	SELL	3	90¢	$3	0xc69c00…
05-07 13:47:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Down	BUY	3	68¢	$2	0x1250ec…
05-07 13:41:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	3	73¢	$2	0x48310e…
05-07 13:22:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Up	SELL	3	88¢	$3	0x6ef709…
05-07 13:21:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Up	BUY	3	59¢	$2	0xbee814…
05-07 12:32:00	Cavaliers vs. Pistons	Pistons	SELL	7	60¢	$4	0xe30ee6…
05-07 12:29:32	Cavaliers vs. Pistons	Pistons	BUY	3	61¢	$2	0x3e6550…
05-07 12:28:53	Cavaliers vs. Pistons	Pistons	BUY	3	61¢	$2	0x65173a…
05-05 18:03:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	Down	BUY	12	42¢	$5	0x47d1ec…
05-05 17:59:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	Down	SELL	3	95¢	$3	0x33887e…
05-05 17:53:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Up	BUY	4	56¢	$2	0xfd28d9…
05-05 17:46:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	Down	BUY	3	63¢	$2	0x575914…
05-05 17:32:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Down	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x43f587…
05-05 17:21:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Up	BUY	6	81¢	$5	0x20049e…
05-05 16:50:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Up	BUY	7	75¢	$5	0x216f03…
05-05 16:43:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Down	BUY	6	82¢	$5	0x69e065…
05-05 15:28:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Down	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x1fab11…
05-05 15:02:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Down	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0xae482c…
05-05 14:57:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Down	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0x3b61cd…
05-05 14:52:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Down	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x512353…
05-05 14:49:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Down	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0xc2dd4a…
05-05 14:42:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0xc1072c…
05-05 14:36:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Up	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0x7ed651…
05-05 13:50:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Up	BUY	17	58¢	$10	0xee5f66…
05-05 13:48:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Up	SELL	14	82¢	$11	0x898827…
05-05 13:48:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	14	73¢	$10	0x8dbc47…
05-05 13:46:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Up	SELL	13	86¢	$11	0xf740d6…
05-05 13:46:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Up	BUY	13	78¢	$10	0xc31499…
05-05 13:32:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	17	59¢	$10	0xe2d0b1…
05-05 13:25:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET	Down	SELL	12	96¢	$12	0xb65458…
05-05 13:24:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET	Down	BUY	12	81¢	$10	0xec1e6d…
05-05 13:13:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Up	SELL	8	79¢	$6	0x48ccc1…
05-05 13:10:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Up	BUY	8	65¢	$5	0xcc56c0…
05-05 13:06:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Up	SELL	8	79¢	$6	0x113c28…
05-05 13:05:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Up	BUY	8	65¢	$5	0xebf4e9…
05-05 12:43:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Up	SELL	8	77¢	$6	0x02af7e…
05-05 12:41:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Up	BUY	8	61¢	$5	0x60b43b…
05-05 12:40:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	Up	SELL	10	73¢	$7	0xbb4b88…
05-05 12:31:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xca28b7…
05-05 12:26:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Down	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0xab23e8…
05-05 12:21:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET	Up	SELL	12	55¢	$6	0x07f20d…
05-05 12:18:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET	Up	BUY	12	43¢	$5	0xda1465…
05-04 20:39:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	Down	SELL	9	97¢	$9	0x2b4cc5…
05-04 20:31:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	Down	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0xfe3234…
05-04 20:24:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Down	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0xe20eef…
05-04 20:11:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Down	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x6a1948…
05-04 19:57:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET	Up	SELL	11	66¢	$7	0x6ff751…
05-04 19:37:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	11	47¢	$5	0x75e8ac…
05-04 19:37:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET	Down	SELL	9	51¢	$4	0xc964b2…
05-04 19:36:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	9	57¢	$5	0x87a647…
05-04 19:19:38	Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET	Down	SELL	7	83¢	$6	0x35b7b4…
05-04 19:17:22	Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET	Down	BUY	7	69¢	$5	0x9f3824…
05-04 18:37:24	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 4?	Yes	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0x0964c1…
05-03 19:47:44	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 4?	Yes	BUY	7	74¢	$5	0x0b2634…
05-03 19:33:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Down	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0xd2e530…
05-03 19:19:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Up	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0xbc4bc2…
05-03 19:07:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Up	SELL	2	57¢	$1	0x9386ec…
05-03 19:06:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Up	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0xc6b67a…
05-03 18:58:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x4429e5…