Flawed-Rations — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$124

Unrealized P&L

-$1

Hit rate

44.8%

Resolved

102

Trades

219

lifetime

Volume

$6.37K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$29

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-05-08

last 05-14 16:46

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 6 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 40% -$121

Politics

0% 0% -$3

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-05-14).

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?	Yes		+11	$1	3¢	$0	-$1	05-08 13:52

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	7	$663	539	539	+0	Up	+$404	05-09 13:01
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	2	$436	340	340	+0	Down	+$236	05-11 17:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	6	$340	2,041	0	+2,041	Down	-$340	05-11 17:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	4	$299	792	192	+600	Up	+$77	05-11 17:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	2	$200	683	0	+683	Down	-$200	05-08 18:56
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	3	$171	2,540	0	+2,540	Up	-$171	05-10 17:52
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	5	$169	1,990	0	+1,990	Down	-$169	05-14 16:17
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	4	$155	3,443	0	+3,443	Down	-$155	05-08 16:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	3	$151	1,833	0	+1,833	Up	-$151	05-11 17:16
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	4	$150	523	0	+523	Down	-$150	05-14 16:46
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	4	$130	1,169	0	+1,169	Down	-$130	05-10 08:41
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	3	$130	584	0	+584	Down	-$130	05-08 19:02
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	2	$125	759	0	+759	Up	+$634	05-08 17:11
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	2	$118	470	0	+470	Down	-$118	05-08 18:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	5	$118	822	0	+822	Up	+$703	05-08 14:32
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	3	$113	1,244	0	+1,244	Up	-$113	05-11 08:12
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	3	$112	1,465	0	+1,465	Up	-$112	05-10 17:21
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	2	$105	233	0	+233	Up	+$128	05-08 15:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	1	$100	245	0	+245	Up	-$100	05-11 17:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	1	$100	614	0	+614	Down	-$100	05-08 16:31
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	1	$100	1,037	0	+1,037	Up	-$100	05-08 15:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	1	$100	383	0	+383	Up	+$283	05-08 15:52
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	1	$100	667	0	+667	Up	-$100	05-14 16:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	2	$100	1,020	0	+1,020	Down	-$100	05-10 17:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	1	$100	455	0	+455	Up	+$355	05-08 15:37
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	1	$100	283	0	+283	Down	-$100	05-08 13:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	1	$100	182	0	+182	Up	+$82	05-08 13:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	1	$100	384	0	+384	Down	-$100	05-08 16:16
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	2	$91	68	68	+0	Up	+$41	05-08 10:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	2	$76	82	82	+0	Up	+$26	05-08 16:44

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-14 16:46:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Up	BUY	97	26¢	$25	0x457262…
05-14 16:46:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Up	BUY	93	27¢	$25	0x0caf15…
05-14 16:46:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Up	BUY	248	30¢	$75	0xcda7b0…
05-14 16:46:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Up	BUY	85	30¢	$25	0x0a99ea…
05-14 16:40:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Down	BUY	667	15¢	$100	0xceac4e…
05-14 16:37:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Up	BUY	250	10¢	$25	0x66a595…
05-14 16:32:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Up	BUY	71	35¢	$25	0xd535b9…
05-14 16:25:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Up	BUY	53	38¢	$20	0xe202ef…
05-14 16:17:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Up	BUY	673	10¢	$69	0xf579cf…
05-14 16:17:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Up	BUY	417	6¢	$25	0xfbd78e…
05-14 16:17:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Up	BUY	417	6¢	$25	0x9e31b8…
05-14 16:17:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Up	BUY	417	6¢	$25	0x857131…
05-14 16:15:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Up	BUY	68	37¢	$25	0x7acde2…
05-14 16:07:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Down	BUY	372	7¢	$25	0x5233a7…
05-14 16:06:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Down	BUY	78	32¢	$25	0x473592…
05-14 16:06:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Down	BUY	100	25¢	$25	0x3e8864…
05-14 16:04:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Down	BUY	71	7¢	$5	0xbd004b…
05-11 17:50:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Up	BUY	15	65¢	$10	0x1764f8…
05-11 17:48:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Up	BUY	1,406	14¢	$200	0xaf6631…
05-11 17:47:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Up	BUY	551	18¢	$100	0xb228ac…
05-11 17:47:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Up	BUY	30	34¢	$10	0xa492a2…
05-11 17:47:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Up	BUY	17	59¢	$10	0xe8508b…
05-11 17:46:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Up	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x3523a4…
05-11 17:45:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Up	BUY	18	55¢	$10	0x9046ac…
05-11 17:43:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Down	BUY	600	1¢	$6	0x215193…
05-11 17:43:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Up	SELL	192	98¢	$188	0xa0e8ce…
05-11 17:40:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Up	BUY	182	55¢	$100	0xf00150…
05-11 17:38:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Up	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x83e0f5…
05-11 17:38:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Down	BUY	167	6¢	$10	0xefb560…
05-11 17:37:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Down	BUY	62	8¢	$5	0x557144…
05-11 17:37:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Down	BUY	175	11¢	$20	0x5cba31…
05-11 17:25:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Down	BUY	245	41¢	$100	0xb2dd1b…
05-11 17:25:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Down	SELL	340	99¢	$336	0x9691ff…
05-11 17:21:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Down	BUY	340	29¢	$100	0xb1e5fa…
05-11 17:16:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Down	BUY	1,239	8¢	$98	0x13186c…
05-11 17:16:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Down	BUY	580	9¢	$52	0x114f8a…
05-11 17:16:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Down	BUY	13	11¢	$1	0x4208a9…
05-11 13:33:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Up	BUY	125	4¢	$5	0x37509d…
05-11 08:12:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Down	BUY	335	11¢	$36	0x9ec55e…
05-11 08:12:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Down	BUY	889	8¢	$73	0x463ad9…
05-11 08:12:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Down	BUY	20	21¢	$4	0x5acc9b…
05-11 08:09:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Up	BUY	333	3¢	$10	0xa0fb88…
05-10 18:00:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Up	BUY	37	27¢	$10	0xa844f3…
05-10 17:57:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Up	BUY	908	10¢	$88	0xcc92b8…
05-10 17:57:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Up	BUY	111	11¢	$12	0x3079dd…
05-10 17:52:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Down	BUY	57	14¢	$8	0xd3e811…
05-10 17:52:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Down	BUY	1,220	9¢	$107	0x428338…
05-10 17:52:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Down	BUY	1,264	4¢	$56	0xa5c852…
05-10 17:47:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Up	BUY	111	27¢	$30	0xda203d…
05-10 17:34:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Up	BUY	14	9¢	$1	0xd637cd…
05-10 17:34:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Up	BUY	5	9¢	$0	0xbb786c…
05-10 17:34:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Up	BUY	19	9¢	$2	0x96e78b…
05-10 17:34:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Up	BUY	1	9¢	$0	0x8f5732…
05-10 17:34:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Up	BUY	2	9¢	$0	0x83bfd3…
05-10 17:34:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Up	BUY	20	9¢	$2	0x68309d…
05-10 17:34:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Up	BUY	1	9¢	$0	0x638679…
05-10 17:34:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Up	BUY	17	9¢	$2	0x4d628f…
05-10 17:34:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Up	BUY	10	9¢	$1	0x209e4c…
05-10 17:34:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Up	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0x182d23…
05-10 17:34:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Up	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0xc41222…
05-10 17:34:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Up	BUY	8	9¢	$1	0x8b8c85…
05-10 17:34:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Up	BUY	5	9¢	$0	0x8a46f0…
05-10 17:27:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Up	BUY	45	22¢	$10	0xea247f…
05-10 17:27:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Up	BUY	45	22¢	$10	0xb56050…
05-10 17:27:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Up	BUY	29	36¢	$10	0x4ebe99…
05-10 17:26:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Up	BUY	56	36¢	$20	0x971a5a…
05-10 17:21:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Down	BUY	142	10¢	$14	0xf1378d…
05-10 17:21:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Down	BUY	1,265	7¢	$86	0x54ab08…
05-10 17:21:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Down	BUY	57	21¢	$12	0xd5984f…
05-10 11:37:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Up	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0xa79b5f…
05-10 11:35:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Up	SELL	23	99¢	$22	0x82189f…
05-10 11:32:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Up	BUY	23	44¢	$10	0xafaa15…
05-10 08:54:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Down	SELL	22	99¢	$22	0x3f471a…
05-10 08:51:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Down	BUY	22	46¢	$10	0x2fe6e6…
05-10 08:48:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Up	SELL	23	88¢	$20	0x22a2cb…
05-10 08:47:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Up	BUY	23	44¢	$10	0x2cb910…
05-10 08:41:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Up	BUY	793	9¢	$74	0x9f85ac…
05-10 08:41:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Up	BUY	303	12¢	$36	0x5cc9cc…
05-10 08:41:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Up	BUY	50	20¢	$10	0xdb1b8a…
05-10 08:40:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Up	BUY	24	42¢	$10	0x1b4829…
05-10 08:36:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Down	BUY	26	38¢	$10	0x521ae5…
05-10 08:36:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Up	SELL	21	66¢	$14	0xec866a…
05-10 08:33:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Up	BUY	21	47¢	$10	0xfd1e75…
05-10 08:28:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Down	BUY	921	5¢	$50	0xf3e4cf…
05-10 08:26:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Down	BUY	40	25¢	$10	0xc7794f…
05-10 08:15:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Up	BUY	24	42¢	$10	0x79eb43…
05-10 08:15:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Up	BUY	23	44¢	$10	0xb1a10f…
05-10 08:12:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Up	BUY	20	25¢	$5	0xf54b12…
05-10 08:11:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Up	BUY	34	29¢	$10	0x94f87f…
05-10 08:11:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x5e5fe6…
05-09 20:25:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Up	BUY	21	47¢	$10	0x06d48f…
05-09 20:24:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Up	BUY	19	52¢	$10	0xdd9890…
05-09 20:22:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Up	BUY	31	48¢	$15	0x57e2c5…
05-09 20:19:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Up	BUY	50	20¢	$10	0x9c29d2…
05-09 20:15:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Up	BUY	28	36¢	$10	0xf4fb17…
05-09 20:15:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Up	BUY	14	35¢	$5	0x68c946…
05-09 20:14:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	250	2¢	$5	0x84d001…
05-09 20:05:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Up	BUY	23	44¢	$10	0x8e1d08…
05-09 20:01:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Up	BUY	50	20¢	$10	0xc184ef…
05-09 20:00:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Up	BUY	22	46¢	$10	0x904dc2…