Beneficial-Drug — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$93.9K

Unrealized P&L

-$115

Hit rate

73.4%

Resolved

333

Trades

2,086

lifetime

Volume

$1.08M

lifetime

Avg / trade

$516

Open exposure

$215

3 positions

First seen

2026-01-05

last 09-16 18:22

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 93 days

Categories

Crypto

54% 91% -$7,158

Sports

22% 57% -$62,598

Politics

11% 77% -$35,011

Other

11% 69% +$8,647

Tech

2% 100% +$2,222

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

2 active days in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day

Open positions (3) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?	Yes	+130	$104	97¢	$126	+$22	06-03 03:54
Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026?	Yes	+2,041	$129	3¢	$58	-$70	06-03 03:55
Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026?	Yes	+20,062	$96	0¢	$30	-$66	06-09 23:53

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?	16	$59.7K	48,492	48,492	+0	Yes	-$19,447	06-14 22:30
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	3	$42.9K	40,587	10,000	+30,587	Yes	+$7,702	09-16 18:08
will bitcoin dip to 65k in march 2026	20	$37.7K	44,565	20,644	+23,920	Yes	-$15,091	03-29 00:23
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?	72	$33.7K	52,750	0	+52,750	No	-$33,716	06-03 17:52
will bitcoin reach 100k in january 2026	4	$30.4K	31,417	0	+31,417	No	+$1,063	01-26 05:38
will bitcoin reach 80k march 2 8	33	$27.3K	28,027	0	+28,027	No	+$761	03-06 17:37
nba sas nyk 2026 06 10	15	$26.6K	29,258	0	+29,258	Knicks	-$26,562	06-11 01:55
will bitcoin reach 86k february 2 8	18	$23.2K	24,474	0	+24,474	No	+$1,279	02-05 03:49
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	16	$22.8K	24,093	0	+24,093	Yes	-$12,799	02-28 23:57
will bitcoin reach 90k february 2 8	22	$22.3K	22,589	0	+22,589	No	+$290	02-05 21:11
nba tor gsw 2026 01 20	47	$21.8K	24,345	0	+24,345	Raptors	+$2,498	01-21 05:27
bitcoin above 74k on march 14	5	$21.6K	23,178	0	+23,178	No	+$1,547	03-14 03:23
Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 by December 31, 2026?	1	$21.2K	21,204	0	+21,204	Yes	+$22	02-07 00:29
will bitcoin reach 75000 in february 858 936	23	$20.0K	20,426	0	+20,426	No	+$424	02-24 18:30
will ethereum dip to 1800 february 16 22	7	$18.8K	35,660	0	+35,660	No	-$2,374	02-23 01:30
will bitcoin reach 105k in january 2026	9	$16.7K	27,329	9,153	+18,176	No	-$3,146	01-26 07:31
will bitcoin reach 80k in march 2026	7	$16.5K	17,732	0	+17,732	No	+$1,251	03-23 06:55
will bitcoin reach 80k february 23 march 1	34	$15.9K	16,150	0	+16,150	No	+$219	02-25 22:06
will the dhs shutdown last 60 days or more 988 872 151 791 415 422	103	$15.3K	37,784	11,615	+26,169	Yes	-$2,858	04-10 21:40
will bitcoin reach 76k february 16 22	20	$15.2K	15,418	0	+15,418	No	+$239	02-21 19:39
will bitcoin reach 76k march 2 8	1	$14.9K	15,042	0	+15,042	No	+$150	03-07 04:54
nba sas lal 2026 02 10	2	$14.5K	15,069	0	+15,069	Spurs	+$522	02-11 04:15
will bitcoin reach 74k february 16 22	11	$14.3K	14,513	0	+14,513	No	+$261	02-21 18:52
nba den por 2026 02 20	6	$13.0K	13,030	0	+13,030	Nuggets	+$72	02-21 04:38
will ethereum dip to 1800 february 9 15	1	$11.7K	12,115	0	+12,115	No	+$400	02-15 22:03
NBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Timberwolves vs. Nuggets	49	$10.4K	14,532	2,500	+12,032	Wolves	+$3,705	04-26 09:37
will bitcoin reach 80k february 9 15	22	$10.1K	10,277	0	+10,277	No	+$138	02-14 21:46
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	32	$9.9K	12,898	0	+12,898	Yes	+$2,967	04-12 06:21
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	20	$9.8K	10,000	10,000	+0	Yes	-$7,200	06-14 22:21
nba nyk phi 2026 02 11	23	$9.6K	9,798	0	+9,798	Knicks	+$156	02-12 01:59

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-16 18:22:13	Will Warsh say "Good Afternoon" during September Press Conference?	No	BUY	1,000	91¢	$910	0x8f8ea3…
09-16 18:08:36	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	10,000	100¢	$9,990	0x16d725…
09-11 13:44:58	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	15,587	81¢	$12,625	0x5cd225…
09-11 13:44:10	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	25,000	81¢	$20,250	0x488311…
06-28 01:34:55	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	291	98¢	$286	0x6e2b27…
06-28 01:31:52	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	BUY	3,570	84¢	$2,998	0x438749…
06-28 01:31:46	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	209	98¢	$205	0x78c0d0…
06-28 01:31:04	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	2,000	98¢	$1,964	0x2ccb76…
06-21 01:54:56	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	1,000	53¢	$530	0x4b05a3…
06-20 16:11:52	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	BUY	1,000	76¢	$760	0x49d3a9…
06-20 15:02:58	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	1,000	93¢	$930	0x762847…
06-20 08:49:02	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	1,000	51¢	$510	0x1c5bbb…
06-20 07:52:22	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	1,000	52¢	$520	0x73e777…
06-20 00:12:40	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	1,000	53¢	$530	0xaf7f03…
06-19 22:56:40	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	59	54¢	$32	0x115b49…
06-19 22:45:19	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0xe9ac9c…
06-19 22:44:44	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	109	54¢	$59	0x5a3115…
06-19 21:57:29	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	109	54¢	$59	0xc0d10d…
06-19 21:56:17	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	1	54¢	$1	0xc67223…
06-19 21:47:02	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	65	54¢	$35	0x5aec45…
06-19 21:47:02	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	82	54¢	$44	0x2fe924…
06-19 21:47:02	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	56	54¢	$30	0x100684…
06-19 21:46:16	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	46	54¢	$25	0xf56d52…
06-19 21:46:16	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	72	54¢	$39	0xce5ef9…
06-19 21:44:14	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	65	54¢	$35	0xdd1124…
06-19 21:44:14	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	52	54¢	$28	0x8c7978…
06-19 21:44:14	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	69	54¢	$37	0x1e406f…
06-19 21:32:43	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	90	54¢	$49	0x92fb8e…
06-19 21:32:43	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	39	54¢	$21	0x5f5602…
06-19 21:32:43	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	81	54¢	$44	0x38781c…
06-19 21:20:47	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	100	91¢	$91	0xc5dcce…
06-19 02:44:29	Starmer out by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	35	89¢	$31	0xa491e8…
06-19 02:35:17	starmer out by august 31 2026	Yes	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0xaa77d3…
06-19 02:33:49	Starmer out by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,051	89¢	$935	0x0ab003…
06-19 02:33:32	starmer out by july 31 2026	Yes	BUY	112	65¢	$73	0x640085…
06-19 02:33:26	starmer out by august 31 2026	Yes	BUY	426	78¢	$332	0x19ff5a…
06-17 19:12:44	will warsh say crypto or bitcoin during june press conference 20260608181156658 595 322 276	No	BUY	104	94¢	$98	0xbc0380…
06-17 19:12:07	will warsh say pandemic during june press conference	No	BUY	156	89¢	$139	0xa0fc3a…
06-17 19:11:59	will warsh say independence during june press conference	No	BUY	672	81¢	$547	0x3ab5bc…
06-17 19:11:26	will warsh say trump during june press conference 20260608181156650	No	BUY	683	96¢	$654	0xbe7cdf…
06-17 19:11:26	will warsh say trump during june press conference 20260608181156650	No	BUY	39	99¢	$39	0x5d6636…
06-17 19:11:26	will warsh say trump during june press conference 20260608181156650	No	BUY	41	99¢	$41	0x12d00a…
06-17 19:11:17	will warsh say jerome or powell during june press conference 20260608181156649	No	BUY	65	99¢	$64	0x1e5f13…
06-17 19:11:11	will warsh say jerome or powell during june press conference 20260608181156649	No	BUY	126	93¢	$117	0xd47c85…
06-17 19:10:19	will warsh say trend during june press conference 20260608181156665 889 711	No	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0x83a576…
06-17 19:10:11	will warsh say downside during june press conference 20260608181156664 382 163	No	BUY	119	80¢	$95	0x33d5d4…
06-17 19:06:22	will warsh say good afternoon during june press conference 20260608181156653	No	BUY	597	97¢	$582	0x3b7e84…
06-17 19:02:50	will warsh say stock during june press conference 20260608181156662 243 416	No	BUY	40	68¢	$27	0x15e5f7…
06-17 19:01:04	will warsh say i dont know during june press conference 20260608181156663 466 644	No	BUY	93	70¢	$65	0xcee424…
06-17 19:00:46	will warsh say all time high or all time low during june press conference 20260608181156669 923	No	BUY	76	71¢	$54	0x9aabc4…
06-17 19:00:08	will warsh say trend during june press conference 20260608181156665 889 711	No	BUY	128	59¢	$76	0x59def1…
06-17 18:58:31	will warsh say downside during june press conference 20260608181156664 382 163	No	BUY	5	65¢	$3	0x84049a…
06-17 18:48:25	will warsh say downside during june press conference 20260608181156664 382 163	No	BUY	295	63¢	$186	0xa17e84…
06-17 18:48:05	will warsh say groupthink or group think during june press conference 20260608181156670 525 245	No	BUY	30	75¢	$22	0x3fa203…
06-17 18:34:38	will warsh say good afternoon during june press conference 20260608181156653	No	BUY	194	95¢	$185	0x2cc731…
06-15 06:19:04	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 13	No	BUY	180	96¢	$173	0x80112c…
06-15 06:18:49	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 13	No	BUY	15	96¢	$14	0x8be6f0…
06-15 06:15:43	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 13	No	BUY	103	96¢	$99	0x1e8ff5…
06-14 22:30:03	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	20,992	65¢	$13,645	0xa9a1bc…
06-14 22:21:34	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	10,000	13¢	$1,300	0x354766…
06-14 22:17:19	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	Yes	BUY	13,473	76¢	$10,239	0x99514d…
06-14 22:16:55	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	No	SELL	27,500	24¢	$6,462	0x0169be…
06-14 22:16:19	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	Yes	BUY	3,241	77¢	$2,495	0xd55aeb…
06-14 22:16:15	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	Yes	BUY	3,000	77¢	$2,310	0x31876d…
06-14 22:16:13	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	Yes	BUY	20	77¢	$15	0x4bd8b8…
06-14 22:16:13	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	Yes	BUY	1,258	77¢	$969	0x276386…
06-14 16:42:37	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13?	No	BUY	2,552	96¢	$2,463	0x256800…
06-14 16:12:34	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	No	BUY	1,526	81¢	$1,236	0xb02e88…
06-14 16:12:27	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	No	BUY	774	81¢	$627	0x58aa33…
06-14 16:12:25	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	No	BUY	200	81¢	$162	0xac5de8…
06-12 19:56:12	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T?	No	BUY	150	96¢	$144	0xc14926…
06-12 19:56:10	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T?	No	BUY	150	96¢	$144	0xb7c462…
06-12 19:53:15	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?	Yes	BUY	2,122	96¢	$2,044	0xce794e…
06-12 19:52:54	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?	Yes	BUY	89	97¢	$86	0x3ad311…
06-12 19:52:07	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.8T?	Yes	BUY	44	99¢	$44	0xcb3562…
06-12 16:50:03	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.4T?	No	SELL	20	88¢	$18	0x741514…
06-12 16:49:36	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.4T?	No	SELL	2	88¢	$1	0xb7dfda…
06-12 16:48:46	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.4T?	No	SELL	170	88¢	$150	0x60db68…
06-12 16:46:01	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.4T?	No	SELL	2,717	88¢	$2,391	0xdc5671…
06-12 16:40:54	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.4T?	No	SELL	6	91¢	$5	0x53c2e8…
06-12 16:40:37	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.4T?	No	SELL	45	91¢	$41	0xc3aaec…
06-12 16:40:25	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.4T?	No	SELL	1,067	91¢	$971	0x743085…
06-11 20:30:04	spacex ipo closing market cap above 2pt8t	No	BUY	247	89¢	$220	0x5c4c2e…
06-11 20:20:34	spacex ipo closing market cap above 2pt8t	No	BUY	909	89¢	$809	0xd4a382…
06-11 20:13:21	spacex ipo closing market cap above 2pt8t	No	BUY	9	89¢	$8	0x175653…
06-11 19:41:54	spacex ipo closing market cap above 2pt8t	No	BUY	91	89¢	$81	0xcf2ffc…
06-11 19:02:33	spacex ipo closing market cap above 2pt8t	No	BUY	182	89¢	$162	0xfb664a…
06-11 18:59:09	spacex ipo closing market cap above 2pt8t	No	BUY	600	89¢	$534	0x6ff877…
06-11 18:23:34	spacex ipo closing market cap above 2pt8t	No	BUY	182	89¢	$162	0x2cd9c0…
06-11 18:05:58	spacex ipo closing market cap above 2pt8t	No	BUY	45	89¢	$40	0xad8e9e…
06-11 17:59:39	spacex ipo closing market cap above 2pt8t	No	BUY	455	89¢	$405	0xfe9931…
06-11 17:50:33	spacex ipo closing market cap above 2pt8t	No	BUY	9	89¢	$8	0x6bfea9…
06-11 17:46:52	spacex ipo closing market cap above 2pt8t	No	BUY	1,030	89¢	$917	0x885d31…
06-11 17:38:15	spacex ipo closing market cap above 3pt2t	No	BUY	1,424	94¢	$1,335	0xbf9249…
06-11 01:55:36	nba sas nyk 2026 06 10	Spurs	BUY	9,445	94¢	$8,878	0xab53cf…
06-11 01:55:27	nba sas nyk 2026 06 10	Spurs	BUY	5,555	94¢	$5,222	0xdd7778…
06-11 01:54:19	nba sas nyk 2026 06 10	Spurs	BUY	277	94¢	$260	0xa6895b…
06-11 01:54:18	nba sas nyk 2026 06 10	Spurs	BUY	517	94¢	$486	0x7a1e73…
06-11 01:54:16	nba sas nyk 2026 06 10	Spurs	BUY	761	94¢	$715	0xcca420…
06-11 01:54:16	nba sas nyk 2026 06 10	Spurs	BUY	333	94¢	$313	0xc2c182…