Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$11

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

56.2%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$89

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-07-21

last 08-25 12:57

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 19 days

Categories

Other

76% 56% -$9

Politics

20% 60% -$1

Crypto

2% — —

Tech

2% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

6 active days in 12wk • peak 3 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from August 14 to August 21, 2026?	1	$2	2	+2	No	+$0	08-15 01:21
will abnb dip to 176 by august 10 2026	1	$2	2	+2	No	+$0	08-12 12:57
Will China invades Taiwan before GTA VI?	1	$2	4	+4	cancelled	+$0	07-31 10:48
will trump say stock market during remarks in new york 20260811183234690	1	$2	8	+8	Yes	-$2	08-12 04:45
spy up or down on august 13 2026	1	$2	5	+5	Up	-$2	08-13 05:05
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from August 20 to August 22, 2026?	1	$2	3	+3	No	+$1	08-20 12:53
spx up or down on august 18 2026	1	$2	6	+6	Down	-$2	08-18 03:45
Will fewer than 180 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between August 10-August 16?	1	$2	5	+5	No	+$3	08-11 04:37
us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	1	$2	8	+8	No	-$2	08-11 20:44
will wti reach 90 in august 2026	1	$2	4	+4	No	-$2	08-19 01:53
wti up or down on august 14 2026	1	$2	3	+3	Up	+$1	08-14 05:37
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from August 18 to August 25, 2026?	1	$2	10	+10	No	-$2	08-16 19:38
Will Canada's GDP growth rate MoM in June 2026 be between 0.2% and 0.3%?	1	$2	6	+6	Yes	-$2	08-16 10:01
will wti reach 95 in august 2026	1	$2	8	+8	No	-$2	08-20 22:23
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from August 20 to August 22, 2026?	1	$2	3	+3	Yes	-$2	08-21 06:31
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from August 7 to August 14, 2026?	1	$2	3	+3	No	-$2	08-13 13:07
will trump say maga or make america great again during remarks in new york 20260811183234692	1	$2	3	+3	Yes	+$1	08-14 16:26
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,750 Week of August 24 2026?	1	$2	5	+5	No	-$2	08-25 04:40
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from July 23 to July 25, 2026?	1	$2	6	+6	No	-$2	07-22 18:03
Will there be fewer than 4 North Korea tests in August 2026?	1	$2	3	+3	Yes	+$1	08-25 12:57
Will 180-199 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between August 17-August 23?	1	$2	6	+6	No	-$2	08-21 23:31
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from August 11 to August 18, 2026?	1	$2	3	+3	No	+$1	08-12 21:03
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from August 11 to August 18, 2026?	1	$2	3	+3	Yes	-$2	08-13 21:26
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	1	$2	3	+3	Yes	+$1	07-26 06:08
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from August 22 to August 24, 2026?	1	$2	3	+3	No	+$1	08-21 15:13
grok 4pt6 released by august 13 2026	1	$2	3	+3	Yes	+$1	08-11 12:37
Will the August 2026 unemployment rate be 4.1%?	1	$2	3	+3	Yes	-$2	08-22 20:26
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from August 14 to August 21, 2026?	1	$2	3	+3	No	+$1	08-15 12:28
us iran hormuz agreement by august 15 20260804222025506 211	1	$2	3	+3	No	+$1	08-11 04:35
Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI?	1	$2	4	+4	cancelled	+$0	07-30 06:30

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-25 12:57:48	Will there be fewer than 4 North Korea tests in August 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	59¢	$2	0x63a0e3…
08-25 04:40:09	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,750 Week of August 24 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0xd90581…
08-22 20:26:46	Will the August 2026 unemployment rate be 4.1%?	No	BUY	3	72¢	$2	0x59dbd1…
08-21 23:31:01	Will 180-199 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between August 17-August 23?	Yes	BUY	6	31¢	$2	0xea4f6f…
08-21 15:13:57	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from August 22 to August 24, 2026?	No	BUY	3	78¢	$2	0x9424de…
08-21 06:31:04	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from August 20 to August 22, 2026?	No	BUY	3	73¢	$2	0x0c05af…
08-20 22:23:51	will wti reach 95 in august 2026	Yes	BUY	8	24¢	$2	0x967cd0…
08-20 12:53:18	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from August 20 to August 22, 2026?	No	BUY	3	65¢	$2	0xe4721d…
08-19 01:53:49	will wti reach 90 in august 2026	Yes	BUY	4	47¢	$2	0x2c9680…
08-18 03:45:16	spx up or down on august 18 2026	Up	BUY	6	36¢	$2	0xbe89b0…
08-16 19:38:57	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from August 18 to August 25, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	21¢	$2	0x4d7546…
08-16 10:01:24	Will Canada's GDP growth rate MoM in June 2026 be between 0.2% and 0.3%?	No	BUY	6	33¢	$2	0x1343ac…
08-15 12:28:18	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from August 14 to August 21, 2026?	No	BUY	3	79¢	$2	0x01fcc9…
08-15 01:21:40	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from August 14 to August 21, 2026?	No	BUY	2	80¢	$2	0x82cc68…
08-14 16:26:39	will trump say maga or make america great again during remarks in new york 20260811183234692	Yes	BUY	3	71¢	$2	0x1ef574…
08-14 05:37:04	wti up or down on august 14 2026	Up	BUY	3	60¢	$2	0xbf05c1…
08-13 21:26:58	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from August 11 to August 18, 2026?	No	BUY	3	78¢	$2	0xaacc0e…
08-13 13:07:57	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from August 7 to August 14, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	62¢	$2	0x0d5bec…
08-13 05:05:01	spy up or down on august 13 2026	Down	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x9162f4…
08-12 21:03:43	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from August 11 to August 18, 2026?	No	BUY	3	77¢	$2	0xd60b2d…
08-12 12:57:12	will abnb dip to 176 by august 10 2026	No	BUY	2	80¢	$2	0x2df4a0…
08-12 04:45:18	will trump say stock market during remarks in new york 20260811183234690	No	BUY	8	25¢	$2	0x262d68…
08-11 20:44:21	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	Yes	BUY	8	24¢	$2	0x21a6ba…
08-11 12:37:45	grok 4pt6 released by august 13 2026	Yes	BUY	3	75¢	$2	0xf70e2d…
08-11 04:37:01	Will fewer than 180 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between August 10-August 16?	No	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0x439c5c…
08-11 04:35:48	us iran hormuz agreement by august 15 20260804222025506 211	No	BUY	3	76¢	$2	0x212bf5…
07-31 18:48:12	New Playboi Carti Album before GTA VI?	Yes	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0x5668ea…
07-31 10:48:02	Will China invades Taiwan before GTA VI?	No	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0xfd36dd…
07-30 06:30:18	Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI?	Yes	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0xf8069b…
07-29 16:59:53	will warsh say dissent during july press conference 20260720204109057 245	Yes	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x8d4630…
07-29 01:02:16	Will Warsh say "Inflation" 20+ times during July Press Conference?	Yes	BUY	3	64¢	$2	0x69ae35…
07-28 14:07:26	will warsh say independence during july press conference 20260720204109033	No	BUY	3	64¢	$2	0x6fdca9…
07-28 04:49:48	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 24 20260715194822044	No	BUY	3	48¢	$1	0x250c2f…
07-27 18:13:46	will trump say save america act during tribute to lindsey graham 20260724170556651	Yes	BUY	3	62¢	$2	0x9a4a40…
07-27 06:09:43	will trump say percent 15 times during michigan remarks 20260724162420351	Yes	BUY	2	68¢	$1	0x2d06c5…
07-26 18:08:30	will trump say grocery or dairy during michigan remarks 20260724162420361	Yes	BUY	3	60¢	$2	0x22465d…
07-26 06:08:01	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	3	79¢	$2	0x208d3a…
07-25 18:07:31	Will GPT-6 be released before GTA VI?	No	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0xcdbfd7…
07-25 06:06:43	another pandemic before gta vi	No	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0xf3e4bc…
07-24 18:06:30	will trump say iran 3 times during white house correspondents dinner 20260715212255810	Yes	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x15f1cc…
07-24 06:06:21	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	3	75¢	$2	0x3cb3e6…
07-23 18:05:57	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 21 to July 28, 2026?	No	BUY	2	80¢	$2	0x4a5b78…
07-23 06:03:51	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from July 23 to July 25, 2026?	No	BUY	3	58¢	$2	0xaf78ac…
07-22 18:03:07	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from July 23 to July 25, 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	31¢	$2	0xdf48ab…
07-22 06:01:43	Visa (V) Q2 payments volume growth (constant dollars) 8.5%-9.5%?	No	BUY	3	60¢	$2	0xb06cea…
07-21 18:00:48	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 25 20260716224448967	Yes	BUY	3	71¢	$2	0x71a1a3…
07-21 06:00:03	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from July 23 to July 25, 2026?	No	BUY	3	67¢	$2	0xfe380b…