Orderly-Opening — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$19

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

27.6%

Resolved

Trades

1,140

lifetime

Volume

$15.7K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$14

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-03

last 06-14 21:24

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Crypto

57% — —

Politics

22% — —

Sports

11% 25% +$5

Other

11% 0% $-24

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

27 active days in 12wk • peak 18 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (3) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	8	$806	707	707	+0	open	—	04-01 09:34
Will Kristi Noem be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?	2	$684	486	486	+0	open	—	03-05 19:35
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	4	$598	888	888	+0	open	—	03-21 16:59
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026?	2	$469	286	286	+0	open	—	04-23 19:44
will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	5	$437	660	560	+100	open	—	01-30 08:57
Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by May 31?	7	$424	273	274	-1	open	—	05-29 03:04
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Jannik Sinner vs Daniil Medvedev	2	$418	218	218	+0	open	—	05-16 15:43
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?	3	$397	110	321	-211	open	—	05-25 18:38
Will Los Angeles Lakers advance to the Conference Semifinals in the 2026 NBA Playoffs?	3	$378	218	218	+0	open	—	05-02 04:20
Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	4	$376	3,390	3,390	+0	Yes	$-24	04-23 19:44
Spurs vs. Thunder	3	$300	250	123	+127	open	—	05-27 01:50
Spurs vs. Timberwolves	3	$244	150	150	+0	open	—	05-16 02:34
Knicks vs. 76ers	2	$238	139	139	+0	Knicks	+$38	05-10 21:13
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	2	$201	106	106	+0	open	—	05-20 16:59
Spurs vs. Timberwolves	2	$181	127	127	+0	Spurs	$-19	05-09 03:01
Pam Bondi out as Attorney General by April 15?	3	$150	2,220	0	+2,220	open	—	04-02 16:56
btc updown 15m 1767462300	14	$133	141	0	+141	open	—	01-03 17:57
btc updown 15m 1774443600	8	$130	190	0	+190	open	—	03-25 13:13
btc updown 15m 1774433700	6	$130	190	0	+190	open	—	03-25 10:27
btc updown 15m 1774438200	5	$130	190	0	+190	open	—	03-25 11:41
btc updown 15m 1774448100	7	$130	190	0	+190	open	—	03-25 14:26
btc updown 15m 1774453500	4	$129	190	0	+190	open	—	03-25 15:56
Cavaliers vs. Knicks	2	$122	77	77	+0	open	—	05-22 01:56
Thunder vs. Spurs	3	$92	52	52	+0	open	—	05-29 03:03
btc updown 15m 1774391400	6	$70	102	0	+102	open	—	03-24 22:40
btc updown 15m 1774404900	5	$69	102	0	+102	open	—	03-25 02:25
Kevin Warsh cuts rates at first Fed meeting?	2	$60	4,381	0	+4,381	open	—	06-14 21:24
btc updown 15m 1773987300	15	$58	120	0	+120	open	—	03-20 06:16
btc updown 15m 1774447200	3	$57	83	0	+83	open	—	03-25 14:05
btc updown 15m 1774449900	9	$57	83	0	+83	open	—	03-25 14:55

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-14 21:24:16	Kevin Warsh cuts rates at first Fed meeting?	Yes	BUY	2,000	0¢	$10	0x51f10a…
05-31 02:35:46	Spurs vs. Thunder	Thunder	SELL	50	8¢	$4	0x164eb7…
05-29 03:04:30	Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by May 31?	No	SELL	128	93¢	$119	0x4774eb…
05-29 03:03:58	Thunder vs. Spurs	Spurs	SELL	52	100¢	$52	0xfdc8a7…
05-29 01:06:57	Thunder vs. Spurs	Spurs	BUY	39	77¢	$30	0xfe1594…
05-29 01:06:50	Thunder vs. Spurs	Spurs	BUY	13	77¢	$10	0x4103b2…
05-27 23:49:23	Kevin Warsh cuts rates at first Fed meeting?	Yes	BUY	2,381	2¢	$50	0x674f72…
05-27 01:50:35	Spurs vs. Thunder	Thunder	BUY	127	79¢	$100	0xec0c33…
05-27 01:49:29	Spurs vs. Thunder	Thunder	SELL	123	81¢	$100	0x1c8610…
05-27 01:48:10	Spurs vs. Thunder	Thunder	BUY	123	81¢	$100	0x70b2e1…
05-25 18:38:32	Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?	No	SELL	211	96¢	$203	0xda2cf2…
05-25 00:00:56	Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Points O/U 29.5	No	BUY	13	78¢	$10	0x0744d7…
05-24 01:58:50	Knicks vs. Cavaliers	Knicks	SELL	22	85¢	$19	0xbef28f…
05-24 01:58:43	Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by May 31?	No	SELL	29	29¢	$8	0x4684c7…
05-24 01:58:38	Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?	No	SELL	110	85¢	$94	0x3b9270…
05-23 21:44:06	Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by May 31?	No	BUY	29	35¢	$10	0x7d869a…
05-23 21:43:20	Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?	No	BUY	110	91¢	$100	0xec1825…
05-22 19:30:51	Ethereum Up or Down - May 22, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET	Up	BUY	176	14¢	$25	0x1b8c1e…
05-22 18:52:52	Knicks vs. Cavaliers	Knicks	BUY	22	45¢	$10	0x500d27…
05-22 18:52:42	Thunder vs. Spurs	Thunder	BUY	22	46¢	$10	0x979980…
05-22 18:51:19	Will Trump attend his son's wedding?	Yes	BUY	323	3¢	$10	0x98153a…
05-22 01:56:00	Cavaliers vs. Knicks	Knicks	SELL	77	94¢	$72	0xd5b1ed…
05-22 00:03:23	Cavaliers vs. Knicks	Knicks	BUY	77	65¢	$50	0x916654…
05-21 17:31:44	Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by May 31?	No	BUY	127	78¢	$100	0x31293a…
05-20 19:42:58	Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by May 31?	No	SELL	117	74¢	$87	0x2de8f6…
05-20 16:59:54	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	No	SELL	106	95¢	$101	0x9d84f3…
05-19 02:28:25	Spurs vs. Thunder	Thunder	SELL	14	33¢	$5	0xbeaf9d…
05-19 00:11:22	Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by May 31?	No	BUY	60	84¢	$50	0xefe113…
05-18 19:14:41	Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by May 31?	No	BUY	57	87¢	$50	0xe7fccb…
05-18 18:02:03	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	No	BUY	106	94¢	$100	0x42ed77…
05-16 15:46:20	Spurs vs. Thunder	Thunder	BUY	14	70¢	$10	0x771765…
05-16 15:43:11	Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Jannik Sinner vs Daniil Medvedev	Jannik Sinner	SELL	218	100¢	$218	0xa9209f…
05-16 02:34:24	Spurs vs. Timberwolves	Spurs	SELL	150	96¢	$144	0x21a05e…
05-15 22:38:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Up	BUY	44	57¢	$25	0x031b55…
05-15 21:00:16	Spurs vs. Timberwolves	Spurs	BUY	75	67¢	$50	0x3464db…
05-15 19:49:13	Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Jannik Sinner vs Daniil Medvedev	Jannik Sinner	BUY	218	92¢	$200	0x570bcf…
05-15 00:12:12	Spurs vs. Timberwolves	Spurs	BUY	76	66¢	$50	0x7caea0…
05-13 01:26:25	Timberwolves vs. Spurs	Timberwolves	SELL	50	10¢	$5	0x10e49f…
05-13 00:47:33	Timberwolves vs. Spurs	Timberwolves	BUY	50	20¢	$10	0x50d047…
05-12 01:35:36	Pistons vs. Cavaliers	Pistons	SELL	65	33¢	$22	0xac136c…
05-12 00:48:28	Pistons vs. Cavaliers	Pistons	BUY	65	46¢	$30	0x08a6da…
05-10 21:13:06	Knicks vs. 76ers	Knicks	SELL	139	99¢	$138	0x7be7d3…
05-10 19:49:13	Knicks vs. 76ers	Knicks	BUY	139	72¢	$100	0x178ff2…
05-09 03:01:30	Spurs vs. Timberwolves	Spurs	SELL	127	64¢	$81	0x3bffaa…
05-09 01:56:45	Spurs vs. Timberwolves	Spurs	BUY	127	79¢	$100	0x6cf1c4…
05-04 02:44:36	Raptors vs. Cavaliers	Cavaliers	SELL	14	100¢	$13	0x2225a3…
05-03 21:36:38	Raptors vs. Cavaliers	Cavaliers	BUY	14	74¢	$10	0x1096cc…
05-02 04:20:02	Will Los Angeles Lakers advance to the Conference Semifinals in the 2026 NBA Playoffs?	Yes	SELL	218	100¢	$218	0xeae2b4…
05-02 02:26:50	Will Los Angeles Lakers advance to the Conference Semifinals in the 2026 NBA Playoffs?	Yes	BUY	80	75¢	$60	0x9392aa…
04-30 23:33:36	Will Los Angeles Lakers advance to the Conference Semifinals in the 2026 NBA Playoffs?	Yes	BUY	138	72¢	$100	0x8e737f…
04-30 21:15:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	13	75¢	$10	0x377337…
04-23 19:44:46	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	286	94¢	$269	0xcfdbae…
04-23 19:44:38	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	SELL	467	5¢	$25	0x3e03e2…
04-18 12:12:56	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	286	70¢	$200	0x8624c0…
04-15 12:59:44	btc updown 15m 1776257100	Up	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0x86d305…
04-15 12:59:36	btc updown 15m 1776257100	Up	BUY	3	2¢	$0	0x7422af…
04-15 12:59:36	btc updown 15m 1776257100	Up	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0x3d57d4…
04-15 12:59:34	btc updown 15m 1776257100	Up	BUY	2	2¢	$0	0xf71e17…
04-15 12:59:08	btc updown 15m 1776257100	Up	BUY	10	3¢	$0	0xed42d7…
04-15 12:38:22	btc updown 15m 1776256200	Down	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0xd1fd8a…
04-15 12:38:10	btc updown 15m 1776256200	Down	BUY	10	2¢	$0	0xddaa8e…
04-15 12:38:08	btc updown 15m 1776256200	Down	BUY	10	3¢	$0	0xd56834…
04-10 01:00:03	btc updown 15m 1775781900	Up	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xfb4b15…
04-10 00:43:57	btc updown 15m 1775781000	Up	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x1bf1cf…
04-10 00:28:23	btc updown 15m 1775780100	Down	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xba2ccd…
04-09 23:45:01	btc updown 15m 1775777400	Down	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x72048f…
04-09 23:29:01	btc updown 15m 1775776500	Up	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x448ae4…
04-09 23:13:41	btc updown 15m 1775775600	Down	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x9efae2…
04-09 22:28:47	btc updown 15m 1775772900	Up	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x767155…
04-09 21:29:37	btc updown 15m 1775769300	Down	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xe6fd94…
04-09 21:14:27	btc updown 15m 1775768400	Down	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x7d79f6…
04-09 21:13:23	btc updown 15m 1775768400	Down	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xc47260…
04-09 21:00:01	btc updown 15m 1775767500	Down	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x1f6457…
04-09 20:44:19	btc updown 15m 1775766600	Up	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x1adabb…
04-09 20:29:19	btc updown 15m 1775765700	Up	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x8924f6…
04-09 20:28:55	btc updown 15m 1775765700	Up	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xea7fbd…
04-09 20:14:11	btc updown 15m 1775764800	Up	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xbac441…
04-09 19:13:53	btc updown 15m 1775761200	Up	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x66ab94…
04-09 18:59:25	btc updown 15m 1775760300	Up	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x518438…
04-09 18:44:17	btc updown 15m 1775759400	Down	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x73e86f…
04-09 17:58:23	btc updown 15m 1775756700	Down	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x71e825…
04-09 17:43:35	btc updown 15m 1775755800	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x5d2ee1…
04-09 16:44:51	btc updown 15m 1775752200	Down	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x3d9dd1…
04-02 16:56:03	Pam Bondi out as Attorney General by April 15?	No	BUY	974	5¢	$49	0xebfad6…
04-02 16:52:47	Pam Bondi out as Attorney General by April 15?	No	BUY	1,026	5¢	$51	0x070bb7…
04-02 16:47:55	Pam Bondi out as Attorney General by April 15?	No	BUY	220	23¢	$50	0xd2b044…
04-01 09:34:45	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	Yes	SELL	105	54¢	$57	0x21bb81…
04-01 06:25:05	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	Yes	SELL	298	56¢	$167	0x9cd778…
03-31 13:06:45	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	Yes	BUY	167	60¢	$100	0x3e3de7…
03-28 18:28:33	btc updown 15m 1774721700	Up	SELL	54	34¢	$18	0x3fdc71…
03-28 18:17:59	btc updown 15m 1774721700	Up	BUY	6	20¢	$1	0x1c5094…
03-28 18:17:27	btc updown 15m 1774721700	Up	BUY	6	22¢	$1	0x0a69b7…
03-28 18:17:23	btc updown 15m 1774721700	Up	BUY	1	28¢	$0	0xdaaffe…
03-28 18:17:23	btc updown 15m 1774721700	Up	BUY	5	28¢	$1	0xd6a75d…
03-28 18:17:23	btc updown 15m 1774721700	Up	BUY	6	24¢	$1	0xbd5f5c…
03-28 18:17:23	btc updown 15m 1774721700	Up	BUY	6	26¢	$2	0x41ab1d…
03-28 18:17:13	btc updown 15m 1774721700	Up	BUY	6	30¢	$2	0x31be4a…
03-28 18:17:11	btc updown 15m 1774721700	Up	BUY	6	32¢	$2	0x66abf2…
03-28 18:17:07	btc updown 15m 1774721700	Up	BUY	6	34¢	$2	0x2b3feb…
03-28 18:15:11	btc updown 15m 1774721700	Up	BUY	1	40¢	$0	0xb1c043…