Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$175

Unrealized P&L

-$1

Hit rate

61.3%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$590

lifetime

Avg / trade

$37

Open exposure

$82

5 positions

First seen

2026-09-25

last 11-05 21:03

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 7 days

Categories

Politics

53% 100% +$14

Other

43% 50% -$192

Tech

3% — —

Sports

1% 100% +$2

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

8 active days in 12wk • peak 3 trades/day

Open positions (5) Resolved markets (10) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 6?	Yes	+51	$50	97¢	$50	$0	11-05 20:56
Will GPT Astra 6.1+ be released on November 6, 2026?	No	+21	$20	94¢	$20	+$0	11-05 21:03
Will the October 2026 unemployment rate be 4.4%?	No	+10	$10	97¢	$10	$0	11-05 20:59
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	+10	$2	19¢	$2	$0	10-20 15:54
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?	No	+1	$1	99¢	$1	+$0	10-20 15:57

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-05 21:03:03	Will GPT Astra 6.1+ be released on November 6, 2026?	No	BUY	21	94¢	$20	0xa1a1b5…
11-05 20:59:19	Will the October 2026 unemployment rate be 4.4%?	No	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x11e57a…
11-05 20:56:04	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 6?	Yes	BUY	51	98¢	$50	0x3c9edc…
10-28 19:15:40	Will the next Fable model (5.2+) be released on October 29, 2026?	No	BUY	54	92¢	$50	0xdb6e18…
10-28 01:21:05	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28?	Yes	BUY	51	98¢	$50	0x10a382…
10-28 01:18:54	Will Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	56	90¢	$50	0x83f5c8…
10-25 01:05:35	Rockets vs. Hawks	Rockets	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0x91fe1e…
10-24 03:20:29	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 24?	Yes	BUY	104	96¢	$100	0x91094b…
10-24 03:15:21	Will Peter Hambálek win the 2026 Trnava Region gubernatorial election?	No	BUY	52	96¢	$50	0x3c7b43…
10-23 02:45:09	Patriots vs. Bears	Bears	BUY	2	84¢	$2	0xd780fa…
10-23 02:37:33	Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	3	69¢	$2	0xcb76ab…
10-22 02:12:44	Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	3	92¢	$3	0xe08240…
10-22 02:11:47	Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	2	92¢	$2	0xe1f371…
10-20 15:57:21	Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xfb4f3c…
10-20 15:54:02	Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	BUY	10	20¢	$2	0xfb47bb…
09-25 16:16:00	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	316	62¢	$196	0xf6bf51…

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	1	$196	316	+316	No	-$196	09-25 16:16
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 24?	1	$100	104	+104	Yes	+$4	10-24 03:20
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 6?	1	$50	51	+51	open	—	11-05 20:56
Will Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	1	$50	56	+56	Yes	+$6	10-28 01:18
Will the next Fable model (5.2+) be released on October 29, 2026?	1	$50	54	+54	No	+$4	10-28 19:15
Will Peter Hambálek win the 2026 Trnava Region gubernatorial election?	1	$50	52	+52	No	+$2	10-24 03:15
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28?	1	$50	51	+51	Yes	+$1	10-28 01:21
Will GPT Astra 6.1+ be released on November 6, 2026?	1	$20	21	+21	open	—	11-05 21:03
Will the October 2026 unemployment rate be 4.4%?	1	$10	10	+10	open	—	11-05 20:59
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	2	$5	5	+5	Yes	+$0	10-22 02:12
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	1	$2	3	+3	Yes	+$1	10-23 02:37
Rockets vs. Hawks	1	$2	4	+4	Rockets	+$2	10-25 01:05
Patriots vs. Bears	1	$2	2	+2	Bears	+$0	10-23 02:45
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	1	$2	10	+10	open	—	10-20 15:54
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?	1	$1	1	+1	open	—	10-20 15:57