Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1.42K

Unrealized P&L

+$1

Hit rate

82.3%

Resolved

106

Trades

195

lifetime

Volume

$70.3K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$361

Open exposure

$201

1 position

First seen

2026-02-25

last 10-24 01:16

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 47 days

Categories

Other

43% 78% -$2,590

Crypto

29% 100% +$49

Politics

22% 87% -$299

Sports

5% 20% +$1,607

Tech

1% 0% -$187

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

6 active days in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	No		+225	$200	90¢	$201	+$1	10-18 03:57

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	9	$4.0K	4,274	0	+4,274	No	+$280	05-26 15:31
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	13	$3.7K	4,455	2,217	+2,237	No	-$1,930	04-08 17:30
atp alcaraz rinderk 2026 03 09	3	$3.1K	4,397	0	+4,397	Carlos Alcaraz	+$750	03-10 03:54
us seizes an iran linked oil tanker by march 7	2	$2.7K	2,755	0	+2,755	No	+$44	03-07 17:39
bitcoin above 60k on march 9	2	$2.6K	2,586	0	+2,586	Yes	+$3	03-09 13:56
ucl rma1 mnc1 2026 03 11 rma1	2	$2.5K	2,503	0	+2,503	Yes	+$36	03-11 21:36
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	5	$2.0K	2,407	0	+2,407	No	+$377	03-31 22:38
russian strike on a nato member by march 31	2	$1.9K	1,929	0	+1,929	No	+$29	03-26 08:10
Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by April 30?	4	$1.8K	1,876	542	+1,334	No	+$266	04-11 14:40
us x iran ceasefire by march 2	2	$1.8K	1,801	0	+1,801	No	+$2	03-03 01:32
bitcoin above 66k on march 4	1	$1.7K	1,709	0	+1,709	Yes	+$3	03-04 14:26
bitcoin above 74k on march 6	2	$1.7K	1,699	0	+1,699	No	+$3	03-06 14:19
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	2	$1.5K	5,050	0	+5,050	Yes	+$3,565	07-15 12:52
jos lus rodrguez zapatero arrested by march 31	6	$1.4K	1,013	408	+605	No	+$9	03-26 02:29
bitcoin above 66k on march 11	2	$1.3K	1,301	0	+1,301	Yes	+$1	03-11 14:12
will mara corina machado enter venezuela by march 31 426 698 771	3	$1.3K	1,594	0	+1,594	No	+$297	03-22 01:02
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-03?	3	$1.3K	1,560	0	+1,560	No	-$1,281	07-03 23:22
bitcoin above 66k on march 12	1	$1.1K	1,104	0	+1,104	Yes	+$1	03-12 12:50
Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by October 31?	2	$1.1K	1,142	0	+1,142	Yes	-$1,088	10-24 01:16
us x iran ceasefire by march 31	4	$1.1K	593	593	+0	No	-$46	03-24 03:24
bitcoin above 60k on february 27	1	$1.0K	1,012	0	+1,012	Yes	+$1	02-27 12:22
Will Switzerland win on 2026-07-02?	1	$1000	1,460	0	+1,460	Yes	+$460	07-03 03:28
bitcoin above 72k on march 3	1	$1000	1,003	0	+1,003	No	+$3	03-03 12:54
bitcoin above 72k on march 6	1	$1000	1,012	0	+1,012	No	+$12	03-06 14:19
Spain snap election called in 2026?	5	$956	1,978	0	+1,978	Yes	-$956	10-03 00:34
bitcoin above 62k on february 26	1	$901	901	0	+901	Yes	+$1	02-26 15:46
bitcoin above 58k on february 25	2	$900	901	0	+901	Yes	+$1	02-25 11:21
us forces enter iran by march 7	4	$806	828	0	+828	No	+$22	03-07 02:41
bitcoin above 64k on march 5	1	$800	801	0	+801	Yes	+$1	03-05 11:55
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	5	$778	12,242	0	+12,242	No	-$778	07-11 21:52

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-24 01:16:32	Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by October 31?	No	BUY	100	88¢	$88	0xfb6193…
10-19 01:58:51	Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by October 31?	No	BUY	1,042	96¢	$1,000	0xc733fa…
10-18 03:57:47	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	No	BUY	225	89¢	$200	0xeafb66…
10-03 00:34:00	Spain snap election called in 2026?	No	BUY	825	36¢	$300	0xaecd30…
10-02 14:02:14	Spain snap election called in 2026?	No	BUY	697	50¢	$346	0x1cc663…
10-02 13:51:57	Spain snap election called in 2026?	No	BUY	108	46¢	$50	0x35fed6…
10-01 23:52:14	Spain snap election called in 2026?	No	BUY	80	75¢	$60	0xc7e4e0…
10-01 23:51:51	Spain snap election called in 2026?	No	BUY	267	75¢	$200	0xbaf918…
07-22 22:58:30	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	BUY	230	87¢	$200	0x091712…
07-15 12:52:52	Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	1,520	58¢	$885	0xf2772f…
07-11 21:52:47	Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	2,084	5¢	$110	0x9cac29…
07-11 21:42:41	Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	2,500	8¢	$210	0xa89792…
07-11 21:36:19	Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	158	5¢	$8	0x49fd22…
07-09 03:56:53	Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	3,333	6¢	$200	0x6b0004…
07-08 18:52:29	Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	11,290	3¢	$350	0x007537…
07-08 07:25:58	Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	4,167	6¢	$250	0x134f71…
07-05 22:20:59	Will Mexico win on 2026-07-05?	Yes	BUY	625	32¢	$200	0x59b8b2…
07-04 01:08:16	fifwc col gha 2026 07 03 team to advance	Colombia	BUY	617	81¢	$500	0xf90f5e…
07-03 23:22:44	Will Argentina win on 2026-07-03?	Yes	BUY	303	66¢	$200	0xa20b51…
07-03 21:30:28	Will Argentina win on 2026-07-03?	Yes	BUY	676	86¢	$581	0xc602c4…
07-03 21:22:26	Will Argentina win on 2026-07-03?	Yes	BUY	581	86¢	$500	0xf7d095…
07-03 03:28:53	Will Switzerland win on 2026-07-02?	Yes	BUY	1,460	68¢	$1,000	0x3f8f86…
07-02 22:24:08	Will Portugal win on 2026-07-02?	Yes	BUY	522	57¢	$300	0xaf7ecb…
06-16 03:34:40	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	BUY	317	63¢	$200	0x53bcae…
06-13 04:27:51	Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	5,263	2¢	$100	0x7018d2…
06-13 00:52:51	Exact Score: United States 1 - 1 Paraguay?	Yes	BUY	1,250	16¢	$200	0x1b9382…
06-12 18:23:03	Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12?	Yes	BUY	150	20¢	$30	0x8501a3…
06-12 18:21:51	Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	6,250	2¢	$100	0x6e4e99…
06-12 07:02:58	Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	1,875	2¢	$30	0x09e556…
06-12 04:34:00	Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12?	Yes	BUY	143	21¢	$30	0x735ab8…
06-11 22:42:54	Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	5,505	11¢	$600	0xaff92d…
06-11 22:41:42	Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	3,529	17¢	$600	0xb0fa6d…
06-11 22:39:40	Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11?	Yes	BUY	211	38¢	$80	0xfb1791…
06-11 04:16:13	Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11?	Yes	BUY	290	69¢	$200	0x994d64…
05-26 15:31:29	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	No	BUY	1,429	99¢	$1,415	0x7a6bc9…
05-24 04:52:54	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	BUY	588	68¢	$400	0x54f311…
05-22 02:38:44	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	No	BUY	1,036	96¢	$1,000	0x571104…
04-20 11:12:14	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by April 30?	No	BUY	385	98¢	$379	0xb43984…
04-17 12:55:14	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by April 30?	No	BUY	192	52¢	$100	0x9f7845…
04-11 14:40:05	Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by April 30?	No	BUY	791	94¢	$744	0xdea55d…
04-08 17:30:39	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	Yes	BUY	690	29¢	$200	0x5ae089…
04-08 12:24:53	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	Yes	BUY	750	40¢	$300	0xb5b30b…
04-08 07:00:19	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by April 30?	No	BUY	108	93¢	$100	0x2b608f…
04-08 06:59:21	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	Yes	BUY	797	50¢	$400	0x21e58d…
04-08 00:10:09	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	SELL	1,109	41¢	$450	0xf8c1ad…
04-07 23:58:15	Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?	No	SELL	207	52¢	$108	0x2098d7…
04-07 23:56:49	Will Iran sabotage undersea internet cables by April 30?	No	BUY	216	93¢	$200	0xcb6a9b…
04-07 23:55:39	kharg island no longer under iranian control by april 15	No	BUY	207	96¢	$200	0x1e119a…
04-07 23:54:43	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	SELL	145	20¢	$29	0xe64342…
04-07 23:47:15	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	SELL	1,109	38¢	$420	0x04cb74…
04-07 22:54:31	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	No	BUY	100	10¢	$10	0x6faf27…
04-07 17:40:49	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	BUY	385	78¢	$300	0xccbf7b…
04-07 02:00:23	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	No	BUY	500	0¢	$2	0x40e978…
04-07 01:53:23	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by April 30?	No	BUY	211	95¢	$200	0x8649a6…
04-06 23:15:13	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	BUY	353	85¢	$300	0xabec1d…
04-06 21:22:09	US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?	No	BUY	209	96¢	$200	0x24c43d…
04-06 21:18:59	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	BUY	354	85¢	$300	0x2a5e5a…
04-06 00:46:09	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	No	BUY	300	83¢	$249	0x10353a…
04-05 13:33:51	Will Iran strike Ukraine by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	204	98¢	$200	0x453b4f…
04-05 13:32:45	Will Iran strike Italy by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	101	99¢	$100	0x3e60f7…
04-05 13:31:13	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	No	BUY	349	86¢	$300	0x61c015…
04-05 13:26:01	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	No	BUY	116	86¢	$100	0x731cb2…
04-05 10:57:39	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	No	BUY	34	88¢	$30	0x64276e…
04-05 07:33:11	Will Trump meet with King of Morocco Mohammed VI in April 2026?	No	BUY	106	94¢	$100	0xb8cd5a…
04-05 07:26:17	Will Trump meet with Giorgia Meloni in April 2026?	No	BUY	236	93¢	$220	0x02e3f5…
04-05 06:41:09	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	BUY	227	88¢	$200	0x885f30…
04-04 14:21:21	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	No	BUY	222	90¢	$200	0x3b140f…
04-04 13:56:19	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	No	BUY	112	89¢	$100	0xe39c22…
04-04 13:55:31	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	No	BUY	674	89¢	$600	0x439181…
04-03 09:30:59	Will Japan send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	203	98¢	$200	0x07814c…
04-03 09:16:17	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	BUY	145	69¢	$100	0x65463c…
04-03 09:16:01	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	BUY	112	89¢	$100	0x31e331…
04-03 09:13:01	Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	No	BUY	207	97¢	$200	0xf3c2dd…
04-03 09:09:49	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	BUY	225	89¢	$200	0x1dae2f…
04-03 09:07:41	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	No	BUY	143	35¢	$50	0xec276e…
04-03 09:04:49	Will Trump talk to Kim Jong Un in April?	No	BUY	102	98¢	$100	0xb7211d…
04-03 09:04:29	Will Trump talk to Elon Musk in April?	No	BUY	219	92¢	$200	0xddc1b2…
04-03 08:59:07	Will Trump talk to Maria Corina Machado in April?	No	BUY	141	71¢	$100	0x69df0b…
04-03 08:58:07	Will Trump talk to Nicolás Maduro in April?	No	BUY	103	97¢	$100	0x214b4a…
04-03 08:50:33	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	BUY	337	89¢	$300	0xf14e4d…
04-03 01:14:23	Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?	No	BUY	207	97¢	$200	0x889001…
04-03 01:12:57	Will Vance visit the Middle East by April 10?	No	BUY	213	94¢	$200	0x1fbf82…
04-03 01:10:07	Will Iran sabotage undersea internet cables by April 30?	No	BUY	213	94¢	$200	0x06e1c4…
04-03 01:07:51	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	BUY	225	89¢	$200	0x418386…
04-02 04:21:09	Will Iran strike Spain by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	202	99¢	$200	0x5882aa…
04-02 04:14:05	Will the US officially declare war on Iran by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	101	99¢	$100	0xe0cd21…
04-02 04:12:13	Iran leadership change by April 30?	No	BUY	222	90¢	$200	0x901d38…
04-02 04:06:19	kharg island no longer under iranian control by april 15	No	BUY	272	92¢	$250	0xae322f…
04-01 12:58:19	Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by April 30?	No	SELL	542	71¢	$388	0x6b0bc5…
03-31 22:38:03	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	No	BUY	214	99¢	$213	0x891e49…
03-29 05:00:14	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	No	BUY	219	94¢	$206	0xc21c86…
03-27 12:26:07	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	No	BUY	1,190	84¢	$1,000	0x087d5d…
03-26 08:10:41	russian strike on a nato member by march 31	No	BUY	1,016	98¢	$1,000	0xc209fb…
03-26 05:57:51	russian strike on a nato member by march 31	No	BUY	914	98¢	$900	0x7ad280…
03-26 05:52:37	kharg island no longer under iranian control by march 31	No	BUY	435	92¢	$400	0xb3d199…
03-26 02:31:07	will bitcoin reach 90k in march 2026	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x4c81cf…
03-26 02:30:09	trump out as president by march 31	No	BUY	200	100¢	$200	0x172487…
03-26 02:29:43	jos lus rodrguez zapatero arrested by march 31	No	BUY	202	99¢	$200	0xd36678…
03-26 02:28:41	will iran successfully target shipping on march 26 2026 611	No	BUY	206	97¢	$200	0x760a6b…
03-26 02:01:19	us evacuates jerusalem embassy by march 31	No	BUY	312	99¢	$308	0xe57a21…