Whirlwind-Glance — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$2

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

73.0%

Resolved

Trades

1,092

lifetime

Volume

$10.9K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$10

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-11

last 06-07 13:05

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 7 days

Categories

Crypto

97% 77% $-2

Politics

3% 0% $-0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

12 active days in 12wk • peak 250 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	9	$320	1,233	1,233	+0	No	$-0	05-03 17:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET	8	$287	232	220	+12	Up	+$3	05-05 08:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5AM ET	9	$286	247	247	+0	Down	$-20	05-05 09:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 12PM ET	7	$256	350	350	+0	open	—	05-04 16:32
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2AM ET	5	$253	300	300	+0	Up	$-4	05-05 06:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET	6	$235	355	355	+0	Up	$-31	05-07 13:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	6	$160	200	200	+0	Down	$-28	05-07 15:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	11	$133	128	128	+0	Up	+$13	05-05 14:17
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	10	$115	144	144	+0	Down	$-18	05-08 00:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	5	$110	157	157	+0	Up	$-44	05-06 15:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	3	$105	200	100	+100	Down	+$17	05-06 13:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	3	$104	200	100	+100	Down	+$16	05-07 14:21
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	8	$103	200	100	+100	Down	+$15	05-05 09:37
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	10	$103	200	100	+100	Down	+$15	05-05 13:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	3	$102	200	100	+100	Down	+$8	05-08 02:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET	9	$101	200	100	+100	Up	+$15	05-08 02:42
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	11	$100	200	100	+100	Up	+$12	05-05 12:42
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	13	$99	200	100	+100	Down	+$11	05-07 14:37
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET	21	$98	200	100	+100	Up	+$10	05-06 15:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	3	$98	200	100	+100	Up	+$10	05-06 14:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	14	$98	200	100	+100	Up	+$10	05-06 14:41
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET	3	$97	200	0	+200	Down	+$3	05-06 03:32
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	5	$97	200	100	+100	Up	+$9	05-06 16:11
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET	3	$96	200	100	+100	Down	+$10	05-06 07:56
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET	16	$96	200	0	+200	Down	+$4	05-08 03:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET	9	$95	200	0	+200	Up	+$5	05-06 03:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET	5	$95	200	0	+200	Up	+$5	05-05 11:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET	11	$95	200	100	+100	Up	+$7	05-06 08:06
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11PM ET	8	$95	200	0	+200	Up	+$5	05-05 03:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1AM ET	13	$95	200	0	+200	Up	+$5	05-05 05:13

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-07 13:05:45	btc updown 15m 1780837200	Up	SELL	5	18¢	$1	0xdbf01f…
06-07 13:00:22	btc updown 15m 1780837200	Up	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0x5b6839…
06-07 12:48:36	btc updown 15m 1780836300	Down	SELL	5	17¢	$1	0xc50600…
06-07 12:46:09	btc updown 15m 1780836300	Down	BUY	5	35¢	$2	0x87ef9a…
06-02 13:22:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET	Down	SELL	5	10¢	$0	0x57b925…
06-02 10:08:41	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	600	1¢	$5	0xa3f953…
06-02 09:53:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET	Up	SELL	5	34¢	$2	0x2a1cba…
06-02 09:46:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET	Up	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x936c93…
06-02 09:46:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	31¢	$1	0x527855…
06-02 09:43:32	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	200	1¢	$2	0xf40a79…
06-02 09:38:08	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	400	1¢	$3	0x548f06…
06-02 09:34:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	Down	SELL	5	22¢	$1	0xb51e66…
06-02 09:32:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	32¢	$2	0xeb333b…
06-02 09:22:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET	Down	SELL	5	71¢	$4	0x56e4dc…
06-02 09:21:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET	Down	SELL	5	68¢	$3	0x425c1b…
06-02 09:19:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	31¢	$2	0xf6eb3a…
06-02 09:19:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	31¢	$2	0xa52f2b…
05-20 15:15:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	Down	BUY	1	42¢	$0	0xd7f4ad…
05-20 15:15:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	Down	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x8f1eed…
05-20 15:15:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	Down	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x0bb386…
05-20 14:35:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0x2181a5…
05-20 14:30:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0xb6e468…
05-20 14:17:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Down	SELL	5	7¢	$0	0x3ee073…
05-20 14:15:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	3	42¢	$1	0xe4503b…
05-20 14:15:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x333ab0…
05-19 16:47:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0x27c721…
05-19 16:46:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET	Down	BUY	3	42¢	$1	0xd3369a…
05-19 16:46:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET	Down	BUY	1	42¢	$0	0xba1c2f…
05-19 16:46:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET	Down	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x1db671…
05-19 16:36:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	Down	SELL	5	11¢	$1	0xcefbaf…
05-19 16:30:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0xfd05cc…
05-19 15:09:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	Down	SELL	5	7¢	$0	0x968a49…
05-19 15:01:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0x8b95c4…
05-19 15:00:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	Up	BUY	1	42¢	$1	0xcf108a…
05-19 15:00:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	Up	BUY	4	42¢	$2	0xe9828e…
05-19 14:51:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Down	SELL	5	36¢	$2	0x633240…
05-19 14:50:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Down	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0x914cc1…
05-19 14:48:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET	Up	SELL	10	7¢	$1	0x06f844…
05-19 14:45:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET	Up	BUY	10	44¢	$4	0x523ec5…
05-10 01:04:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	Up	SELL	100	20¢	$20	0xd3e93e…
05-10 01:00:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	Up	BUY	4	53¢	$2	0x0858b8…
05-10 01:00:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	Up	BUY	10	53¢	$5	0xef9327…
05-10 01:00:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0xeb9bce…
05-10 01:00:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	Up	BUY	8	53¢	$4	0xde3c6d…
05-10 01:00:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	Up	BUY	10	53¢	$5	0xd7010b…
05-10 00:59:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	Up	BUY	7	53¢	$4	0xc5e0d7…
05-10 00:59:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	Up	BUY	53	53¢	$28	0xe66673…
05-10 00:59:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	Up	BUY	3	53¢	$2	0x8f4fa3…
05-09 04:31:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET	Up	BUY	30	47¢	$14	0xe20c39…
05-09 04:31:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0xaf9def…
05-09 04:31:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET	Up	BUY	30	47¢	$14	0x717d06…
05-09 04:31:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET	Up	BUY	0	47¢	$0	0x30679a…
05-09 04:31:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET	Up	BUY	30	47¢	$14	0x03be08…
05-09 04:30:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET	Up	BUY	4	47¢	$2	0xa3ee5f…
05-09 04:30:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET	Down	BUY	37	47¢	$17	0xe35e47…
05-09 04:30:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET	Down	BUY	19	47¢	$9	0xfcf33f…
05-09 04:30:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x7735a0…
05-09 04:30:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET	Down	BUY	42	47¢	$20	0x650c67…
05-08 08:54:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET	Up	BUY	97	43¢	$42	0x78507b…
05-08 08:47:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET	Down	BUY	97	52¢	$50	0xe7d754…
05-08 08:46:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET	Down	BUY	100	51¢	$51	0x0e6b27…
05-08 08:44:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET	Up	BUY	100	42¢	$42	0xd161a2…
05-08 08:41:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET	Down	SELL	100	2¢	$2	0xc698be…
05-08 08:30:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET	Down	BUY	100	56¢	$56	0x03e1a0…
05-08 08:21:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET	Up	BUY	40	41¢	$16	0xfa687a…
05-08 08:21:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0xdba7b4…
05-08 08:21:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET	Up	BUY	10	41¢	$4	0xd82f38…
05-08 08:21:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET	Up	BUY	1	41¢	$0	0xc138f8…
05-08 08:21:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET	Up	BUY	4	41¢	$2	0x9b0f1b…
05-08 08:21:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET	Up	BUY	40	41¢	$16	0x932857…
05-08 08:15:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET	Down	BUY	36	53¢	$19	0xa224da…
05-08 08:15:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET	Down	BUY	64	53¢	$34	0x8ed65a…
05-08 06:30:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET	Up	BUY	10	47¢	$5	0x89a703…
05-08 06:30:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET	Up	BUY	10	47¢	$5	0x1c84ec…
05-08 06:30:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET	Up	BUY	65	47¢	$31	0x0f46c6…
05-08 06:30:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET	Up	BUY	13	47¢	$6	0x9deba8…
05-08 06:30:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x9d4f55…
05-08 06:30:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET	Down	BUY	6	47¢	$3	0xc52a15…
05-08 06:30:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET	Down	BUY	43	47¢	$20	0x796a95…
05-08 06:30:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET	Down	BUY	10	47¢	$5	0xc12d2f…
05-08 06:30:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET	Down	BUY	4	47¢	$2	0x9254a5…
05-08 06:30:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET	Down	BUY	10	47¢	$5	0x13d31d…
05-08 06:29:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET	Down	BUY	4	47¢	$2	0x079a41…
05-08 06:29:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x2d24f1…
05-08 06:29:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET	Down	BUY	6	47¢	$3	0x8d1cea…
05-08 06:29:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0xb42e73…
05-08 06:29:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET	Down	BUY	13	47¢	$6	0xddb377…
05-08 03:14:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET	Down	BUY	11	47¢	$5	0x211933…
05-08 03:14:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET	Down	BUY	89	47¢	$42	0x739e93…
05-08 03:00:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0xbc753f…
05-08 03:00:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET	Up	BUY	13	48¢	$6	0x956983…
05-08 03:00:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET	Up	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0x82b83a…
05-08 03:00:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET	Up	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0x647738…
05-08 03:00:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET	Up	BUY	38	48¢	$18	0x104f58…
05-08 03:00:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0xfca472…
05-08 03:00:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0xeede0c…
05-08 03:00:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET	Up	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0xcaaf2a…
05-08 03:00:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET	Up	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0x872205…
05-08 02:57:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	Up	SELL	100	5¢	$5	0x698431…
05-08 02:57:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET	Down	BUY	43	48¢	$21	0xdf6cbc…