Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$159

Unrealized P&L

-$124

Hit rate

68.2%

Resolved

Trades

640

lifetime

Volume

$14.3K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$22

Open exposure

$1.32K

2 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 10-24 10:17

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 18 days

Categories

Crypto

45% 75% -$34

Other

44% 18% -$244

Politics

11% 33% +$119

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

5 active days in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (27) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027?	No		-1,327	-$1,175	96¢	$-1267	-$93	06-25 18:37
Felix Protocol FDV above $25M one day after launch?	Yes		+700	$84	8¢	$52	-$32	08-11 17:35

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will zelenskyy attend the world economic forum	1	$2.0K	2,039	0	+2,039	Yes	+$26	01-22 09:37
EdgeX FDV above $1B one day after launch?	10	$1.9K	2,800	0	+2,800	No	-$1,890	03-17 11:13
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027?	4	$1.8K	350	1,677	-1,327	open	—	06-25 18:37
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	12	$1.3K	6,400	6,400	+0	No	-$12	03-29 19:26
Owlto FDV above $800M one day after launch?	1	$1.0K	1,036	0	+1,036	No	+$2	01-15 13:11
will all of trumps greenland tariffs go into effect by feb 1	2	$904	500	500	+0	No	+$84	01-27 16:27
Hyperlend FDV above $20M one day after launch?	11	$879	987	300	+687	Yes	+$383	02-27 21:00
will trumps greenland tariffs go into effect for the netherlands by feburary 1	5	$700	400	400	+0	No	+$98	02-01 11:52
EdgeX FDV above $400M one day after launch?	1	$640	1,000	0	+1,000	Yes	+$360	03-30 12:31
EdgeX FDV above $2B one day after launch?	4	$612	900	900	+0	No	+$34	02-17 15:57
EdgeX FDV above $300M one day after launch?	1	$441	455	0	+455	Yes	+$14	03-31 13:08
Will EdgeX launch a token by March 31, 2026?	3	$377	1,633	1,633	+0	Yes	+$83	03-17 10:53
Owlto FDV above $1B one day after launch?	1	$299	300	0	+300	No	+$1	01-17 00:56
EdgeX FDV above $500M one day after launch?	3	$288	300	300	+0	Yes	+$30	03-31 12:32
Will the US strike Iran next?	3	$209	1,100	0	+1,100	No	-$209	01-26 15:33
Hyperlend FDV above $50M one day after launch?	4	$208	461	700	-239	No	+$72	02-14 13:30
will the fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	14	$195	3,900	0	+3,900	No	-$195	03-06 11:53
Felix Protocol FDV above $25M one day after launch?	1	$84	700	0	+700	open	—	08-11 17:35
will russia strike on kyiv municipality on january 27 376	1	$80	1,000	0	+1,000	No	-$80	01-27 03:07
us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	1	$60	400	0	+400	Yes	+$340	02-17 16:02
elon musk of tweets january 2026 1320 1359	21	$28	1,233	0	+1,233	No	-$28	01-08 17:30
elon musk of tweets january 2026 1000 1039	24	$27	2,975	0	+2,975	No	-$27	01-05 21:14
elon musk of tweets january 2026 1360 1399	13	$26	873	0	+873	No	-$26	01-08 20:47
Felix Protocol FDV above $50M one day after launch?	3	$24	660	0	+660	open	—	10-24 10:17
elon musk of tweets january 2026 1040 1079	30	$24	2,780	0	+2,780	No	-$24	01-06 08:54
elon musk of tweets january 2026 1200 1239	21	$23	1,693	0	+1,693	No	-$23	01-05 18:04
elon musk of tweets january 2026 760 799	87	$22	7,264	0	+7,264	No	-$22	01-04 13:33
elon musk of tweets january 2026 960 999	23	$21	2,951	0	+2,951	No	-$21	01-04 04:00
Owlto FDV above $200M one day after launch?	2	$20	1,000	0	+1,000	Yes	+$980	01-15 12:41
elon musk of tweets january 2026 720 759	101	$19	7,881	0	+7,881	No	-$19	01-08 08:53

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-24 10:17:29	Felix Protocol FDV above $50M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	501	4¢	$19	0xcf2951…
10-08 17:04:36	Felix Protocol FDV above $50M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	129	4¢	$5	0x43ab8e…
10-08 17:04:35	Felix Protocol FDV above $50M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	30	4¢	$1	0xde76fe…
09-23 03:22:52	Will Rabby launch a token by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	27	5¢	$1	0x84c18c…
09-08 06:56:10	Will Rabby launch a token by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	39	5¢	$2	0xa0e4ef…
08-11 17:35:04	Felix Protocol FDV above $25M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	700	12¢	$84	0xe2b747…
06-25 18:37:49	Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027?	No	SELL	646	88¢	$569	0xec7c2c…
06-25 17:49:22	Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027?	No	SELL	114	88¢	$100	0xadb3d5…
06-24 13:13:01	Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027?	No	SELL	917	88¢	$807	0x01e457…
06-06 21:03:28	Will Rabby launch a token by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	66	8¢	$5	0x372172…
05-10 08:21:49	Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027?	No	BUY	350	86¢	$301	0xb33fed…
03-31 13:08:33	EdgeX FDV above $300M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	455	97¢	$441	0xb6765d…
03-31 12:32:05	EdgeX FDV above $500M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	169	53¢	$90	0x960fb4…
03-31 12:31:41	EdgeX FDV above $500M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	131	53¢	$69	0x1fc878…
03-30 12:39:18	EdgeX FDV above $500M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	300	43¢	$129	0x8586eb…
03-30 12:31:32	EdgeX FDV above $400M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	1,000	64¢	$640	0x1c3d08…
03-29 19:26:54	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	Yes	SELL	2,384	11¢	$262	0xc2be21…
03-29 13:40:08	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	Yes	SELL	2,000	10¢	$194	0x1bd147…
03-29 12:54:44	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	Yes	BUY	1,273	9¢	$112	0xcb6343…
03-29 12:52:46	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	Yes	BUY	234	9¢	$21	0x937141…
03-29 12:46:34	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	Yes	BUY	346	9¢	$30	0x9d6af6…
03-29 12:45:08	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	Yes	BUY	146	9¢	$13	0x6d9e1f…
03-29 12:45:08	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	Yes	BUY	0	9¢	$0	0x5b5335…
03-29 12:42:44	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	Yes	SELL	9	9¢	$1	0xf28610…
03-29 12:42:42	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	Yes	SELL	0	9¢	$0	0xcf2d3d…
03-29 12:42:30	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	Yes	SELL	2,007	9¢	$185	0xfc932f…
03-29 03:55:32	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	Yes	BUY	1,000	7¢	$70	0xff7e2c…
03-28 23:11:20	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	Yes	BUY	3,400	12¢	$408	0x56d091…
03-17 11:13:45	EdgeX FDV above $1B one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	200	48¢	$96	0x35ee05…
03-17 10:53:25	Will EdgeX launch a token by March 31, 2026?	No	SELL	1,633	14¢	$230	0xad42af…
03-06 11:53:41	will the fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	1,000	1¢	$6	0xdca660…
03-01 03:54:39	Will EdgeX launch a token by March 31, 2026?	No	BUY	2	9¢	$0	0xf46904…
03-01 03:42:43	Will EdgeX launch a token by March 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1,631	9¢	$147	0x2266d2…
02-28 08:18:31	EdgeX FDV above $1B one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	200	54¢	$108	0x61e563…
02-27 21:00:09	Hyperlend FDV above $20M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	300	96¢	$288	0xb9204f…
02-26 17:05:34	Hyperlend FDV above $20M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	200	44¢	$88	0x27fbe0…
02-24 13:34:40	will the fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	800	2¢	$18	0xa0ea1a…
02-21 18:13:08	will the fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	49	3¢	$2	0x875210…
02-21 18:10:56	will the fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	35	3¢	$1	0x3c6cdd…
02-21 18:08:14	will the fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	41	3¢	$1	0xf9ea27…
02-21 18:07:48	will the fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	53	3¢	$2	0x345d3e…
02-21 18:07:34	will the fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	54	3¢	$2	0xf45f2a…
02-21 18:02:58	will the fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	40	3¢	$1	0x6667e8…
02-21 17:58:32	will the fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	28	3¢	$1	0x522c28…
02-21 05:29:00	will the fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	84	4¢	$4	0x4d1341…
02-21 05:28:54	will the fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	116	4¢	$5	0x024b09…
02-18 19:06:58	will the fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	400	5¢	$20	0xa5c51b…
02-17 16:02:33	us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	Yes	BUY	400	15¢	$60	0xfdc28b…
02-17 15:57:29	EdgeX FDV above $2B one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	400	27¢	$108	0x98e527…
02-15 08:52:59	EdgeX FDV above $1B one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	100	55¢	$55	0xbfe2b7…
02-14 13:30:45	Hyperlend FDV above $50M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	700	20¢	$140	0x81fc4b…
02-13 13:14:43	will the fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	200	6¢	$12	0x76ec9f…
02-07 01:55:13	EdgeX FDV above $1B one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	200	53¢	$106	0x20b3c4…
02-06 20:07:51	will the fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	1,000	12¢	$120	0x1863ce…
02-02 22:59:34	EdgeX FDV above $2B one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	400	26¢	$104	0xf489c5…
02-02 13:31:02	EdgeX FDV above $1B one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	200	59¢	$118	0xe5242a…
02-01 11:52:54	will trumps greenland tariffs go into effect for the netherlands by feburary 1	No	SELL	297	100¢	$296	0x2f1248…
02-01 11:52:46	will trumps greenland tariffs go into effect for the netherlands by feburary 1	No	SELL	100	100¢	$100	0x680df4…
02-01 11:27:02	will trumps greenland tariffs go into effect for the netherlands by feburary 1	No	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0x45c246…
01-27 16:27:05	will all of trumps greenland tariffs go into effect by feb 1	No	SELL	500	99¢	$494	0x6bcc8c…
01-27 03:07:35	will russia strike on kyiv municipality on january 27 376	Yes	BUY	1,000	8¢	$80	0x6a0e78…
01-26 15:33:43	Will the US strike Iran next?	Yes	BUY	601	19¢	$114	0x92dff4…
01-26 15:06:47	Will the US strike Iran next?	Yes	BUY	16	19¢	$3	0x95f57f…
01-26 14:13:43	Will the US strike Iran next?	Yes	BUY	483	19¢	$92	0x04c3e6…
01-26 08:59:25	Hyperlend FDV above $20M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0x938f79…
01-26 08:54:39	Hyperlend FDV above $20M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	92	64¢	$59	0x3af28e…
01-26 06:41:50	Hyperlend FDV above $20M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	3	64¢	$2	0xf0481d…
01-26 06:37:34	Hyperlend FDV above $20M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	125	64¢	$80	0xad8a87…
01-25 23:59:58	Hyperlend FDV above $20M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	7	64¢	$5	0x3e0123…
01-25 23:59:26	Hyperlend FDV above $20M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	139	64¢	$89	0x371880…
01-25 23:59:16	Hyperlend FDV above $20M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	32	64¢	$21	0x6d81a2…
01-23 20:45:10	will russia strike on kyiv municipality on january 23 426	Yes	BUY	148	8¢	$12	0x02d864…
01-22 21:21:32	EdgeX FDV above $1B one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	200	63¢	$126	0x67362a…
01-22 21:21:32	EdgeX FDV above $1B one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	189	63¢	$119	0x4fd79a…
01-22 19:07:18	EdgeX FDV above $1B one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	11	63¢	$7	0x1d04c9…
01-22 09:37:42	will zelenskyy attend the world economic forum	Yes	BUY	2,039	99¢	$2,014	0x81d8d6…
01-21 08:56:38	Hyperlend FDV above $50M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	400	14¢	$56	0xf487d1…
01-21 08:55:16	Hyperlend FDV above $20M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	87	29¢	$25	0x9efd40…
01-21 05:24:02	Hyperlend FDV above $50M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	1	19¢	$0	0xf3990e…
01-20 22:46:20	Hyperlend FDV above $50M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	60	19¢	$11	0xa51ba9…
01-20 22:01:18	will trumps greenland tariffs go into effect for the netherlands by feburary 1	No	BUY	100	73¢	$73	0xd39b35…
01-20 14:16:38	will all of trumps greenland tariffs go into effect by feb 1	No	BUY	500	82¢	$410	0x7fe529…
01-20 12:55:14	EdgeX FDV above $1B one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	500	69¢	$345	0xa39025…
01-20 12:48:12	will trumps greenland tariffs go into effect for the netherlands by feburary 1	No	BUY	300	76¢	$228	0x39ebab…
01-20 12:40:08	Hyperlend FDV above $20M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	300	74¢	$222	0x38d8da…
01-17 00:56:54	Owlto FDV above $1B one day after launch?	No	BUY	300	100¢	$299	0x87190a…
01-15 13:11:00	Owlto FDV above $800M one day after launch?	No	BUY	1,036	100¢	$1,034	0xa83cb7…
01-15 12:41:14	Owlto FDV above $200M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	980	2¢	$20	0x5f4552…
01-15 11:19:08	Owlto FDV above $200M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	20	2¢	$0	0x28ad59…
01-15 11:02:48	Owlto FDV above $300M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	500	2¢	$10	0x421b2f…
01-15 06:33:34	EdgeX FDV above $2B one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	500	43¢	$215	0x3eda5d…
01-14 01:17:30	Owlto FDV above $400M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	500	2¢	$10	0x643cbb…
01-13 18:10:01	EdgeX FDV above $2B one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	500	37¢	$185	0x55f900…
01-13 18:06:01	EdgeX FDV above $1B one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	1,000	81¢	$810	0xea0a65…
01-11 11:07:14	elon musk of tweets january 2026 1240 1279	Yes	BUY	215	0¢	$0	0xd249d1…
01-11 09:15:42	elon musk of tweets january 2026 1240 1279	Yes	BUY	31	0¢	$0	0x75ce6d…
01-11 08:28:52	elon musk of tweets january 2026 1240 1279	Yes	BUY	17	0¢	$0	0x48c487…
01-11 07:43:24	elon musk of tweets january 2026 1240 1279	Yes	BUY	400	0¢	$1	0x5fcf6f…
01-11 04:00:50	elon musk of tweets january 2026 1240 1279	Yes	BUY	9	0¢	$0	0xf52c50…
01-11 00:30:26	elon musk of tweets january 2026 1240 1279	Yes	BUY	20	0¢	$0	0x8930c7…