Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$86

Unrealized P&L

-$29

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

192

lifetime

Volume

$54.9K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$286

Open exposure

$242

1 position

First seen

2026-01-01

last 06-12 23:12

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

54% — —

Politics

23% — —

Crypto

14% 100% +$38

Sports

9% 100% +$48

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

4 active days in 12wk • peak 5 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Opensea FDV above $100M one day after launch?	Yes		-500	$-214	48¢	$-242	$-29	06-12 23:12

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will the fed decrease interest rates by 50 bps after the march 2026 meeting	18	$28.4K	14,332	14,332	+0	open	—	03-14 10:12
nba mia det 2026 01 01	3	$4.7K	2,439	2,439	+0	open	—	01-02 03:45
Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?	1	$2.8K	0	6,424	-6,424	open	—	01-24 04:26
Will Trump nominate Scott Bessent as the next Fed chair?	1	$2.5K	0	2,517	-2,517	open	—	02-01 01:11
Katana FDV above $50M one day after launch?	2	$2.5K	2,497	0	+2,497	Yes	+$38	03-17 01:49
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	29	$2.4K	5,263	7,475	-2,211	open	—	02-07 02:23
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	2	$1.7K	0	2,000	-2,000	open	—	01-30 02:05
Will Trump nominate Christopher Waller as the next Fed chair?	1	$1.7K	0	1,666	-1,666	open	—	02-01 01:10
btc updown 15m 1773963900	15	$1.4K	725	725	+0	open	—	03-20 00:00
btc updown 15m 1767663900	24	$1.1K	2,000	0	+2,000	open	—	01-06 01:53
epl liv mac 2026 02 08 draw	13	$802	891	891	+0	open	—	02-08 18:21
btc updown 15m 1767645900	15	$797	1,121	0	+1,121	open	—	01-05 20:56
btc updown 15m 1767644100	17	$668	1,200	0	+1,200	open	—	01-05 20:26
btc updown 15m 1767646800	24	$621	1,000	0	+1,000	open	—	01-05 21:10
will lus marques mendes win the 2026 portugal presidential election	2	$580	500	500	+0	open	—	01-06 21:44
israel strikes iran by january 31 2026 894 994 453	2	$361	645	645	+0	open	—	01-24 04:27
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	2	$269	169	169	+0	open	—	04-07 00:34
Will Real Madrid win the 2025–26 La Liga?	2	$248	152	152	+0	No	+$48	04-12 05:17
Opensea FDV above $100M one day after launch?	1	$214	0	500	-500	open	—	06-12 23:12
epl bou ars 2026 01 03 ars	1	$200	299	0	+299	open	—	01-03 14:39
epl liv mac 2026 02 08 mac	2	$162	286	286	+0	open	—	02-08 18:00
Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?	1	$160	0	2,000	-2,000	open	—	01-20 21:19
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	1	$100	588	0	+588	open	—	03-28 02:15
Will Trump nominate Michelle Bowman as the next Fed chair?	1	$100	0	100	-100	open	—	02-01 01:10
btc updown 15m 1767227400	1	$97	100	0	+100	open	—	01-01 00:43
netanyahu out by march 31 854	1	$61	1,000	0	+1,000	open	—	03-14 20:53
epl mun tot 2026 02 07 mun	1	$50	82	0	+82	open	—	02-07 03:32
epl wol che 2026 02 07 che	1	$50	83	0	+83	open	—	02-07 03:32
btc updown 15m 1773709200	1	$30	37	0	+37	open	—	03-17 01:05
btc updown 15m 1773964800	3	$12	502	0	+502	open	—	03-20 00:13

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-12 23:12:48	Opensea FDV above $100M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	500	43¢	$214	0x9f1db2…
04-12 05:17:23	Will Real Madrid win the 2025–26 La Liga?	No	SELL	152	98¢	$148	0x029b98…
04-12 01:31:27	btc updown 5m 1775957400	Up	BUY	16	31¢	$5	0x4c4a30…
04-12 01:25:47	btc updown 5m 1775957100	Down	BUY	16	32¢	$5	0x11d3ab…
04-12 01:24:29	btc updown 5m 1775956800	Up	BUY	12	41¢	$5	0xc85666…
04-12 01:22:57	btc updown 5m 1775956800	Up	BUY	9	39¢	$4	0x58b5f7…
04-07 00:34:47	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	Yes	SELL	169	100¢	$169	0x5918a7…
03-28 02:17:53	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	Yes	BUY	169	59¢	$100	0x2cb754…
03-28 02:15:39	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	Yes	BUY	588	17¢	$100	0xa0e488…
03-20 00:13:55	btc updown 15m 1773964800	Down	BUY	252	0¢	$1	0x08e1bb…
03-20 00:13:03	btc updown 15m 1773964800	Down	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0xf71171…
03-20 00:10:17	btc updown 15m 1773964800	Down	BUY	200	5¢	$10	0xe5d03b…
03-20 00:00:23	btc updown 15m 1773963900	Up	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0xc595e1…
03-19 23:59:37	btc updown 15m 1773963900	Up	SELL	148	99¢	$147	0x46aae6…
03-19 23:59:37	btc updown 15m 1773963900	Up	SELL	153	100¢	$152	0x111bb4…
03-19 23:59:35	btc updown 15m 1773963900	Up	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x3f28f5…
03-19 23:59:33	btc updown 15m 1773963900	Up	SELL	16	99¢	$16	0xf1b329…
03-19 23:59:33	btc updown 15m 1773963900	Up	SELL	60	100¢	$60	0x77bf10…
03-19 23:59:33	btc updown 15m 1773963900	Up	SELL	50	100¢	$50	0x06bff4…
03-19 23:59:29	btc updown 15m 1773963900	Up	SELL	250	100¢	$249	0x2039a5…
03-19 23:59:29	btc updown 15m 1773963900	Up	SELL	30	100¢	$30	0x11f07f…
03-19 23:59:27	btc updown 15m 1773963900	Up	SELL	12	99¢	$12	0x35e469…
03-19 23:59:17	btc updown 15m 1773963900	Up	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xf4b39b…
03-19 23:58:43	btc updown 15m 1773963900	Up	BUY	104	99¢	$103	0x05e677…
03-19 23:58:41	btc updown 15m 1773963900	Up	BUY	96	99¢	$95	0x6dd425…
03-19 23:58:25	btc updown 15m 1773963900	Up	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0x50f90b…
03-19 23:58:21	btc updown 15m 1773963900	Up	BUY	425	99¢	$420	0x428499…
03-17 01:49:57	Katana FDV above $50M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	1,319	99¢	$1,301	0xd307be…
03-17 01:49:49	Katana FDV above $50M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	1,178	98¢	$1,159	0x758e5c…
03-17 01:05:03	btc updown 15m 1773709200	Down	BUY	37	82¢	$30	0x0ca5ed…
03-14 20:53:39	netanyahu out by march 31 854	Yes	BUY	1,000	6¢	$61	0x1f9ebe…
03-14 10:12:15	will the fed decrease interest rates by 50 bps after the march 2026 meeting	No	SELL	1,366	100¢	$1,365	0x92b7fd…
03-14 03:50:39	will the fed decrease interest rates by 50 bps after the march 2026 meeting	No	SELL	880	100¢	$879	0xaddce9…
03-14 03:49:09	will the fed decrease interest rates by 50 bps after the march 2026 meeting	No	SELL	2,983	100¢	$2,980	0x037ff1…
03-14 03:47:43	will the fed decrease interest rates by 50 bps after the march 2026 meeting	No	SELL	1,000	100¢	$999	0xa18931…
03-14 03:47:25	will the fed decrease interest rates by 50 bps after the march 2026 meeting	No	SELL	937	100¢	$936	0x9962ee…
03-07 01:49:21	will the fed decrease interest rates by 50 bps after the march 2026 meeting	No	SELL	7,166	100¢	$7,152	0xb2e0db…
02-17 01:04:57	will the fed decrease interest rates by 50 bps after the march 2026 meeting	No	BUY	207	99¢	$206	0x0a5fad…
02-08 18:24:41	will the fed decrease interest rates by 50 bps after the march 2026 meeting	No	BUY	1,171	99¢	$1,159	0xdd2add…
02-08 18:24:41	will the fed decrease interest rates by 50 bps after the march 2026 meeting	No	BUY	1,180	99¢	$1,168	0x8d0adc…
02-08 18:24:39	will the fed decrease interest rates by 50 bps after the march 2026 meeting	No	BUY	1,177	99¢	$1,165	0xb83def…
02-08 18:24:39	will the fed decrease interest rates by 50 bps after the march 2026 meeting	No	BUY	1,168	99¢	$1,156	0x9b27d4…
02-08 18:24:39	will the fed decrease interest rates by 50 bps after the march 2026 meeting	No	BUY	1,158	99¢	$1,147	0x6dbf17…
02-08 18:24:39	will the fed decrease interest rates by 50 bps after the march 2026 meeting	No	BUY	116	99¢	$115	0x616de0…
02-08 18:24:37	will the fed decrease interest rates by 50 bps after the march 2026 meeting	No	BUY	1,185	99¢	$1,173	0x35964c…
02-08 18:24:37	will the fed decrease interest rates by 50 bps after the march 2026 meeting	No	BUY	1,170	99¢	$1,159	0x1ab319…
02-08 18:21:17	epl liv mac 2026 02 08 draw	Yes	SELL	530	9¢	$48	0x425296…
02-08 18:18:11	epl liv mac 2026 02 08 draw	Yes	BUY	263	76¢	$200	0x522d0e…
02-08 18:17:55	epl liv mac 2026 02 08 draw	Yes	BUY	267	75¢	$200	0xa37c29…
02-08 18:17:23	epl liv mac 2026 02 08 draw	No	SELL	135	25¢	$34	0x66aa5e…
02-08 18:15:55	epl liv mac 2026 02 08 draw	No	SELL	135	28¢	$38	0x184c6d…
02-08 18:13:25	epl liv mac 2026 02 08 draw	No	SELL	66	36¢	$24	0x5b5dab…
02-08 18:13:19	epl liv mac 2026 02 08 draw	No	SELL	5	36¢	$2	0x0a2f1a…
02-08 18:13:15	epl liv mac 2026 02 08 draw	No	SELL	10	36¢	$4	0xb0ca52…
02-08 18:13:09	epl liv mac 2026 02 08 draw	No	SELL	6	36¢	$2	0x9d9326…
02-08 18:13:09	epl liv mac 2026 02 08 draw	No	SELL	5	36¢	$2	0x68ac02…
02-08 18:01:25	epl liv mac 2026 02 08 draw	No	BUY	96	52¢	$50	0x24c6cf…
02-08 18:00:45	epl liv mac 2026 02 08 mac	Yes	SELL	286	22¢	$62	0x1e5992…
02-08 17:04:49	epl liv mac 2026 02 08 mac	Yes	BUY	286	35¢	$100	0x4a0aaa…
02-08 16:43:45	epl liv mac 2026 02 08 draw	No	BUY	132	76¢	$100	0x962418…
02-08 16:42:39	epl liv mac 2026 02 08 draw	No	BUY	133	75¢	$100	0x04403b…
02-07 03:32:43	epl wol che 2026 02 07 che	Yes	BUY	83	60¢	$50	0xd47a53…
02-07 03:32:25	epl mun tot 2026 02 07 mun	Yes	BUY	82	61¢	$50	0x7ef1b3…
02-07 02:23:27	Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	Yes	SELL	1,584	3¢	$48	0xc7ba28…
02-07 02:22:01	Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	Yes	SELL	30	3¢	$1	0xeb913f…
02-07 02:20:27	Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	Yes	SELL	206	3¢	$6	0xa54fee…
02-07 02:20:19	Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	Yes	SELL	54	3¢	$2	0x3a5890…
02-07 02:19:13	Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	Yes	SELL	201	3¢	$6	0xe650fb…
02-07 02:16:11	Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	Yes	SELL	56	3¢	$2	0xd7ba49…
02-07 02:12:41	Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	Yes	SELL	51	3¢	$2	0xd545ad…
02-07 02:10:01	Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	Yes	SELL	16	3¢	$0	0xead28e…
02-07 02:09:27	Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	Yes	SELL	61	3¢	$2	0x010cd7…
02-07 02:07:39	Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	Yes	SELL	63	3¢	$2	0x235a6e…
02-07 02:07:35	Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	Yes	SELL	68	3¢	$2	0xdfd7c3…
02-07 02:07:05	Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	Yes	SELL	44	3¢	$1	0xa80b48…
02-07 02:04:59	Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	Yes	SELL	53	3¢	$2	0xb5cae7…
02-07 02:03:35	Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	Yes	SELL	51	3¢	$2	0x50d027…
02-07 02:03:23	Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	Yes	SELL	2	3¢	$0	0x3cf087…
02-07 02:03:21	Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	Yes	SELL	2	3¢	$0	0x2d1162…
02-07 02:02:19	Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	Yes	SELL	10	3¢	$0	0xe503e5…
02-07 02:00:29	Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	Yes	SELL	18	3¢	$1	0x7c1851…
02-07 01:58:47	Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	Yes	SELL	161	3¢	$5	0xb1ea3b…
02-07 01:56:01	Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	Yes	SELL	100	3¢	$3	0xd7d709…
02-07 01:54:49	Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	Yes	SELL	100	3¢	$3	0x03f7c6…
02-07 01:54:23	Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	Yes	SELL	44	3¢	$1	0x3265d3…
02-07 01:49:25	Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	Yes	SELL	1	3¢	$0	0x66ec86…
02-07 01:49:23	Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	Yes	SELL	0	3¢	$0	0x51ce78…
02-07 01:49:23	Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	Yes	SELL	7	3¢	$0	0x0cf6b3…
02-07 01:49:21	Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	Yes	SELL	600	3¢	$18	0x767048…
02-07 01:46:13	Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	Yes	SELL	1,680	3¢	$50	0x3a8032…
02-01 01:13:10	Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	Yes	BUY	5,263	2¢	$100	0x98078a…
02-01 01:11:08	Will Trump nominate Scott Bessent as the next Fed chair?	No	SELL	2,517	100¢	$2,515	0xe02cbb…
02-01 01:10:54	Will Trump nominate Christopher Waller as the next Fed chair?	No	SELL	1,666	100¢	$1,663	0x16375d…
02-01 01:10:44	Will Trump nominate Michelle Bowman as the next Fed chair?	No	SELL	100	100¢	$100	0xf51237…
02-01 01:10:36	Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	No	SELL	2,211	98¢	$2,169	0xfe7148…
01-30 02:05:08	Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	Yes	SELL	1,438	86¢	$1,237	0x195fcf…
01-30 02:04:42	Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	Yes	SELL	562	86¢	$484	0x9fd55b…
01-26 20:49:29	will the fed decrease interest rates by 50 bps after the march 2026 meeting	No	BUY	3,130	98¢	$3,070	0x059a69…
01-26 20:48:33	will the fed decrease interest rates by 50 bps after the march 2026 meeting	No	BUY	1,053	98¢	$1,033	0x268eb0…
01-26 20:48:19	will the fed decrease interest rates by 50 bps after the march 2026 meeting	No	BUY	1,618	98¢	$1,587	0x2108ff…