Basic-Refuse — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$83

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

94.8%

Resolved

5,075

Trades

5,372

lifetime

Volume

$24.8K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-08

last 10-27 06:48

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 103 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 93% -$83

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

60 active days in 12wk • peak 117 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-11 22:45 UTC	4	$21	33	0	+33	Up	-$5	03-11 22:48
SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-25 00:15 UTC	4	$18	43	0	+43	Down	+$4	03-25 00:27
SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-10 06:15 UTC	4	$14	21	0	+21	Up	-$4	03-10 06:27
SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-10 02:45 UTC	3	$14	33	0	+33	Down	+$3	03-10 02:49
SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-10 05:30 UTC	3	$13	29	0	+29	Down	+$2	03-10 05:32
SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-12 00:15 UTC	8	$13	26	0	+26	Down	-$1	03-12 00:15
SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-12 01:30 UTC	6	$12	27	0	+27	Down	+$1	03-12 01:30
SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-10 05:15 UTC	3	$12	24	0	+24	Up	-$4	03-10 05:16
SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-12 04:00 UTC	3	$12	16	0	+16	Up	-$3	03-12 04:08
SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-12 02:15 UTC	4	$11	22	0	+22	Down	-$2	03-12 02:15
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-12 03:45 UTC	2	$11	16	0	+16	Down	-$3	03-12 03:47
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-25 13:15 UTC	2	$11	6	6	+0	Down	+$1	03-25 13:28
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-21 02:45 UTC	3	$11	7	7	+0	Up	+$1	03-21 02:59
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-25 10:15 UTC	2	$10	25	0	+25	Down	+$2	03-25 10:29
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-25 09:45 UTC	2	$10	6	6	+0	Up	+$0	03-25 09:56
SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-21 19:15 UTC	3	$10	22	0	+22	Down	+$1	03-21 19:29
XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-04 07:15 UTC	1	$10	12	0	+12	Down	+$2	07-04 07:28
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-04 07:00 UTC	1	$10	12	0	+12	Up	-$10	07-04 07:13
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-25 10:00 UTC	2	$10	9	9	+0	Down	+$0	03-25 10:11
SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-21 02:30 UTC	2	$10	7	7	+0	Up	+$0	03-21 02:41
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-04 11:15 UTC	1	$10	12	0	+12	Down	+$2	07-04 11:28
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-04 10:15 UTC	1	$10	12	0	+12	Down	+$2	07-04 10:28
XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-04 01:30 UTC	1	$10	12	0	+12	Down	+$2	07-04 01:43
SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-04 07:15 UTC	1	$10	11	0	+11	Down	+$1	07-04 07:28
SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-12 11:30 UTC	4	$10	21	0	+21	Up	+$0	03-12 11:30
SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-04 05:45 UTC	1	$10	12	0	+12	Up	-$10	07-04 05:58
SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-04 11:45 UTC	1	$10	12	0	+12	Down	+$2	07-04 11:59
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-04 04:45 UTC	1	$10	12	0	+12	Up	-$10	07-04 04:58
XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-04 08:45 UTC	1	$10	12	0	+12	Down	+$2	07-04 08:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	2	$10	10	0	+10	Up	+$0	10-12 12:43

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-27 08:08:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xdfc0ee…
10-27 06:48:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x1c5c51…
10-27 05:44:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xfcfe6a…
10-27 05:33:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	Up	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x66a382…
10-27 04:58:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x2d104f…
10-27 04:18:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x2285d4…
10-27 04:09:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	Down	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x266ade…
10-27 03:53:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x779a84…
10-27 03:44:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x7210f8…
10-27 03:38:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x5e676c…
10-27 03:18:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x0f285b…
10-27 03:04:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x3af319…
10-27 02:53:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x14ac8f…
10-27 02:23:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x500f38…
10-27 02:18:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xbfbd6f…
10-27 02:08:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x2c5a47…
10-27 02:03:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x41eb91…
10-27 00:08:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x3aef94…
10-26 22:59:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x47815a…
10-26 22:49:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x0d15ca…
10-26 22:39:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xa656e1…
10-26 21:34:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xedddc1…
10-26 21:14:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x286eb6…
10-26 20:59:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x2d2dc8…
10-26 20:49:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x6e1d86…
10-26 20:09:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x5d032f…
10-26 19:34:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x0f7595…
10-26 19:09:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x814366…
10-26 19:04:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x341c2a…
10-26 18:43:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x7e7a16…
10-26 18:38:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xca836a…
10-26 18:33:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x0854ee…
10-26 18:29:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x89f997…
10-26 18:13:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xc31479…
10-26 18:09:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x9fb77d…
10-26 18:04:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x4bb61e…
10-26 17:08:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xb2c7e9…
10-26 16:49:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xa575a5…
10-26 16:39:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x5ee156…
10-26 16:34:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x914866…
10-26 16:24:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x426d0a…
10-26 16:18:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xdab0af…
10-26 15:44:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xf00f60…
10-26 15:28:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x8ff811…
10-26 15:23:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x1aecbf…
10-26 14:53:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xb02722…
10-26 14:08:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xabcc3b…
10-26 13:49:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xb04029…
10-26 13:14:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x9a9f44…
10-26 12:54:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xb399c9…
10-26 11:48:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x63db5c…
10-26 11:34:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Down	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x22a271…
10-26 11:19:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xc1bf49…
10-26 10:24:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x268161…
10-26 09:49:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x31fa76…
10-26 09:08:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x20494b…
10-26 08:58:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x694730…
10-26 08:48:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Up	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x8911ea…
10-26 08:08:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x3c480b…
10-26 06:54:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x411a72…
10-26 05:49:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x9a365a…
10-26 05:38:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xbd40d5…
10-26 05:34:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x0a05f5…
10-26 05:08:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xcefdf6…
10-26 04:59:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x143cab…
10-26 04:43:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x8d25f0…
10-26 04:19:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x9a1cde…
10-26 03:48:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x27a3d2…
10-26 03:28:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x6cd9d4…
10-26 03:09:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Down	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xb91f14…
10-26 02:48:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x18720e…
10-26 02:43:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x26f94f…
10-26 02:38:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x496fe9…
10-26 02:33:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x1e0d7a…
10-26 02:03:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x587cd6…
10-26 01:54:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x631e5a…
10-26 00:54:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xa36e1a…
10-26 00:44:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xda9cb4…
10-26 00:38:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xd8b5a7…
10-26 00:33:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x7762ea…
10-26 00:03:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x2d63dd…
10-25 23:48:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x349875…
10-25 23:34:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xf44c3a…
10-25 23:28:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x656ef9…
10-25 22:58:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xea2975…
10-25 22:49:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x2f60d9…
10-25 22:28:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xbabaaa…
10-25 21:28:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x86dc8f…
10-25 21:23:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xabba3d…
10-25 21:19:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x741436…
10-25 19:44:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x7f834c…
10-25 19:19:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xb032d0…
10-25 18:53:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xfd61ad…
10-25 17:24:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Down	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x70cead…
10-25 17:14:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x52206b…
10-25 16:29:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xc6b742…
10-25 16:14:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x7eceed…
10-25 15:09:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xe148d3…
10-25 14:03:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xebf871…
10-25 12:19:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x762d53…