Basic-Refuse — Polymarket

Realized P&L (7d)

-$19

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

97.8%

Resolved (7d)

363

Trades (7d)

364

5,807 lifetime

Volume (7d)

$1.81K

$27.0K lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-08

last 11-04 21:34

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 111 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 93% -$104

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

68 active days in 12wk • peak 117 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-11 22:45 UTC	4	$21	33	0	+33	Up	-$5	03-11 22:48
SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-25 00:15 UTC	4	$18	43	0	+43	Down	+$4	03-25 00:27
SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-10 06:15 UTC	4	$14	21	0	+21	Up	-$4	03-10 06:27
SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-10 02:45 UTC	3	$14	33	0	+33	Down	+$3	03-10 02:49
SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-10 05:30 UTC	3	$13	29	0	+29	Down	+$2	03-10 05:32
SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-12 00:15 UTC	8	$13	26	0	+26	Down	-$1	03-12 00:15
SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-12 01:30 UTC	6	$12	27	0	+27	Down	+$1	03-12 01:30
SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-10 05:15 UTC	3	$12	24	0	+24	Up	-$4	03-10 05:16
SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-12 04:00 UTC	3	$12	16	0	+16	Up	-$3	03-12 04:08
SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-12 02:15 UTC	4	$11	22	0	+22	Down	-$2	03-12 02:15
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-12 03:45 UTC	2	$11	16	0	+16	Down	-$3	03-12 03:47
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-25 13:15 UTC	2	$11	6	6	+0	Down	+$1	03-25 13:28
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-21 02:45 UTC	3	$11	7	7	+0	Up	+$1	03-21 02:59
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-25 10:15 UTC	2	$10	25	0	+25	Down	+$2	03-25 10:29
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-25 09:45 UTC	2	$10	6	6	+0	Up	+$0	03-25 09:56
SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-21 19:15 UTC	3	$10	22	0	+22	Down	+$1	03-21 19:29
XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-04 07:15 UTC	1	$10	12	0	+12	Down	+$2	07-04 07:28
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-04 07:00 UTC	1	$10	12	0	+12	Up	-$10	07-04 07:13
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-25 10:00 UTC	2	$10	9	9	+0	Down	+$0	03-25 10:11
SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-21 02:30 UTC	2	$10	7	7	+0	Up	+$0	03-21 02:41
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-04 11:15 UTC	1	$10	12	0	+12	Down	+$2	07-04 11:28
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-04 10:15 UTC	1	$10	12	0	+12	Down	+$2	07-04 10:28
XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-04 01:30 UTC	1	$10	12	0	+12	Down	+$2	07-04 01:43
SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-04 07:15 UTC	1	$10	11	0	+11	Down	+$1	07-04 07:28
SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-12 11:30 UTC	4	$10	21	0	+21	Up	+$0	03-12 11:30
SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-04 05:45 UTC	1	$10	12	0	+12	Up	-$10	07-04 05:58
SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-04 11:45 UTC	1	$10	12	0	+12	Down	+$2	07-04 11:59
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-04 04:45 UTC	1	$10	12	0	+12	Up	-$10	07-04 04:58
XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-04 08:45 UTC	1	$10	12	0	+12	Down	+$2	07-04 08:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	2	$10	10	0	+10	Up	+$0	10-12 12:43

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-04 22:49:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xe9ad91…
11-04 22:38:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x95e09d…
11-04 22:18:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x2e7fb1…
11-04 22:08:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x4d7ba8…
11-04 21:34:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Up	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xcc2489…
11-04 21:23:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xb2e7fa…
11-04 21:14:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xf4c11e…
11-04 21:03:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x6066e2…
11-04 20:44:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x897231…
11-04 19:48:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Down	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xe4f3c8…
11-04 19:44:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x0012e5…
11-04 19:33:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xb75a13…
11-04 19:18:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x089e35…
11-04 18:59:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xa46259…
11-04 18:43:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xdf4850…
11-04 17:38:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xfe48e9…
11-04 17:33:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x5e0275…
11-04 17:29:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xf7d81b…
11-04 17:23:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x5fcf1c…
11-04 17:08:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xbaacb2…
11-04 16:49:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x44c74a…
11-04 16:38:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xf4b923…
11-04 16:29:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x21f617…
11-04 16:23:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xf2abf6…
11-04 16:19:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x3f58de…
11-04 16:14:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x39beeb…
11-04 15:58:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x93fea6…
11-04 15:54:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xa9dd1e…
11-04 15:48:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xdde608…
11-04 15:24:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xc6f87f…
11-04 15:19:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x7ccb4f…
11-04 14:59:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x6a215f…
11-04 14:39:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x8f1880…
11-04 14:24:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xda66e7…
11-04 14:09:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x064805…
11-04 13:54:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x736605…
11-04 13:44:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xd741b0…
11-04 13:38:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x7962fe…
11-04 13:18:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x9f430f…
11-04 13:14:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x5c2259…
11-04 12:48:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x61e5c4…
11-04 09:18:33	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-11-04 09:15 UTC	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xb040df…
11-04 08:54:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xea56f9…
11-04 08:19:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Up	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xfdc670…
11-04 07:43:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xcf1cda…
11-04 07:23:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	Up	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xf97399…
11-04 06:38:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xdd6f0b…
11-04 06:33:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x7ac44b…
11-04 06:13:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x38adec…
11-04 05:43:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x28f441…
11-04 05:33:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xe97d42…
11-04 05:28:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xac56ee…
11-04 05:13:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x88ad5f…
11-04 05:09:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x181d80…
11-04 05:03:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xac6ce6…
11-04 04:08:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x29b780…
11-04 03:58:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x798e6e…
11-04 03:49:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x7e64a3…
11-04 03:44:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x663c53…
11-04 03:33:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x1285e3…
11-04 03:19:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x9656fb…
11-04 02:38:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xc6b6d0…
11-04 02:29:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x503200…
11-04 01:58:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xa819ca…
11-04 01:53:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Up	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x4a8ef3…
11-04 01:33:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xb19472…
11-04 01:29:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0xbaeb48…
11-04 00:58:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xc37e0c…
11-04 00:23:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x8b8ecf…
11-03 23:53:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xb58eee…
11-03 23:39:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Down	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x6a9904…
11-03 22:34:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Down	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x725b58…
11-03 22:08:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x9b331d…
11-03 21:59:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x3171bd…
11-03 21:04:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x67d9fd…
11-03 20:23:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x83b0a9…
11-03 20:09:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xfc9c5d…
11-03 18:53:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x85558f…
11-03 18:03:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x0e4fa0…
11-03 17:43:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x3a27f5…
11-03 04:24:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x784b12…
11-03 03:59:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x32cf4e…
11-03 03:39:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Down	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xce357e…
11-03 03:34:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Down	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x08921d…
11-03 03:24:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xb2d582…
11-03 03:13:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xdd8c51…
11-03 02:18:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x67df25…
11-03 02:04:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x0dcade…
11-03 01:53:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xb12448…
11-03 01:29:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x12cab3…
11-03 00:43:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x8be447…
11-03 00:33:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xd248d5…
11-02 23:49:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x426d44…
11-02 23:18:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x47c52e…
11-02 23:03:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x46cc03…
11-02 22:33:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x1d7962…
11-02 20:38:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x9d7990…
11-02 20:13:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x33bb58…
11-02 19:48:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x43fc41…
11-02 19:44:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xf71acd…