Testy-Submarine — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$700

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

60.5%

Resolved

388

Trades

833

lifetime

Volume

$8.94K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$11

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-21

last 09-14 19:21

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 44 days

Categories

Crypto

88% 28% -$669

Other

9% 26% +$34

Politics

1% 20% -$64

Sports

1% 0% -$1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

1 active day in 12wk • peak 1 trade/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
bitcoin above 78k on february 2	6	$252	330	290	+40	Yes	+$77	02-02 16:11
bitcoin up or down on january 28	11	$218	200	200	+0	Up	+$98	01-28 16:10
bitcoin above 82k on january 31	4	$201	233	233	+0	No	+$179	01-31 14:53
bitcoin up or down on february 4	4	$170	308	208	+100	Down	+$42	02-04 13:51
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-02 20:15 UTC	10	$161	161	134	+27	Down	+$13	02-02 20:27
bitcoin above 80k on january 31	4	$157	638	638	+0	Yes	+$141	01-31 16:22
bitcoin up or down february 3 3am et	4	$137	98	98	+0	Down	+$37	02-03 09:07
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-03 18:00 UTC	4	$135	120	82	+37	Down	+$22	02-03 18:12
bitcoin up or down february 3 9am et	5	$128	144	144	+0	Down	+$18	02-03 14:43
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-02 20:30 UTC	8	$119	109	107	+2	Down	+$10	02-02 20:38
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-02 07:15 UTC	4	$116	132	75	+57	Down	+$43	02-02 07:24
elon musk of tweets january 29 january 31 115 139	2	$115	95	95	+0	Yes	+$75	01-31 16:42
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-03 16:45 UTC	6	$114	133	80	+53	Down	+$10	02-03 16:58
bitcoin up or down january 22 11am et	15	$111	130	120	+10	Up	+$25	01-22 16:58
bitcoin above 82k on february 1	2	$106	103	103	+0	No	+$82	01-31 19:43
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-03 17:00 UTC	6	$101	130	32	+98	Down	+$17	02-03 17:10
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-03 16:30 UTC	1	$100	145	0	+145	Up	+$45	02-03 16:44
bitcoin up or down february 2 3pm et	5	$93	78	78	+0	Down	+$23	02-02 20:57
bitcoin up or down february 2 4pm et	4	$90	102	64	+38	Up	$0	02-02 21:05
bitcoin up or down february 10 4pm et	7	$88	93	93	+0	Down	+$18	02-10 21:58
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-03 19:45 UTC	5	$86	109	58	+51	Up	-$3	02-03 19:58
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-23 17:00 UTC	6	$86	195	145	+50	Up	-$27	01-23 17:12
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-23 16:45 UTC	7	$85	102	78	+24	Down	+$15	01-23 16:57
bitcoin up or down january 23 9am et	8	$83	77	101	-24	Down	+$13	01-23 14:39
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-02 20:45 UTC	12	$82	119	85	+35	Down	+$1	02-02 20:56
nba atl ind 2026 01 31	2	$79	75	75	+0	Pacers	-$1	02-01 01:02
bitcoin up or down january 23 1am et	5	$73	85	77	+7	Down	+$26	01-23 06:49
elon musk of tweets january 24 january 26 115 139	3	$73	50	50	+0	Yes	+$27	01-26 17:03
bitcoin up or down february 3 4pm et	4	$71	88	51	+38	Down	-$27	02-03 21:23
epl wes mun 2026 02 10 wes	3	$71	100	100	+0	No	+$29	02-10 21:59

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-14 19:21:42	Will Udinese Calcio win on 2026-09-14?	Yes	BUY	42	7¢	$3	0x433c87…
05-05 23:15:12	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 10?	No	BUY	32	15¢	$5	0x4934a1…
05-05 23:14:48	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 9?	No	BUY	94	4¢	$4	0xd36880…
05-05 23:12:12	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 7?	No	BUY	50	6¢	$3	0xe1e198…
05-05 23:09:24	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 6?	No	BUY	41	19¢	$8	0x19fc99…
05-05 06:51:38	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 6?	No	BUY	77	1¢	$1	0x7780ed…
05-05 06:49:50	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $74,000 and $76,000 on May 5?	Yes	BUY	215	0¢	$1	0xb51a36…
05-05 06:49:40	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $76,000 and $78,000 on May 5?	Yes	BUY	103	3¢	$3	0x24bbc1…
05-05 06:49:32	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $78,000 and $80,000 on May 5?	Yes	BUY	27	18¢	$5	0x7cc967…
05-05 06:47:42	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 5?	Down	BUY	22	23¢	$5	0xc56b7b…
05-04 17:16:32	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 4?	Yes	SELL	21	100¢	$21	0x3c86ed…
05-04 11:26:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7AM ET	Down	BUY	12	42¢	$5	0x28849e…
05-04 11:25:14	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 4?	Yes	BUY	21	14¢	$3	0xa7fa20…
04-25 01:01:00	Will Bitcoin dip to $77,000 on April 24?	Yes	BUY	27	11¢	$3	0x29d47f…
04-25 00:58:16	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on April 25?	Yes	BUY	24	17¢	$4	0x89cddf…
04-25 00:57:10	Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in April?	Yes	BUY	38	8¢	$3	0xe2c14e…
04-16 21:04:38	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-16 21:00 UTC	Up	BUY	8	37¢	$3	0x259c43…
04-16 21:02:18	will bitcoin dip to 68k april 13 19	Yes	BUY	62	3¢	$2	0xfd132b…
04-16 21:01:32	Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in April?	Yes	BUY	36	14¢	$5	0x3546be…
04-16 20:59:32	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-16 20:45 UTC	Up	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x56d47c…
04-16 20:51:14	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-16 20:45 UTC	Up	SELL	6	91¢	$5	0x759bdf…
04-16 20:51:14	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-16 20:45 UTC	Up	SELL	3	91¢	$3	0x26112f…
04-16 20:41:50	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-16 20:45 UTC	Up	BUY	11	55¢	$6	0xfc5cc3…
03-31 00:41:37	bitcoin above 70k on april 2	Yes	BUY	31	16¢	$5	0xb084f2…
03-31 00:40:37	will bitcoin reach 74k march 30 april 5	Yes	BUY	22	9¢	$2	0xc7c7db…
03-31 00:40:19	will bitcoin reach 76k march 30 april 5	Yes	BUY	79	4¢	$3	0x988ba2…
03-27 12:06:23	will bitcoin dip to 64k march 23 29	Yes	SELL	31	34¢	$10	0x517b7d…
03-26 23:52:23	will trump say khamenei this week march 29	Yes	BUY	23	13¢	$3	0x269ba1…
03-26 23:48:59	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	No	BUY	100	38¢	$38	0x2d8b46…
03-26 23:46:37	will bitcoin dip to 64k march 23 29	Yes	BUY	31	13¢	$4	0xb14956…
03-26 23:46:07	bitcoin above 72k on march 27	Yes	BUY	37	3¢	$1	0xf647bc…
03-26 23:46:01	bitcoin above 70k on march 27	Yes	BUY	18	22¢	$4	0x1fddb9…
03-26 11:07:15	will the price of bitcoin be between 70000 72000 on march 26	Yes	BUY	10	31¢	$3	0x9830c4…
03-26 11:06:11	elon musk of tweets march 20 march 27 240 259	Yes	SELL	19	14¢	$3	0x5bbcb2…
03-25 13:47:09	bitcoin above 72k on march 25	Yes	SELL	30	36¢	$11	0x4d6ad4…
03-25 00:13:43	bitcoin above 72k on march 25	Yes	BUY	30	20¢	$6	0xda7a5c…
03-25 00:11:19	will bitcoin reach 76k march 23 29	Yes	BUY	45	22¢	$10	0xd4504d…
03-25 00:10:51	will bitcoin reach 80k in march 2026	Yes	BUY	25	8¢	$2	0xf6afcc…
03-25 00:01:07	elon musk of tweets march 20 march 27 240 259	Yes	BUY	19	11¢	$2	0xafa216…
03-25 00:00:05	elon musk of tweets march 23 march 25 65 89	Yes	BUY	25	36¢	$9	0xa136b0…
02-13 13:22:47	bitcoin up or down on february 13	Down	BUY	15	13¢	$2	0x8e28e2…
02-11 15:33:37	will bitcoin dip to 56k february 9 15	Yes	BUY	541	4¢	$20	0x12fb94…
02-11 15:14:31	bitcoin above 58k on february 12	No	BUY	1,018	2¢	$19	0x88edb1…
02-11 15:12:29	bitcoin above 76k on february 12	Yes	SELL	1,500	0¢	$2	0x266499…
02-11 15:12:23	bitcoin above 74k on february 12	Yes	SELL	621	1¢	$4	0x7c06de…
02-11 15:11:35	bitcoin above 64k on february 11	No	BUY	492	6¢	$30	0xde49f1…
02-11 12:45:15	bitcoin up or down on february 11	Up	SELL	170	4¢	$7	0xa995db…
02-11 10:37:11	bitcoin up or down on february 11	Up	BUY	59	3¢	$2	0x433caa…
02-11 06:27:31	bitcoin up or down february 11 1am et	Up	BUY	15	20¢	$3	0xb19b3e…
02-11 06:27:15	bitcoin above 78k on february 12	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0xaec144…
02-11 06:26:51	bitcoin above 76k on february 12	Yes	BUY	1,500	0¢	$3	0xb16942…
02-11 06:26:37	bitcoin above 74k on february 12	Yes	BUY	621	1¢	$9	0xfc7e42…
02-11 06:26:25	bitcoin above 72k on february 12	Yes	BUY	100	5¢	$5	0x671807…
02-11 06:25:39	bitcoin up or down on february 11	Up	BUY	111	9¢	$10	0x720d54…
02-10 22:11:49	bitcoin up or down february 10 5pm et	Up	BUY	30	46¢	$14	0xb7f6c7…
02-10 22:09:25	epl wes mun 2026 02 10 draw	Yes	SELL	18	95¢	$17	0xa502d8…
02-10 22:03:15	epl wes mun 2026 02 10 draw	Yes	BUY	18	17¢	$3	0x0bae37…
02-10 21:59:51	epl wes mun 2026 02 10 wes	Yes	SELL	50	81¢	$40	0x086f37…
02-10 21:58:17	bitcoin up or down february 10 4pm et	Up	SELL	22	2¢	$0	0xb687d8…
02-10 21:47:31	bitcoin up or down february 10 4pm et	Up	BUY	22	9¢	$2	0xbb2917…
02-10 21:43:05	bitcoin up or down february 10 4pm et	Down	SELL	22	96¢	$21	0x2299fe…
02-10 21:30:55	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-10 21:30 UTC	Up	BUY	28	46¢	$13	0x8b6683…
02-10 21:14:31	bitcoin up or down february 10 4pm et	Down	BUY	22	36¢	$8	0x9e11a2…
02-10 21:14:11	bitcoin up or down february 10 4pm et	Up	SELL	24	64¢	$15	0x4d3a87…
02-10 21:13:09	will gold gc hit low 4000 by end of february 542 564 882 215 825 637 559 654 593 764 923	Yes	BUY	139	4¢	$5	0x605c84…
02-10 21:07:41	epl che lee 2026 02 10 che	Yes	BUY	41	37¢	$15	0x0ec584…
02-10 21:05:29	bitcoin up or down february 10 4pm et	Up	SELL	24	67¢	$16	0xb2fa57…
02-10 21:03:13	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-10 21:00 UTC	Down	BUY	24	17¢	$4	0xf477c3…
02-10 21:00:35	bitcoin up or down february 10 4pm et	Up	BUY	48	52¢	$25	0xd3ce40…
02-10 20:57:43	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-10 20:45 UTC	Down	BUY	5	88¢	$4	0x56872f…
02-10 20:57:15	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-10 20:45 UTC	Up	SELL	26	30¢	$8	0xe48ca4…
02-10 20:51:57	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-10 20:45 UTC	Up	BUY	26	19¢	$5	0x383a7e…
02-10 20:51:13	bitcoin up or down february 10 3pm et	Up	BUY	33	6¢	$2	0x56feae…
02-10 20:48:57	bitcoin up or down february 10 3pm et	Up	BUY	26	19¢	$5	0x12dcf7…
02-10 20:48:23	bitcoin up or down february 10 3pm et	Up	SELL	119	21¢	$25	0x650c60…
02-10 20:40:03	epl wes mun 2026 02 10 wes	Yes	SELL	50	19¢	$10	0x56d955…
02-10 20:36:27	bitcoin up or down february 10 3pm et	Up	BUY	20	10¢	$2	0x6ae42f…
02-10 20:24:21	bitcoin up or down february 10 3pm et	Up	BUY	99	20¢	$20	0x06f55f…
02-10 19:22:17	epl wes mun 2026 02 10 wes	Yes	BUY	100	21¢	$21	0x1ece3f…
02-10 18:38:11	will the price of bitcoin be between 76000 78000 on february 11	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$4	0x12b739…
02-10 18:37:57	will the price of bitcoin be between 78000 80000 on february 11	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$2	0x50f5fe…
02-10 18:37:47	will the price of bitcoin be between 80000 82000 on february 11	Yes	BUY	1,030	0¢	$2	0xf96cf1…
02-10 18:37:37	will the price of bitcoin be greater than 82000 on february 11	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0xc41437…
02-10 18:37:25	will the price of bitcoin be between 74000 76000 on february 11	Yes	BUY	238	2¢	$5	0x299a90…
02-10 18:37:13	will the price of bitcoin be between 72000 74000 on february 11	Yes	BUY	75	7¢	$5	0xf80104…
02-10 18:36:17	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-10 18:30 UTC	Up	SELL	11	65¢	$7	0x1b540c…
02-10 18:34:53	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-10 18:30 UTC	Up	BUY	11	44¢	$5	0xfcd049…
02-10 18:33:29	bitcoin up or down february 10 1pm et	Up	BUY	67	3¢	$2	0x2ab02e…
02-10 16:15:01	bitcoin up or down on february 10	Up	BUY	72	10¢	$7	0xe3af4e…
02-10 15:51:07	will bitcoin reach 80k february 9 15	Yes	BUY	507	3¢	$15	0xa85018…
02-10 15:50:15	will bitcoin reach 76k february 9 15	Yes	BUY	100	15¢	$15	0x08f9b1…
02-10 15:50:03	will bitcoin reach 78k february 9 15	Yes	BUY	500	6¢	$30	0x99743f…
02-08 19:53:03	will bitcoin reach 100k in february 2026	Yes	BUY	200	2¢	$4	0xfeeb73…
02-08 19:52:41	will gold gc hit low 4000 by end of february 542 564 882 215 825 637 559 654 593 764 923	Yes	SELL	59	6¢	$3	0x69399d…
02-04 15:04:16	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-04 15:00 UTC	Down	BUY	31	35¢	$11	0x5cea6f…
02-04 14:14:38	bitcoin up or down february 4 9am et	Up	BUY	55	72¢	$40	0x966d97…
02-04 13:52:32	bitcoin above 80k on february 5	Yes	BUY	100	6¢	$6	0xbcc638…
02-04 13:52:12	bitcoin above 78k on february 5	Yes	BUY	219	16¢	$35	0x368260…
02-04 13:51:28	bitcoin up or down on february 4	Up	BUY	100	14¢	$14	0x260a6e…
02-04 06:30:44	bitcoin up or down on february 4	Up	SELL	40	50¢	$20	0xd4a888…