Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$11.2K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

97.8%

Resolved

160

Trades

39,734

lifetime

Volume

$4.05M

lifetime

Avg / trade

$102

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 07-03 23:49

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 59 days

Categories

Other

85% 84% -$76

Sports

14% 95% +$11,188

Politics

1% 94% +$55

Tech

0% 100% +$33

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-07-03).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
fed decreases interest rates by 50 bps after january 2026 meeting	3,748	$1.08M	1,085,635	14,476	+1,071,159	No	+$3,906	01-13 12:04
fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after january 2026 meeting	3,749	$1.04M	1,098,728	451	+1,098,277	No	+$55,567	01-13 12:04
fed increases interest rates by 25 bps after january 2026 meeting	2,928	$934.7K	936,385	31,809	+904,576	No	+$1,752	01-13 12:12
elon musk of tweets january 2 january 9 580plus	77	$137.2K	137,932	0	+137,932	No	+$734	01-09 17:34
will movie a be the top grossing movie of 2025	71	$96.4K	96,475	0	+96,475	No	+$96	01-01 17:04
no change in fed interest rates after january 2026 meeting	3,762	$63.1K	1,108,068	9,869	+1,098,199	Yes	-$61,211	01-13 12:04
will the pittsburgh steelers win super bowl 2026	508	$16.1K	16,318	0	+16,318	No	+$257	01-13 03:58
will the chicago bears win super bowl 2026	524	$15.9K	16,519	20	+16,499	No	+$597	01-13 04:40
will the san francisco 49ers win super bowl 2026	523	$15.7K	16,529	0	+16,529	No	+$853	01-13 04:40
will the houston texans win super bowl 2026	524	$15.4K	16,529	10	+16,519	No	+$1,085	01-13 04:40
elon musk of tweets december 30 january 6 540 559	32	$15.3K	15,587	0	+15,587	No	+$256	01-06 17:00
will the new england patriots win super bowl 2026	524	$15.1K	16,529	10	+16,519	No	+$1,402	01-13 04:40
will the buffalo bills win super bowl 2026	523	$15.0K	16,529	0	+16,529	No	+$1,534	01-13 04:40
will the denver broncos win super bowl 2026	524	$14.8K	16,529	10	+16,519	No	+$1,750	01-13 04:40
will the carolina panthers win super bowl 2026	439	$14.5K	14,564	0	+14,564	No	+$103	01-10 22:05
will the los angeles chargers win super bowl 2026	455	$14.4K	14,793	29	+14,764	No	+$394	01-11 23:25
will the green bay packers win super bowl 2026	442	$14.1K	14,618	0	+14,618	No	+$477	01-11 04:15
will the jacksonville jaguars win super bowl 2026	453	$13.9K	14,802	0	+14,802	No	+$888	01-11 20:04
will the los angeles rams win super bowl 2026	523	$13.9K	16,529	0	+16,529	No	+$2,625	01-13 04:40
will the philadelphia eagles win super bowl 2026	455	$13.5K	14,812	10	+14,802	No	+$1,313	01-11 23:25
will the seattle seahawks win super bowl 2026	524	$13.5K	16,529	10	+16,519	Yes	-$13,463	01-13 04:40
Will the Washington Wizards win the 2026 NBA Finals?	554	$13.3K	13,361	0	+13,361	No	+$13	01-13 01:26
Will the Brooklyn Nets win the 2026 NBA Finals?	554	$13.3K	13,350	11	+13,339	No	+$13	01-13 01:26
Will the Sacramento Kings win the 2026 NBA Finals?	554	$13.3K	13,350	11	+13,339	No	+$13	01-13 01:26
Will the Chicago Bulls win the 2026 NBA Finals?	554	$13.3K	13,350	11	+13,339	No	+$27	01-13 01:26
Will the Portland Trail Blazers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	554	$13.3K	13,350	11	+13,339	No	+$28	01-13 01:26
Will the Atlanta Hawks win the 2026 NBA Finals?	554	$13.3K	13,350	11	+13,339	No	+$85	01-13 01:26
Will the Dallas Mavericks win the 2026 NBA Finals?	554	$13.2K	13,319	42	+13,277	No	+$74	01-13 01:26
Will the New Orleans Pelicans win the 2026 NBA Finals?	554	$13.2K	13,241	120	+13,121	No	+$13	01-13 01:26
Will the Memphis Grizzlies win the 2026 NBA Finals?	553	$13.2K	13,225	136	+13,089	No	+$56	01-13 01:26

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-03 23:49:44	fifwc arg cvi 2026 07 03 team to advance	Cabo Verde	BUY	88	19¢	$17	0x8b7f4c…
07-03 23:46:38	Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-07-03?	Yes	SELL	325	5¢	$17	0x120278…
07-03 23:45:53	fifwc arg cvi 2026 07 03 team to advance	Cabo Verde	BUY	287	19¢	$54	0x40e3e7…
07-03 23:42:26	Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-07-03?	Yes	SELL	925	6¢	$56	0x1563c8…
07-03 23:26:55	Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-07-03?	Yes	BUY	1,250	4¢	$50	0x89efed…
06-12 03:37:54	Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	1,835	11¢	$200	0x11e17d…
06-12 03:37:34	Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	4,444	4¢	$200	0x2f7ff9…
05-01 13:52:58	Will Congo DR win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	4,162	0¢	$8	0x04d588…
05-01 13:52:50	Will Iraq win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	4,162	0¢	$8	0x3fa01c…
05-01 13:52:42	Will Panama win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	4,162	0¢	$8	0x79fae5…
05-01 13:52:34	Will Bosnia-Herzegovina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	4,162	0¢	$12	0x857297…
05-01 13:52:26	Will Czechia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	4,162	0¢	$12	0x3ff8ab…
05-01 13:52:18	Will Sweden win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	4,162	1¢	$25	0x4b60d0…
05-01 13:52:10	Will Turkiye win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	4,162	1¢	$25	0xa10e9e…
01-19 16:28:08	Will Trump nominate Lorie K. Logan as the next Fed chair?	Yes	SELL	1,246	0¢	$1	0xf0967a…
01-15 01:33:32	Will the Indiana Pacers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	Yes	SELL	1,638	0¢	$2	0x53f7ca…
01-13 12:12:45	fed increases interest rates by 25 bps after january 2026 meeting	Yes	SELL	1,774	0¢	$2	0x11f0aa…
01-13 12:04:35	fed increases interest rates by 25 bps after january 2026 meeting	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0xdce9f9…
01-13 12:04:35	no change in fed interest rates after january 2026 meeting	No	BUY	14	6¢	$1	0x518f74…
01-13 12:04:35	fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after january 2026 meeting	No	BUY	14	94¢	$13	0x216d1c…
01-13 12:04:35	fed decreases interest rates by 50 bps after january 2026 meeting	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0x0fcb91…
01-13 12:04:29	no change in fed interest rates after january 2026 meeting	No	BUY	21	6¢	$1	0xefb8b4…
01-13 12:04:29	fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after january 2026 meeting	No	BUY	21	94¢	$20	0x73dbde…
01-13 12:04:29	fed decreases interest rates by 50 bps after january 2026 meeting	No	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0x6ad95b…
01-13 12:04:29	fed increases interest rates by 25 bps after january 2026 meeting	No	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0x2c608e…
01-13 12:04:23	fed decreases interest rates by 50 bps after january 2026 meeting	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0xc9a43a…
01-13 12:04:23	fed increases interest rates by 25 bps after january 2026 meeting	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x7394b8…
01-13 12:04:23	fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after january 2026 meeting	No	BUY	30	94¢	$28	0x39fa84…
01-13 12:04:23	no change in fed interest rates after january 2026 meeting	No	BUY	30	6¢	$2	0x0b13b5…
01-13 11:59:45	fed decreases interest rates by 50 bps after january 2026 meeting	No	BUY	74	100¢	$74	0x6ba153…
01-13 11:59:45	fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after january 2026 meeting	No	BUY	74	94¢	$70	0x254185…
01-13 11:59:45	fed increases interest rates by 25 bps after january 2026 meeting	No	BUY	74	100¢	$74	0x1f70ca…
01-13 11:59:43	no change in fed interest rates after january 2026 meeting	No	BUY	74	6¢	$5	0x441206…
01-13 11:59:39	fed decreases interest rates by 50 bps after january 2026 meeting	No	BUY	55	100¢	$55	0xb068f6…
01-13 11:59:39	no change in fed interest rates after january 2026 meeting	No	BUY	55	6¢	$3	0xa3d85c…
01-13 11:59:39	fed increases interest rates by 25 bps after january 2026 meeting	No	BUY	55	100¢	$55	0x8041d1…
01-13 11:59:39	fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after january 2026 meeting	No	BUY	55	94¢	$52	0x2a7fd4…
01-13 11:48:29	no change in fed interest rates after january 2026 meeting	No	BUY	76	6¢	$4	0x9f0d13…
01-13 11:48:29	fed decreases interest rates by 50 bps after january 2026 meeting	No	BUY	76	100¢	$76	0x825fcd…
01-13 11:48:29	fed increases interest rates by 25 bps after january 2026 meeting	No	BUY	76	100¢	$76	0x60e3ed…
01-13 11:48:29	fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after january 2026 meeting	No	BUY	76	94¢	$72	0x1892e0…
01-13 11:48:25	fed decreases interest rates by 50 bps after january 2026 meeting	No	BUY	109	100¢	$109	0x969ca3…
01-13 11:48:23	fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after january 2026 meeting	No	BUY	109	94¢	$103	0xcaa907…
01-13 11:48:23	fed increases interest rates by 25 bps after january 2026 meeting	No	BUY	109	100¢	$109	0xc02bf0…
01-13 11:48:23	no change in fed interest rates after january 2026 meeting	No	BUY	109	6¢	$6	0x168b48…
01-13 11:48:17	no change in fed interest rates after january 2026 meeting	No	BUY	70	6¢	$4	0xb89c15…
01-13 11:48:17	fed increases interest rates by 25 bps after january 2026 meeting	No	BUY	70	100¢	$70	0x92a07f…
01-13 11:48:17	fed decreases interest rates by 50 bps after january 2026 meeting	No	BUY	70	100¢	$70	0x555b80…
01-13 11:48:17	fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after january 2026 meeting	No	BUY	70	94¢	$66	0x16aa40…
01-13 11:47:31	no change in fed interest rates after january 2026 meeting	No	BUY	15	6¢	$1	0x5e5ef8…
01-13 11:47:31	fed increases interest rates by 25 bps after january 2026 meeting	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x401953…
01-13 11:47:29	fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after january 2026 meeting	No	BUY	15	94¢	$14	0xf3b857…
01-13 11:47:29	fed decreases interest rates by 50 bps after january 2026 meeting	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x83d512…
01-13 11:47:25	fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after january 2026 meeting	No	BUY	21	94¢	$20	0xcd25b3…
01-13 11:47:25	no change in fed interest rates after january 2026 meeting	No	BUY	21	6¢	$1	0x68b063…
01-13 11:47:25	fed increases interest rates by 25 bps after january 2026 meeting	No	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0x550d1c…
01-13 11:47:25	fed decreases interest rates by 50 bps after january 2026 meeting	No	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0x2837ab…
01-13 11:47:19	fed increases interest rates by 25 bps after january 2026 meeting	No	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0x753f34…
01-13 11:47:19	no change in fed interest rates after january 2026 meeting	No	BUY	19	6¢	$1	0x4a3487…
01-13 11:47:19	fed decreases interest rates by 50 bps after january 2026 meeting	No	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0x339f3b…
01-13 11:47:19	fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after january 2026 meeting	No	BUY	19	94¢	$18	0x086a2b…
01-13 11:47:13	fed increases interest rates by 25 bps after january 2026 meeting	No	BUY	29	100¢	$29	0xfd775e…
01-13 11:47:13	fed decreases interest rates by 50 bps after january 2026 meeting	No	BUY	29	100¢	$29	0xd33014…
01-13 11:47:13	fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after january 2026 meeting	No	BUY	29	94¢	$27	0x86d795…
01-13 11:47:13	no change in fed interest rates after january 2026 meeting	No	BUY	29	6¢	$2	0x176eea…
01-13 11:47:09	no change in fed interest rates after january 2026 meeting	No	BUY	42	6¢	$2	0xd119db…
01-13 11:47:09	fed increases interest rates by 25 bps after january 2026 meeting	No	BUY	42	100¢	$42	0xac7111…
01-13 11:47:09	fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after january 2026 meeting	No	BUY	42	94¢	$40	0x4f72ee…
01-13 11:47:09	fed decreases interest rates by 50 bps after january 2026 meeting	No	BUY	42	100¢	$42	0x1e6d73…
01-13 11:47:05	fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after january 2026 meeting	No	BUY	60	94¢	$57	0xfdda40…
01-13 11:47:05	no change in fed interest rates after january 2026 meeting	No	BUY	60	6¢	$4	0x7fc76e…
01-13 11:47:05	fed decreases interest rates by 50 bps after january 2026 meeting	No	BUY	60	100¢	$60	0x5205d2…
01-13 11:47:05	fed increases interest rates by 25 bps after january 2026 meeting	No	BUY	60	100¢	$60	0x267a6f…
01-13 11:45:37	fed decreases interest rates by 50 bps after january 2026 meeting	No	BUY	67	100¢	$67	0xd6e62b…
01-13 11:45:37	fed increases interest rates by 25 bps after january 2026 meeting	No	BUY	67	100¢	$67	0xaf6d10…
01-13 11:45:37	no change in fed interest rates after january 2026 meeting	No	BUY	67	6¢	$4	0x7946bb…
01-13 11:45:37	fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after january 2026 meeting	No	BUY	67	94¢	$63	0x652c36…
01-13 11:35:09	elon musk of tweets january 6 january 13 560 579	No	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xce76ac…
01-13 11:35:09	elon musk of tweets january 6 january 13 580plus	No	BUY	10	64¢	$6	0x478e8a…
01-13 11:35:09	elon musk of tweets january 6 january 13 540 559	No	BUY	10	86¢	$9	0x31118a…
01-13 11:13:39	elon musk of tweets january 6 january 13 560 579	No	BUY	16	54¢	$9	0x68c762…
01-13 11:13:37	elon musk of tweets january 6 january 13 540 559	No	BUY	16	60¢	$10	0xb9369b…
01-13 11:13:37	elon musk of tweets january 6 january 13 580plus	No	BUY	16	85¢	$14	0xaaa4aa…
01-13 11:11:47	elon musk of tweets january 6 january 13 580plus	No	BUY	17	85¢	$14	0xff7f41…
01-13 11:11:47	elon musk of tweets january 6 january 13 560 579	No	BUY	17	54¢	$9	0xd01ce9…
01-13 11:11:47	elon musk of tweets january 6 january 13 540 559	No	BUY	17	62¢	$10	0x177f1d…
01-13 11:11:03	elon musk of tweets january 6 january 13 560 579	No	BUY	28	53¢	$15	0xb780b9…
01-13 11:11:03	elon musk of tweets january 6 january 13 540 559	No	BUY	28	62¢	$17	0x2a373c…
01-13 11:11:01	elon musk of tweets january 6 january 13 580plus	No	BUY	28	85¢	$24	0xcaf190…
01-13 11:10:53	fed increases interest rates by 25 bps after january 2026 meeting	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0xfad29b…
01-13 11:10:53	fed decreases interest rates by 50 bps after january 2026 meeting	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0xbaed3b…
01-13 11:10:53	no change in fed interest rates after january 2026 meeting	No	BUY	15	6¢	$1	0x5168dd…
01-13 11:10:53	fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after january 2026 meeting	No	BUY	15	95¢	$14	0x1a205a…
01-13 11:10:49	no change in fed interest rates after january 2026 meeting	No	BUY	21	6¢	$1	0xabde95…
01-13 11:10:49	fed increases interest rates by 25 bps after january 2026 meeting	No	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0x92d8c7…
01-13 11:10:49	fed decreases interest rates by 50 bps after january 2026 meeting	No	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0x79886a…
01-13 11:10:49	fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after january 2026 meeting	No	BUY	21	95¢	$20	0x29fc57…
01-13 11:10:43	fed decreases interest rates by 50 bps after january 2026 meeting	No	BUY	31	100¢	$31	0xa9357b…
01-13 11:10:43	fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after january 2026 meeting	No	BUY	31	95¢	$29	0x7b3fe9…
01-13 11:10:43	fed increases interest rates by 25 bps after january 2026 meeting	No	BUY	31	100¢	$31	0x64ea80…