Lost-Fire — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$9

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

85.7%

Resolved

Trades

3,546

lifetime

Volume

$11.1K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-05

last 05-16 17:29

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 8 days

Categories

Crypto

99% 33% $-9

Politics

0% — —

Other

0% — —

Sports

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

34 active days in 12wk • peak 67 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
bitcoin up or down on april 17 2026	54	$753	763	739	+24	open	—	04-17 03:33
Bitcoin Up or Down on May 7?	52	$384	450	442	+8	Down	+$6	05-07 07:22
bitcoin up or down on april 15 2026	20	$367	1,167	463	+704	open	—	04-15 15:08
bitcoin up or down on april 14 2026	11	$151	1,441	1,343	+99	open	—	04-14 01:02
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 5PM ET	14	$134	491	153	+338	open	—	05-03 21:43
will bitcoin dip to 74k on april 14	2	$134	75	75	+0	open	—	04-14 18:47
will bitcoin reach 73k on april 13	6	$130	4,090	0	+4,090	open	—	04-13 20:04
bitcoin up or down on april 18 2026	18	$110	120	116	+5	open	—	04-18 04:25
will bitcoin reach 75k on april 15	4	$110	100	100	+0	open	—	04-15 13:23
bitcoin up or down on april 19 2026	21	$98	97	94	+3	open	—	04-18 22:38
bitcoin up or down on april 16 2026	2	$84	100	96	+4	open	—	04-16 13:52
bitcoin up or down on february 28	11	$65	39	33	+6	open	—	02-28 14:52
bitcoin up or down on april 12 2026	28	$63	70	68	+2	open	—	04-12 01:27
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 7PM ET	3	$61	47	30	+17	open	—	05-02 23:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 2PM ET	10	$60	70	60	+10	open	—	05-03 18:59
bitcoin up or down march 6 5pm et	17	$55	50	50	+0	open	—	03-06 22:57
bitcoin up or down march 1 1am et	10	$54	40	40	+0	open	—	03-01 06:47
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 3PM ET	11	$51	57	47	+10	open	—	05-03 19:36
bitcoin up or down february 28 8pm et	10	$46	50	40	+10	open	—	03-01 01:51
bitcoin up or down march 15 2026 3pm et	9	$45	40	40	+0	open	—	03-15 19:55
bitcoin up or down march 1 8am et	11	$44	40	40	+0	open	—	03-01 13:51
bitcoin up or down april 23 2026 9pm et	5	$43	53	49	+4	open	—	04-24 02:10
bitcoin up or down on april 10 2026	13	$41	33	32	+1	open	—	04-10 14:44
bitcoin up or down march 1 12am et	7	$41	40	30	+10	open	—	03-01 05:31
bitcoin up or down march 15 2026 4pm et	9	$38	60	30	+30	open	—	03-15 20:41
bitcoin up or down on march 8	38	$37	41	40	+1	open	—	03-08 03:04
btc updown 15m 1770409800	7	$37	32	32	+0	open	—	02-06 20:42
bitcoin up or down february 28 10pm et	8	$35	48	30	+18	open	—	03-01 03:56
bitcoin up or down april 23 2026 2pm et	15	$33	31	31	+1	open	—	04-23 20:45
bitcoin up or down march 6 4pm et	8	$32	31	31	+0	open	—	03-06 21:57

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-16 17:29:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Up	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0x7d2cac…
05-16 17:16:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Down	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x374416…
05-16 16:59:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Down	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0xced748…
05-16 16:45:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Down	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0xb0a6f2…
05-11 03:27:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 11PM ET	Down	SELL	2	97¢	$2	0x0a50ac…
05-11 03:01:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 11PM ET	Down	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x853496…
05-11 02:29:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 10PM ET	Up	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0xd00c17…
05-11 01:32:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9PM ET	Down	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x1ced33…
05-11 00:32:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8PM ET	Up	BUY	19	5¢	$1	0x67e4a8…
05-10 23:33:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7PM ET	Down	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0xb8a5ea…
05-10 21:36:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5PM ET	Up	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0xb390f0…
05-10 20:22:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4PM ET	Up	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0xf10b26…
05-10 19:14:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3PM ET	Down	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x992567…
05-10 18:19:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2PM ET	Up	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0xddd0ec…
05-10 18:06:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1PM ET	Up	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xf19eb8…
05-10 17:41:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1PM ET	Up	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0xbd15c5…
05-10 04:02:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 11PM ET	Down	SELL	4	99¢	$4	0x412f2d…
05-10 03:49:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 11PM ET	Down	SELL	0	29¢	$0	0x238cf2…
05-10 03:49:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 11PM ET	Down	SELL	0	29¢	$0	0xa3f426…
05-10 03:48:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 11PM ET	Down	SELL	3	27¢	$1	0x64ab82…
05-10 03:44:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 11PM ET	Down	SELL	1	30¢	$0	0x4ba278…
05-10 03:41:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 11PM ET	Down	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0x15c39f…
05-10 03:09:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 11PM ET	Down	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0x6a721e…
05-10 02:26:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10PM ET	Down	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0xfcf418…
05-10 02:07:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10PM ET	Down	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x91d58f…
05-10 02:06:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9PM ET	Up	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0x5eb080…
05-10 01:12:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9PM ET	Up	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0x0745bd…
05-10 00:40:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4PM ET	Down	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x486784…
05-10 00:40:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5PM ET	Down	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x658ed7…
05-09 22:52:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6PM ET	Down	SELL	2	51¢	$1	0x855df1…
05-09 22:42:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6PM ET	Down	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x57c7ee…
05-09 22:08:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6PM ET	Down	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0x1783a8…
05-09 21:29:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5PM ET	Down	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x6818b9…
05-09 20:26:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4PM ET	Down	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0xd40f23…
05-09 19:13:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3PM ET	Down	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0xf06ef7…
05-09 18:31:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2PM ET	Down	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0x68b35f…
05-09 18:08:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2PM ET	Down	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0x9e169e…
05-09 17:27:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1PM ET	Down	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0x94ff09…
05-09 17:07:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1PM ET	Down	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0x147c16…
05-09 06:05:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2AM ET	Down	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0xa4093e…
05-09 04:48:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12AM ET	Up	SELL	1	91¢	$1	0xb64000…
05-09 04:42:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12AM ET	Up	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0x231a52…
05-09 04:30:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12AM ET	Up	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0xcb0059…
05-09 04:26:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	Up	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x64e2d6…
05-09 04:07:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12AM ET	Up	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0x4c2388…
05-09 03:46:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 11PM ET	Up	SELL	6	17¢	$1	0xce4959…
05-09 03:46:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 11PM ET	Up	SELL	14	17¢	$2	0xf6b74b…
05-09 03:43:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 11PM ET	Up	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0x246463…
05-09 03:39:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 11PM ET	Up	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0xfc731c…
05-09 03:35:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 11PM ET	Up	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0x943612…
05-09 03:28:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 11PM ET	Up	SELL	3	52¢	$2	0x1f48f0…
05-09 03:26:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 11PM ET	Up	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x366c5b…
05-09 03:25:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 11PM ET	Up	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0xa9ec9f…
05-09 03:13:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 11PM ET	Up	SELL	1	68¢	$0	0x7ad2dd…
05-09 03:03:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 11PM ET	Up	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0xb1f6fc…
05-09 02:45:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 10PM ET	Up	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0x858d79…
05-08 19:35:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3PM ET	Up	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x4a3459…
05-08 19:35:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3PM ET	Up	SELL	2	41¢	$1	0xdb438c…
05-08 19:35:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3PM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xded4ee…
05-07 07:38:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET	Down	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0xd19c4d…
05-07 07:22:24	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 7?	Up	SELL	15	47¢	$7	0xff26f1…
05-07 07:13:29	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 7?	Up	BUY	15	46¢	$7	0x34fa67…
05-07 07:13:15	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 7?	Down	SELL	15	54¢	$8	0xe21f15…
05-07 07:10:13	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 7?	Down	BUY	15	59¢	$9	0x2d2477…
05-07 06:48:48	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 7?	Up	SELL	15	35¢	$5	0x8a5793…
05-07 06:23:08	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 7?	Up	BUY	15	24¢	$4	0xfdd4a9…
05-07 06:22:52	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 7?	Down	SELL	15	76¢	$11	0x7b8dfc…
05-07 05:35:15	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 7?	Down	BUY	15	76¢	$11	0xf75e59…
05-07 05:35:01	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 7?	Up	SELL	15	24¢	$4	0x5deb60…
05-07 05:30:52	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 7?	Up	BUY	15	28¢	$4	0xd25140…
05-07 05:30:36	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 7?	Down	SELL	15	71¢	$11	0xbdf110…
05-07 05:27:34	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 7?	Up	SELL	15	25¢	$4	0x6c7f38…
05-07 05:27:34	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 7?	Down	BUY	15	75¢	$11	0x1300a4…
05-07 04:57:34	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 7?	Up	BUY	15	23¢	$3	0x24c30b…
05-07 04:57:23	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 7?	Down	SELL	15	77¢	$12	0xd02fae…
05-07 04:29:53	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 7?	Down	BUY	15	78¢	$12	0xcaccd4…
05-07 04:15:14	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 7?	Up	SELL	51	20¢	$10	0xc92f1c…
05-07 04:10:45	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 7?	Up	BUY	51	20¢	$10	0xa82d36…
05-07 03:56:13	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 7?	Up	SELL	43	22¢	$9	0x0289d8…
05-07 03:26:44	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 7?	Up	BUY	43	23¢	$10	0x2913cb…
05-07 03:26:28	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 7?	Down	SELL	14	77¢	$11	0xd0f351…
05-07 03:09:40	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 7?	Down	BUY	14	72¢	$10	0x0aa5d2…
05-07 03:05:02	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 7?	Up	SELL	38	29¢	$11	0x4073bc…
05-07 02:33:50	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 7?	Up	BUY	38	26¢	$10	0xeada0a…
05-07 02:33:37	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 7?	Down	SELL	14	73¢	$11	0xd7626d…
05-07 01:53:36	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 7?	Down	BUY	14	69¢	$10	0x4aee95…
05-07 01:53:19	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 7?	Up	SELL	29	32¢	$9	0x7a798e…
05-07 01:40:01	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 7?	Up	BUY	29	34¢	$10	0x305c85…
05-07 01:39:49	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 7?	Down	SELL	14	66¢	$9	0x6b372e…
05-07 01:17:54	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 7?	Down	BUY	14	70¢	$10	0xecaeb9…
05-07 01:17:49	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 7?	Up	SELL	32	30¢	$10	0x2daf80…
05-07 01:16:11	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 7?	Up	BUY	22	33¢	$7	0xb59938…
05-07 01:15:47	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 7?	Up	BUY	10	32¢	$3	0xd0ebbe…
05-07 01:15:47	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 7?	Down	SELL	10	68¢	$7	0x3dbdd5…
05-07 00:54:22	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 7?	Down	BUY	10	73¢	$7	0x011335…
05-07 00:54:10	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 7?	Up	SELL	10	27¢	$3	0x04adaa…
05-07 00:48:20	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 7?	Up	BUY	10	29¢	$3	0x734889…
05-07 00:48:08	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 7?	Down	SELL	18	71¢	$13	0x3308e1…
05-07 00:39:16	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 7?	Down	SELL	6	69¢	$4	0x6b869d…
05-07 00:08:38	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 7?	Down	BUY	16	64¢	$10	0xe4b245…