This-Declination — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$78

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

68.5%

Resolved

Trades

185

lifetime

Volume

$19.8K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$107

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-28

last 05-17 20:53

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 13 days

Categories

Other

54% 53% +$548

Crypto

45% 45% -$768

Sports

1% 100% +$142

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-05-17).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	2	$1.2K	687	687	+0	Up	+$113	05-09 16:24
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?	6	$1.1K	1,168	1,168	+0	No	+$19	05-14 20:22
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?	4	$861	982	982	+0	Yes	-$57	05-15 06:43
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - DreamLeague Group B	2	$788	475	475	+0	PARIVISION	+$48	05-14 12:41
LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs EDward Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Nirvana	8	$758	659	659	+0	ThunderTalk Gaming	-$76	05-16 11:59
Will Deportivo Alavés win on 2026-05-13?	2	$690	397	397	+0	Yes	+$56	05-13 21:19
Will Çaykur Rizespor vs. Beşiktaş JK end in a draw?	5	$596	538	538	+0	Yes	+$55	05-15 19:00
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?	3	$566	638	638	+0	No	-$173	05-14 17:50
AS Saint-Étienne vs. Rodez Aveyron Football: O/U 2.5	2	$545	350	350	+0	Under	+$154	05-15 20:23
Lille OSC vs. AJ Auxerre: O/U 3.5	2	$519	282	282	+0	Under	+$45	05-17 20:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	2	$503	255	255	+0	Up	+$3	05-09 13:10
Will Chengdu Rongcheng FC win on 2026-05-15?	2	$486	434	434	+0	Yes	-$9	05-15 08:13
Real Madrid CF vs. Real Oviedo: Both Teams to Score	2	$482	298	298	+0	No	+$113	05-14 21:31
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 11 to May 13, 2026?	2	$462	455	455	+0	No	+$68	05-12 21:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	2	$429	959	959	+0	Down	-$371	05-13 07:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	2	$400	202	202	+0	Down	+$0	05-15 08:25
Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	2	$393	215	215	+0	Up	-$7	05-15 08:14
Levante UD vs. RCD Mallorca: O/U 2.5	2	$383	241	241	+0	Under	+$94	05-17 18:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	4	$333	234	234	+0	Up	+$131	05-09 13:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	2	$331	267	233	+35	Up	+$93	05-10 03:37
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-13?	2	$319	235	235	+0	Yes	+$98	05-13 20:52
Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	2	$314	206	206	+0	Up	+$94	05-10 17:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	2	$299	160	160	+0	Up	+$19	05-09 14:00
FK Rostov vs. FK Zenit: O/U 2.5	2	$257	148	148	+0	Under	+$35	05-17 16:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	2	$257	174	174	+0	Down	+$27	05-10 03:28
Will FC Anyang win on 2026-05-17?	2	$249	196	196	+0	Yes	+$29	05-17 09:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	2	$246	128	128	+0	Down	+$8	05-09 12:40
Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	2	$241	122	122	+0	Up	+$1	05-09 12:45
Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	2	$222	113	113	+0	Down	+$2	05-09 12:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	3	$222	220	129	+91	Down	-$20	05-17 10:38

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-17 20:53:30	Lille OSC vs. AJ Auxerre: O/U 3.5	Under	SELL	282	100¢	$282	0x859b7e…
05-17 20:14:41	Lille OSC vs. AJ Auxerre: O/U 3.5	Under	BUY	282	84¢	$237	0xf7e93a…
05-17 18:59:58	Levante UD vs. RCD Mallorca: O/U 2.5	Under	SELL	241	99¢	$238	0x7b50fb…
05-17 17:14:16	Levante UD vs. RCD Mallorca: O/U 2.5	Under	BUY	241	60¢	$144	0xced64b…
05-17 16:53:12	FK Rostov vs. FK Zenit: O/U 2.5	Under	SELL	148	99¢	$146	0xc183be…
05-17 16:10:02	FK Rostov vs. FK Zenit: O/U 2.5	Under	BUY	148	75¢	$111	0x8e9514…
05-17 11:27:11	Genoa CFC vs. AC Milan: O/U 2.5	Under	BUY	22	79¢	$17	0x5bb2bb…
05-17 11:15:08	Dota 2: Aurora vs Virtus.pro (BO3) - DreamLeague Group A	Virtus.pro	SELL	166	10¢	$17	0x001d50…
05-17 10:45:11	Dota 2: Aurora vs Virtus.pro (BO3) - DreamLeague Group A	Virtus.pro	BUY	166	12¢	$20	0x8eaebd…
05-17 10:42:33	Ethereum Up or Down - May 17, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Down	SELL	23	92¢	$21	0xc658aa…
05-17 10:42:07	Ethereum Up or Down - May 17, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Down	BUY	23	92¢	$21	0xc41596…
05-17 10:38:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Up	BUY	91	85¢	$77	0x9bd78c…
05-17 10:37:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Up	SELL	129	78¢	$101	0xeac34d…
05-17 10:32:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Up	BUY	129	34¢	$44	0x624902…
05-17 10:29:12	Ethereum Up or Down - May 17, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	Up	SELL	95	50¢	$48	0xc6891a…
05-17 10:25:31	Ethereum Up or Down - May 17, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	Up	BUY	95	50¢	$48	0x4115bd…
05-17 10:20:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Down	SELL	11	99¢	$11	0x25f52f…
05-17 10:19:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Down	BUY	11	92¢	$10	0xf940eb…
05-17 10:15:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Up	BUY	192	40¢	$77	0x5a63dc…
05-17 09:58:38	LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs KT Rolster (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2	Hanwha Life Esports	SELL	71	29¢	$21	0x0d2d6d…
05-17 09:40:22	LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs KT Rolster (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2	Hanwha Life Esports	BUY	71	70¢	$50	0xac870a…
05-17 09:32:05	Will Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors FC vs. Gimcheon Sangmu FC end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	91	79¢	$72	0x24be54…
05-17 09:08:49	Will Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors FC vs. Gimcheon Sangmu FC end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	91	55¢	$50	0xf90e6a…
05-17 09:00:53	Will FC Anyang win on 2026-05-17?	Yes	SELL	196	71¢	$139	0x49054b…
05-17 08:31:01	Will FC Anyang win on 2026-05-17?	Yes	BUY	196	56¢	$110	0x124f75…
05-16 12:05:40	Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Up	BUY	142	52¢	$74	0x1afdaf…
05-16 12:05:10	Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Up	SELL	78	99¢	$77	0xd9b35a…
05-16 12:03:02	Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Up	BUY	78	61¢	$48	0x2d3b0c…
05-16 11:59:50	LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs EDward Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Nirvana	ThunderTalk Gaming	SELL	77	64¢	$49	0x5c8fd7…
05-16 11:27:20	LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs EDward Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Nirvana	ThunderTalk Gaming	BUY	77	74¢	$57	0x3410c6…
05-16 11:27:01	LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs EDward Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Nirvana	EDward Gaming	SELL	205	28¢	$57	0xb4a2a7…
05-16 11:22:40	LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs EDward Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Nirvana	EDward Gaming	BUY	205	49¢	$100	0xb389b5…
05-16 11:10:44	LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs EDward Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Nirvana	EDward Gaming	SELL	183	57¢	$104	0xb6f547…
05-16 11:07:55	LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs EDward Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Nirvana	EDward Gaming	BUY	183	70¢	$128	0x577077…
05-16 11:01:44	LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs EDward Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Nirvana	EDward Gaming	SELL	194	67¢	$130	0xa8154c…
05-16 10:48:24	LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs EDward Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Nirvana	EDward Gaming	BUY	194	68¢	$132	0x90fea7…
05-16 08:56:01	Will Urawa Red Diamonds vs. FC Tōkyō end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	135	99¢	$134	0xeeefff…
05-16 08:12:14	Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Up	BUY	65	61¢	$40	0xfe1127…
05-16 08:09:14	Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Down	SELL	101	40¢	$40	0xf73b9c…
05-16 08:08:09	Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Down	BUY	101	70¢	$70	0xa82914…
05-16 08:03:45	Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Up	SELL	80	92¢	$74	0x682f25…
05-16 08:02:11	Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Up	BUY	80	74¢	$59	0xeb26be…
05-16 07:46:31	Will Urawa Red Diamonds vs. FC Tōkyō end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	135	37¢	$50	0xc87386…
05-15 20:23:05	AS Saint-Étienne vs. Rodez Aveyron Football: O/U 2.5	Under	SELL	350	100¢	$349	0x540532…
05-15 19:20:21	Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Up	SELL	113	99¢	$112	0x98f113…
05-15 19:18:58	Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Up	BUY	113	62¢	$70	0x1d65e6…
05-15 19:00:20	Will Çaykur Rizespor vs. Beşiktaş JK end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x2b4844…
05-15 18:56:47	Will Çaykur Rizespor vs. Beşiktaş JK end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	85	83¢	$71	0x36925d…
05-15 18:46:52	AS Saint-Étienne vs. Rodez Aveyron Football: O/U 2.5	Under	BUY	350	56¢	$196	0x3ba430…
05-15 18:43:11	Will Çaykur Rizespor vs. Beşiktaş JK end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	88	57¢	$50	0x5c523c…
05-15 18:42:59	Will Çaykur Rizespor vs. Beşiktaş JK end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	450	56¢	$252	0xdd801a…
05-15 18:36:46	Will Çaykur Rizespor vs. Beşiktaş JK end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	450	49¢	$221	0xfbaefb…
05-15 18:22:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Down	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0x69f83f…
05-15 18:22:02	Counter-Strike: Endless Journey vs Misa Esports (BO3) - CCT Europe Contenders #5 Playoffs	Misa Esports	SELL	47	2¢	$1	0xcfa5cf…
05-15 17:34:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xfdf861…
05-15 17:10:30	Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Up	BUY	218	51¢	$110	0x07c6c9…
05-15 17:07:59	Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Down	BUY	109	9¢	$10	0x7ef6ce…
05-15 16:58:44	Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Down	BUY	306	3¢	$10	0xe05901…
05-15 16:53:19	Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Up	BUY	210	7¢	$15	0xa4f981…
05-15 16:48:42	Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Up	BUY	96	31¢	$30	0x97d132…
05-15 16:47:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Down	SELL	1	76¢	$1	0x92b78b…
05-15 16:47:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Down	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0x354ae3…
05-15 16:27:46	Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Up	BUY	506	6¢	$30	0x0ff5a0…
05-15 16:19:52	Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Up	SELL	60	85¢	$51	0x4acb1e…
05-15 16:19:38	Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Up	BUY	60	25¢	$15	0xfdf43b…
05-15 16:15:10	Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Up	SELL	82	99¢	$82	0x739f41…
05-15 16:14:52	Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Up	BUY	82	18¢	$15	0xb7e61b…
05-15 16:13:04	Counter-Strike: Infinite vs Eternal Fire Academy (BO3) - Exort Series Playoffs	Eternal Fire Academy	BUY	32	31¢	$10	0x4680c6…
05-15 16:12:48	Counter-Strike: Endless Journey vs Misa Esports (BO3) - CCT Europe Contenders #5 Playoffs	Misa Esports	BUY	47	43¢	$20	0x8d0492…
05-15 16:11:54	Counter-Strike: ALGO Esports vs Prestige (BO3) - United21 Group B	Prestige	BUY	51	58¢	$30	0x476ee2…
05-15 16:10:25	Counter-Strike: R2 Esports Club vs Procyon Gaming (BO3) - CCT South America Series 2 Group Stage	R2 Esports Club	BUY	120	25¢	$30	0x0d498e…
05-15 15:52:32	LoL: Ozarox Esports vs Team Phoenix (BO3) - TCL Regular Season	Ozarox Esports	BUY	273	33¢	$90	0x617664…
05-15 15:52:13	LoL: Ozarox Esports vs Team Phoenix (BO3) - TCL Regular Season	Team Phoenix	SELL	125	65¢	$82	0xa44332…
05-15 15:35:18	Valorant: T1 vs Paper Rex (BO3) - VCT Pacific Playoffs	Paper Rex	SELL	88	100¢	$88	0x16d6ed…
05-15 14:42:53	Valorant: T1 vs Paper Rex (BO3) - VCT Pacific Playoffs	Paper Rex	BUY	88	57¢	$50	0x624fe5…
05-15 14:41:08	LoL: Ozarox Esports vs Team Phoenix (BO3) - TCL Regular Season	Team Phoenix	BUY	125	8¢	$10	0x24f329…
05-15 14:37:19	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 15?	Yes	BUY	250	8¢	$20	0x903729…
05-15 14:31:27	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	424	2¢	$10	0x7302a0…
05-15 08:30:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Up	BUY	413	43¢	$176	0xf111fd…
05-15 08:29:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Up	BUY	582	2¢	$14	0x9b3f59…
05-15 08:29:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Up	BUY	24	3¢	$1	0x2d31c0…
05-15 08:25:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Down	SELL	202	99¢	$200	0x1d4978…
05-15 08:25:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Down	BUY	202	99¢	$200	0x423c28…
05-15 08:23:41	Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Down	SELL	51	10¢	$5	0x7bd9f0…
05-15 08:22:01	Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Down	BUY	51	30¢	$15	0x889502…
05-15 08:19:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Up	BUY	750	2¢	$15	0xc6082f…
05-15 08:14:53	Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Down	SELL	215	90¢	$193	0xe1cb74…
05-15 08:14:33	Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Down	BUY	215	93¢	$200	0x32299e…
05-15 08:13:16	Will Chengdu Rongcheng FC win on 2026-05-15?	Yes	SELL	434	55¢	$239	0xd3a88f…
05-15 07:07:56	Will Chengdu Rongcheng FC win on 2026-05-15?	Yes	BUY	434	57¢	$247	0xf09973…
05-15 06:43:58	Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	482	53¢	$256	0x58ee43…
05-15 06:21:25	Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	482	60¢	$291	0x998ac3…
05-14 21:31:28	Real Madrid CF vs. Real Oviedo: Both Teams to Score	No	SELL	298	100¢	$298	0xf68d30…
05-14 20:30:58	Real Madrid CF vs. Real Oviedo: Both Teams to Score	No	BUY	298	62¢	$184	0xa6801d…
05-14 20:22:13	Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?	No	SELL	364	52¢	$190	0x56679e…
05-14 20:03:17	Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	364	38¢	$137	0xa220f7…
05-14 19:58:13	Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	500	29¢	$146	0x47d013…
05-14 19:52:37	Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	500	33¢	$167	0x64d543…
05-14 19:51:43	Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	328	54¢	$177	0x285a41…
05-14 17:51:12	Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	328	56¢	$185	0xee05f9…