Realized P&L (24h)
Unrealized P&L
+$7
Hit rate
Resolved (24h)
0
Trades (24h)
4
5 lifetime
Volume (24h)
$5
$17 lifetime
Avg / trade
$3
Open exposure
$26
4 positions
First seen
2026-05-04
last 05-06 06:49
Equity curve
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Other
100%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
3 active days in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026? Yes +52 $12 38¢ $20 +$8 05-04 20:14
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026? Yes -23 $-5 24¢ $-5 $-1 05-05 11:20
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30? Yes -8 $-0 $-0 +$0 05-06 06:49
Will 100-124 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 27-May 3? Yes -11 $-0 $-0 $-0 05-06 06:49