Realized P&L
+$5.69K
Unrealized P&L
+$214
Hit rate
65.2%
Resolved
313
Trades
1,277
lifetime
Volume
$60.3K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$47
Open exposure
$11.4K
11 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 10-27 21:38
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 84 days
Categories
Other
93% 51% +$5,591
Tech
6% 60% -$36
Politics
1% 56% +$114
Sports
0% 67% +$21
Crypto
0% 0% -$1
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
55 active days in 12wk • peak 43 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 4.0% and 5.0%? Yes +4,380 $3,977 96¢ $4.2K +$234 09-20 13:28
Xi Jinping out before 2027? No +3,464 $3,295 96¢ $3.3K +$26 10-19 20:27
Will China blockade Taiwan in 2026? No +3,015 $2,796 97¢ $2.9K +$142 08-29 00:05
Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026? Yes +500 $410 94¢ $468 +$58 10-15 21:02
Will Anthropic IPO by November 30, 2026? Yes +450 $279 88¢ $398 +$119 09-19 14:14
Will Oura's market cap be at least $20B at market close on IPO day? Yes +514 $77 3¢ $15 -$62 08-25 00:52
Will PayPal be acquired before 2027? Yes +110 $58 14¢ $15 -$44 08-19 22:42
OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027? Yes +100 $23 12¢ $12 -$10 09-07 14:31
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? Yes +100 $33 4¢ $4 -$29 10-14 17:40
Will Oura's market cap be between $15B and $17.5B at market close on IPO day? Yes +1,080 $162 0¢ $4 -$158 08-26 22:22
Will Oura's market cap be between $12.5B and $15B at market close on IPO day? Yes +600 $66 1¢ $4 -$62 08-25 00:57