Absolute-Hug — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$29

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

89.5%

Resolved

Trades

1,170

lifetime

Volume

$113.8K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$97

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 08-11 12:28

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

83% — —

Politics

10% 0% $-42

Crypto

8% 100% +$72

Tech

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

28 active days in 12wk • peak 14 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
elon musk of tweets january 9 january 16 520 539	13	$4.3K	3,743	3,729	+14	open	—	01-16 15:26
elon musk 48h tweets january 3 january 5 140plus	24	$4.1K	2,123	2,118	+5	open	—	01-05 14:54
elon musk of tweets february 3 february 10 340 359	3	$3.4K	1,717	1,717	+0	open	—	02-10 14:49
elon musk of tweets january 6 january 13 540 559	14	$3.2K	2,883	2,883	+0	open	—	01-13 15:36
elon musk of tweets january 12 january 14 40 64	4	$3.1K	1,569	1,569	+0	open	—	01-14 05:34
elon musk of tweets january 24 january 26 90 114	6	$2.7K	3,284	314	+2,970	open	—	01-26 16:05
elon musk of tweets february 23 february 25 65 89	9	$2.6K	1,418	1,418	+0	open	—	02-25 15:55
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	5	$2.5K	1,382	1,382	+0	open	—	03-01 10:15
will logan pauls psa 10 pokmon illustrator sale price be over 4 million	1	$2.1K	0	2,200	-2,200	open	—	02-03 19:45
elon musk of tweets january 19 january 21 0 39	2	$2.0K	1,000	1,000	+0	open	—	01-20 09:26
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	2	$2.0K	1,078	1,078	+0	open	—	02-28 21:22
will russia capture all of myrnohrad by january 15	7	$1.9K	1,220	1,035	+185	open	—	01-16 05:24
elon musk of tweets february 26 february 28 40 64	3	$1.9K	1,090	1,090	+0	open	—	02-28 14:41
elon musk of tweets february 3 february 10 300 319	9	$1.9K	1,162	1,162	+0	open	—	02-10 12:57
elon musk of tweets february 3 february 10 260 279	1	$1.7K	1,674	0	+1,674	open	—	02-10 02:32
elon musk of tweets january 13 january 20 540 559	16	$1.6K	1,527	1,527	+0	open	—	01-20 15:00
elon musk of tweets february 21 february 23 65 89	9	$1.6K	3,405	0	+3,405	open	—	02-23 15:58
elon musk of tweets april 20 april 22 40 64	4	$1.5K	1,470	926	+544	open	—	04-22 13:00
elon musk of tweets january 19 january 21 115 139	5	$1.4K	1,509	0	+1,509	open	—	01-21 15:42
elon musk of tweets january 24 january 26 65 89	7	$1.4K	1,548	0	+1,548	open	—	01-24 17:03
elon musk of tweets january 19 january 21 65 89	21	$1.4K	2,241	638	+1,603	open	—	01-21 11:50
elon musk of tweets february 9 february 11 140 164	15	$1.4K	874	874	+0	open	—	02-11 15:34
elon musk of tweets january 10 january 12 65 89	13	$1.3K	1,306	0	+1,306	open	—	01-10 22:37
elon musk of tweets december 26 january 2 440 459	4	$1.3K	243,384	1,279	+242,105	open	—	01-02 08:16
elon musk of tweets january 13 january 20 520 539	7	$1.3K	1,327	1,327	+0	open	—	01-20 14:34
Iran leadership change by April 30?	2	$1.2K	690	690	+0	open	—	04-08 15:12
Over $3M committed to the Hurupay public sale?	1	$1000	1,855	0	+1,855	open	—	02-03 19:46
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	4	$998	808	808	+0	open	—	07-29 12:13
elon musk of tweets february 3 february 10 320 339	7	$994	918	618	+300	open	—	02-10 13:28
elon musk tweets january 8 january 10 140 164	9	$992	1,165	0	+1,165	open	—	01-10 11:52

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-11 12:28:04	will bitcoin dip to 57pt5k in august 2026	No	BUY	300	84¢	$252	0x86cd70…
08-11 12:25:30	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 22 2026	No	BUY	500	75¢	$374	0x0a154e…
08-05 11:23:18	us x iran diplomatic meeting by august 15 2026	No	BUY	50	71¢	$36	0x515c8e…
08-05 11:19:23	us x iran diplomatic meeting by august 15 2026	No	BUY	50	71¢	$36	0x458539…
08-05 11:07:47	will bitcoin dip to 55k in august 2026	No	BUY	100	88¢	$88	0xa2fb4d…
08-05 11:06:50	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347	No	BUY	100	33¢	$33	0x54a426…
08-05 11:05:57	us x iran diplomatic meeting by august 15 2026	No	BUY	100	72¢	$72	0x8ec527…
08-05 11:01:03	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 7 2026 20260727171523690	No	BUY	100	54¢	$54	0x0d4239…
07-30 22:41:32	will russia capture rai oleksandrivka by september 30	No	BUY	37	63¢	$24	0x6fa7f8…
07-29 16:13:27	will russia capture all of kostyantynivka by september 30 2026	No	BUY	200	89¢	$178	0x562dae…
07-29 12:42:26	will russia capture bilytske by august 31 2026	No	BUY	50	80¢	$40	0x1650c9…
07-29 12:41:54	will russia capture lyman by september 30 2026	No	BUY	197	87¢	$171	0xde8d45…
07-29 12:27:11	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	Yes	BUY	1,000	10¢	$100	0x401334…
07-29 12:13:00	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	400	100¢	$398	0x53da96…
07-28 22:51:19	will solana dip to 70 in july 2026	No	BUY	7	71¢	$5	0xbf6388…
07-28 22:29:53	will solana dip to 70 in july 2026	No	BUY	22	71¢	$15	0x9839a6…
07-28 21:06:19	will solana dip to 70 in july 2026	No	BUY	4	71¢	$3	0x2b6fe6…
07-28 20:52:28	will solana dip to 70 in july 2026	No	BUY	34	71¢	$24	0x7ca46a…
07-28 20:37:16	will solana dip to 70 in july 2026	No	BUY	133	71¢	$95	0x179528…
07-22 11:25:19	will russia capture kostyantynivka by august 31 1	No	BUY	279	49¢	$137	0x8b046a…
07-21 18:55:16	will russia capture all of rodynske again by july 31	No	BUY	81	82¢	$66	0xf49022…
07-21 18:38:31	will russia capture all of rodynske again by july 31	No	BUY	190	82¢	$156	0xa025a1…
07-21 07:58:46	will russia capture all of rodynske again by july 31	No	BUY	28	82¢	$23	0xe536db…
07-21 03:05:15	will russia capture all of rodynske again by july 31	No	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0xf02c80…
07-20 14:45:57	will xagusd dip to 52 in july 2026	No	BUY	171	80¢	$136	0xbf800c…
07-10 12:26:47	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846 586 829 787	No	BUY	59	85¢	$50	0xc0c361…
07-10 12:25:53	iran full airspace closure by july 31 20260625195254150	No	BUY	59	85¢	$50	0x9477c7…
07-10 12:25:44	iran full airspace closure by july 15 20260625195254149	No	BUY	55	90¢	$50	0x9fece7…
07-10 12:25:22	us bank failure by july 31 20260630183502534	No	BUY	114	88¢	$100	0xa6ace5…
06-27 11:03:11	over 15m committed to the laso finance public sale	No	BUY	300	76¢	$228	0x555275…
06-27 10:48:31	over 10m committed to the laso finance public sale	No	BUY	154	66¢	$102	0xb77996…
06-27 10:09:14	over 10m committed to the laso finance public sale	No	BUY	146	66¢	$96	0x496c17…
06-27 10:08:08	over 5m committed to the laso finance public sale	No	BUY	237	38¢	$91	0xc7755a…
06-22 06:16:31	will russia capture stavky by july 31	No	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0x1aa0a3…
06-21 01:53:19	starmer out by june 22 2026	Yes	BUY	514	65¢	$334	0xc9633d…
06-21 01:52:55	Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	261	12¢	$31	0x83373c…
06-21 01:52:44	starmer out by july 31 2026	No	SELL	140	4¢	$6	0x26b9ec…
06-20 19:00:58	will russia capture kostyantynivka by july 31	No	BUY	233	45¢	$105	0x597036…
06-20 16:20:23	will russia capture kostyantynivka by july 31	No	BUY	55	45¢	$25	0x80e727…
06-20 16:16:38	will russia capture kostyantynivka by july 31	No	BUY	7	45¢	$3	0xb84e5e…
06-20 16:04:20	will russia capture kostyantynivka by july 31	No	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0x961567…
06-19 13:27:17	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	BUY	130	77¢	$100	0x6aae28…
06-19 13:26:17	Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	143	70¢	$100	0x984702…
06-19 12:48:50	Will Russia enter Orikhiv by July 31?	No	BUY	70	88¢	$62	0x6e9827…
06-18 11:38:43	Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30?	No	BUY	80	72¢	$57	0x6cef4d…
06-17 19:53:25	will russia capture dorozhnie by july 31 2026	No	BUY	0	82¢	$0	0xc724f9…
06-17 19:52:31	will russia capture dorozhnie by july 31 2026	No	BUY	10	82¢	$8	0x016e61…
06-17 19:52:08	will russia capture dorozhnie by july 31 2026	No	BUY	10	82¢	$8	0xfb7bf9…
06-17 19:51:58	will russia capture dorozhnie by july 31 2026	No	BUY	10	82¢	$8	0x8c85a8…
06-17 19:51:38	will russia capture dorozhnie by july 31 2026	No	BUY	10	82¢	$8	0x414ac1…
06-17 19:51:37	will russia capture dorozhnie by july 31 2026	No	BUY	10	82¢	$8	0xc20bfd…
06-17 19:51:20	will russia capture dorozhnie by july 31 2026	No	BUY	10	82¢	$8	0xecfd34…
06-17 19:50:17	will russia capture dorozhnie by july 31 2026	No	BUY	10	82¢	$8	0xc22fe3…
06-17 19:49:49	will russia capture dorozhnie by july 31 2026	No	BUY	10	82¢	$8	0xc8f23d…
06-17 19:47:56	Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30?	No	BUY	10	68¢	$7	0xb0ab74…
06-17 06:51:14	will russia capture dorozhnie by june 30 2026	No	BUY	49	90¢	$44	0x5d7013…
06-16 14:52:59	Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30?	No	BUY	100	68¢	$68	0xf39f1a…
06-16 13:08:42	will russia capture stavky by july 31	No	BUY	48	88¢	$43	0xd23c06…
06-16 13:08:31	will russia enter havrylivka by july 31 2026	No	BUY	100	92¢	$92	0x24c901…
06-16 13:07:49	Will Russia enter Orikhiv by July 31?	No	BUY	30	88¢	$26	0x196e81…
06-16 13:07:33	will russia capture dorozhnie by june 30 2026	No	BUY	51	90¢	$46	0xfcd333…
06-16 13:07:30	will russia capture dorozhnie by july 31 2026	No	BUY	20	80¢	$16	0x0326e5…
06-16 13:07:22	will russia capture dorozhnie by july 31 2026	No	BUY	0	80¢	$0	0xaef61c…
06-13 23:47:34	us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 14 2026 20260612000748609	Yes	BUY	971	1¢	$7	0x20075f…
06-13 11:21:12	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	400	51¢	$204	0xfadc72…
06-13 10:40:15	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	SELL	408	48¢	$196	0x180cde…
06-13 10:39:58	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	BUY	408	49¢	$200	0x639737…
06-13 10:39:42	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	200	84¢	$168	0xdbf7bb…
06-13 10:33:00	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	100	38¢	$38	0x435e7e…
06-13 10:32:43	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 31 2026 436	No	SELL	100	30¢	$30	0x1a7d54…
06-13 10:12:51	us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 13 2026 20260612000830408	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$5	0xd3de5a…
06-12 16:58:34	Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	118	84¢	$100	0xf2e09c…
06-11 11:36:06	Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30?	No	BUY	100	29¢	$29	0xb331d7…
06-09 15:48:15	Will Russia capture all of Huliaipole by June 30?	No	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0x081fc9…
06-09 15:28:57	Will Russia capture all of Huliaipole by June 30?	No	BUY	0	78¢	$0	0x9bad39…
06-09 15:11:04	Will Russia capture all of Huliaipole by June 30?	No	BUY	5	78¢	$4	0xa0cf74…
06-09 14:54:55	Will Russia capture all of Huliaipole by June 30?	No	BUY	13	78¢	$10	0x7fd012…
06-09 14:53:30	Will Russia capture all of Huliaipole by June 30?	No	BUY	2	78¢	$2	0xbf47f1…
06-09 14:46:31	Will Russia capture all of Huliaipole by June 30?	No	BUY	47	78¢	$37	0x412233…
06-09 14:44:13	Will Russia capture all of Huliaipole by June 30?	No	BUY	5	78¢	$4	0xd352fa…
06-09 14:41:43	Will Russia capture all of Huliaipole by June 30?	No	BUY	5	78¢	$4	0x2269c3…
06-09 14:29:49	Will Russia capture all of Huliaipole by June 30?	No	BUY	5	78¢	$4	0x9483bb…
06-09 14:29:12	Will Russia capture all of Huliaipole by June 30?	No	BUY	18	78¢	$14	0xcf1566…
06-09 14:26:24	Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30?	No	BUY	109	79¢	$87	0x358ba7…
06-09 14:25:39	Will Russia capture Lyman by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	100	90¢	$90	0xf463e6…
06-09 14:24:51	will russia capture huliaipilske by june 30	No	BUY	53	93¢	$49	0xbed23a…
06-09 14:11:43	starmer out by july 31 2026	No	BUY	70	62¢	$43	0xeb5a5f…
06-06 15:07:03	Will the Workers' Party nominate Lula for President of Brazil by August 15?	No	SELL	46	19¢	$9	0x27c2ae…
06-04 15:30:52	starmer out by july 31 2026	No	BUY	70	71¢	$50	0x4ce7a0…
06-01 21:46:13	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 3, 2026?	No	SELL	60	99¢	$60	0xee0594…
06-01 21:45:36	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	100	47¢	$47	0xdeb462…
06-01 21:45:01	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?	No	BUY	100	36¢	$36	0x34595d…
05-28 17:45:59	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 3, 2026?	No	BUY	28	74¢	$21	0xd4b98e…
05-28 17:34:47	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 3, 2026?	No	BUY	32	74¢	$24	0xc46f24…
05-28 00:01:17	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $115 by end of June?	No	BUY	29	79¢	$23	0x2baf35…
05-27 21:11:48	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June?	No	BUY	200	85¢	$170	0x7c77c6…
05-27 21:11:06	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $115 by end of June?	No	BUY	71	79¢	$56	0xf764e5…
05-27 21:10:50	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of June?	No	BUY	100	74¢	$74	0x3ada22…
05-27 14:54:19	Internet Access restored in Iran by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	300	39¢	$117	0xfac747…
05-26 16:09:22	Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	Yes	BUY	1,000	1¢	$8	0xfd8a78…