Dishonest-Example — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$309

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

92.6%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$5.91K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$82

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-20

last 10-25 19:38

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 32 days

Categories

Crypto

72% 87% -$115

Other

15% 35% -$202

Politics

7% 100% +$5

Tech

6% 100% +$2

Sports

0% 100% +$1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

9 active days in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?	2	$362	181	181	+0	No	+$0	06-14 13:33
bitcoin above 62k on february 20	1	$322	323	0	+323	Yes	+$0	02-20 15:42
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on October 7?	1	$307	307	0	+307	No	+$0	10-06 20:12
Will Ethereum dip to $2,100 October 19-25?	1	$307	307	0	+307	No	+$0	10-25 19:38
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 6?	1	$305	306	0	+306	Yes	+$1	10-06 10:37
Will Bitcoin dip to $74,000 September 28-October 4?	1	$305	306	0	+306	No	+$1	10-03 14:44
Will Bitcoin dip to $68,000 September 14-20?	1	$304	305	0	+305	No	+$0	09-19 01:14
will bitcoin dip to 72pt5k in september 2026	1	$304	304	0	+304	No	+$0	09-30 15:15
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on September 9?	1	$304	304	0	+304	Yes	+$0	09-09 15:46
Will Bitcoin dip to $72,000 September 21-27?	1	$304	304	0	+304	No	+$0	09-26 10:13
Will Ethereum dip to $1,900 August 31-September 6?	1	$303	304	0	+304	No	+$1	09-05 03:05
bitcoin above 72k on march 16	1	$204	207	0	+207	Yes	+$2	03-16 15:04
will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on february 28 846	1	$201	202	0	+202	Yes	+$1	02-25 14:09
Will Ethereum dip to $1,850 on May 23?	1	$185	185	0	+185	No	+$0	05-23 14:14
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 20?	1	$184	184	0	+184	Yes	+$0	05-21 08:36
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on May 20?	1	$184	184	0	+184	No	+$0	05-20 14:35
Iran closes its airspace by May 15?	1	$180	184	0	+184	No	+$4	05-14 19:35
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?	1	$180	181	0	+181	Yes	+$1	05-27 14:22
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on May 26?	1	$180	181	0	+181	Yes	+$1	05-26 12:17
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-21 04:35 UTC	1	$110	171	0	+171	Down	-$110	02-21 04:40
Will Ethereum reach $2,700 May 4-10?	1	$100	100	0	+100	No	+$0	05-09 16:56
will ethereum dip to 1300 june 15 21 2026	1	$84	84	0	+84	No	+$0	06-19 18:03
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 10?	1	$70	70	0	+70	Yes	+$0	05-09 17:12
Will Côte d'Ivoire vs. Ecuador end in a draw?	1	$69	103	0	+103	No	+$34	06-14 13:35
Côte d'Ivoire vs. Ecuador: O/U 1.5	1	$62	103	0	+103	Under	-$62	06-14 13:59
Côte d'Ivoire vs. Ecuador: Draw at halftime?	1	$49	102	0	+102	Yes	-$49	06-14 13:36
Exact Score: South Africa 0 - 1 Korea Republic?	1	$36	42	0	+42	No	+$6	06-24 17:01
Exact Score: Colombia 1 - 0 DR Congo?	1	$35	42	0	+42	Yes	-$35	06-23 16:19
will ethereum dip to 1200 june 15 21 2026	1	$33	33	0	+33	No	+$0	06-19 18:03
Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?	2	$24	12	12	+0	No	+$0	06-14 13:33

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-25 19:38:26	Will Ethereum dip to $2,100 October 19-25?	No	BUY	307	100¢	$307	0xd7e953…
10-06 20:12:39	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on October 7?	No	BUY	307	100¢	$307	0x293fb1…
10-06 10:37:16	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 6?	Yes	BUY	306	100¢	$305	0x3be75f…
10-03 14:44:50	Will Bitcoin dip to $74,000 September 28-October 4?	No	BUY	306	100¢	$305	0x74892c…
09-30 15:15:38	will bitcoin dip to 72pt5k in september 2026	No	BUY	304	100¢	$304	0x0a227b…
09-26 10:13:33	Will Bitcoin dip to $72,000 September 21-27?	No	BUY	304	100¢	$304	0xc0c53b…
09-19 01:14:48	Will Bitcoin dip to $68,000 September 14-20?	No	BUY	305	100¢	$304	0xb82206…
09-09 15:46:46	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on September 9?	Yes	BUY	304	100¢	$304	0x66561b…
09-05 03:05:22	Will Ethereum dip to $1,900 August 31-September 6?	No	BUY	304	100¢	$303	0xb962ef…
08-30 15:55:27	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-30 15:50 UTC	Down	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0xca1e6b…
08-30 15:51:45	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-30 15:50 UTC	Down	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0x4aede9…
06-26 16:30:59	fifwc sen irq 2026 06 26 total 2pt5	Under	BUY	21	36¢	$8	0x66776e…
06-26 16:30:44	fifwc sen irq 2026 06 26 spread home 1pt5	Iraq	BUY	21	41¢	$9	0x97d069…
06-26 16:30:19	Senegal leading at halftime?	No	BUY	21	39¢	$8	0x7165fd…
06-26 16:29:58	Will Senegal win on 2026-06-26?	No	BUY	20	21¢	$4	0x6a62f8…
06-25 17:25:14	fifwc kor civ 2026 06 25 total 2pt5	Over	BUY	21	66¢	$14	0x3be0a1…
06-25 17:22:49	fifwc kor civ 2026 06 25 spread away 1pt5	Curaçao	BUY	21	35¢	$7	0xa9ca5b…
06-25 17:21:17	Curaçao vs. Côte d'Ivoire: Draw at halftime?	No	BUY	11	72¢	$8	0x010878…
06-24 17:01:11	Exact Score: South Africa 0 - 1 Korea Republic?	No	BUY	42	86¢	$36	0xe799a2…
06-23 16:22:13	fifwc prt uzb 2026 06 23 spread home 1pt5	Uzbekistan	BUY	21	33¢	$7	0xf35da4…
06-23 16:21:43	Portugal leading at halftime?	No	BUY	21	32¢	$7	0x4b4c82…
06-23 16:21:23	Will Portugal win on 2026-06-23?	No	BUY	20	15¢	$3	0x06c499…
06-23 16:19:35	Exact Score: Colombia 1 - 0 DR Congo?	No	BUY	42	84¢	$35	0x0b92c9…
06-23 16:18:58	fifwc col cdr 2026 06 23 btts	Yes	BUY	21	43¢	$9	0x86625c…
06-23 16:18:44	fifwc col cdr 2026 06 23 total 2pt5	Over	BUY	21	44¢	$9	0xcf34bf…
06-23 16:18:26	fifwc col cdr 2026 06 23 spread home 1pt5	Colombia	BUY	21	36¢	$8	0xbf9a15…
06-23 16:00:32	Colombia leading at halftime?	No	BUY	21	55¢	$12	0xe3449e…
06-23 15:26:46	Will Colombia win on 2026-06-23?	No	BUY	21	37¢	$8	0x951a55…
06-23 15:25:11	fifwc pan hrv 2026 06 23 btts	No	BUY	21	49¢	$10	0x535687…
06-22 16:38:49	Argentina leading at halftime?	No	BUY	21	50¢	$10	0xee16c7…
06-22 16:38:35	Argentina vs. Austria: Draw at halftime?	No	BUY	21	61¢	$13	0x5d2437…
06-22 16:37:20	Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22?	No	BUY	42	33¢	$14	0xa0be53…
06-22 16:15:40	fifwc arg aut 2026 06 22 btts	No	BUY	21	54¢	$11	0x75735f…
06-22 16:14:49	fifwc arg aut 2026 06 22 total 2pt5	Under	BUY	21	52¢	$11	0xb5f384…
06-22 16:14:23	fifwc arg aut 2026 06 22 spread home 1pt5	Austria	BUY	21	60¢	$13	0x77e1ed…
06-22 16:13:56	Argentina leading at halftime?	No	BUY	21	50¢	$10	0xe14def…
06-22 16:13:25	Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22?	No	BUY	21	33¢	$7	0x5d8644…
06-22 16:09:28	fifwc arg aut 2026 06 22 btts	No	BUY	21	54¢	$11	0x6e892c…
06-22 16:08:55	fifwc arg aut 2026 06 22 total 2pt5	Under	BUY	21	52¢	$11	0x9ea38d…
06-19 18:03:25	will ethereum dip to 1300 june 15 21 2026	No	BUY	84	100¢	$84	0xbe3160…
06-19 18:03:05	will ethereum dip to 1200 june 15 21 2026	No	BUY	33	100¢	$33	0x6bfe37…
06-14 13:59:27	Côte d'Ivoire vs. Ecuador: O/U 1.5	Over	BUY	103	60¢	$62	0x068f66…
06-14 13:38:13	fifwc civ ecu 2026 06 14 spread away 1pt5	Ecuador	BUY	80	15¢	$12	0xb1405a…
06-14 13:36:40	Côte d'Ivoire vs. Ecuador: Draw at halftime?	No	BUY	102	48¢	$49	0xc84ac1…
06-14 13:35:10	Will Côte d'Ivoire vs. Ecuador end in a draw?	No	BUY	103	67¢	$69	0x48bc69…
06-14 13:33:34	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xaf65f3…
06-14 13:33:28	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	3	84¢	$2	0x9ac759…
06-14 13:33:21	Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?	No	SELL	12	99¢	$12	0xad2bde…
06-14 13:33:15	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	181	100¢	$181	0x0c2ac6…
06-01 08:33:35	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	181	100¢	$181	0x2be916…
05-27 14:22:00	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?	Yes	BUY	181	100¢	$180	0xb815fb…
05-26 12:17:47	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on May 26?	Yes	BUY	181	100¢	$180	0x05b755…
05-26 12:17:16	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 26?	No	BUY	2,500	0¢	$5	0x1f106d…
05-23 14:14:10	Will Ethereum dip to $1,850 on May 23?	No	BUY	185	100¢	$185	0x98135e…
05-21 08:36:20	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 20?	Yes	BUY	184	100¢	$184	0x8e5162…
05-20 14:35:47	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on May 20?	No	BUY	184	100¢	$184	0x06e638…
05-14 19:35:44	Iran closes its airspace by May 15?	No	BUY	184	98¢	$180	0x8e3b23…
05-09 17:12:07	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 10?	Yes	BUY	70	100¢	$70	0xb80ae1…
05-09 17:10:29	Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?	No	BUY	12	97¢	$12	0x5e0cc4…
05-09 17:06:54	LoL: DetonatioN FocusMe vs Deep Cross Gaming (BO3) - LCP Regular Season	Deep Cross Gaming	BUY	2	82¢	$1	0xa2cd8e…
05-09 17:06:33	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x680c72…
05-09 17:05:44	UFC 328: Djorden Santos vs. Baisangur Susurkaev (Middleweight, Early Prelims)	Baisangur Susurkaev	BUY	8	89¢	$7	0x608147…
05-09 17:04:09	Will Seo Young-kyo win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x345fa3…
05-09 16:57:34	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	3	80¢	$2	0xa1b58c…
05-09 16:56:55	Will Ethereum reach $2,700 May 4-10?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x73b2ed…
03-16 15:04:39	bitcoin above 72k on march 16	Yes	BUY	207	99¢	$204	0x4509f4…
02-25 14:09:42	will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on february 28 846	Yes	BUY	202	99¢	$201	0x297c20…
02-25 14:06:44	will the us next strike iran on february 25 2026 et	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x0df062…
02-21 04:49:56	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-21 04:45 UTC	Up	BUY	11	87¢	$10	0x91c467…
02-21 04:40:00	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-21 04:35 UTC	Up	BUY	171	64¢	$110	0x11bffb…
02-21 04:34:40	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-21 04:30 UTC	Up	BUY	33	33¢	$11	0x192527…
02-20 15:42:56	bitcoin above 62k on february 20	Yes	BUY	323	100¢	$322	0x4b02e6…