Dishonest-Example — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$2

Unrealized P&L

-$0

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$1.98K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$99

Open exposure

$15

2 positions

First seen

2026-02-20

last 06-14 13:38

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

70% 100% +$0

Politics

19% — —

Tech

10% — —

Other

1% 100% +$0

Sports

0% 100% +$1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

7 active days in 12wk • peak 4 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (4) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?	No		-12	$-12	99¢	$-12	$-0	06-14 13:33
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No		-3	$-2	86¢	$-2	$-0	06-14 13:33

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
bitcoin above 62k on february 20	1	$322	323	0	+323	open	—	02-20 15:42
bitcoin above 72k on march 16	1	$204	207	0	+207	open	—	03-16 15:04
will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on february 28 846	1	$201	202	0	+202	open	—	02-25 14:09
Will Ethereum dip to $1,850 on May 23?	1	$185	185	0	+185	open	—	05-23 14:14
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 20?	1	$184	184	0	+184	open	—	05-21 08:36
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on May 20?	1	$184	184	0	+184	open	—	05-20 14:35
Iran closes its airspace by May 15?	1	$180	184	0	+184	open	—	05-14 19:35
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on May 26?	1	$180	181	0	+181	open	—	05-26 12:17
btc updown 5m 1771648500	1	$110	171	0	+171	open	—	02-21 04:40
Will Ethereum reach $2,700 May 4-10?	1	$100	100	0	+100	No	+$0	05-09 16:56
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 10?	1	$70	70	0	+70	Yes	+$0	05-09 17:12
Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?	1	$12	0	12	-12	open	—	06-14 13:33
fifwc civ ecu 2026 06 14 spread away 1pt5	1	$12	80	0	+80	open	—	06-14 13:38
btc updown 5m 1771648200	1	$11	33	0	+33	open	—	02-21 04:34
btc updown 5m 1771649100	1	$10	11	0	+11	open	—	02-21 04:49
UFC 328: Djorden Santos vs. Baisangur Susurkaev (Middleweight, Early Prelims)	1	$7	8	0	+8	Baisangur Susurkaev	+$1	05-09 17:05
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 26?	1	$5	2,500	0	+2,500	open	—	05-26 12:17
will the us next strike iran on february 25 2026 et	1	$2	2	0	+2	open	—	02-25 14:06
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	1	$2	0	3	-3	open	—	06-14 13:33
LoL: DetonatioN FocusMe vs Deep Cross Gaming (BO3) - LCP Regular Season	1	$1	2	0	+2	Deep Cross Gaming	+$0	05-09 17:06

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-14 13:38:13	fifwc civ ecu 2026 06 14 spread away 1pt5	Ecuador	BUY	80	15¢	$12	0xb1405a…
06-14 13:33:28	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	3	84¢	$2	0x9ac759…
06-14 13:33:21	Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?	No	SELL	12	99¢	$12	0xad2bde…
05-26 12:17:47	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on May 26?	Yes	BUY	181	100¢	$180	0x05b755…
05-26 12:17:16	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 26?	No	BUY	2,500	0¢	$5	0x1f106d…
05-23 14:14:10	Will Ethereum dip to $1,850 on May 23?	No	BUY	185	100¢	$185	0x98135e…
05-21 08:36:20	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 20?	Yes	BUY	184	100¢	$184	0x8e5162…
05-20 14:35:47	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on May 20?	No	BUY	184	100¢	$184	0x06e638…
05-14 19:35:44	Iran closes its airspace by May 15?	No	BUY	184	98¢	$180	0x8e3b23…
05-09 17:12:07	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 10?	Yes	BUY	70	100¢	$70	0xb80ae1…
05-09 17:06:54	LoL: DetonatioN FocusMe vs Deep Cross Gaming (BO3) - LCP Regular Season	Deep Cross Gaming	BUY	2	82¢	$1	0xa2cd8e…
05-09 17:05:44	UFC 328: Djorden Santos vs. Baisangur Susurkaev (Middleweight, Early Prelims)	Baisangur Susurkaev	BUY	8	89¢	$7	0x608147…
05-09 16:56:55	Will Ethereum reach $2,700 May 4-10?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x73b2ed…
03-16 15:04:39	bitcoin above 72k on march 16	Yes	BUY	207	99¢	$204	0x4509f4…
02-25 14:09:42	will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on february 28 846	Yes	BUY	202	99¢	$201	0x297c20…
02-25 14:06:44	will the us next strike iran on february 25 2026 et	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x0df062…
02-21 04:49:56	btc updown 5m 1771649100	Up	BUY	11	87¢	$10	0x91c467…
02-21 04:40:00	btc updown 5m 1771648500	Up	BUY	171	64¢	$110	0x11bffb…
02-21 04:34:40	btc updown 5m 1771648200	Up	BUY	33	33¢	$11	0x192527…
02-20 15:42:56	bitcoin above 62k on february 20	Yes	BUY	323	100¢	$322	0x4b02e6…