Jumbo-Tortellini — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$23

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

94.2%

Resolved

Trades

2,785

lifetime

Volume

$12.6K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-16

last 07-31 16:26

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

83% — —

Politics

11% 100% +$28

Other

6% 0% $-5

Sports

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

41 active days in 12wk • peak 37 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	20	$308	69,777	0	+69,777	open	—	06-17 12:17
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	13	$198	1,472	1,347	+125	open	—	07-03 12:00
us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 12 2482	2	$118	234	234	+0	open	—	06-12 01:26
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?	2	$103	4,000	2,000	+2,000	open	—	05-01 03:45
iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through hormuz by june 30	7	$95	5,107	0	+5,107	open	—	06-27 23:38
eth updown 15m 1768924800	7	$92	110	56	+55	open	—	01-20 16:15
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 8, 2026?	13	$82	10,721	721	+10,000	No	+$28	05-09 03:50
eth updown 15m 1768923900	8	$82	93	57	+37	open	—	01-20 16:00
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	10	$81	22,962	0	+22,962	open	—	06-17 01:10
Kevin Warsh cuts rates at first Fed meeting?	40	$74	13,457	0	+13,457	open	—	06-17 16:21
fifwc prt esp 2026 07 06 btts	2	$70	117	0	+117	open	—	07-06 16:12
will the us announce an iran ceasefire by july 31 20260718000915875	2	$70	52	52	+0	open	—	07-27 17:53
Xi meets with Iranian officials by May 15?	2	$69	2,761	2,761	+0	open	—	05-09 07:35
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by May 31?	6	$67	394	314	+80	open	—	05-25 00:56
bitcoin above 56k on june 8 2026	13	$65	10,287	0	+10,287	open	—	06-07 23:48
eth updown 15m 1769804100	6	$51	99	0	+99	open	—	01-30 20:26
us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 9	1	$50	3,849	0	+3,849	open	—	06-09 18:11
us x iran effective ceasfire by july 24 20260715194822044	4	$49	73	73	+0	open	—	07-26 17:54
eth updown 15m 1768788000	6	$47	88	0	+88	open	—	01-19 02:10
eth updown 15m 1768836600	4	$45	48	24	+24	open	—	01-19 15:44
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?	2	$45	2,067	2,067	+0	open	—	06-23 17:25
eth updown 15m 1769171400	8	$44	30	23	+6	open	—	01-23 12:44
bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by july 31	5	$41	1,416	518	+897	open	—	07-26 16:18
eth updown 15m 1768935600	5	$40	93	0	+93	open	—	01-20 19:12
eth updown 15m 1768968900	4	$40	69	0	+69	open	—	01-21 04:26
eth updown 15m 1769021100	5	$40	97	0	+97	open	—	01-21 18:57
eth updown 15m 1768991400	5	$39	86	0	+86	open	—	01-21 10:42
eth updown 15m 1768971600	4	$39	97	0	+97	open	—	01-21 05:09
eth updown 15m 1768959900	5	$39	108	0	+108	open	—	01-21 01:53
eth updown 15m 1769459400	5	$39	45	19	+26	open	—	01-26 20:45

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-31 16:26:35	will the us announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622192122521 644 479	Yes	BUY	1,022	1¢	$10	0x0ae520…
07-31 16:18:57	will the us announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622192122521 644 479	Yes	BUY	1,111	1¢	$10	0x5ff5a5…
07-31 14:46:36	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 31 20260716224448968 384 155 519 798 243	No	BUY	385	1¢	$5	0x28e491…
07-28 14:46:26	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 28	No	BUY	466	1¢	$5	0x07d5b0…
07-27 17:53:36	will the us announce an iran ceasefire by july 31 20260718000915875	Yes	SELL	52	95¢	$50	0xa936c9…
07-26 23:56:00	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 27	No	BUY	500	1¢	$5	0x06c206…
07-26 17:56:21	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 27	No	BUY	80	2¢	$2	0xbe5196…
07-26 17:54:36	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 24 20260715194822044	Yes	SELL	73	50¢	$37	0x40f7b4…
07-26 16:18:46	bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by july 31	Yes	BUY	833	1¢	$5	0xcaf5a3…
07-26 12:51:09	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 26	No	BUY	200	1¢	$2	0xca7416…
07-25 16:22:39	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 25 20260716224448967 454	No	BUY	200	1¢	$2	0x18c191…
07-25 14:01:55	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 24 20260715194822044	Yes	BUY	62	16¢	$10	0x3dc339…
07-25 14:00:24	bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by july 31	Yes	BUY	32	3¢	$1	0x823a8d…
07-25 13:52:28	bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by july 31	Yes	BUY	32	3¢	$1	0xc1e462…
07-25 13:11:37	bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by july 31	Yes	SELL	518	3¢	$14	0x18a748…
07-25 13:11:19	us announces end of iranian blockade by july 31 2026 20260713152715082 212	Yes	BUY	12	16¢	$2	0x023dbe…
07-25 13:07:25	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 24 20260715194822044	Yes	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0x9a8d63…
07-25 12:59:25	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 24 20260715194822044	Yes	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0x4e7ae3…
07-25 12:53:39	will the us announce an iran ceasefire by july 31 20260718000915875	Yes	BUY	52	38¢	$20	0xcbf324…
07-25 03:53:42	us announces end of iranian blockade by july 24 2026 20260713152715081 211	Yes	BUY	3,383	0¢	$7	0xc4b504…
07-25 02:01:36	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 24	Yes	BUY	84	0¢	$0	0xb79d1c…
07-25 02:01:24	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 24	Yes	BUY	15	0¢	$0	0xe6233e…
07-25 01:03:42	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 24	Yes	BUY	25	0¢	$0	0xaac7e1…
07-25 00:48:57	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 24	Yes	BUY	900	0¢	$2	0x0888ba…
07-24 23:24:49	us announces end of iranian blockade by july 24 2026 20260713152715081 211	Yes	BUY	15	0¢	$0	0x137a56…
07-24 23:16:09	us announces end of iranian blockade by july 24 2026 20260713152715081 211	Yes	BUY	11	0¢	$0	0xc5e575…
07-24 23:08:45	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 24	Yes	BUY	12	0¢	$0	0xdec1c0…
07-24 22:59:52	us announces end of iranian blockade by july 24 2026 20260713152715081 211	Yes	BUY	23	0¢	$0	0x2692e5…
07-24 22:59:51	us announces end of iranian blockade by july 24 2026 20260713152715081 211	Yes	BUY	15	0¢	$0	0x7cef18…
07-24 22:48:49	us announces end of iranian blockade by july 24 2026 20260713152715081 211	Yes	BUY	21	0¢	$0	0xc973f0…
07-24 22:44:27	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 24	Yes	BUY	31	0¢	$0	0x44eec2…
07-24 22:31:21	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 24	Yes	BUY	6	0¢	$0	0x57502b…
07-24 22:27:21	us announces end of iranian blockade by july 24 2026 20260713152715081 211	Yes	BUY	29	0¢	$0	0xbfb404…
07-24 22:24:55	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 24	Yes	BUY	20	0¢	$0	0x8c3fc6…
07-24 22:06:58	us announces end of iranian blockade by july 24 2026 20260713152715081 211	Yes	BUY	19	0¢	$0	0xd47136…
07-24 21:56:15	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 24	Yes	BUY	27	0¢	$0	0x8a1fb8…
07-24 21:51:22	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 24	Yes	BUY	34	0¢	$0	0x9db10e…
07-24 21:50:31	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 24	Yes	BUY	21	0¢	$0	0x2a8fa5…
07-24 21:26:16	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 24	Yes	BUY	16	0¢	$0	0x859b13…
07-24 21:25:31	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 24	Yes	BUY	50	0¢	$0	0x9b1b60…
07-24 20:59:28	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 24	Yes	BUY	49	0¢	$0	0x52b364…
07-24 20:27:19	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 24	Yes	BUY	1,300	0¢	$3	0x93429d…
07-24 20:27:06	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 24	Yes	BUY	4,400	0¢	$9	0xe7f16c…
07-24 20:06:07	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 24	Yes	BUY	3,009	0¢	$6	0xcaee22…
07-24 16:27:31	us announces end of iranian blockade by july 24 2026 20260713152715081 211	Yes	BUY	6,485	0¢	$13	0xdcce25…
07-24 14:50:48	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 24	Yes	BUY	484	1¢	$5	0xb9ae52…
07-24 14:50:39	us announces end of iranian blockade by july 24 2026 20260713152715081 211	Yes	BUY	225	2¢	$5	0x2b8393…
07-24 14:45:36	bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by july 31	Yes	BUY	518	4¢	$20	0xa5b2d3…
07-06 16:12:29	fifwc prt esp 2026 07 06 btts	Yes	BUY	67	60¢	$40	0x47bfa2…
07-06 16:06:08	fifwc prt esp 2026 07 06 btts	Yes	BUY	50	60¢	$30	0x6da3ca…
07-03 12:00:35	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	SELL	1,347	0¢	$3	0x960b07…
07-02 16:37:40	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 7 20260630014219997	Yes	BUY	257	2¢	$5	0xdbe22a…
07-02 13:02:17	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 7 20260630014219997	Yes	BUY	357	3¢	$10	0x3dfb16…
07-02 13:02:05	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 7 20260630014219997	Yes	BUY	357	3¢	$10	0x644ca2…
06-30 22:51:47	Trump renames ICE to NICE by June 30?	Yes	BUY	2,500	0¢	$5	0x250c86…
06-30 18:00:50	trump renames ice to nice by july 31 20260626165335822	Yes	BUY	53	19¢	$10	0x591f72…
06-30 17:58:22	will the us announce a blockade on iran by june 30 20260622191116911	Yes	SELL	42	0¢	$0	0x0e60a3…
06-27 23:38:50	iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through hormuz by june 30	Yes	BUY	103	1¢	$1	0x84479e…
06-27 18:22:10	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by june 30 20260622191733845	Yes	BUY	18	6¢	$1	0xe2712d…
06-27 18:21:53	trump announces us x iran ceasefire over by june 30 20260607232556276 219	Yes	BUY	43	2¢	$1	0xdf48a4…
06-27 18:21:46	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by june 30 20260622191733845	Yes	BUY	18	6¢	$1	0xccb6a7…
06-27 18:21:07	will the us announce a blockade on iran by june 30 20260622191116911	Yes	BUY	21	5¢	$1	0x9047c0…
06-27 18:20:37	will trump praise allah again by june 30 20260610152457610	Yes	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x9cfbf2…
06-27 11:38:56	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by june 30 20260622191733845	Yes	BUY	16	6¢	$1	0xf70825…
06-25 18:05:50	iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through hormuz by june 30	Yes	BUY	2,000	1¢	$24	0x1a2631…
06-24 09:29:38	Trump renames ICE to NICE by June 30?	Yes	BUY	200	5¢	$10	0x2072c3…
06-23 17:31:32	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by june 30 20260622191733845	Yes	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0x9784c8…
06-23 17:31:29	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by june 26 20260622191733844	Yes	BUY	31	3¢	$1	0xaeae64…
06-23 17:30:53	will the us announce a blockade on iran by june 30 20260622191116911	Yes	BUY	21	5¢	$1	0xdc69be…
06-23 17:29:46	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	BUY	294	3¢	$10	0x5d9b47…
06-23 17:25:17	Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	2,067	1¢	$15	0x3ee377…
06-22 17:46:37	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by june 30	Yes	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0x46ca9b…
06-22 17:46:34	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by june 26	Yes	BUY	67	1¢	$1	0xa68efd…
06-22 17:05:31	iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through hormuz by june 30	Yes	BUY	933	3¢	$30	0x3f2f35…
06-22 17:03:56	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	BUY	71	7¢	$5	0x91d721…
06-21 18:52:52	iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through hormuz by june 30	Yes	BUY	345	3¢	$10	0xd55ab5…
06-21 18:06:34	iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through hormuz by june 30	Yes	BUY	357	3¢	$10	0xb12ee3…
06-21 18:05:26	iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through hormuz by june 30	Yes	BUY	368	3¢	$10	0x5de7a7…
06-21 13:54:40	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	BUY	71	7¢	$5	0x5f1e3c…
06-21 13:51:55	Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2,067	1¢	$30	0x3d45e0…
06-21 13:47:47	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	BUY	71	7¢	$5	0x447479…
06-21 04:06:01	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	BUY	62	8¢	$5	0x597b14…
06-20 18:55:38	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	BUY	62	8¢	$5	0xb28e6c…
06-20 18:41:49	Trump renames ICE to NICE by June 30?	Yes	BUY	100	10¢	$10	0x9a452b…
06-20 17:58:19	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	BUY	62	8¢	$5	0xdab844…
06-20 16:46:02	Trump renames ICE to NICE by June 30?	Yes	BUY	7	22¢	$1	0x88dfd6…
06-20 15:53:22	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	Yes	BUY	100	5¢	$5	0x9a18e8…
06-20 14:29:25	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	48	2¢	$1	0x4d0efc…
06-20 14:21:56	iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through hormuz by june 30	Yes	BUY	1,000	1¢	$10	0xf6ebbf…
06-20 05:57:04	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	Yes	BUY	83	6¢	$5	0x3044f8…
06-20 05:56:52	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	BUY	56	9¢	$5	0xc7f798…
06-19 15:58:56	will trump publicly praise mojtaba khamenei by friday 20260615235202828	Yes	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0x1bc6ae…
06-19 14:41:44	will trump publicly praise mojtaba khamenei by friday 20260615235202828	Yes	BUY	100	9¢	$9	0xe7353d…
06-19 14:35:53	will trump publicly praise mojtaba khamenei by friday 20260615235202828	Yes	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0x46ffff…
06-19 14:27:22	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	BUY	125	8¢	$10	0x857bf0…
06-18 17:14:35	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	BUY	125	16¢	$20	0x9b5823…
06-17 18:51:23	will the text of the us iran agreement be released by june 17 20260615191216216	No	BUY	513	4¢	$20	0xf1f13d…
06-17 16:21:01	Kevin Warsh cuts rates at first Fed meeting?	Yes	BUY	833	1¢	$5	0xd3e72d…
06-17 16:07:26	Kevin Warsh cuts rates at first Fed meeting?	Yes	BUY	1	0¢	$0	0xd8ca42…
06-17 16:03:38	Kevin Warsh cuts rates at first Fed meeting?	Yes	BUY	636	0¢	$2	0x1b5eeb…