Poor-Effacement — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$296

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

61.9%

Resolved

393

Trades

593

lifetime

Volume

$3.32K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-15

last 10-26 07:09

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 52 days

Categories

Crypto

88% 56% -$192

Other

9% 39% -$74

Politics

4% 50% -$31

Sports

0% 33% +$1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

8 active days in 12wk • peak 18 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
xrp up or down july 11 2026 12pm et	2	$60	35	35	+0	Down	+$10	07-11 17:08
Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 12AM ET	2	$53	29	29	+0	Up	+$3	05-13 04:54
ETH Up/Down 4h · 2026-04-07 08:00 UTC	2	$50	30	30	+1	Down	+$10	04-07 11:52
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 29, 2026?	2	$43	39	39	+0	No	-$2	04-22 12:11
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-16 10:15 UTC	1	$43	69	0	+69	Down	-$43	03-16 10:19
SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-17 22:10 UTC	4	$40	56	0	+56	Down	-$40	07-17 22:10
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	2	$38	27	27	+0	No	+$7	04-22 11:54
Will Israel win Eurovision 2026?	4	$36	604	0	+604	No	-$36	05-16 10:34
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET	3	$35	47	0	+47	Down	+$12	05-14 17:20
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-17 14:05 UTC	5	$32	39	0	+39	Up	+$7	07-17 14:06
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-17 14:50 UTC	3	$30	41	0	+41	Up	+$11	07-17 14:52
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-13 05:15 UTC	2	$30	37	0	+37	Up	-$30	07-13 05:16
SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-13 05:05 UTC	2	$30	34	0	+34	Up	+$4	07-13 05:07
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-17 18:20 UTC	3	$30	36	0	+36	Down	+$6	07-17 18:20
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-07 18:10 UTC	1	$29	46	0	+46	Up	-$29	04-07 18:11
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-17 14:20 UTC	6	$28	39	0	+39	Down	+$11	07-17 14:23
XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-03 13:40 UTC	6	$28	38	0	+38	Up	-$28	08-03 13:41
bitcoin up or down march 16 2026 4am et	2	$25	16	15	+0	Down	+$6	03-16 09:07
XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-11 21:40 UTC	1	$25	34	0	+34	Up	-$25	07-11 21:41
Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET	1	$25	57	0	+57	Down	-$25	05-14 18:15
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-11 06:30 UTC	1	$25	33	0	+33	Up	+$8	07-11 06:31
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-19 17:45 UTC	1	$25	57	0	+57	Up	-$25	06-19 17:47
Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	1	$25	36	0	+36	Up	-$25	05-14 16:35
DOGE Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-19 15:00 UTC	1	$25	43	0	+43	Up	+$18	06-19 15:01
Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET	1	$25	37	0	+37	Down	+$12	05-13 17:33
Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET	1	$25	33	0	+33	Up	+$8	05-13 09:05
XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-17 13:50 UTC	3	$25	32	0	+32	Up	+$7	07-17 13:50
Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 14, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET	1	$25	35	0	+35	Up	-$25	05-14 17:40
Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	1	$25	36	0	+36	Up	+$11	05-14 06:04
XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-11 12:15 UTC	1	$25	34	0	+34	Down	-$25	07-11 12:21

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-26 07:09:18	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET	Up	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0xf5c397…
10-26 07:09:18	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET	Up	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0x60fa40…
10-26 07:09:18	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET	Up	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0x41b7e7…
10-26 06:03:11	Solana Up or Down - October 26, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Up	BUY	36	14¢	$5	0x53dbcc…
10-26 06:02:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Up	BUY	20	25¢	$5	0x726261…
10-26 05:32:48	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	Down	BUY	14	72¢	$10	0xdccc6f…
10-26 05:19:54	Solana Up or Down - October 26, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET	Down	BUY	7	75¢	$5	0x185208…
10-26 05:19:42	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET	Down	BUY	6	78¢	$5	0x930926…
10-26 05:19:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET	Down	BUY	7	73¢	$5	0xcc42b1…
10-26 05:06:15	Solana Up or Down - October 26, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET	Up	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0x36b521…
10-26 05:06:14	Solana Up or Down - October 26, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET	Up	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0x289f07…
10-26 05:06:02	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET	Up	BUY	7	71¢	$5	0xace6ca…
10-26 05:05:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET	Up	BUY	9	58¢	$5	0xcb0bb8…
10-26 04:42:12	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET	Down	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0x882db0…
10-26 04:42:08	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0x70914d…
10-26 04:42:05	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0xd648f7…
10-26 04:42:05	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0xafe358…
10-26 04:41:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET	Down	BUY	7	74¢	$5	0x2e4286…
10-23 20:03:29	Hyperliquid Up or Down - October 23, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0x83d372…
10-23 20:03:27	Hyperliquid Up or Down - October 23, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0x5fd428…
10-23 20:03:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	19	54¢	$10	0x3cc437…
10-23 20:00:39	Ethereum Up or Down - October 23, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x3083b3…
10-23 19:40:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET	Down	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0xd1e369…
10-23 19:40:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET	Down	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x2b1e2a…
10-23 19:40:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET	Down	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0xd899a4…
10-23 19:40:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET	Down	BUY	8	65¢	$5	0x8113cc…
10-23 19:40:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET	Down	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0x071c67…
10-23 19:22:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Up	BUY	8	59¢	$5	0xa97d7f…
10-23 19:21:20	XRP Up or Down - October 23, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Up	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x39c9f5…
10-23 19:21:00	Ethereum Up or Down - October 23, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xe4f16a…
10-23 19:20:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xc11d68…
10-23 19:20:30	Solana Up or Down - October 23, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xd13dd1…
10-23 19:18:09	Ethereum Up or Down - October 23, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Up	BUY	20	25¢	$5	0xac72c0…
10-02 11:54:09	Ethereum Up or Down - October 2, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0x940a18…
10-02 11:46:26	Solana Up or Down - October 2, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Up	BUY	7	75¢	$5	0x0e8e43…
10-02 11:46:12	Ethereum Up or Down - October 2, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Up	BUY	14	71¢	$10	0x6ab1a2…
10-02 11:44:54	Ethereum Up or Down - October 2, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x2c5a96…
10-02 11:37:29	XRP Up or Down - October 2, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Up	BUY	12	41¢	$5	0x6c316a…
10-02 11:36:12	Solana Up or Down - October 2, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Up	BUY	15	65¢	$10	0xcdc090…
09-28 05:10:03	bitcoin up or down september 28 2026 1am et	Up	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x876e6a…
09-28 05:10:02	bitcoin up or down september 28 2026 1am et	Up	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0xcf21ce…
09-28 05:09:53	bitcoin up or down september 28 2026 1am et	Up	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0xc2de6a…
09-28 05:09:53	bitcoin up or down september 28 2026 1am et	Up	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0xb7c7f4…
09-28 04:54:30	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-28 04:45 UTC	Down	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0xfaad18…
09-28 04:54:29	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-28 04:45 UTC	Down	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x5b0747…
09-28 04:54:00	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-28 04:45 UTC	Up	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0x2afba9…
09-20 16:03:36	Ethereum Up or Down - September 20, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	Down	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0xc5ff21…
09-20 05:52:51	Ethereum Up or Down - September 20, 1AM ET	Up	BUY	27	19¢	$5	0x31bb28…
09-20 05:46:33	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-20 05:45 UTC	Down	BUY	24	41¢	$10	0x35c798…
09-20 05:44:43	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-20 05:40 UTC	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x7c237f…
09-20 04:21:46	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-20 04:20 UTC	Down	BUY	14	71¢	$10	0xc3a349…
09-20 04:21:46	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-20 04:20 UTC	Down	BUY	14	71¢	$10	0x207d70…
09-20 04:04:03	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-20 04:00 UTC	Down	BUY	23	44¢	$10	0xfabd30…
09-20 03:53:07	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-20 03:50 UTC	Up	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0x2e4e43…
09-20 03:38:10	DOGE Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-20 03:30 UTC	Down	BUY	13	79¢	$10	0x6c7ee3…
09-20 03:37:48	XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-20 03:30 UTC	Down	BUY	17	60¢	$10	0xedd1c0…
09-20 03:36:39	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-20 03:30 UTC	Down	BUY	13	75¢	$10	0xcf558b…
09-20 03:35:25	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-20 03:30 UTC	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x59a708…
09-19 21:18:36	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-19 21:15 UTC	Up	BUY	10	63¢	$6	0x032903…
09-19 21:15:33	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-19 21:10 UTC	Up	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x093cba…
09-19 21:11:57	XRP Up or Down - September 19, 4PM ET	Up	SELL	14	100¢	$14	0x16bfae…
09-19 20:55:41	XRP Up or Down - September 19, 4PM ET	Up	BUY	14	71¢	$10	0xeb692f…
09-19 20:36:17	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-19 20:30 UTC	Up	BUY	15	65¢	$10	0x38a5f4…
09-19 20:35:21	Ethereum Up or Down - September 19, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x6b81b6…
09-19 16:26:39	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-19 16:25 UTC	Up	BUY	15	68¢	$10	0x54a84a…
09-19 16:25:56	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-19 16:25 UTC	Up	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0xcbc506…
09-19 16:02:08	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-19 16:00 UTC	Up	BUY	35	28¢	$10	0x3c5206…
09-19 16:01:15	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-19 16:00 UTC	Down	BUY	17	58¢	$10	0x5c14e6…
09-19 13:50:21	XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-19 13:45 UTC	Up	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x02cfe4…
09-19 13:50:00	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-19 13:45 UTC	Up	BUY	17	60¢	$10	0x0b272f…
09-19 13:34:47	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-19 13:30 UTC	Up	BUY	6	87¢	$5	0xcc4b2c…
09-19 13:34:29	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-19 13:30 UTC	Up	BUY	13	75¢	$10	0x086864…
08-19 15:49:24	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-19 15:45 UTC	Up	BUY	6	82¢	$5	0x6c0029…
08-19 15:49:22	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-19 15:45 UTC	Up	BUY	6	83¢	$5	0xd32147…
08-19 13:12:33	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-19 13:10 UTC	Up	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x050e73…
08-19 13:12:30	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-19 13:10 UTC	Up	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x7573e7…
08-19 13:12:25	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-19 13:10 UTC	Up	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x19fe85…
08-19 13:12:22	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-19 13:10 UTC	Up	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0xaec8d1…
08-11 06:07:54	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-11 06:00 UTC	Up	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0x6f02d8…
08-11 05:23:39	dogecoin up or down august 11 2026 1am et	Down	BUY	19	54¢	$10	0x2fc9d7…
08-11 05:08:15	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-11 05:05 UTC	Up	BUY	12	83¢	$10	0x3f162b…
08-11 04:59:10	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-11 04:55 UTC	Down	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0xb93692…
08-11 04:59:09	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-11 04:55 UTC	Down	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0x8cc5c0…
08-11 04:59:09	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-11 04:55 UTC	Down	BUY	6	81¢	$5	0x56a633…
08-11 04:59:09	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-11 04:55 UTC	Down	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0x2fc1f1…
08-03 14:14:03	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-03 12:00 UTC	Down	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0xbd2073…
08-03 13:41:59	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-03 13:40 UTC	Down	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0x4c69db…
08-03 13:41:59	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-03 13:40 UTC	Down	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0x375e44…
08-03 13:41:57	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-03 13:40 UTC	Down	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0x52e997…
08-03 13:41:54	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-03 13:40 UTC	Down	BUY	6	78¢	$5	0x886930…
08-03 13:41:53	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-03 13:40 UTC	Down	BUY	14	73¢	$10	0x88d893…
08-03 13:41:51	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-03 13:40 UTC	Down	BUY	14	72¢	$10	0x0f4d08…
08-03 11:39:21	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-03 11:35 UTC	Up	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0xa6d6b8…
08-03 11:39:20	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-03 11:35 UTC	Up	BUY	11	93¢	$10	0xf6e998…
08-03 11:39:20	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-03 11:35 UTC	Up	BUY	11	93¢	$10	0x255cb0…
08-03 10:43:12	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-03 10:40 UTC	Up	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0xeb61aa…
08-03 10:43:12	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-03 10:40 UTC	Up	BUY	9	57¢	$5	0xa8d1e8…
08-03 10:43:12	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-03 10:40 UTC	Up	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0x62eeaa…
08-03 08:12:27	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-03 08:10 UTC	Up	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0xac2503…
08-03 08:12:26	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-03 08:10 UTC	Up	BUY	13	79¢	$10	0xc30422…