Poor-Effacement — Polymarket

Realized P&L (30d)

+$6

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

62.9%

Resolved (30d)

Trades (30d)

643 lifetime

Volume (30d)

$263

$3.48K lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-15

last 11-07 11:22

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 53 days

Categories

Crypto

87% 56% -$163

Other

9% 41% -$74

Politics

3% 50% -$31

Sports

0% 30% -$1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

8 active days in 12wk • peak 54 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
xrp up or down july 11 2026 12pm et	2	$60	35	35	+0	Down	+$10	07-11 17:08
Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 12AM ET	2	$53	29	29	+0	Up	+$3	05-13 04:54
ETH Up/Down 4h · 2026-04-07 08:00 UTC	2	$50	30	30	+1	Down	+$10	04-07 11:52
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 29, 2026?	2	$43	39	39	+0	No	-$2	04-22 12:11
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-16 10:15 UTC	1	$43	69	0	+69	Down	-$43	03-16 10:19
SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-17 22:10 UTC	4	$40	56	0	+56	Down	-$40	07-17 22:10
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	2	$38	27	27	+0	No	+$7	04-22 11:54
Will Israel win Eurovision 2026?	4	$36	604	0	+604	No	-$36	05-16 10:34
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET	3	$35	47	0	+47	Down	+$12	05-14 17:20
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-17 14:05 UTC	5	$32	39	0	+39	Up	+$7	07-17 14:06
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-17 14:50 UTC	3	$30	41	0	+41	Up	+$11	07-17 14:52
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-13 05:15 UTC	2	$30	37	0	+37	Up	-$30	07-13 05:16
SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-13 05:05 UTC	2	$30	34	0	+34	Up	+$4	07-13 05:07
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-17 18:20 UTC	3	$30	36	0	+36	Down	+$6	07-17 18:20
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-07 18:10 UTC	1	$29	46	0	+46	Up	-$29	04-07 18:11
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-17 14:20 UTC	6	$28	39	0	+39	Down	+$11	07-17 14:23
XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-03 13:40 UTC	6	$28	38	0	+38	Up	-$28	08-03 13:41
bitcoin up or down march 16 2026 4am et	2	$25	16	15	+0	Down	+$6	03-16 09:07
XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-11 21:40 UTC	1	$25	34	0	+34	Up	-$25	07-11 21:41
Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET	1	$25	57	0	+57	Down	-$25	05-14 18:15
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-11 06:30 UTC	1	$25	33	0	+33	Up	+$8	07-11 06:31
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-19 17:45 UTC	1	$25	57	0	+57	Up	-$25	06-19 17:47
Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	1	$25	36	0	+36	Up	-$25	05-14 16:35
DOGE Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-19 15:00 UTC	1	$25	43	0	+43	Up	+$18	06-19 15:01
Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET	1	$25	37	0	+37	Down	+$12	05-13 17:33
Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET	1	$25	33	0	+33	Up	+$8	05-13 09:05
XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-17 13:50 UTC	3	$25	32	0	+32	Up	+$7	07-17 13:50
Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 14, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET	1	$25	35	0	+35	Up	-$25	05-14 17:40
Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	1	$25	36	0	+36	Up	+$11	05-14 06:04
XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-11 12:15 UTC	1	$25	34	0	+34	Down	-$25	07-11 12:21

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-07 12:22:10	Solana Up or Down - November 7, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Up	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xede9fe…
11-07 12:22:10	Solana Up or Down - November 7, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Up	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x201f2d…
11-07 12:21:52	Ethereum Up or Down - November 7, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Up	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0xe82121…
11-07 12:21:52	Ethereum Up or Down - November 7, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Up	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0x8d39ed…
11-07 11:22:45	XRP Up or Down - November 7, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Up	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0xd54ff0…
11-07 11:22:18	Solana Up or Down - November 7, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Up	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x4adc31…
11-07 11:22:00	Ethereum Up or Down - November 7, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Down	BUY	7	73¢	$5	0x0e93a4…
11-07 10:44:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Up	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0x6539ae…
11-07 10:15:37	Solana Up or Down - November 7, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Up	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x3368eb…
11-07 10:15:16	Solana Up or Down - November 7, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Up	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0xeb1e52…
11-07 09:27:37	Solana Up or Down - November 7, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Up	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x078ce7…
11-07 09:27:36	Solana Up or Down - November 7, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Up	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0xf4e618…
11-07 09:27:34	Solana Up or Down - November 7, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Up	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x806c0b…
11-07 09:27:33	Solana Up or Down - November 7, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Up	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x870540…
11-07 09:27:31	Solana Up or Down - November 7, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Up	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x836694…
11-07 09:27:31	Solana Up or Down - November 7, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Up	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x7ac203…
11-07 09:27:30	Solana Up or Down - November 7, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Up	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0xcb8b0b…
11-07 09:27:27	Solana Up or Down - November 7, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Up	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x347b54…
11-07 09:27:25	Solana Up or Down - November 7, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Up	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0xf6cd2a…
11-07 09:27:24	Solana Up or Down - November 7, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Up	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0xdea0c9…
11-07 09:27:24	Solana Up or Down - November 7, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Up	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0xcf998a…
11-07 09:27:22	Solana Up or Down - November 7, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Up	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0xa3ea60…
11-07 09:27:19	Solana Up or Down - November 7, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Up	BUY	12	41¢	$5	0x9508c9…
11-07 08:52:34	Solana Up or Down - November 7, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET	Down	BUY	14	70¢	$10	0xa5c823…
11-07 08:52:34	Solana Up or Down - November 7, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET	Down	BUY	15	68¢	$10	0x20a145…
11-07 08:36:37	BNB Up or Down - November 7, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Down	BUY	8	62¢	$5	0x613b8b…
11-07 08:36:24	Solana Up or Down - November 7, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Up	BUY	6	79¢	$5	0x6ea880…
11-07 07:29:36	BNB Up or Down - November 7, 2AM ET	Up	BUY	8	59¢	$5	0x6d7c07…
11-07 07:28:54	XRP Up or Down - November 7, 2AM ET	Up	BUY	7	74¢	$5	0x6e0269…
11-07 07:19:51	Solana Up or Down - November 7, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	Down	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x7faf79…
11-07 07:06:49	XRP Up or Down - November 7, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Down	BUY	6	79¢	$5	0xdab6b0…
11-07 07:06:12	Ethereum Up or Down - November 7, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Down	BUY	7	69¢	$5	0x7501da…
11-07 06:47:27	BNB Up or Down - November 7, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET	Down	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0xadf698…
11-07 06:47:27	BNB Up or Down - November 7, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET	Down	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0x0f09fd…
11-07 06:47:16	Hyperliquid Up or Down - November 7, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET	Down	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0xe472a6…
11-07 06:47:16	Hyperliquid Up or Down - November 7, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET	Down	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0xabade3…
11-07 06:46:42	XRP Up or Down - November 7, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET	Down	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0x49094f…
11-07 06:46:40	XRP Up or Down - November 7, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0x7abf75…
11-07 06:46:27	Solana Up or Down - November 7, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET	Up	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0xc6a6aa…
11-07 06:46:25	Solana Up or Down - November 7, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET	Up	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x887558…
11-07 06:46:15	Ethereum Up or Down - November 7, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x592824…
11-07 06:46:13	Ethereum Up or Down - November 7, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x785ccd…
11-07 06:45:34	Ethereum Up or Down - November 7, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	Up	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0x30ced7…
11-07 06:45:33	Ethereum Up or Down - November 7, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	Up	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0x084ef5…
11-07 06:19:33	XRP Up or Down - November 7, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET	Up	BUY	16	63¢	$10	0x64c185…
11-07 06:19:16	Ethereum Up or Down - November 7, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET	Down	BUY	15	68¢	$10	0x0ad47a…
11-07 06:19:09	Solana Up or Down - November 7, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET	Down	BUY	13	77¢	$10	0xc962a1…
11-07 05:56:31	Trail Blazers vs. Lakers	Trail Blazers	BUY	57	3¢	$2	0x55dd38…
11-07 05:37:01	Ethereum Up or Down - November 7, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET	Down	BUY	19	53¢	$10	0xffed8a…
11-07 05:36:39	Solana Up or Down - November 7, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET	Down	BUY	16	62¢	$10	0x8f748f…
11-07 05:34:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	Down	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0xb5891c…
11-07 05:23:03	BNB Up or Down - November 7, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET	Up	BUY	11	93¢	$10	0x93b28e…
11-07 05:22:21	XRP Up or Down - November 7, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET	Up	BUY	12	80¢	$10	0xc9d0ad…
11-07 05:16:13	Ethereum Up or Down - November 7, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xb62c85…
10-26 07:09:18	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET	Up	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0xf5c397…
10-26 07:09:18	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET	Up	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0x60fa40…
10-26 07:09:18	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET	Up	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0x41b7e7…
10-26 06:03:11	Solana Up or Down - October 26, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Up	BUY	36	14¢	$5	0x53dbcc…
10-26 06:02:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Up	BUY	20	25¢	$5	0x726261…
10-26 05:32:48	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	Down	BUY	14	72¢	$10	0xdccc6f…
10-26 05:19:54	Solana Up or Down - October 26, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET	Down	BUY	7	75¢	$5	0x185208…
10-26 05:19:42	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET	Down	BUY	6	78¢	$5	0x930926…
10-26 05:19:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET	Down	BUY	7	73¢	$5	0xcc42b1…
10-26 05:06:15	Solana Up or Down - October 26, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET	Up	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0x36b521…
10-26 05:06:14	Solana Up or Down - October 26, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET	Up	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0x289f07…
10-26 05:06:02	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET	Up	BUY	7	71¢	$5	0xace6ca…
10-26 05:05:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET	Up	BUY	9	58¢	$5	0xcb0bb8…
10-26 04:42:12	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET	Down	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0x882db0…
10-26 04:42:08	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0x70914d…
10-26 04:42:05	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0xd648f7…
10-26 04:42:05	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0xafe358…
10-26 04:41:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET	Down	BUY	7	74¢	$5	0x2e4286…
10-23 20:03:29	Hyperliquid Up or Down - October 23, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0x83d372…
10-23 20:03:27	Hyperliquid Up or Down - October 23, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0x5fd428…
10-23 20:03:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	19	54¢	$10	0x3cc437…
10-23 20:00:39	Ethereum Up or Down - October 23, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x3083b3…
10-23 19:40:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET	Down	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0xd1e369…
10-23 19:40:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET	Down	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x2b1e2a…
10-23 19:40:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET	Down	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0xd899a4…
10-23 19:40:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET	Down	BUY	8	65¢	$5	0x8113cc…
10-23 19:40:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET	Down	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0x071c67…
10-23 19:22:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Up	BUY	8	59¢	$5	0xa97d7f…
10-23 19:21:20	XRP Up or Down - October 23, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Up	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x39c9f5…
10-23 19:21:00	Ethereum Up or Down - October 23, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xe4f16a…
10-23 19:20:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xc11d68…
10-23 19:20:30	Solana Up or Down - October 23, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xd13dd1…
10-23 19:18:09	Ethereum Up or Down - October 23, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Up	BUY	20	25¢	$5	0xac72c0…
10-02 11:54:09	Ethereum Up or Down - October 2, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0x940a18…
10-02 11:46:26	Solana Up or Down - October 2, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Up	BUY	7	75¢	$5	0x0e8e43…
10-02 11:46:12	Ethereum Up or Down - October 2, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Up	BUY	14	71¢	$10	0x6ab1a2…
10-02 11:44:54	Ethereum Up or Down - October 2, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x2c5a96…
10-02 11:37:29	XRP Up or Down - October 2, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Up	BUY	12	41¢	$5	0x6c316a…
10-02 11:36:12	Solana Up or Down - October 2, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Up	BUY	15	65¢	$10	0xcdc090…
09-28 05:10:03	bitcoin up or down september 28 2026 1am et	Up	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x876e6a…
09-28 05:10:02	bitcoin up or down september 28 2026 1am et	Up	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0xcf21ce…
09-28 05:09:53	bitcoin up or down september 28 2026 1am et	Up	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0xc2de6a…
09-28 05:09:53	bitcoin up or down september 28 2026 1am et	Up	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0xb7c7f4…
09-28 04:54:30	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-28 04:45 UTC	Down	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0xfaad18…
09-28 04:54:29	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-28 04:45 UTC	Down	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x5b0747…
09-28 04:54:00	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-28 04:45 UTC	Up	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0x2afba9…