Poor-Effacement — Polymarket

Realized P&L (30d)

+$7

Unrealized P&L

+$7

Hit rate

28.0%

Resolved (30d)

Trades (30d)

5 lifetime

Volume (30d)

$64

$64 lifetime

Avg / trade

$13

Open exposure

$32

1 position

First seen

2026-05-12

last 05-13 09:05

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

98% 50% +$6

Other

2% 100% +$1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

2 active days in 12wk • peak 4 trades/day

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET	Up		+33	$25	99¢	$32	+$7	05-13 09:05

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 12AM ET	1	$28	0	29	-29	Up	$-1	05-13 04:54
Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET	1	$25	33	0	+33	open	—	05-13 09:05
Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET	2	$10	16	0	+16	Up	+$6	05-13 04:03
Will Portugal advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?	1	$1	2	0	+2	No	+$1	05-12 18:22

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-13 09:05:04	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET	Up	BUY	33	77¢	$25	0xd88c04…
05-13 04:54:25	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 12AM ET	Up	SELL	29	98¢	$28	0xafd797…
05-13 04:03:26	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET	Up	BUY	8	60¢	$5	0xbd8e91…
05-13 04:03:20	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET	Up	BUY	8	63¢	$5	0xa82c1b…
05-12 18:22:06	Will Portugal advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?	No	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x8bf8cf…