Respectful-Export — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1.77K

Unrealized P&L

-$35

Hit rate

38.3%

Resolved

Trades

895

lifetime

Volume

$435.8K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$487

Open exposure

$5.97K

2 positions

First seen

2026-04-18

last 06-09 20:06

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Politics

48% 50% $-96

Other

32% — —

Crypto

20% 39% $-1,672

Sports

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

46 active days in 12wk • peak 207 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No		+6,042	$5,000	84¢	$5.0K	+$45	06-09 20:06
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?	No		+1,449	$1,000	64¢	$920	$-80	06-07 09:38

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	28	$31.3K	44,113	31,613	+12,500	open	—	06-04 00:01
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	15	$28.1K	17,188	17,883	-695	open	—	05-31 21:23
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	6	$22.0K	12,324	12,324	+0	open	—	05-14 21:13
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	6	$16.1K	10,208	10,208	+0	open	—	05-27 00:39
Indian Premier League: Royal Challengers Bengaluru vs Gujarat Titans	5	$14.3K	7,658	7,658	+0	open	—	05-26 17:27
Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	8	$13.5K	10,351	10,351	+0	No	$-293	05-06 09:33
Indian Premier League: Delhi Capitals vs Rajasthan Royals	12	$11.8K	11,186	8,776	+2,410	open	—	05-17 17:58
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 15, 2026?	13	$11.7K	13,716	11,267	+2,448	open	—	05-15 23:37
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	12	$11.2K	20,533	8,928	+11,605	open	—	05-25 21:38
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 26, 2026?	4	$11.2K	6,808	6,808	+0	open	—	04-25 16:34
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?	2	$10.5K	5,556	5,556	+0	open	—	06-08 00:03
Indian Premier League: Lucknow Super Giants vs Punjab Kings	3	$10.4K	6,369	6,369	+0	open	—	05-23 19:07
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 28, 2026?	4	$9.4K	6,169	6,169	+0	open	—	04-26 11:53
Indian Premier League: Punjab Kings vs Royal Challengers Bengaluru	5	$8.8K	5,280	5,280	+0	open	—	05-17 13:53
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?	7	$7.6K	8,509	7,205	+1,304	open	—	04-26 16:12
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 22, 2026?	7	$7.5K	5,272	5,272	+0	open	—	04-21 21:11
Indian Premier League: Sunrisers Hyderabad vs Rajasthan Royals	6	$7.4K	4,695	4,695	+0	open	—	05-27 17:47
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	7	$6.7K	5,342	7,853	-2,511	open	—	05-26 09:18
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 25, 2026?	2	$6.6K	3,658	3,658	+0	open	—	04-24 09:23
us x iran diplomatic meeting by april 21 2026	5	$6.4K	3,782	3,782	+0	open	—	04-21 18:58
Indian Premier League: Royal Challengers Bengaluru vs Gujarat Titans	3	$5.9K	2,873	4,155	-1,282	open	—	05-31 17:05
Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?	14	$5.8K	5,322	5,322	+0	open	—	05-15 18:04
crint wst2 lka2 2026 06 03	6	$5.7K	3,551	3,551	+0	open	—	06-03 23:25
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?	4	$5.5K	4,315	4,315	+0	open	—	05-07 14:13
us x iran diplomatic meeting by april 23 2026	3	$5.5K	3,175	3,175	+0	open	—	04-22 13:19
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	1	$5.0K	6,042	0	+6,042	open	—	06-09 20:06
israel x hezbollah ceasefire extended by april 26 2026	4	$4.7K	3,212	3,212	+0	open	—	04-27 18:17
us x iran diplomatic meeting by april 24 2026	3	$4.7K	2,766	2,766	+0	open	—	04-23 16:23
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	5	$4.5K	6,901	6,901	+0	open	—	06-01 12:02
Will Iran strike Qatar by April 30, 2026?	2	$4.5K	2,425	2,425	+0	open	—	04-28 09:03

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-09 20:06:40	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	6,042	83¢	$5,000	0x16bc3b…
06-09 19:57:12	Azerbaijan vs. San Marino: O/U 4.5	Under	SELL	1,136	100¢	$1,135	0xcfb55d…
06-09 19:36:15	Azerbaijan vs. San Marino: O/U 4.5	Under	BUY	1,136	88¢	$1,000	0x20093d…
06-09 17:12:39	fif hun kaz 2026 06 09 total 3pt5	Under	BUY	510	49¢	$250	0x96294c…
06-09 16:55:22	Armenia vs. Moldova: O/U 2.5	Under	SELL	774	100¢	$774	0x2a395e…
06-09 15:16:49	Armenia vs. Moldova: O/U 2.5	Under	BUY	774	65¢	$500	0x4e7b2d…
06-09 13:29:13	fif chn tha 2026 06 09 total 0pt5	Under	SELL	526	95¢	$500	0x0e24a6…
06-09 13:02:45	fif chn tha 2026 06 09 total 0pt5	Under	BUY	526	38¢	$200	0x3fe291…
06-09 12:22:28	crint bgd2 aus3 2026 06 09	Australia	SELL	3,318	0¢	$3	0xb8365f…
06-09 09:11:18	crint bgd2 aus3 2026 06 09	Australia	BUY	568	44¢	$250	0x415053…
06-08 22:09:37	nba sas nyk 2026 06 08	Spurs	BUY	638	47¢	$300	0x4dc7d5…
06-08 21:03:36	crint wst2 lka2 2026 06 08	West Indies	SELL	1,000	49¢	$490	0x9da388…
06-08 15:58:16	crint wst2 lka2 2026 06 08	West Indies	BUY	1,000	50¢	$500	0xa01486…
06-08 09:37:01	crint bgd2 aus3 2026 06 09	Australia	BUY	1,578	63¢	$1,000	0x14b1f4…
06-08 00:03:16	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 7 2026	No	SELL	5,556	100¢	$5,544	0x97d9ec…
06-07 17:35:24	crint bgd2 aus3 2026 06 09	Australia	BUY	403	62¢	$250	0x120d9a…
06-07 15:13:48	Liechtenstein vs. Cyprus: Both Teams to Score	No	SELL	500	100¢	$500	0xd246eb…
06-07 09:48:12	Liechtenstein vs. Cyprus: Both Teams to Score	No	BUY	500	60¢	$300	0x0fce68…
06-07 09:38:27	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	1,449	69¢	$1,000	0x845462…
06-07 00:28:57	crint bgd2 aus3 2026 06 09	Australia	BUY	769	65¢	$500	0x3a3f0c…
06-06 20:29:19	crint wst2 lka2 2026 06 06	West Indies	SELL	1,103	48¢	$533	0xaaaeba…
06-06 19:44:06	crint can2 usa3 2026 06 06	USA	BUY	1,248	80¢	$1,000	0x4df4d3…
06-06 17:04:45	crint wst2 lka2 2026 06 06	West Indies	BUY	1,103	45¢	$500	0xba91f5…
06-06 17:00:49	crint can2 usa3 2026 06 06	USA	BUY	684	73¢	$500	0xeee1a0…
06-06 15:08:48	joe rogan confirmed 60 minutes correspondent by june 30	Yes	SELL	1,000	2¢	$16	0xb20ef6…
06-04 23:53:16	crint bhr sgp 2026 06 04	Bahrain	BUY	658	65¢	$427	0x36ff23…
06-04 23:38:49	eth updown 5m 1780616100	Down	SELL	281	34¢	$96	0xb89d30…
06-04 23:38:24	eth updown 5m 1780616100	Down	BUY	281	18¢	$50	0x9fc6c4…
06-04 23:35:31	eth updown 5m 1780616100	Down	SELL	186	39¢	$73	0x1491bc…
06-04 23:35:12	eth updown 5m 1780616100	Down	BUY	92	54¢	$50	0xd09416…
06-04 23:35:10	eth updown 5m 1780616100	Down	BUY	94	53¢	$50	0x5964f2…
06-04 23:31:09	eth updown 5m 1780615800	Down	BUY	97	51¢	$50	0x7003e8…
06-04 23:31:04	eth updown 5m 1780615800	Down	SELL	239	51¢	$121	0x823d49…
06-04 23:30:54	eth updown 5m 1780615800	Down	BUY	94	53¢	$50	0x588979…
06-04 23:30:15	eth updown 5m 1780615800	Down	BUY	146	34¢	$50	0xe69684…
06-04 23:26:52	eth updown 5m 1780615500	Down	BUY	111	45¢	$50	0xbb8df2…
06-04 23:24:21	eth updown 5m 1780615200	Up	SELL	52	64¢	$33	0x00f6ad…
06-04 23:23:37	eth updown 5m 1780615200	Up	BUY	52	55¢	$28	0x12bd5c…
06-04 22:39:16	eth updown 5m 1780612500	Down	SELL	134	3¢	$4	0xe3fd91…
06-04 22:38:52	eth updown 5m 1780612500	Down	BUY	466	11¢	$50	0x278643…
06-04 22:37:36	eth updown 5m 1780612500	Down	SELL	340	8¢	$26	0x482df9…
06-04 22:37:07	eth updown 5m 1780612500	Down	BUY	340	11¢	$39	0xa17042…
06-04 22:36:48	eth updown 5m 1780612500	Down	SELL	53	8¢	$4	0x6dd37a…
06-04 22:36:37	eth updown 5m 1780612500	Down	SELL	254	18¢	$46	0xf1e953…
06-04 22:36:06	eth updown 5m 1780612500	Down	BUY	306	16¢	$50	0x84f00a…
06-04 22:35:54	eth updown 5m 1780612500	Up	SELL	85	86¢	$73	0xbb2c8b…
06-04 22:35:19	eth updown 5m 1780612500	Up	BUY	85	59¢	$50	0xeaac17…
06-04 22:32:07	eth updown 5m 1780612200	Up	BUY	200	25¢	$50	0x98b3c9…
06-04 22:30:36	eth updown 5m 1780612200	Up	SELL	110	45¢	$49	0xc0c933…
06-04 22:30:21	eth updown 5m 1780612200	Up	BUY	110	45¢	$50	0xa24f52…
06-04 22:29:52	eth updown 5m 1780611900	Up	SELL	268	5¢	$14	0x169764…
06-04 22:29:22	eth updown 5m 1780611900	Up	BUY	268	19¢	$50	0x856fe9…
06-04 22:28:57	eth updown 5m 1780611900	Down	SELL	151	51¢	$77	0xd9391c…
06-04 22:28:39	eth updown 5m 1780611900	Down	BUY	151	33¢	$50	0xd7e436…
06-04 22:28:09	eth updown 5m 1780611900	Up	SELL	103	70¢	$72	0x904ed2…
06-04 22:27:51	eth updown 5m 1780611900	Up	BUY	103	48¢	$50	0x3709cf…
06-04 22:27:33	eth updown 5m 1780611900	Up	SELL	152	42¢	$64	0x820430…
06-04 22:27:01	eth updown 5m 1780611900	Up	BUY	152	33¢	$50	0x3b5ae1…
06-04 22:24:13	eth updown 5m 1780611600	Down	SELL	46	36¢	$16	0xab47ae…
06-04 22:23:46	eth updown 5m 1780611600	Down	BUY	179	28¢	$50	0x0223af…
06-04 22:22:49	eth updown 5m 1780611600	Down	SELL	188	70¢	$132	0x8f8fbd…
06-04 22:21:43	eth updown 5m 1780611600	Down	BUY	95	52¢	$50	0x2571b0…
06-04 22:21:18	eth updown 5m 1780611600	Down	BUY	92	54¢	$50	0x36db54…
06-04 22:15:45	trump orders federal review of ai model releases by june 30	No	SELL	3,272	46¢	$1,511	0x972737…
06-04 21:15:58	trump orders federal review of ai model releases by june 30	No	BUY	3,272	61¢	$2,000	0x8fdd41…
06-04 19:30:49	joe rogan confirmed 60 minutes correspondent by june 30	Yes	BUY	1,000	5¢	$50	0xed1e42…
06-04 00:01:12	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	12,500	0¢	$25	0xb72af5…
06-03 23:25:18	crint wst2 lka2 2026 06 03	Sri Lanka	SELL	3,551	100¢	$3,547	0x71925b…
06-03 21:21:42	crint wst2 lka2 2026 06 03	Sri Lanka	BUY	1,250	80¢	$1,000	0x961b83…
06-03 20:19:22	crint wst2 lka2 2026 06 03	Sri Lanka	BUY	334	60¢	$200	0x32c8c4…
06-03 19:45:06	crint wst2 lka2 2026 06 03	Sri Lanka	BUY	536	47¢	$250	0x4118c7…
06-03 15:55:10	T20 Scotland Tri-Series, Women: Scotland vs Netherlands	Scotland	SELL	1,691	100¢	$1,689	0xded52c…
06-03 14:43:28	ODI Series West Indies vs Sri Lanka: West Indies vs Sri Lanka	Sri Lanka	BUY	505	49¢	$250	0xafab11…
06-03 14:23:24	T20 Scotland Tri-Series, Women: Scotland vs Netherlands	Scotland	BUY	1,266	79¢	$1,000	0xc80031…
06-03 14:11:25	ODI Series West Indies vs Sri Lanka: West Indies vs Sri Lanka	Sri Lanka	BUY	926	54¢	$500	0x4e624d…
06-03 14:10:55	T20 Scotland Tri-Series, Women: Scotland vs Netherlands	Scotland	BUY	425	67¢	$285	0x879edd…
06-03 10:51:22	Ethereum Up or Down - June 3, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	Down	SELL	148	88¢	$130	0x2efe0d…
06-03 10:50:57	Ethereum Up or Down - June 3, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	Down	BUY	72	69¢	$50	0xdb0917…
06-03 10:50:47	Ethereum Up or Down - June 3, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	Down	BUY	76	66¢	$50	0x490fcd…
06-03 10:47:57	Ethereum Up or Down - June 3, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Down	BUY	118	42¢	$50	0x36a4b8…
06-03 10:47:26	Ethereum Up or Down - June 3, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Up	SELL	111	62¢	$69	0xada8c4…
06-03 10:45:58	Ethereum Up or Down - June 3, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Up	BUY	111	45¢	$50	0xaa0202…
06-03 10:41:27	Ethereum Up or Down - June 3, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Up	BUY	236	21¢	$50	0xdd850e…
06-03 10:39:38	Ethereum Up or Down - June 3, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Up	SELL	21	99¢	$21	0x273e1e…
06-03 10:39:24	Ethereum Up or Down - June 3, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Up	SELL	71	90¢	$64	0xb89d8b…
06-03 10:39:16	Ethereum Up or Down - June 3, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Up	BUY	93	54¢	$50	0x1a3744…
06-03 10:34:46	Ethereum Up or Down - June 3, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Up	SELL	9	74¢	$6	0xa27b5a…
06-03 10:34:32	Ethereum Up or Down - June 3, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Up	BUY	77	65¢	$50	0xaec138…
06-03 10:32:42	Ethereum Up or Down - June 3, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Up	SELL	248	32¢	$80	0x0f3c41…
06-03 10:32:05	Ethereum Up or Down - June 3, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Up	BUY	248	20¢	$50	0x5e5daf…
06-03 10:31:20	Ethereum Up or Down - June 3, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Down	SELL	156	52¢	$82	0x401cf3…
06-03 10:31:04	Ethereum Up or Down - June 3, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Down	BUY	156	32¢	$50	0x0bcfff…
06-03 10:28:32	Ethereum Up or Down - June 3, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	Up	SELL	185	59¢	$110	0x03f9d6…
06-03 10:26:17	Ethereum Up or Down - June 3, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	Up	BUY	103	48¢	$50	0xc49cee…
06-03 10:25:52	Ethereum Up or Down - June 3, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	Up	BUY	81	61¢	$50	0x719185…
06-03 10:23:36	Ethereum Up or Down - June 3, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Up	SELL	295	89¢	$262	0x814c6f…
06-03 10:20:51	Ethereum Up or Down - June 3, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Up	BUY	93	54¢	$50	0x1d5b4c…
06-03 10:20:22	Ethereum Up or Down - June 3, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Up	BUY	116	43¢	$50	0xa42e71…
06-03 10:20:13	Ethereum Up or Down - June 3, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Up	BUY	86	58¢	$50	0xbad771…
06-03 10:16:17	Ethereum Up or Down - June 3, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Up	BUY	88	57¢	$50	0x49ceb9…