Courageous-Pressure — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$2.37K

Unrealized P&L

-$10

Hit rate

38.7%

Resolved

Trades

170

lifetime

Volume

$4.38K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$26

Open exposure

$28

4 positions

First seen

2026-02-16

last 10-05 21:27

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 27 days

Categories

Politics

77% 33% -$2,289

Other

22% 63% +$72

Sports

1% 50% -$141

Crypto

0% 14% -$10

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

11 active days in 12wk • peak 38 trades/day

Open positions (4) Resolved markets (26) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?	No	-14	-$10	92¢	$-13	-$3	05-17 06:37
Russia x Ukraine Peace Combo	No	-13	-$11	97¢	$-13	-$2	05-17 14:26
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	Yes	+9	$2	16¢	$1	-$1	10-05 21:27
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	Yes	+52	$5	2¢	$1	-$4	05-08 09:30

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	17	$1.8K	6,987	6,987	+0	No	-$1,685	09-21 08:41
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	9	$810	502	502	+0	Yes	+$87	04-12 18:41
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	3	$629	330	330	+0	No	+$15	04-26 04:51
Will Rodina gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	65	$493	118,114	0	+118,114	No	-$493	08-20 18:50
Will Yabloko gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	5	$221	42,685	26,883	+15,802	No	-$113	08-22 19:14
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	3	$123	93	93	+0	Yes	+$9	04-12 11:25
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	1	$34	179	0	+179	No	-$34	06-20 11:14
russia elections united russia wins every region	2	$27	36	36	+0	Yes	-$3	08-22 07:26
Will Mirra Andreeva win the 2026 Women’s French Open?	2	$24	14	14	+0	Yes	+$4	06-06 16:07
ukraine signs peace deal with russia by march 31	2	$21	11	11	+0	No	+$1	03-15 09:32
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	1	$17	0	124	-124	Yes	-$107	06-20 11:12
Will Putin visit China by May 31?	2	$16	8	8	+0	Yes	+$0	05-17 14:26
will crude oil cl hit low 80 by end of march 459 543 676 456 138 869 867 397	2	$13	22	22	+0	No	+$1	03-23 15:16
World Championships: Switzerland vs. Finland	1	$11	22	0	+22	Switzerland	-$11	05-26 15:55
Roland Garros WTA: Anhelina Kalinina vs Diane Parry	2	$11	12	0	+12	Diane Parry	-$11	05-26 15:49
will the bank of russia decrease the key rate after the march meeting	2	$11	7	7	+0	Yes	+$1	03-15 13:20
Russia x Ukraine Peace Combo	1	$11	0	13	-13	open	—	05-17 14:26
Will Zelenskyy talk to Putin by December 31?	2	$10	16	16	+0	open	—	05-27 07:23
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?	1	$10	0	14	-14	open	—	05-17 06:37
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by June 30?	1	$6	0	6	-6	No	$0	05-17 14:25
Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	1	$6	120	0	+120	No	-$6	05-11 21:24
World Championships: Czechia vs. Canada	1	$6	8	0	+8	Canada	+$2	05-26 15:55
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	1	$5	39	0	+39	No	-$5	05-09 13:37
Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	1	$5	105	0	+105	No	-$5	05-11 21:24
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-24 16:40 UTC	1	$5	10	0	+10	Up	-$5	02-24 16:39
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	1	$5	52	0	+52	open	—	05-08 09:30
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16?	1	$5	7	0	+7	Yes	+$2	06-15 20:09
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-18?	1	$5	8	0	+8	Yes	+$3	06-15 20:10
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	1	$5	6	0	+6	Yes	-$5	02-16 18:40
Floyd Mayweather vs. Manny Pacquiao 2	1	$3	5	0	+5	cancelled	-$1	05-26 14:44

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-05 21:27:14	NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	9	22¢	$2	0x0d2880…
09-21 08:41:53	Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	SELL	6,849	0¢	$14	0x8c7baf…
09-06 19:49:07	Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0xa0b472…
09-06 12:25:51	Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	3,009	26¢	$780	0x2c1f51…
08-22 19:14:10	Will Yabloko gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	15,802	0¢	$47	0x069d4c…
08-22 07:26:58	Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0x0a6bd5…
08-22 07:26:48	Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	41	24¢	$10	0x698c0e…
08-22 07:26:03	russia elections united russia wins every region	No	SELL	36	33¢	$12	0xef1200…
08-20 18:50:10	Will Rodina gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	47	1¢	$0	0xdd379a…
08-20 17:47:12	Will Rodina gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	76	1¢	$0	0x493037…
08-20 17:47:12	Will Rodina gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	20	1¢	$0	0x06afb6…
08-20 17:22:07	Will Rodina gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	16	1¢	$0	0xa7d1a9…
08-20 17:10:48	Will Rodina gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	200	1¢	$1	0x29c297…
08-20 16:37:51	Will Rodina gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	16	1¢	$0	0x180687…
08-20 16:37:51	Will Rodina gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	75	1¢	$0	0x02e540…
08-20 16:27:04	Will Rodina gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x7a33c0…
08-20 15:59:12	Will Rodina gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	30	1¢	$0	0x790dc6…
08-20 15:59:12	Will Rodina gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	20	1¢	$0	0x121f6f…
08-20 15:38:51	Will Rodina gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	7	1¢	$0	0x3f6447…
08-20 15:38:49	Will Rodina gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	2	1¢	$0	0xc1a9ed…
08-20 15:29:54	Will Rodina gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	1	1¢	$0	0x7ab2db…
08-20 15:05:52	Will Rodina gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	1,111	1¢	$8	0x97345f…
08-20 15:05:43	Will Rodina gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	222	2¢	$4	0x252070…
08-20 15:05:34	Will Rodina gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	111	2¢	$2	0x34fc0b…
08-20 15:01:15	Will Rodina gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	109	2¢	$2	0x24827a…
08-20 15:00:15	Will Rodina gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	111	2¢	$2	0x52602c…
08-20 14:59:12	Will Rodina gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	2	2¢	$0	0x382f1c…
08-20 14:58:40	Will Rodina gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0xddb72d…
08-20 14:58:40	Will Rodina gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	60	2¢	$1	0xd3d3e4…
08-20 14:58:24	Will Rodina gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	493	2¢	$7	0x79d367…
08-20 14:58:22	Will Rodina gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	7	1¢	$0	0x429fa2…
08-20 14:58:13	Will Rodina gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	2	1¢	$0	0x48c8c2…
08-20 14:58:03	Will Rodina gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	90	1¢	$1	0xebbc82…
08-20 14:58:03	Will Rodina gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	19	1¢	$0	0xcf2235…
08-20 14:57:49	Will Rodina gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	0	1¢	$0	0xa175c0…
08-20 14:57:43	Will Rodina gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	429	1¢	$6	0xd4a30a…
08-20 14:57:42	Will Rodina gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	70	1¢	$1	0xdc17e8…
08-20 14:57:19	Will Rodina gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	30	1¢	$0	0xcb7dbf…
08-20 14:57:19	Will Rodina gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	80	1¢	$1	0x44f50f…
08-20 14:57:18	Will Rodina gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	61	1¢	$1	0xd1c012…
08-20 14:57:07	Will Rodina gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	50	1¢	$1	0xc36f79…
08-20 14:56:49	Will Rodina gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	333	1¢	$3	0x6f72de…
08-20 14:52:39	Will Rodina gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	491	0¢	$2	0x715ad8…
08-20 14:52:28	Will Rodina gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	1,250	0¢	$5	0xdcf5f3…
08-20 14:52:07	Will Rodina gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	250	0¢	$1	0xdea8df…
08-20 14:27:34	Will Yabloko gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	SELL	26,883	0¢	$54	0xf1114f…
08-19 14:13:25	Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	745	21¢	$157	0x3e1e6a…
08-19 14:12:46	Will Rodina gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	15,101	1¢	$100	0xc1772e…
08-19 06:54:15	Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	43	21¢	$9	0xceed09…
08-19 06:54:04	Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	344	20¢	$70	0x97a706…
08-19 06:31:15	Will Rodina gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	2	0¢	$0	0xd34890…
08-19 05:55:43	Will Rodina gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	80	0¢	$0	0xcc1a22…
08-19 05:52:31	Will Rodina gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	1	0¢	$0	0x4f7278…
08-19 03:24:43	Will Rodina gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	15	0¢	$0	0xafe55e…
08-19 02:10:45	Will Rodina gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	2	0¢	$0	0xd3caf3…
08-19 02:05:36	Will Rodina gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	2	0¢	$0	0x56a791…
08-19 02:00:24	Will Rodina gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	11	0¢	$0	0x415e80…
08-19 01:08:45	Will Rodina gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	1	0¢	$0	0xd260af…
08-19 00:37:37	Will Rodina gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	32	0¢	$0	0x12ed76…
08-19 00:23:39	Will Rodina gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	2	0¢	$0	0x628f17…
08-18 23:57:58	Will Rodina gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	2	0¢	$0	0xdf4b7f…
08-18 21:28:45	Will Rodina gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	2	0¢	$0	0x8241d3…
08-18 21:20:51	Will Rodina gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	2	0¢	$0	0x32830f…
08-18 20:52:54	Will Rodina gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	2	0¢	$0	0x92bd7c…
08-18 20:43:27	Will Rodina gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	2	0¢	$0	0x165804…
08-18 20:22:12	Will Rodina gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	2	0¢	$0	0xa99a07…
08-18 20:15:22	Will Rodina gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	2	0¢	$0	0xada4c1…
08-18 19:14:06	Will Rodina gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	2	0¢	$0	0x16a044…
08-18 19:12:51	Will Rodina gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	2	0¢	$0	0xaed5ea…
08-18 19:00:58	Will Rodina gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	13,066	0¢	$39	0x7c6606…
08-18 17:08:15	russia elections united russia wins every region	No	BUY	36	42¢	$15	0xb619dd…
08-18 13:02:21	Will Rodina gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	16,989	1¢	$100	0xfd097c…
08-18 13:01:03	Will Rodina gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	66,667	0¢	$200	0x96407a…
08-17 15:05:58	Will Yabloko gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	21,828	0¢	$100	0x5e9b71…
08-17 08:54:01	Will Yabloko gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	55	0¢	$0	0xb316b6…
08-15 16:14:25	Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	766	19¢	$149	0x4c09f7…
08-13 08:57:39	Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	683	27¢	$182	0xba61bb…
08-13 08:57:07	Will Yabloko gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	5,000	0¢	$20	0x7dcfc5…
08-13 08:54:43	Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	38	26¢	$10	0xf0ffa8…
08-12 08:15:27	Will Yabloko win the next Sverdlovsk Oblast Parliament elections?	Yes	SELL	53	1¢	$1	0xcfe7bc…
08-05 14:57:20	Will Yabloko win the next Sverdlovsk Oblast Parliament elections?	Yes	BUY	53	2¢	$1	0x05e48a…
08-05 11:24:15	Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	SELL	1	25¢	$0	0xccdaf7…
06-23 11:18:52	Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0xa5e59f…
06-20 11:14:55	Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	179	19¢	$34	0xaf5255…
06-20 11:12:49	Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	124	14¢	$17	0x5fba99…
06-15 20:10:40	Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?	Yes	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0x187629…
06-15 20:10:10	Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-18?	Yes	BUY	8	63¢	$5	0x773ba5…
06-15 20:09:45	Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17?	Yes	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0x7a75b2…
06-15 20:09:28	Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16?	Yes	BUY	7	71¢	$5	0x1f7769…
06-15 20:09:07	Will France win on 2026-06-16?	Yes	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0x27f17e…
06-15 20:08:45	Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-15?	Yes	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0xd16c3f…
06-06 16:07:55	Will Mirra Andreeva win the 2026 Women’s French Open?	Yes	SELL	14	100¢	$14	0x6b15cc…
06-04 15:02:25	Will Mirra Andreeva win the 2026 Women’s French Open?	Yes	BUY	14	72¢	$10	0x1560c1…
05-27 07:23:49	Will Zelenskyy talk to Putin by December 31?	Yes	SELL	16	27¢	$4	0x095611…
05-26 15:55:55	World Championships: Switzerland vs. Finland	Finland	BUY	22	49¢	$11	0xc2abc2…
05-26 15:55:33	World Championships: Czechia vs. Canada	Canada	BUY	8	78¢	$6	0x3c3090…
05-26 15:49:18	Roland Garros WTA: Anhelina Kalinina vs Diane Parry	Anhelina Kalinina	BUY	11	91¢	$10	0xb24a12…
05-26 15:49:02	Roland Garros WTA: Anhelina Kalinina vs Diane Parry	Anhelina Kalinina	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x0d9359…
05-26 14:44:59	Floyd Mayweather vs. Manny Pacquiao 2	Mayweather	BUY	5	63¢	$3	0x9d90b5…
05-19 16:02:59	Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,100 and $2,200 on May 20?	Yes	BUY	3	59¢	$2	0x4dd465…