Realized P&L
Unrealized P&L
-$85
Hit rate
Resolved
0
Trades
28
lifetime
Volume
$11.8K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$422
Open exposure
$4.87K
9 positions
First seen
2026-05-06
last 06-12 16:44
Equity curve
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Politics
63%
Other
37%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
9 active days in 12wk • peak 7 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? No -1,758 $-1,698 100¢ $-1755 $-56 06-09 00:56
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30? No +1,661 $1,400 100¢ $1.7K +$257 06-12 16:44
Netanyahu out by end of 2026? Yes -969 $-503 48¢ $-460 +$42 06-01 21:27
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? No +645 $500 68¢ $435 $-65 06-10 23:28
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? No +1,786 $500 18¢ $312 $-187 06-10 23:28
Netanyahu out by end of 2026? No -407 $-179 52¢ $-214 $-35 06-01 21:27
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? Yes +273 $30 12¢ $31 +$1 06-10 02:04
Israel closes its airspace by June 30? Yes +333 $50 $0 $-49 06-01 21:36
Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30? Yes -364 $-7 $-0 +$7 06-01 21:28