Mindless-Cob — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$587

Unrealized P&L

+$0

Hit rate

44.7%

Resolved

292

Trades

613

lifetime

Volume

$22.1K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$36

Open exposure

$228

6 positions

First seen

2026-05-24

last 11-03 12:32

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 103 days

Categories

Other

46% 44% -$466

Politics

32% 75% -$180

Sports

11% 65% +$119

Crypto

11% 34% -$62

Pop-Culture

1% 100% +$1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

70 active days in 12wk • peak 20 trades/day

Open positions (6) Resolved markets (28) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?	No	+103	$95	98¢	$101	+$5	09-15 17:55
Opensea FDV above $5B one day after launch?	No	+50	$47	98¢	$49	+$2	06-15 12:31
Trump out as President before 2027?	No	+50	$45	97¢	$49	+$3	06-15 12:33
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting?	Yes	+150	$39	20¢	$29	-$10	11-03 12:32
Will Chelsea win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?	Yes	+50	$1	2¢	$1	$0	10-25 03:23
Will Liverpool win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?	Yes	+3	$0	6¢	$0	$0	10-27 15:54

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	2	$3.4K	2,315	2,315	+0	No	-$69	05-24 22:09
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	2	$2.5K	1,607	1,607	+0	No	-$129	05-25 19:38
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in October?	22	$665	469	456	+13	No	-$36	10-27 04:52
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?	36	$597	655	586	+69	Yes	+$74	10-30 22:30
Will Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC win on 2026-05-30?	4	$573	318	318	+0	Yes	-$25	05-30 13:47
San Diego Padres vs. Washington Nationals	3	$525	353	201	+152	Washington Nationals	-$19	05-30 22:36
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	15	$387	338	338	+0	Yes	-$43	10-26 23:58
Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in September?	10	$375	230	230	+0	No	+$0	09-24 08:43
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	14	$312	345	345	+0	Yes	-$1	10-24 11:17
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $760 on June 1?	4	$284	156	156	+0	No	-$14	06-01 17:40
Will Bitcoin reach $92,500 in October?	6	$284	150	150	+0	No	+$9	10-24 10:30
Will Molde FK win on 2026-05-30?	2	$276	150	150	+0	Yes	-$12	05-30 15:48
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $91 on June 1?	3	$231	173	98	+75	Yes	-$31	06-01 19:20
Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?	10	$207	250	250	+0	open	—	10-03 04:27
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in October?	13	$204	229	167	+62	Yes	+$12	10-17 01:33
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in October?	16	$203	422	137	+285	Yes	-$64	10-13 19:06
Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Colombia's election?	1	$197	204	0	+204	No	+$7	05-31 11:08
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in September?	3	$196	100	100	+0	No	+$2	09-17 01:54
Will Santos FC win on 2026-05-30?	1	$191	197	0	+197	Yes	+$6	05-31 00:24
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 39°C on May 29?	2	$190	189	189	+0	Yes	-$184	05-29 07:47
Atlanta Braves vs. Cincinnati Reds	1	$185	191	0	+191	Atlanta Braves	+$6	05-31 01:40
Spread: Seattle Mariners (-3.5)	1	$185	191	0	+191	Arizona Diamondbacks	+$6	05-30 04:34
Will FC Andorra win on 2026-05-31?	1	$181	185	0	+185	No	+$4	05-31 17:51
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Arsenal FC end in a draw?	1	$179	186	0	+186	Yes	+$7	05-30 18:00
Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?	8	$174	202	202	+0	open	—	10-24 13:39
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 9.5	1	$174	181	0	+181	Under	+$7	05-29 00:20
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on June 6?	3	$173	101	89	+12	Yes	-$14	06-06 08:56
will bitcoin reach 90k in september 2026	11	$172	229	229	+0	No	-$4	09-26 12:39
Will North Macedonia win on 2026-05-29?	1	$169	176	0	+176	No	+$7	05-29 20:21
Will Nationalist Party win the most seats in the House of Representatives in the 2026 Maltese general election?	1	$158	164	0	+164	No	+$6	05-29 22:09

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-03 12:32:00	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	50	26¢	$13	0x0a7acf…
11-03 11:01:12	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	50	26¢	$13	0xa1f78c…
11-03 10:45:06	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	50	26¢	$13	0x62fa26…
10-31 10:09:01	Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in October?	Yes	SELL	50	3¢	$1	0x91c1a5…
10-30 22:30:30	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?	No	BUY	58	10¢	$6	0x543851…
10-30 22:14:49	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?	Yes	SELL	10	86¢	$9	0x080b9c…
10-30 21:56:07	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?	No	BUY	10	11¢	$1	0xe7d86c…
10-30 21:56:06	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?	Yes	SELL	44	89¢	$39	0x8c62c3…
10-30 21:47:07	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?	Yes	SELL	54	87¢	$47	0x1a321a…
10-30 21:36:15	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?	Yes	SELL	56	71¢	$40	0x60d261…
10-30 21:28:54	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?	Yes	SELL	60	50¢	$30	0xb38331…
10-30 21:27:33	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?	Yes	SELL	4	36¢	$1	0x8be4fc…
10-30 21:22:30	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?	Yes	SELL	6	18¢	$1	0x34ae3f…
10-30 20:03:57	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?	Yes	BUY	60	6¢	$4	0xa04416…
10-30 18:02:43	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?	Yes	BUY	10	41¢	$4	0x41e329…
10-30 15:24:04	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?	Yes	BUY	10	46¢	$5	0x21fc9a…
10-30 14:16:49	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?	Yes	BUY	44	65¢	$29	0xe5e950…
10-30 12:39:27	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?	Yes	BUY	54	51¢	$28	0x3b68e6…
10-30 09:43:34	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?	Yes	BUY	56	43¢	$24	0x6caf35…
10-30 05:29:06	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?	No	SELL	21	58¢	$12	0x3681ea…
10-30 05:27:16	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?	No	SELL	22	59¢	$13	0x122938…
10-30 05:18:28	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?	No	SELL	34	59¢	$20	0x2f12e1…
10-29 15:30:01	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?	Yes	SELL	50	9¢	$4	0x41c00a…
10-29 14:22:16	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?	Yes	BUY	50	14¢	$7	0x183018…
10-29 09:50:59	Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in October?	Yes	SELL	50	2¢	$1	0x61eea5…
10-28 13:44:29	Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in October?	Yes	SELL	50	6¢	$3	0x8917fd…
10-28 05:02:41	Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in October?	Yes	SELL	14	5¢	$1	0x6cb786…
10-27 15:54:21	Will Liverpool win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?	Yes	SELL	50	7¢	$4	0xcc9a44…
10-27 06:50:02	Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in October?	Yes	BUY	50	4¢	$2	0xc98187…
10-27 04:52:09	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in October?	No	SELL	50	97¢	$49	0xfc7144…
10-27 04:48:36	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in October?	No	SELL	50	97¢	$49	0x4e88c6…
10-26 23:58:03	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	48	93¢	$45	0xddc133…
10-26 23:47:47	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	48	94¢	$45	0x5d25ca…
10-26 12:48:45	Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	SELL	50	25¢	$12	0x09033b…
10-26 10:32:21	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	50	95¢	$48	0x2e74b5…
10-26 08:53:26	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	50	95¢	$48	0xfba92c…
10-25 20:41:06	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	50	95¢	$48	0xcffb8b…
10-25 20:36:24	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	50	95¢	$48	0x751426…
10-25 15:05:47	Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	50	17¢	$8	0x4770e7…
10-25 14:18:02	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in October?	No	SELL	38	96¢	$36	0x8895a1…
10-25 13:48:35	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in October?	No	BUY	50	96¢	$48	0x72d7ae…
10-25 13:43:21	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in October?	No	SELL	50	96¢	$48	0x7d2cc0…
10-25 10:33:15	Will Liverpool win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?	Yes	SELL	47	5¢	$2	0x099229…
10-25 05:33:50	Will Bitcoin dip to $77,500 in October?	Yes	SELL	51	37¢	$19	0xc2f3f3…
10-25 03:26:42	Will Liverpool win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?	Yes	SELL	50	5¢	$2	0x5d1d87…
10-25 03:23:14	Will Chelsea win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?	Yes	SELL	50	4¢	$2	0xf559dd…
10-24 18:42:21	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in October?	No	SELL	50	96¢	$48	0x707b47…
10-24 18:11:12	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in October?	No	BUY	50	96¢	$48	0x426fd9…
10-24 16:26:26	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in October?	No	BUY	50	97¢	$49	0x1639bc…
10-24 15:24:51	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in October?	No	BUY	50	97¢	$48	0x726c0d…
10-24 13:39:53	Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?	No	SELL	51	37¢	$19	0xf20cb1…
10-24 11:59:02	Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?	No	SELL	51	37¢	$19	0xaa4952…
10-24 11:17:14	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	SELL	50	25¢	$12	0x81d836…
10-24 10:30:02	Will Bitcoin reach $92,500 in October?	No	SELL	50	98¢	$49	0x24d933…
10-24 09:48:44	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in October?	No	BUY	50	96¢	$48	0xf57313…
10-24 09:44:51	Will Bitcoin reach $92,500 in October?	No	SELL	50	98¢	$49	0xaef032…
10-24 02:11:32	Will Bitcoin dip to $77,500 in October?	Yes	BUY	51	38¢	$19	0x813d38…
10-24 01:27:18	Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in October?	Yes	BUY	50	18¢	$9	0x633c67…
10-23 22:36:18	Will Bitcoin reach $92,500 in October?	No	SELL	50	97¢	$48	0x916229…
10-23 20:31:00	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	SELL	50	24¢	$12	0xa3fdb0…
10-23 19:45:33	Will Bitcoin dip to $77,500 in October?	Yes	BUY	50	32¢	$16	0xcc00b1…
10-23 19:34:02	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in October?	No	SELL	50	93¢	$46	0x5f7db9…
10-23 16:43:08	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in October?	Yes	SELL	50	1¢	$0	0x6cd179…
10-23 14:22:26	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in October?	No	BUY	50	92¢	$46	0x1a9dd7…
10-23 11:42:44	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?	No	BUY	22	45¢	$10	0x2d017e…
10-23 10:48:47	Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in October?	Yes	BUY	50	13¢	$6	0x10d494…
10-23 08:39:03	Will Chelsea win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?	Yes	SELL	50	7¢	$3	0x7a893e…
10-23 08:20:39	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in October?	No	SELL	31	94¢	$29	0x9c4774…
10-23 08:16:57	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in October?	No	BUY	31	94¢	$29	0xfd4b36…
10-22 15:36:03	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	50	7¢	$4	0x0a40e0…
10-22 14:15:29	Will Bitcoin reach $92,500 in October?	No	BUY	50	95¢	$48	0x65958b…
10-22 12:12:09	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?	No	BUY	34	59¢	$20	0xdf5e11…
10-22 09:38:42	Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in October?	Yes	SELL	40	15¢	$6	0x301946…
10-22 01:34:35	Will Bitcoin reach $92,500 in October?	No	BUY	50	90¢	$45	0x58520a…
10-21 21:33:59	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	SELL	50	23¢	$12	0xdbf011…
10-21 21:22:30	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	50	24¢	$12	0xf5d193…
10-21 19:20:50	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	50	26¢	$13	0x90da84…
10-21 18:52:38	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in October?	Yes	SELL	25	27¢	$7	0xaa148a…
10-21 18:10:20	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	50	26¢	$13	0xa8432f…
10-21 18:02:00	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	SELL	50	26¢	$13	0x63ca6e…
10-21 16:43:09	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	50	25¢	$13	0xa413c1…
10-21 14:52:17	Will Bitcoin dip to $77,500 in October?	Yes	SELL	50	15¢	$8	0x27959b…
10-21 13:45:00	Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in October?	Yes	SELL	50	9¢	$4	0x3d1a64…
10-21 13:05:15	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in October?	Yes	BUY	25	20¢	$5	0x838d19…
10-21 12:20:17	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?	Yes	SELL	10	37¢	$4	0x2ed42e…
10-21 10:01:12	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	SELL	45	74¢	$33	0x3bd089…
10-21 09:35:26	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	SELL	50	74¢	$37	0x826a20…
10-21 09:35:08	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	SELL	50	74¢	$37	0x8e1f56…
10-21 09:26:06	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	50	12¢	$6	0x4b8733…
10-21 09:11:17	Will Liverpool win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?	Yes	SELL	50	4¢	$2	0x3b511b…
10-21 07:05:35	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	50	74¢	$37	0x7015ab…
10-21 06:39:59	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in October?	Yes	SELL	34	16¢	$5	0x4930b3…
10-21 06:39:18	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in October?	Yes	SELL	7	16¢	$1	0xa98d0c…
10-21 06:11:38	Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in October?	Yes	SELL	10	11¢	$1	0x827fa1…
10-20 10:14:11	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	50	73¢	$36	0xc2f366…
10-20 06:18:55	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?	No	BUY	21	57¢	$12	0x5d1f73…
10-20 03:01:21	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	45	73¢	$33	0xb9631a…
10-20 01:12:35	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in October?	Yes	SELL	52	12¢	$6	0x8baa60…
10-19 18:11:27	Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?	No	BUY	51	37¢	$19	0x690bae…
10-19 18:03:29	Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?	No	BUY	51	37¢	$19	0x6cfd0c…