Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$140

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

81.2%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$16.2K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$225

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-27

last 06-02 06:43

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Politics

39% — —

Other

38% 67% $-140

Crypto

23% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

19 active days in 12wk • peak 11 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (3) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?	6	$3.0K	3,511	3,335	+176	open	—	04-25 20:45
US strikes Iran by March 2, 2026?	2	$2.0K	1,519	1,519	+0	open	—	02-28 07:02
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	2	$1.8K	1,303	1,303	+0	open	—	04-03 23:31
Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 15?	9	$1.8K	5,223	5,223	+0	Yes	+$155	05-09 21:33
Nuclear weapon detonation by June 30?	3	$1.2K	7,334	4,685	+2,649	open	—	03-03 05:41
us x iran ceasefire by april 7	6	$827	7,502	527	+6,975	open	—	04-07 23:16
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by April 30?	4	$827	10,675	10,674	+0	open	—	04-17 00:41
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	2	$766	684	684	+0	open	—	04-24 15:05
Kevin Warsh Fed Chair nomination withdrawn by May 15?	4	$521	10,201	10,201	+0	No	$-410	04-17 00:42
Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	2	$472	4,949	4,949	+0	Yes	+$116	04-21 16:34
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	3	$424	51,068	0	+51,068	open	—	04-05 04:42
netanyahu out by march 31 854	2	$394	6,016	6,016	+0	open	—	03-28 17:22
Tulsi Gabbard out by June 30?	2	$366	638	638	+0	open	—	04-30 02:57
will the iranian regime fall by march 31	2	$241	1,884	1,884	+0	open	—	03-21 00:51
us x iran ceasefire by april 10	2	$235	705	705	+0	open	—	04-07 22:56
will bitcoin dip to 55k in march 2026	2	$209	1,053	1,053	+0	open	—	03-28 17:22
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in April?	1	$200	1,333	0	+1,333	open	—	04-07 01:48
will ethereum dip to 1800 in march 2026	1	$200	770	0	+770	open	—	03-13 17:12
us x iran ceasefire by april 15	2	$198	706	706	+0	open	—	04-07 22:56
Tulsi Gabbard out by April 30?	2	$188	829	0	+829	open	—	04-03 23:57
Kash Patel out by April 30?	1	$100	435	0	+435	open	—	04-03 21:28
us x iran ceasefire by march 31	1	$100	769	0	+769	open	—	03-26 03:01
btc updown 5m 1775437200	1	$83	6,635	0	+6,635	open	—	04-06 01:03
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	2	$76	15,244	0	+15,244	open	—	06-01 22:44
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Keir Starmer by May 31, 2026?	5	$15	506	0	+506	open	—	06-02 06:43
will trump say delcy or rodriguez this week april 5	3	$0	12	12	+0	open	—	04-06 00:31

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-02 06:43:36	Will Donald Trump publicly insult Keir Starmer by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	13	3¢	$0	0x9293d2…
06-02 06:43:15	Will Donald Trump publicly insult Keir Starmer by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	21	3¢	$1	0xd5f2ab…
06-02 06:42:12	Will Donald Trump publicly insult Keir Starmer by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	200	3¢	$6	0xef4436…
06-02 06:40:10	Will Donald Trump publicly insult Keir Starmer by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	122	3¢	$4	0x61df31…
06-02 06:40:01	Will Donald Trump publicly insult Keir Starmer by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	150	3¢	$5	0xbaeb26…
06-01 22:44:20	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	6,930	0¢	$35	0x52a929…
06-01 22:40:14	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	8,314	0¢	$42	0x2034f2…
05-09 21:33:13	Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 15?	No	SELL	3,802	3¢	$119	0xaaf822…
04-30 15:58:18	Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 15?	No	BUY	700	8¢	$56	0xaef82f…
04-30 03:51:06	Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 15?	No	BUY	1,008	10¢	$101	0xde511c…
04-30 03:37:20	Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 15?	No	BUY	492	10¢	$49	0x234054…
04-30 02:57:38	Tulsi Gabbard out by June 30?	Yes	SELL	638	31¢	$195	0xc88a78…
04-30 02:56:56	Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 15?	No	BUY	1,536	13¢	$200	0xe8d3a3…
04-30 02:53:20	Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 15?	No	BUY	19	9¢	$2	0x5003fb…
04-29 19:20:24	Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 15?	No	BUY	47	13¢	$6	0xb4d709…
04-25 20:45:40	Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?	No	SELL	1,697	59¢	$1,001	0x7bc2e6…
04-24 15:05:38	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	684	69¢	$472	0xbe2476…
04-22 16:37:26	Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?	No	BUY	1,799	21¢	$377	0x1f9c46…
04-21 21:06:56	Tulsi Gabbard out by June 30?	Yes	BUY	638	27¢	$171	0x4c8334…
04-21 21:06:46	Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?	Yes	SELL	498	36¢	$179	0x8c7926…
04-21 19:31:18	Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?	Yes	BUY	522	37¢	$193	0xa483de…
04-21 19:25:42	Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?	No	SELL	1,140	62¢	$712	0x849d20…
04-21 16:36:10	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	684	43¢	$294	0x2ad93e…
04-21 16:34:28	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	SELL	4,949	6¢	$294	0x394663…
04-17 21:06:18	Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?	No	BUY	1,190	42¢	$500	0xda4c57…
04-17 00:42:44	Kevin Warsh Fed Chair nomination withdrawn by May 15?	Yes	SELL	10,201	1¢	$56	0x57f192…
04-17 00:41:56	Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by April 30?	Yes	SELL	10,009	2¢	$168	0xaedb2e…
04-17 00:41:56	Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by April 30?	Yes	SELL	666	1¢	$7	0x60ab2c…
04-17 00:41:38	Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 15?	No	SELL	1,420	60¢	$850	0xc2251f…
04-07 23:16:27	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	No	BUY	3,356	6¢	$205	0x04a1d4…
04-07 23:09:05	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	No	BUY	1,293	15¢	$194	0x539efc…
04-07 23:06:27	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	No	BUY	752	13¢	$100	0x2f5fe0…
04-07 22:57:43	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	No	BUY	1,575	6¢	$99	0x2b966e…
04-07 22:56:21	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	No	SELL	527	6¢	$29	0x6d18e8…
04-07 22:56:17	us x iran ceasefire by april 15	No	SELL	706	5¢	$35	0xc46e89…
04-07 22:56:11	us x iran ceasefire by april 10	No	SELL	705	5¢	$35	0x03769f…
04-07 22:51:25	us x iran ceasefire by april 10	No	BUY	705	28¢	$200	0x205720…
04-07 22:51:07	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	No	BUY	527	38¢	$200	0xc8af48…
04-07 22:44:13	us x iran ceasefire by april 15	No	BUY	706	23¢	$162	0x3d0a2c…
04-07 01:48:05	Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in April?	Yes	BUY	1,333	15¢	$200	0xb4f024…
04-06 01:03:59	btc updown 5m 1775437200	Up	BUY	6,635	1¢	$83	0xb027fe…
04-06 00:31:51	will trump say delcy or rodriguez this week april 5	Yes	SELL	12	2¢	$0	0xd17869…
04-06 00:28:59	will trump say delcy or rodriguez this week april 5	Yes	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0x715a80…
04-06 00:25:01	will trump say delcy or rodriguez this week april 5	Yes	BUY	8	2¢	$0	0x8e2722…
04-05 04:42:37	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	Yes	BUY	50,000	0¢	$50	0xc1cb32…
04-03 23:57:19	Tulsi Gabbard out by April 30?	Yes	BUY	472	19¢	$88	0xe9460d…
04-03 23:32:53	Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by April 30?	Yes	BUY	2,909	7¢	$200	0xfeface…
04-03 23:31:47	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	Yes	SELL	1,303	85¢	$1,107	0x67537a…
04-03 23:20:25	Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by April 30?	Yes	BUY	7,766	6¢	$452	0x98910f…
04-03 21:29:09	Tulsi Gabbard out by April 30?	Yes	BUY	357	28¢	$100	0xee6c6b…
04-03 21:28:55	Kash Patel out by April 30?	Yes	BUY	435	23¢	$100	0xb399ac…
04-03 21:09:57	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	BUY	4,949	4¢	$178	0xb84ab3…
04-01 18:02:09	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	Yes	BUY	1,303	55¢	$716	0xeda880…
03-29 02:19:58	Kevin Warsh Fed Chair nomination withdrawn by May 15?	Yes	BUY	1,095	4¢	$42	0x7003ae…
03-28 17:22:17	will bitcoin dip to 55k in march 2026	Yes	SELL	1,053	1¢	$9	0x9f76a0…
03-28 17:22:05	netanyahu out by march 31 854	Yes	SELL	6,016	1¢	$32	0xd4bd83…
03-26 16:24:43	Kevin Warsh Fed Chair nomination withdrawn by May 15?	Yes	BUY	2,872	3¢	$100	0x55a01e…
03-26 03:01:09	us x iran ceasefire by march 31	Yes	BUY	769	13¢	$100	0x59fa02…
03-21 00:52:07	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	Yes	BUY	238	21¢	$50	0x392c60…
03-21 00:51:53	will the iranian regime fall by march 31	Yes	SELL	1,884	2¢	$41	0xcf5bec…
03-14 21:50:27	netanyahu out by march 31 854	Yes	BUY	6,016	6¢	$361	0x27516d…
03-13 19:45:23	Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 15?	No	BUY	1,420	28¢	$401	0x16b3fd…
03-13 19:45:07	Kevin Warsh Fed Chair nomination withdrawn by May 15?	Yes	BUY	6,234	5¢	$324	0x7bcde0…
03-13 17:12:53	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	Yes	BUY	831	39¢	$324	0xf9496d…
03-13 17:12:35	will ethereum dip to 1800 in march 2026	Yes	BUY	770	26¢	$200	0xeeed35…
03-06 21:49:33	will bitcoin dip to 55k in march 2026	Yes	BUY	1,053	19¢	$200	0x62f1c7…
03-06 21:45:55	will the iranian regime fall by march 31	Yes	BUY	1,884	11¢	$200	0xa4a7b6…
03-03 05:41:17	Nuclear weapon detonation by June 30?	Yes	BUY	2,649	14¢	$365	0x6491be…
03-03 05:38:07	Nuclear weapon detonation by June 30?	Yes	SELL	4,685	8¢	$365	0x738157…
03-03 05:37:09	Nuclear weapon detonation by June 30?	Yes	BUY	4,685	11¢	$499	0x3b135d…
02-28 07:02:51	US strikes Iran by March 2, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1,519	99¢	$1,498	0xfbceb3…
02-27 21:36:23	US strikes Iran by March 2, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,519	32¢	$485	0x38e4db…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
Hideous-Racer 0xc8ab…6418	24	$12.9M	14,026	06-03 23:05
Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71	22	$342.1K	5,300	06-01 00:34
Arctic-Kickoff 0xa667…ceb3	21	$134.9K	391	06-01 22:55
Terrible-Ordinary 0x0a6d…1d0a	20	$280.7K	2,212	05-30 15:09
(anonymous) 0xca8f…d963	19	$14.7K	4,419	04-16 16:28
Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24	19	$10.7K	1,083	06-02 06:53
Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf	19	$2.13K	165	06-01 13:46
Firsthand-Eaglet 0x1cdd…e595	18	$243.1K	16,097	06-02 07:14