Realized P&L
-$1.71K
Unrealized P&L
+$471
Hit rate
62.4%
Resolved
27
Trades
76
lifetime
Volume
$16.9K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$222
Open exposure
$132
1 position
First seen
2026-02-27
last 06-28 17:07
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 16 days
Categories
Other
40%
30%
-$1,867
Politics
38%
30%
-$29
Crypto
22%
14%
+$184
Activity
No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-06-28).
| Market | Outcome | Mid 30D | Net shares | Cost basis | Current mid | Current value | Unrealized P&L | Last trade |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | Yes | -3,354 | -$604 | 4¢ | $-132 | +$471 | 04-30 02:57 |
| Market | Trades | Volume USD | Bought | Sold | Net shares | Resolution | P&L | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April? | 6 | $3.0K | 3,511 | 3,335 | +176 | No | +$975 | 04-25 20:45 |
| US strikes Iran by March 2, 2026? | 2 | $2.0K | 1,519 | 1,519 | +0 | Yes | +$1,013 | 02-28 07:02 |
| US forces enter Iran by April 30? | 2 | $1.8K | 1,303 | 1,303 | +0 | Yes | +$391 | 04-03 23:31 |
| Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 15? | 9 | $1.8K | 5,223 | 5,223 | +0 | Yes | +$155 | 05-09 21:33 |
| Nuclear weapon detonation by June 30? | 3 | $1.2K | 7,334 | 4,685 | +2,649 | No | -$499 | 03-03 05:41 |
| us x iran ceasefire by april 7 | 6 | $827 | 7,502 | 527 | +6,975 | Yes | -$769 | 04-07 23:16 |
| Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by April 30? | 4 | $827 | 10,675 | 10,674 | +0 | No | -$477 | 04-17 00:41 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? | 2 | $766 | 684 | 684 | +0 | No | +$178 | 04-24 15:05 |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | 1 | $604 | 0 | 3,354 | -3,354 | open | — | 04-30 02:57 |
| Kevin Warsh Fed Chair nomination withdrawn by May 15? | 4 | $521 | 10,201 | 10,201 | +0 | No | -$410 | 04-17 00:42 |
| Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair? | 2 | $472 | 4,949 | 4,949 | +0 | Yes | +$116 | 04-21 16:34 |
| us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519 | 3 | $424 | 51,068 | 0 | +51,068 | No | -$424 | 04-05 04:42 |
| netanyahu out by march 31 854 | 2 | $394 | 6,016 | 6,016 | +0 | No | -$329 | 03-28 17:22 |
| Tulsi Gabbard out by June 30? | 2 | $366 | 638 | 638 | +0 | Yes | +$24 | 04-30 02:57 |
| will the iranian regime fall by march 31 | 2 | $241 | 1,884 | 1,884 | +0 | No | -$159 | 03-21 00:51 |
| us x iran ceasefire by april 10 | 2 | $235 | 705 | 705 | +0 | Yes | -$165 | 04-07 22:56 |
| will bitcoin dip to 55k in march 2026 | 2 | $209 | 1,053 | 1,053 | +0 | No | -$191 | 03-28 17:22 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in April? | 1 | $200 | 1,333 | 0 | +1,333 | No | -$200 | 04-07 01:48 |
| will ethereum dip to 1800 in march 2026 | 1 | $200 | 770 | 0 | +770 | No | -$200 | 03-13 17:12 |
| us x iran ceasefire by april 15 | 2 | $198 | 706 | 706 | +0 | Yes | -$127 | 04-07 22:56 |
| Tulsi Gabbard out by April 30? | 2 | $188 | 829 | 0 | +829 | No | -$188 | 04-03 23:57 |
| Kash Patel out by April 30? | 1 | $100 | 435 | 0 | +435 | No | -$100 | 04-03 21:28 |
| us x iran ceasefire by march 31 | 1 | $100 | 769 | 0 | +769 | No | -$100 | 03-26 03:01 |
| BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-06 01:00 UTC | 1 | $83 | 6,635 | 0 | +6,635 | Down | -$83 | 04-06 01:03 |
| MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? | 2 | $76 | 15,244 | 0 | +15,244 | No | -$76 | 06-01 22:44 |
| will microstrategy announce a bitcoin purchase june 23 29 | 2 | $41 | 470 | 0 | +470 | No | -$41 | 06-28 17:07 |
| Will Donald Trump publicly insult Keir Starmer by May 31, 2026? | 6 | $26 | 875 | 0 | +875 | No | -$26 | 06-02 06:43 |
| will trump say delcy or rodriguez this week april 5 | 3 | $0 | 12 | 12 | +0 | No | +$0 | 04-06 00:31 |
| Wallet | Shared markets | Overlap volume | Overlap trades | Last seen |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Open this tab to load correlated wallets… | ||||