Warm-Tabletop — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$3.63K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

61.8%

Resolved

30,176

Trades

48,594

lifetime

Volume

$188.5K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-30

last 10-26 19:44

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 189 days

Categories

Crypto

97% 62% -$3,208

Other

3% 58% -$401

Sports

0% 0% -$20

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

72 active days in 12wk • peak 1089 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will the price of bitcoin be between 66000 68000 on march 30	34	$1.0K	906	893	+13	Yes	-$5	03-30 13:27
bitcoin above 68k on march 30	25	$834	922	711	+212	No	-$48	03-30 17:04
will the price of bitcoin be between 68000 70000 on march 30	22	$660	824	816	+9	No	-$5	03-30 17:04
bitcoin above 66k on march 31	25	$355	441	437	+4	Yes	-$1	03-31 08:09
will the price of bitcoin be between 64000 66000 on march 31	16	$254	379	372	+7	No	-$6	03-31 08:44
will the price of bitcoin be between 68000 70000 on march 31	17	$239	277	274	+3	No	-$6	03-31 14:56
bitcoin above 68k on march 31	15	$221	168	198	-30	No	+$17	03-31 08:47
ethereum above 2000 on april 3	11	$213	908	853	+56	Yes	-$59	04-03 15:29
bitcoin above 66k on march 30	7	$197	113	112	+0	Yes	-$3	03-30 15:45
bitcoin above 66k on april 3	8	$194	439	415	+24	Yes	-$11	04-03 01:49
bitcoin above 66k on april 2	6	$157	161	156	+6	Yes	-$9	04-02 15:37
will the price of bitcoin be between 66000 68000 on march 31	13	$152	144	142	+2	Yes	-$3	03-31 15:23
will the price of bitcoin be between 64000 66000 on april 3	5	$123	265	251	+14	No	-$5	04-03 01:50
Will Ethereum reach $2,800 in April?	5	$119	791	739	+52	No	-$30	04-03 15:58
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-11 08:35 UTC	28	$117	218	0	+218	Down	+$17	04-11 08:39
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-12 08:00 UTC	30	$114	269	0	+269	Down	+$9	04-12 08:04
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-11 08:10 UTC	17	$113	170	0	+170	Up	+$15	04-11 08:12
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-12 08:35 UTC	26	$112	226	0	+226	Up	-$40	04-12 08:39
bitcoin above 68k on april 3	5	$109	348	328	+20	No	-$35	04-03 08:40
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-12 07:40 UTC	20	$106	225	0	+225	Up	+$22	04-12 07:44
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-16 09:20 UTC	6	$104	518	0	+518	Up	-$104	04-16 09:23
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-13 05:35 UTC	9	$104	173	0	+173	Down	-$75	04-13 05:35
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-12 08:15 UTC	16	$100	175	0	+175	Down	-$23	04-12 08:19
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-04 19:45 UTC	10	$100	196	0	+196	Down	-$54	04-04 19:48
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-04 17:10 UTC	10	$99	166	0	+166	Up	+$15	04-04 17:13
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-04 19:25 UTC	11	$99	169	0	+169	Down	+$7	04-04 19:28
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-04 19:50 UTC	11	$99	190	0	+190	Up	+$2	04-04 19:53
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-04 17:25 UTC	9	$99	205	0	+205	Up	+$15	04-04 17:29
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-04 17:15 UTC	11	$99	183	0	+183	Down	-$22	04-04 17:18
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-04 19:55 UTC	13	$99	231	0	+231	Down	-$28	04-04 19:58

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-26 19:44:24	XRP Up or Down - October 26, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Up	BUY	27	6¢	$2	0x54df88…
10-26 15:43:08	BNB Up or Down - October 26, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	Down	BUY	10	41¢	$4	0x5e8117…
10-26 14:04:35	Solana Up or Down - October 26, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Down	BUY	24	11¢	$3	0x89ca5d…
10-26 13:28:35	Hyperliquid Up or Down - October 26, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	81¢	$4	0x51c19f…
10-26 10:46:27	Solana Up or Down - October 26, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Up	BUY	22	39¢	$8	0x8bd8ec…
10-26 10:29:18	Hyperliquid Up or Down - October 26, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	76¢	$4	0x3744ad…
10-26 10:29:17	Hyperliquid Up or Down - October 26, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	75¢	$4	0x77aefc…
10-26 10:29:02	Hyperliquid Up or Down - October 26, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0x76d6fa…
10-26 09:53:08	BNB Up or Down - October 26, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Up	BUY	20	45¢	$9	0xb3753f…
10-26 09:51:30	Solana Up or Down - October 26, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET	Down	BUY	10	17¢	$2	0x10d68b…
10-26 09:51:29	BNB Up or Down - October 26, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET	Down	BUY	10	27¢	$3	0x8a9706…
10-26 09:51:03	Solana Up or Down - October 26, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Down	BUY	23	23¢	$5	0x262d6c…
10-26 09:43:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Down	BUY	22	16¢	$4	0x04c4c3…
10-26 08:30:09	Solana Up or Down - October 26, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Up	BUY	21	65¢	$14	0xbd8ea0…
10-26 07:37:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET	Up	BUY	10	21¢	$2	0x0a9578…
10-26 07:25:08	XRP Up or Down - October 26, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Up	BUY	21	35¢	$7	0x6284a6…
10-26 07:25:06	Solana Up or Down - October 26, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Up	BUY	21	38¢	$8	0xe49237…
10-26 07:22:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	Down	BUY	20	42¢	$8	0x6203ce…
10-26 07:14:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET	Up	BUY	6	70¢	$4	0xc3c4ea…
10-26 07:13:26	Hyperliquid Up or Down - October 26, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0x877f7f…
10-26 07:13:08	Hyperliquid Up or Down - October 26, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	66¢	$3	0x3151df…
10-26 07:13:06	Hyperliquid Up or Down - October 26, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	67¢	$3	0xb433ce…
10-26 05:47:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	Up	BUY	23	14¢	$3	0xf3e6b4…
10-26 04:43:02	Hyperliquid Up or Down - October 26, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET	Down	BUY	23	14¢	$3	0x5bfff7…
10-26 03:20:18	Solana Up or Down - October 25, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	29¢	$2	0x4c1deb…
10-26 03:20:03	Solana Up or Down - October 25, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	26¢	$1	0xc8779c…
10-26 03:20:00	Solana Up or Down - October 25, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	31¢	$2	0xe71675…
10-26 03:19:15	Ethereum Up or Down - October 25, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	27¢	$1	0xe642c8…
10-26 03:19:03	Ethereum Up or Down - October 25, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	25¢	$1	0x43a0ba…
10-26 03:17:39	Solana Up or Down - October 25, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Up	BUY	22	25¢	$6	0x708b6b…
10-26 02:36:20	Solana Up or Down - October 25, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0x2df3ea…
10-26 01:01:05	Ethereum Up or Down - October 25, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Up	BUY	10	65¢	$6	0xe0dffe…
10-25 23:35:06	XRP Up or Down - October 25, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	Up	BUY	10	65¢	$6	0x9c05da…
10-25 23:11:42	Ethereum Up or Down - October 25, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Down	BUY	11	37¢	$4	0x443824…
10-25 22:30:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Down	BUY	10	41¢	$4	0xfc851d…
10-25 22:20:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Up	BUY	11	33¢	$4	0x1255ee…
10-25 22:05:09	Ethereum Up or Down - October 25, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Up	BUY	11	51¢	$5	0x7006ce…
10-25 21:03:17	Solana Up or Down - October 25, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Down	BUY	11	48¢	$5	0x7fe823…
10-25 20:40:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Up	BUY	10	24¢	$2	0x9f92ae…
10-25 20:00:06	Ethereum Up or Down - October 25, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Down	BUY	10	26¢	$3	0x2e773e…
10-25 19:56:44	XRP Up or Down - October 25, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	10	14¢	$1	0xb512dc…
10-25 18:40:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Down	BUY	10	18¢	$2	0xad9529…
10-25 18:40:06	Solana Up or Down - October 25, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Down	BUY	10	31¢	$3	0x9e031b…
10-25 18:32:14	Solana Up or Down - October 25, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Down	BUY	10	17¢	$2	0x441cf8…
10-25 16:55:09	Solana Up or Down - October 25, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Down	BUY	11	21¢	$2	0x77589e…
10-25 15:13:21	XRP Up or Down - October 25, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Up	BUY	10	58¢	$6	0xdc7769…
10-25 14:45:06	Solana Up or Down - October 25, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Up	BUY	11	26¢	$3	0x7369fc…
10-25 12:23:08	Ethereum Up or Down - October 25, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Down	BUY	10	18¢	$2	0xfe3ca7…
10-25 12:00:11	Solana Up or Down - October 25, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Up	BUY	11	34¢	$4	0x0540ed…
10-25 11:31:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Up	BUY	10	25¢	$3	0x98e961…
10-25 10:43:00	Solana Up or Down - October 25, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Down	BUY	10	23¢	$2	0x3e8b3d…
10-25 10:17:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Down	BUY	10	31¢	$3	0x636fdb…
10-25 07:02:27	Solana Up or Down - October 25, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	Up	BUY	11	54¢	$6	0xedd890…
10-25 05:40:50	Ethereum Up or Down - October 25, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xa72a8c…
10-25 05:00:48	Solana Up or Down - October 25, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	Up	BUY	10	30¢	$3	0xbae680…
10-25 05:00:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	Down	BUY	10	33¢	$3	0xa732a9…
10-25 04:15:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	Down	BUY	11	28¢	$3	0x50c63b…
10-25 03:37:51	Ethereum Up or Down - October 24, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	Down	BUY	11	40¢	$4	0x9c6a22…
10-25 03:28:30	BNB Up or Down - October 24, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET	Up	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0x138140…
10-25 03:28:17	BNB Up or Down - October 24, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET	Up	BUY	6	55¢	$3	0xb179bd…
10-25 03:21:21	BNB Up or Down - October 24, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	25¢	$1	0x59e8a0…
10-25 03:21:17	BNB Up or Down - October 24, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	29¢	$1	0x4c4c3f…
10-25 03:14:29	BNB Up or Down - October 24, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	84¢	$4	0xefc2d6…
10-25 03:14:27	BNB Up or Down - October 24, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	83¢	$4	0x9f3421…
10-25 03:10:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	35¢	$2	0x3a1394…
10-25 03:10:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET	Up	BUY	12	29¢	$4	0x53d1d1…
10-25 03:10:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	Up	BUY	10	36¢	$4	0xf94300…
10-25 03:10:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET	Up	BUY	6	40¢	$2	0x1d4866…
10-25 03:02:42	Solana Up or Down - October 24, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	Down	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x508009…
10-25 02:47:09	Solana Up or Down - October 24, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Up	BUY	10	65¢	$6	0xdfdf01…
10-25 02:29:32	BNB Up or Down - October 24, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	88¢	$4	0x8e7b24…
10-25 02:28:26	Ethereum Up or Down - October 24, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0xa4fbd4…
10-25 02:14:24	Ethereum Up or Down - October 24, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	Up	BUY	7	18¢	$1	0xfdd5b2…
10-25 02:10:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Up	BUY	10	62¢	$6	0x6b2820…
10-25 02:00:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Up	BUY	10	61¢	$6	0x5302a2…
10-25 01:52:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET	Down	BUY	6	52¢	$3	0x6cc72b…
10-25 01:42:48	XRP Up or Down - October 24, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	78¢	$4	0x88b953…
10-25 01:36:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0x84eee6…
10-25 01:30:18	Ethereum Up or Down - October 24, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Up	BUY	10	31¢	$3	0xf90fc3…
10-25 01:28:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET	Down	BUY	6	28¢	$2	0x68ecf9…
10-25 01:28:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	35¢	$2	0x20c8cf…
10-25 01:28:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0x8f9f69…
10-25 01:27:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0xe62653…
10-25 01:20:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	Down	BUY	10	33¢	$3	0x03fd2c…
10-25 01:20:06	Solana Up or Down - October 24, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	Down	BUY	10	36¢	$4	0x31dfcb…
10-25 01:20:05	Ethereum Up or Down - October 24, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	Down	BUY	10	33¢	$3	0x5824e2…
10-25 01:17:03	Ethereum Up or Down - October 24, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET	Up	BUY	10	30¢	$3	0xd6da0f…
10-25 00:56:18	Solana Up or Down - October 24, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Down	BUY	11	43¢	$5	0x2e3bec…
10-25 00:56:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	71¢	$4	0x86623f…
10-25 00:56:15	XRP Up or Down - October 24, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Down	BUY	10	30¢	$3	0x23205f…
10-25 00:55:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0xbc0b65…
10-25 00:55:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0x9f94e3…
10-25 00:38:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	71¢	$4	0x18da86…
10-25 00:00:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Up	BUY	11	14¢	$1	0x094b4f…
10-24 23:59:32	XRP Up or Down - October 24, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	85¢	$4	0x504e11…
10-24 23:59:29	Solana Up or Down - October 24, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0x0c9c39…
10-24 23:59:21	Hyperliquid Up or Down - October 24, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	28¢	$1	0xdd4a42…
10-24 23:40:09	Solana Up or Down - October 24, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Up	BUY	10	58¢	$6	0xa3b137…
10-24 23:40:09	XRP Up or Down - October 24, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Up	BUY	11	49¢	$5	0x016124…
10-24 23:14:14	Ethereum Up or Down - October 24, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0x236bf4…