Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET
open
Total volume
$49,395
$6 in 24h
Trades
4,780
Unique wallets
917
Liquidity
$8,384
Latest YES mid
39¢
Latest NO mid
61¢
End date
2026-11-10
First seen
2026-11-09
last 11-10 00:05
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
+1.7¢
(top1%: 30% YES on $21.1K
vs crowd: 28% YES on $38.0K)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 158 | $6.8K | $16.3K | $9.4K |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 241 | $1.9K | $7.4K | $5.5K |
| 🐟 Fish | 257 | $1.2K | $2.5K | $1.3K |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 255 | $731 | $1.1K | $370 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 163 | $6.3K | $14.9K | $8.6K |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 126 | $669 | $4.4K | $3.7K |
| ✅ Top 10% | 67 | $186 | $415 | $230 |
| Median | 86 | $196 | $360 | $163 |
| Below median | 197 | $677 | $1.8K | $1.2K |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 102 | $340 | $913 | $573 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 99 | $624 | $1.5K | $906 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 68 | $1.6K | $3.0K | $1.3K |
| unranked | 3 | $10 | $1 | +$9 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| (anonymous) 0x48ac…4a7e | Down | +3,100 | $3,020 | $3,020 | 21 | 11-10 00:04 |
| Harmless-Region 0xb077…8fe8 | Up | +2,000 | $1,000 | $1,000 | 95 | 11-10 00:01 |
| (anonymous) 0x8e77…25f8 | Down | +1,258 | $1,245 | $1,245 | 1 | 11-10 00:04 |
| (anonymous) 0x9bfb…dc47 | Up | +1,000 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 11-10 00:04 |
| (anonymous) 0x5e8e…8212 | Down | +1,000 | $990 | $990 | 4 | 11-10 00:04 |
| (anonymous) 0xc533…69a9 | Up | +991 | $370 | $370 | 55 | 11-10 00:04 |
| Popular-Insurrection 0xeebd…ba30 | Down | +909 | $667 | $667 | 25 | 11-10 00:04 |
| Flawless-Battalion 0x6ec5…465a | Up | +852 | $116 | $1,204 | 46 | 11-10 00:04 |
| (anonymous) 0xb958…f513 | Up | +852 | $281 | $281 | 23 | 11-10 00:04 |
| Vague-Hourglass 0x21f4…691d | Up | +772 | $235 | $235 | 31 | 11-10 00:04 |
| (anonymous) 0xb958…f513 | Down | +740 | $489 | $489 | 22 | 11-10 00:04 |
| (anonymous) 0xac76…7024 | Up | +719 | $7 | $7 | 1 | 11-10 00:04 |
| (anonymous) 0x720b…d2cd | Up | +700 | $7 | $7 | 1 | 11-10 00:04 |
| (anonymous) 0x720b…d2cd | Down | +700 | $693 | $693 | 6 | 11-10 00:04 |
| Popular-Insurrection 0xeebd…ba30 | Up | +602 | $260 | $260 | 21 | 11-10 00:03 |
| (anonymous) 0xd4fa…dcc8 | Down | +578 | $357 | $357 | 77 | 11-10 00:03 |
| (anonymous) 0xd4fa…dcc8 | Up | +532 | $204 | $204 | 68 | 11-10 00:04 |
| (anonymous) 0x3708…daf9 | Down | +506 | $401 | $401 | 5 | 11-10 00:04 |
| Flawless-Minute 0x643b…0361 | Up | +505 | $7 | $7 | 2 | 11-10 00:04 |
| (anonymous) 0x3f4a…00ec | Up | +500 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 11-10 00:04 |
| (anonymous) 0x9587…c10a | Down | +500 | $495 | $495 | 1 | 11-10 00:04 |
| (anonymous) 0x1b89…cb5a | Down | +500 | $495 | $495 | 3 | 11-10 00:04 |
| Wrathful-Tile 0x1b44…d8de | Down | +496 | $307 | $307 | 35 | 11-10 00:03 |
| Remote-Banjo 0xff4a…ffae | Up | +490 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 11-10 00:04 |
| International-Glimpse 0xf54b…7843 | Up | +485 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 11-10 00:04 |
| (anonymous) 0x58f5…0067 | Up | +469 | $8 | $8 | 3 | 11-10 00:04 |
| (anonymous) 0xb129…890c | Up | +427 | $97 | $97 | 8 | 11-10 00:04 |
| (anonymous) 0x239e…1c10 | Down | +427 | $322 | $322 | 26 | 11-10 00:04 |
| Ill-Informed-Full 0xbc58…5e72 | Up | +422 | $187 | $187 | 31 | 11-10 00:04 |
| Lively-Authenticity 0xb55f…64d4 | Down | +408 | $238 | $238 | 21 | 11-10 00:03 |
| Lively-Authenticity 0xb55f…64d4 | Up | +407 | $182 | $182 | 24 | 11-10 00:04 |
| Vague-Hourglass 0x21f4…691d | Down | +403 | $262 | $262 | 19 | 11-10 00:04 |
| Impolite-Sister 0xc2ad…40ed | Down | +402 | $398 | $398 | 2 | 11-10 00:04 |
| (anonymous) 0x6205…4c1e | Up | +401 | $4 | $4 | 8 | 11-10 00:04 |
| Ill-Informed-Full 0xbc58…5e72 | Down | +397 | $225 | $225 | 47 | 11-10 00:04 |
| (anonymous) 0xdced…92c6 | Down | +393 | $349 | $349 | 16 | 11-10 00:04 |
| (anonymous) 0x0ca4…77a6 | Up | +373 | $134 | $134 | 18 | 11-10 00:03 |
| (anonymous) 0x32ed…8ec3 | Down | +351 | $339 | $339 | 3 | 11-10 00:04 |
| (anonymous) 0xb1d3…c279 | Down | +350 | $346 | $346 | 3 | 11-10 00:04 |
| Extra-Small-Implement 0xf27d…9a88 | Down | +332 | $310 | $568 | 12 | 11-10 00:05 |
| (anonymous) 0x4a3e…3319 | Down | +330 | $327 | $327 | 1 | 11-10 00:04 |
| (anonymous) 0x9b04…032a | Down | +328 | $250 | $250 | 16 | 11-10 00:04 |
| (anonymous) 0x3361…ddfa | Up | +318 | $3 | $3 | 2 | 11-10 00:04 |
| (anonymous) 0xac05…e6c8 | Up | +314 | $100 | $100 | 1 | 11-10 00:03 |
| (anonymous) 0x3496…85a8 | Up | +300 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 11-10 00:04 |
| Sentimental-Polyester 0xdc6f…651f | Down | +294 | $163 | $163 | 15 | 11-10 00:04 |
| Alarming-Harp 0xbba2…cc45 | Down | +294 | $181 | $181 | 24 | 11-10 00:02 |
| (anonymous) 0xa0e7…9461 | Up | +293 | $207 | $207 | 9 | 11-10 00:01 |
| (anonymous) 0x568b…0b3b | Down | +291 | $178 | $178 | 16 | 11-10 00:03 |
| (anonymous) 0xc533…69a9 | Down | +289 | $188 | $188 | 13 | 11-10 00:04 |
| (anonymous) 0xdd85…cd25 | Down | +286 | $170 | $170 | 27 | 11-10 00:02 |
| (anonymous) 0x2a9a…6dbe | Up | +283 | $15 | $15 | 3 | 11-10 00:04 |
| (anonymous) 0x31f1…319b | Up | +280 | $15 | $15 | 3 | 11-10 00:04 |
| (anonymous) 0x239e…1c10 | Up | +257 | $123 | $123 | 17 | 11-10 00:04 |
| (anonymous) 0x4c94…ffad | Down | +257 | $161 | $161 | 12 | 11-10 00:03 |
| (anonymous) 0x747c…3f82 | Up | +254 | $70 | $70 | 20 | 11-10 00:04 |
| (anonymous) 0x485d…1fe5 | Up | +250 | $2 | $2 | 3 | 11-10 00:04 |
| Tedious-Gokart 0xead6…2f72 | Up | +250 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 11-10 00:04 |
| (anonymous) 0x855e…5189 | Down | +236 | $134 | $134 | 10 | 11-10 00:03 |
| Kind-Newsletter 0xfc18…3c01 | Down | +234 | $153 | $159 | 3 | 11-10 00:03 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-10 00:05:49 | (anonymous) 0x08aa…a2e6 | Down | SELL | 2 | 99¢ | $2 | 0x761deb… |
| 11-10 00:05:49 | (anonymous) 0x6940…1c6c | Down | BUY | 2 | 99¢ | $2 | 0x761deb… |
| 11-10 00:05:30 | (anonymous) 0x6940…1c6c | Down | BUY | 59 | 99¢ | $58 | 0xe8b635… |
| 11-10 00:05:30 | Warlike-Statistic 0xcea0…0929 | Down | SELL | 59 | 99¢ | $58 | 0xe8b635… |
| 11-10 00:05:16 | Extraneous-User 0xd3d1…b0da | Down | SELL | 105 | 99¢ | $103 | 0xcb5d67… |
| 11-10 00:05:16 | (anonymous) 0x0c1f…853e | Down | BUY | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0xcb5d67… |
| 11-10 00:05:16 | (anonymous) 0x4517…7afd | Down | BUY | 69 | 99¢ | $68 | 0xcb5d67… |
| 11-10 00:05:16 | (anonymous) 0x6940…1c6c | Down | BUY | 31 | 99¢ | $30 | 0xcb5d67… |
| 11-10 00:05:12 | (anonymous) 0x438b…046f | Down | SELL | 10 | 99¢ | $10 | 0x8a0891… |
| 11-10 00:05:12 | (anonymous) 0x4517…7afd | Down | BUY | 10 | 99¢ | $10 | 0x8a0891… |
| 11-10 00:05:09 | (anonymous) 0x4517…7afd | Down | BUY | 11 | 99¢ | $11 | 0x24d30d… |
| 11-10 00:05:09 | (anonymous) 0xc472…f14d | Down | SELL | 11 | 99¢ | $11 | 0x24d30d… |
| 11-10 00:05:01 | (anonymous) 0xf5f0…840d | Down | BUY | 10 | 99¢ | $10 | 0xb6d275… |
| 11-10 00:05:01 | Extra-Small-Implement 0xf27d…9a88 | Down | BUY | 6 | 99¢ | $6 | 0xb6d275… |
| 11-10 00:05:01 | (anonymous) 0x4517…7afd | Down | BUY | 10 | 99¢ | $10 | 0xb6d275… |
| 11-10 00:05:01 | (anonymous) 0x8ac8…47ab | Down | SELL | 231 | 99¢ | $229 | 0xb6d275… |
| 11-10 00:05:01 | Demanding-Encirclement 0x4524…dc71 | Down | BUY | 200 | 99¢ | $198 | 0xb6d275… |
| 11-10 00:05:01 | (anonymous) 0x7b7a…9bdb | Down | BUY | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0xb6d275… |
| 11-10 00:04:58 | Extra-Small-Implement 0xf27d…9a88 | Down | BUY | 100 | 99¢ | $99 | 0x4b7e46… |
| 11-10 00:04:58 | (anonymous) 0xd005…78eb | Up | BUY | 100 | 1¢ | $1 | 0x4b7e46… |
| 11-10 00:04:52 | (anonymous) 0xcf5f…9a7f | Down | BUY | 1 | 99¢ | $1 | 0x059634… |
| 11-10 00:04:52 | Extra-Small-Implement 0xf27d…9a88 | Down | BUY | 6 | 99¢ | $6 | 0x059634… |
| 11-10 00:04:52 | Meaty-Domain-Entree 0x66d9…893a | Down | SELL | 7 | 99¢ | $7 | 0x059634… |
| 11-10 00:04:43 | (anonymous) 0xb7ab…eaa7 | Down | SELL | 21 | 99¢ | $21 | 0x712968… |
| 11-10 00:04:43 | (anonymous) 0x26a3…dfa5 | Down | BUY | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0x899658… |
| 11-10 00:04:43 | (anonymous) 0x3496…85a8 | Up | BUY | 300 | 1¢ | $3 | 0x899658… |
| 11-10 00:04:43 | Grubby-Min 0x5ca0…fc36 | Down | BUY | 190 | 99¢ | $188 | 0x899658… |
| 11-10 00:04:43 | Grubby-Min 0x5ca0…fc36 | Down | BUY | 12 | 99¢ | $12 | 0x712968… |
| 11-10 00:04:43 | Stale-Adviser 0xbeb4…da45 | Down | BUY | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0x899658… |
| 11-10 00:04:43 | Haunting-Cheese 0xee65…cfc9 | Down | BUY | 60 | 99¢ | $59 | 0x899658… |
| 11-10 00:04:43 | (anonymous) 0xcf5f…9a7f | Down | BUY | 9 | 99¢ | $9 | 0x712968… |
| 11-10 00:04:43 | Meaty-Borrowing 0x7cb2…e655 | Down | BUY | 40 | 99¢ | $40 | 0x899658… |
| 11-10 00:04:42 | (anonymous) 0xf429…ed69 | Down | SELL | 89 | 99¢ | $88 | 0xa0b190… |
| 11-10 00:04:42 | Haunting-Cheese 0xee65…cfc9 | Down | BUY | 89 | 99¢ | $88 | 0xa0b190… |
| 11-10 00:04:40 | (anonymous) 0x58f5…0067 | Up | BUY | 8 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x6691a5… |
| 11-10 00:04:40 | (anonymous) 0xb1d3…c279 | Down | BUY | 100 | 99¢ | $99 | 0xea1043… |
| 11-10 00:04:40 | Back-Wingtip 0x6247…a97b | Up | BUY | 101 | 1¢ | $1 | 0xf49e5e… |
| 11-10 00:04:40 | (anonymous) 0x2429…269a | Down | BUY | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0x6c9f6a… |
| 11-10 00:04:40 | Haunting-Cheese 0xee65…cfc9 | Down | BUY | 1 | 99¢ | $1 | 0xcbe5f5… |
| 11-10 00:04:40 | (anonymous) 0x5e8e…8212 | Down | BUY | 100 | 99¢ | $99 | 0x8c8269… |
| 11-10 00:04:40 | Remote-Banjo 0xff4a…ffae | Up | BUY | 490 | 1¢ | $5 | 0x39729c… |
| 11-10 00:04:40 | (anonymous) 0x280f…e2ae | Down | BUY | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0x6c9f6a… |
| 11-10 00:04:40 | Haunting-Cheese 0xee65…cfc9 | Down | BUY | 8 | 99¢ | $8 | 0x6691a5… |
| 11-10 00:04:40 | International-Glimpse 0xf54b…7843 | Up | BUY | 485 | 1¢ | $5 | 0x6c9f6a… |
| 11-10 00:04:40 | Tight-Outfit 0x73b0…04ed | Down | BUY | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0x39729c… |
| 11-10 00:04:40 | (anonymous) 0x5e8e…8212 | Down | BUY | 700 | 99¢ | $693 | 0x330483… |
| 11-10 00:04:40 | (anonymous) 0x720b…d2cd | Up | BUY | 700 | 1¢ | $7 | 0x330483… |
| 11-10 00:04:40 | (anonymous) 0x31ea…73a5 | Up | BUY | 200 | 1¢ | $2 | 0x00ed38… |
| 11-10 00:04:40 | (anonymous) 0x32ed…8ec3 | Down | BUY | 336 | 99¢ | $333 | 0xacf5ba… |
| 11-10 00:04:40 | (anonymous) 0xf8af…54c6 | Down | BUY | 10 | 99¢ | $10 | 0x39729c… |
| 11-10 00:04:40 | (anonymous) 0xad29…2600 | Down | BUY | 11 | 99¢ | $11 | 0x39729c… |
| 11-10 00:04:40 | Lively-Sand 0xe41b…9397 | Down | BUY | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0x39729c… |
| 11-10 00:04:40 | (anonymous) 0x5e8e…8212 | Down | BUY | 101 | 99¢ | $100 | 0xf49e5e… |
| 11-10 00:04:40 | Impolite-Sister 0xc2ad…40ed | Down | BUY | 202 | 99¢ | $200 | 0x6c9f6a… |
| 11-10 00:04:40 | (anonymous) 0xbafd…21ed | Up | BUY | 100 | 1¢ | $1 | 0x8c8269… |
| 11-10 00:04:40 | Candid-Underwire 0x06d3…d12b | Up | BUY | 100 | 1¢ | $1 | 0xea1043… |
| 11-10 00:04:40 | Impolite-Sister 0xc2ad…40ed | Down | BUY | 200 | 99¢ | $198 | 0x00ed38… |
| 11-10 00:04:40 | (anonymous) 0x39be…668f | Up | BUY | 100 | 1¢ | $1 | 0xcbe5f5… |
| 11-10 00:04:40 | (anonymous) 0xb1d3…c279 | Down | BUY | 234 | 99¢ | $232 | 0x6c9f6a… |
| 11-10 00:04:40 | (anonymous) 0x5d54…0279 | Down | BUY | 39 | 99¢ | $39 | 0x6c9f6a… |
| 11-10 00:04:40 | (anonymous) 0x58f5…0067 | Up | BUY | 336 | 1¢ | $3 | 0xacf5ba… |
| 11-10 00:04:40 | (anonymous) 0xb1d3…c279 | Down | BUY | 16 | 99¢ | $16 | 0x39729c… |
| 11-10 00:04:40 | (anonymous) 0x5e8e…8212 | Down | BUY | 99 | 99¢ | $98 | 0xcbe5f5… |
| 11-10 00:04:40 | (anonymous) 0x1b89…cb5a | Down | BUY | 443 | 99¢ | $439 | 0x39729c… |
| 11-10 00:04:37 | (anonymous) 0x1b89…cb5a | Down | BUY | 7 | 99¢ | $7 | 0x37e88c… |
| 11-10 00:04:37 | (anonymous) 0x5151…7295 | Down | SELL | 7 | 99¢ | $7 | 0x37e88c… |
| 11-10 00:04:36 | (anonymous) 0x91a9…44b8 | Down | BUY | 15 | 99¢ | $15 | 0xa54786… |
| 11-10 00:04:36 | Coarse-Nonsense 0x8231…c02e | Down | BUY | 100 | 99¢ | $99 | 0xa54786… |
| 11-10 00:04:36 | (anonymous) 0xaa12…6734 | Down | BUY | 150 | 99¢ | $148 | 0xa54786… |
| 11-10 00:04:36 | (anonymous) 0x720b…d2cd | Down | BUY | 55 | 99¢ | $54 | 0xa54786… |
| 11-10 00:04:36 | (anonymous) 0x1b89…cb5a | Down | BUY | 50 | 99¢ | $49 | 0xa54786… |
| 11-10 00:04:36 | (anonymous) 0x6833…fbb5 | Down | BUY | 10 | 99¢ | $10 | 0xa54786… |
| 11-10 00:04:36 | (anonymous) 0x9587…c10a | Down | BUY | 500 | 99¢ | $495 | 0xa54786… |
| 11-10 00:04:36 | (anonymous) 0x00b1…62be | Down | BUY | 100 | 99¢ | $99 | 0xa54786… |
| 11-10 00:04:36 | (anonymous) 0x949f…14ef | Up | SELL | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xa54786… |
| 11-10 00:04:36 | (anonymous) 0x9bfb…dc47 | Up | BUY | 1,000 | 1¢ | $10 | 0xa54786… |
| 11-10 00:04:36 | (anonymous) 0x9328…db92 | Down | BUY | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0xa54786… |
| 11-10 00:04:36 | (anonymous) 0xcf0a…cbc1 | Down | BUY | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0xa54786… |
| 11-10 00:04:34 | (anonymous) 0xd18b…49b5 | Down | SELL | 15 | 99¢ | $15 | 0x725788… |
| 11-10 00:04:34 | (anonymous) 0x720b…d2cd | Down | BUY | 15 | 99¢ | $15 | 0x725788… |
| 11-10 00:04:33 | (anonymous) 0x720b…d2cd | Down | BUY | 100 | 99¢ | $99 | 0x123bc4… |
| 11-10 00:04:33 | (anonymous) 0x48ac…4a7e | Down | BUY | 200 | 99¢ | $198 | 0xd5c340… |
| 11-10 00:04:33 | Inferior-Exterior 0xe505…e3bf | Up | BUY | 200 | 1¢ | $2 | 0xd5c340… |
| 11-10 00:04:33 | (anonymous) 0x3361…ddfa | Up | BUY | 313 | 1¢ | $3 | 0x5b562f… |
| 11-10 00:04:33 | (anonymous) 0x96cb…aed7 | Up | BUY | 100 | 1¢ | $1 | 0x2ccc8b… |
| 11-10 00:04:33 | (anonymous) 0x720b…d2cd | Down | BUY | 117 | 99¢ | $116 | 0x1028f6… |
| 11-10 00:04:33 | (anonymous) 0x48ac…4a7e | Down | BUY | 500 | 99¢ | $495 | 0x653f24… |
| 11-10 00:04:33 | Flawless-Minute 0x643b…0361 | Up | BUY | 500 | 1¢ | $5 | 0x653f24… |
| 11-10 00:04:33 | (anonymous) 0x3361…ddfa | Down | BUY | 120 | 99¢ | $119 | 0x1028f6… |
| 11-10 00:04:33 | (anonymous) 0x48ac…4a7e | Down | BUY | 100 | 99¢ | $99 | 0x180ae3… |
| 11-10 00:04:33 | (anonymous) 0x3aaa…5273 | Up | BUY | 100 | 1¢ | $1 | 0x123bc4… |
| 11-10 00:04:33 | (anonymous) 0x720b…d2cd | Down | BUY | 100 | 99¢ | $99 | 0x2ccc8b… |
| 11-10 00:04:33 | Tedious-Gokart 0xead6…2f72 | Up | BUY | 250 | 1¢ | $2 | 0x5f4607… |
| 11-10 00:04:33 | (anonymous) 0x3f4a…00ec | Up | BUY | 500 | 1¢ | $5 | 0x15e2f2… |
| 11-10 00:04:33 | (anonymous) 0x5c02…5f71 | Up | BUY | 200 | 1¢ | $2 | 0x3fd277… |
| 11-10 00:04:33 | (anonymous) 0x48ac…4a7e | Down | BUY | 482 | 99¢ | $477 | 0x1028f6… |
| 11-10 00:04:33 | (anonymous) 0x48ac…4a7e | Down | BUY | 500 | 99¢ | $495 | 0x15e2f2… |
| 11-10 00:04:33 | (anonymous) 0x720b…d2cd | Down | BUY | 313 | 99¢ | $310 | 0x5b562f… |
| 11-10 00:04:33 | (anonymous) 0x866d…2347 | Up | BUY | 100 | 1¢ | $1 | 0x180ae3… |
| 11-10 00:04:33 | (anonymous) 0x48ac…4a7e | Down | BUY | 200 | 99¢ | $198 | 0x3fd277… |