Baggy-Taxi — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$13

Unrealized P&L

+$0

Hit rate

59.9%

Resolved

168

Trades

237

lifetime

Volume

$24.1K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$102

Open exposure

$10

1 position

First seen

2026-01-13

last 10-23 02:23

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 113 days

Categories

Crypto

35% 85% -$5

Other

31% 68% +$21

Politics

17% 29% -$4

Sports

16% 20% -$25

Tech

0% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

3 active days in 12wk • peak 4 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (18) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by October 31?	No		+10	$10	100¢	$10	+$0	10-23 02:22

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	4	$578	291	291	+0	open	—	05-19 09:07
Will the Orlando Magic win the 2026 NBA Finals?	4	$460	231	231	+0	No	$0	04-24 05:17
Will Club Brugge win the 2025–26 Champions League?	4	$405	203	203	+0	No	$0	02-13 08:15
Will Atalanta win the 2025–26 Champions League?	4	$405	203	203	+0	No	$0	01-31 10:56
Will Lithuania win the televote for Eurovision 2026?	2	$304	152	152	+0	No	$0	04-14 06:23
Will Cameron Norrie win the 2026 Men's French Open?	2	$303	152	152	+0	No	$0	04-12 08:53
Will Portugal win the televote for Eurovision 2026?	2	$301	151	151	+0	No	$0	04-20 12:52
Will Switzerland win Eurovision 2026?	2	$295	148	148	+0	No	$0	04-23 08:45
Will Kim Kardashian win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	2	$294	148	148	+0	open	—	05-06 06:46
Will Bernie Sanders win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	2	$292	147	147	-0	open	—	05-11 12:18
Will the Tennessee Titans win the 2027 NFL league championship?	2	$292	148	148	+0	open	—	05-07 10:21
Will the New Orleans Saints win the 2027 NFL league championship?	2	$292	148	148	+0	open	—	05-07 10:44
Will the Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2026 NBA Finals?	2	$292	148	148	+0	No	$0	05-09 12:42
Will the Philadelphia 76ers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	2	$292	146	146	+0	No	$0	05-09 12:23
Will Liz Cheney win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	2	$292	147	147	+0	open	—	05-11 11:57
Will Ethereum dip to $1,400 in April?	2	$288	145	145	+0	No	$0	04-25 11:32
Will Ethereum dip to $1,600 in April?	2	$288	145	145	+0	No	$0	04-25 11:53
Will Nikki Haley win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	2	$286	144	144	+0	open	—	05-20 08:30
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	2	$286	144	144	+0	open	—	05-19 08:42
Will Jumanji 3 be the top grossing movie of 2026?	2	$286	144	144	+0	open	—	05-18 11:26
Will Kim Kardashian win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	2	$284	143	143	+0	open	—	05-20 09:02
Will Hubert Hurkacz win the 2026 Men's French Open?	2	$283	142	142	+0	No	$0	05-12 05:41
Will A Just Russia – For Truth (SRZP) win the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	2	$280	140	140	+0	No	$0	05-26 10:27
Will Alex Padilla win the California Governor Election in 2026?	2	$280	140	140	+0	open	—	05-24 09:28
Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) win the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	2	$278	139	139	+0	No	$0	05-26 10:50
Will Katie Britt win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	2	$273	138	138	+0	open	—	05-13 08:01
Will Park Hong-keun win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election	2	$272	136	136	-0	No	$0	05-14 10:50
Will Cadillac be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?	2	$264	133	133	+0	No	$0	05-16 05:54
Will Katie Boulter win the 2026 Women’s French Open?	2	$256	128	128	+0	No	$0	05-23 08:24
fed decreases interest rates by 50 bps after january 2026 meeting	2	$233	117	117	+0	No	+$0	01-14 03:52

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-23 02:23:57	Will Ethena reach $0.48 in October?	No	BUY	24	100¢	$24	0x4ad456…
10-23 02:22:09	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by October 31?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x812ed2…
10-23 02:19:39	Will Apple (AAPL) finish week of October 19 above $315?	Yes	BUY	29	100¢	$29	0x0cd566…
10-23 02:08:05	Will Ethereum reach $3,100 October 19-25?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x50efa8…
09-30 21:20:14	Israeli airspace closed by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0x4a1deb…
08-14 11:08:13	Will Elon Musk post 215-239 tweets from August 15 to August 17, 2026?	No	BUY	144	100¢	$144	0xf5f8c7…
08-14 11:06:13	atp oconnel majchrz 2026 08 14	Christopher O'Connell	BUY	7	37¢	$2	0x60e482…
07-18 05:59:33	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from July 14 to July 21, 2026?	No	BUY	136	100¢	$136	0xdd1dc6…
07-18 05:58:42	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 team to advance	Spain	BUY	10	60¢	$6	0x91d3d9…
06-05 12:56:46	meta above 670 on june 5 2026	No	BUY	85	100¢	$85	0x1571c9…
06-05 12:56:21	aapl above 330 on june 5 2026	No	BUY	58	100¢	$58	0x7469bc…
06-01 06:56:38	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	BUY	116	100¢	$116	0xe0f4cc…
06-01 06:55:22	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on June 1?	Yes	BUY	1,500	0¢	$3	0x767911…
06-01 06:54:42	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on June 1?	Yes	BUY	500	0¢	$1	0x201c4b…
06-01 06:53:36	Valorant: Dynamo Esports vs Alliance Guardians (BO3) - VCL North America: Stage 3 Group Stage	Alliance Guardians	BUY	16	51¢	$8	0xc46f4e…
05-31 08:50:02	Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?	No	BUY	103	100¢	$103	0x81d800…
05-31 08:48:49	Boston Red Sox vs. Cleveland Guardians	Cleveland Guardians	BUY	14	49¢	$7	0xe539b7…
05-30 08:19:29	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 30?	No	BUY	103	100¢	$103	0x590918…
05-30 08:15:14	Will Simona Mohamsson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?	No	SELL	102	100¢	$102	0x778933…
05-30 07:55:46	Will Simona Mohamsson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?	No	BUY	102	100¢	$102	0x83b1e5…
05-30 07:51:40	Counter-Strike: Ursa vs TNC (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 3 Group Stage	Ursa	BUY	13	58¢	$8	0x283b43…
05-30 07:46:07	Will Emil Boc be the next Prime Minister of Romania?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x2c9f2c…
05-29 05:51:08	will xauusd dip to 4200 by may 25 2026	No	BUY	122	100¢	$122	0x8b32ab…
05-29 05:44:32	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 27°C or below on May 30?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x5773e1…
05-28 13:05:21	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 28?	Yes	BUY	134	100¢	$134	0xc97db5…
05-28 13:01:09	Will Google have the #3 AI model at the end of May 2026 (Style Control On)?	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x2c5142…
05-26 11:37:04	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 26?	Yes	BUY	132	100¢	$132	0x46d912…
05-26 10:53:31	Avalanche vs. Golden Knights	Golden Knights	BUY	15	50¢	$8	0xe3898a…
05-26 10:50:17	Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) win the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	No	SELL	139	100¢	$139	0x210a19…
05-26 10:28:30	Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) win the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	No	BUY	139	100¢	$139	0x15072f…
05-26 10:27:27	Will A Just Russia – For Truth (SRZP) win the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	No	SELL	140	100¢	$140	0x322f0c…
05-26 10:08:50	Will A Just Russia – For Truth (SRZP) win the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	No	BUY	140	100¢	$140	0xecf672…
05-24 09:30:43	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 23?	Yes	BUY	140	100¢	$140	0xe1e6ee…
05-24 09:28:11	Will Alex Padilla win the California Governor Election in 2026?	No	SELL	140	100¢	$140	0x142feb…
05-24 09:10:09	Will Alex Padilla win the California Governor Election in 2026?	No	BUY	140	100¢	$140	0x41a76e…
05-23 08:28:19	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $78,000 and $80,000 on May 23?	No	BUY	129	100¢	$129	0xadb77b…
05-23 08:24:59	Will Katie Boulter win the 2026 Women’s French Open?	No	SELL	128	100¢	$128	0x730a41…
05-23 08:09:21	Will Katie Boulter win the 2026 Women’s French Open?	No	BUY	128	100¢	$128	0x4e5078…
05-23 08:05:18	GP SAR La Princesse Lalla Meryem: Anhelina Kalinina vs Petra Marcinko	Petra Marcinko	BUY	11	30¢	$3	0xefbd26…
05-22 03:58:02	Will Apple (AAPL) finish week of May 18 above $275?	Yes	BUY	132	100¢	$132	0x82602f…
05-21 07:23:25	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 21?	No	BUY	131	100¢	$131	0xc0dc22…
05-21 07:19:56	Internationaux de Strasbourg: Shuai Zhang vs Emma Navarro	Shuai Zhang	BUY	11	28¢	$3	0x2b6230…
05-20 09:10:38	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 20?	Yes	BUY	135	100¢	$135	0x9f8c82…
05-20 09:07:26	BC Dubai vs. Buducnost	BC Dubai	BUY	11	73¢	$8	0x6c668e…
05-20 09:02:32	Will Kim Kardashian win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	SELL	143	99¢	$142	0x74e1b2…
05-20 08:31:21	Will Kim Kardashian win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	BUY	143	99¢	$142	0x3c2e71…
05-20 08:30:06	Will Nikki Haley win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	SELL	144	99¢	$143	0x3b44ea…
05-20 08:14:07	Will Nikki Haley win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	BUY	144	99¢	$143	0xec9b91…
05-19 09:11:16	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?	No	BUY	143	100¢	$143	0xf1163d…
05-19 09:07:48	Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	SELL	144	99¢	$143	0x8e54a0…
05-19 08:43:56	Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	BUY	144	99¢	$143	0x3978f4…
05-19 08:42:29	Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	SELL	144	99¢	$143	0x701a66…
05-19 08:26:30	Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	BUY	144	99¢	$143	0x76ffaa…
05-18 11:29:19	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 18?	Yes	BUY	144	100¢	$143	0x06a36a…
05-18 11:26:54	Will Jumanji 3 be the top grossing movie of 2026?	No	SELL	144	99¢	$143	0xb7e893…
05-18 11:10:24	Will Jumanji 3 be the top grossing movie of 2026?	No	BUY	144	100¢	$143	0x6752c2…
05-17 08:34:39	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 17?	Yes	BUY	143	100¢	$143	0x07e236…
05-16 05:58:50	Will Poland win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	133	100¢	$133	0x6d2b54…
05-16 05:54:24	Will Cadillac be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?	No	SELL	133	99¢	$132	0x98c657…
05-16 05:10:16	Will Cadillac be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?	No	BUY	133	100¢	$132	0xa41530…
05-16 05:05:57	ODI Series England vs. New Zealand, Women: England vs New Zealand	New Zealand	BUY	11	37¢	$4	0x305786…
05-15 05:27:56	Will Tesla (TSLA) finish week of May 11 above $390?	Yes	BUY	137	100¢	$137	0xb522cd…
05-14 10:53:21	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $74,000 and $76,000 on May 14?	No	BUY	137	100¢	$137	0xcd150a…
05-14 10:50:14	Will Park Hong-keun win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election	No	SELL	136	100¢	$136	0xe2f67d…
05-14 09:45:06	Will Park Hong-keun win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election	No	BUY	136	100¢	$136	0x25c6f3…
05-13 08:04:45	Will the price of XRP be between $1.20 and $1.30 on May 13?	No	BUY	137	100¢	$137	0x71f36b…
05-13 08:01:22	Will Katie Britt win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	SELL	138	99¢	$137	0xe31c0d…
05-12 05:48:02	Will Katie Britt win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	BUY	138	99¢	$137	0x3385f3…
05-12 05:44:00	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,527	0¢	$5	0x8df3a2…
05-12 05:41:09	Will Hubert Hurkacz win the 2026 Men's French Open?	No	SELL	142	100¢	$142	0x85141a…
05-11 12:30:31	Will Hubert Hurkacz win the 2026 Men's French Open?	No	BUY	142	100¢	$142	0x41afed…
05-11 12:20:52	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,403	0¢	$4	0x25f26a…
05-11 12:18:39	Will Bernie Sanders win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	SELL	147	99¢	$146	0xd1e272…
05-11 11:59:11	Will Bernie Sanders win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	BUY	147	99¢	$146	0x0b9125…
05-11 11:57:44	Will Liz Cheney win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	SELL	147	99¢	$146	0x613407…
05-11 11:40:09	Will Liz Cheney win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	BUY	147	99¢	$146	0x95bae0…
05-10 09:20:29	Will Bitcoin dip to $74,000 May 4-10?	No	BUY	146	100¢	$146	0x4c3c0d…
05-09 12:46:33	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 9?	No	BUY	146	100¢	$146	0xb05a3b…
05-09 12:42:21	Will the Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	148	99¢	$146	0x6df597…
05-09 12:24:30	Will the Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	148	99¢	$146	0x754bcf…
05-09 12:23:17	Will the Philadelphia 76ers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	146	100¢	$146	0x85ce0d…
05-09 12:07:56	Will the Philadelphia 76ers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	146	100¢	$146	0xb0636b…
05-08 08:11:41	Will Amazon (AMZN) close at $250-$255 on the final day of trading of the week of May 4 – May 8?	No	BUY	147	100¢	$146	0xeca589…
05-07 10:51:35	Will the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting be on May 7?	No	BUY	146	100¢	$146	0x6a1daa…
05-07 10:44:18	Will the New Orleans Saints win the 2027 NFL league championship?	No	SELL	148	99¢	$146	0x8e2c15…
05-07 10:22:39	Will the New Orleans Saints win the 2027 NFL league championship?	No	BUY	148	99¢	$146	0xa6d51e…
05-07 10:21:12	Will the Tennessee Titans win the 2027 NFL league championship?	No	SELL	148	99¢	$146	0x25b6cc…
05-07 10:04:24	Will the Tennessee Titans win the 2027 NFL league championship?	No	BUY	148	99¢	$146	0xf98012…
05-06 07:16:02	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from May 4 to May 6, 2026?	No	BUY	147	100¢	$147	0x37e007…
05-06 07:12:34	Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	SELL	147	99¢	$146	0x7f58a0…
05-06 06:49:08	Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	BUY	147	99¢	$146	0xe4d003…
05-06 06:46:24	Will Kim Kardashian win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	SELL	148	99¢	$147	0xf51549…
05-06 06:30:22	Will Kim Kardashian win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	BUY	148	99¢	$147	0xc38339…
05-04 08:38:32	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on May 4?	No	BUY	146	100¢	$146	0x8e0fa3…
05-03 06:39:24	Will Bitcoin reach $84,000 April 27-May 3?	No	BUY	145	100¢	$145	0x0261a7…
05-02 12:06:08	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from April 30 to May 2, 2026?	No	BUY	146	100¢	$146	0x2dc848…
05-01 06:52:26	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $695 Week of April 27 2026?	No	BUY	146	100¢	$146	0x7bf3f1…
04-30 06:01:22	Will Microsoft dip to $263 in April?	No	BUY	146	100¢	$146	0x94f510…
04-29 05:41:26	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	145	100¢	$145	0x03757f…
04-28 03:44:18	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on April 28?	Yes	BUY	146	100¢	$146	0x272950…