Grateful-Charlatan — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$19

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

11.8%

Resolved

Trades

794

lifetime

Volume

$7.29K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-11

last 07-24 06:11

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 9 days

Categories

Other

61% — —

Crypto

35% 8% $-19

Tech

4% — —

Sports

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

49 active days in 12wk • peak 22 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?	11	$931	1,019	1,019	+0	open	—	07-10 09:56
fifwc fra mar 2026 07 09 first half total 1pt5	4	$560	1,000	1,000	+0	open	—	07-09 12:01
fifwc arg egy 2026 07 07 first half total 0pt5	6	$411	683	683	+0	open	—	07-07 04:20
fifwc esp bel 2026 07 10 first half total 1pt5	2	$320	500	500	+0	open	—	07-10 02:30
us charges hormuz fees by july 31 2026 20260713151243233	5	$276	1,329	1,329	-0	open	—	07-14 16:06
will the next claude opus model be released by july 29 2026	3	$276	499	499	+0	open	—	07-24 06:11
fifwc fra mar 2026 07 09 team total home 2pt5	2	$265	500	500	+0	open	—	07-09 11:16
over 35m committed to the credible public sale 20260708134325653	3	$189	278	278	-0	open	—	07-15 01:39
fifwc esp bel 2026 07 10 btts first half	2	$185	500	500	+0	open	—	07-09 22:52
Fed rate hike in 2026?	4	$154	200	200	+0	open	—	07-12 12:00
sbux quarterly earnings gaap eps 07 28 2026 0pt69	3	$149	363	363	+0	open	—	07-23 23:08
over 50m committed to the credible public sale 20260708134325656	7	$149	625	625	+0	open	—	07-14 21:38
fifwc arg egy 2026 07 07 team total home 1pt5	3	$141	181	181	+0	open	—	07-07 02:47
will a uk social media ban take effect by december 31 2026 20260616193018844	2	$130	455	455	+0	open	—	07-16 01:31
will jordan bardella leave the national rally by december 31 2026 20260709012217844	2	$112	769	769	+0	open	—	07-16 00:49
fifwc arg egy 2026 07 07 team total away 1pt5	2	$110	500	500	+0	open	—	07-07 09:24
us charges hormuz fees by august 31 2026 20260713151243234	2	$107	500	500	+0	open	—	07-14 16:06
fifwc arg egy 2026 07 07 team total home 0pt5	7	$102	443	443	+0	open	—	07-07 12:41
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	3	$70	100	100	+0	open	—	07-14 11:14
fifwc usa bel 2026 07 06 second half total 1pt5	2	$32	35	35	+0	open	—	07-06 20:34
btc updown 15m 1773185400	2	$22	18	18	+0	open	—	03-10 23:34
btc updown 15m 1773192600	2	$20	17	17	+0	open	—	03-11 01:33
btc updown 15m 1773107100	2	$19	19	19	+0	open	—	03-10 01:47
btc updown 15m 1773169200	2	$18	18	18	+0	open	—	03-10 19:06
btc updown 15m 1773167400	2	$18	19	18	+0	open	—	03-10 18:33
btc updown 15m 1773245700	2	$18	17	16	+0	open	—	03-11 16:19
btc updown 15m 1773229500	2	$17	17	17	+0	open	—	03-11 11:48
fifwc che col 2026 07 07 team total away 0pt5	3	$17	33	33	+0	open	—	07-07 03:55
btc updown 15m 1773076500	2	$16	18	17	+0	open	—	03-09 17:20
btc updown 15m 1773093600	2	$14	20	20	+0	open	—	03-09 22:04

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-24 06:11:49	will the next claude opus model be released by july 29 2026	No	SELL	103	15¢	$16	0xa70cee…
07-24 06:11:39	will the next claude opus model be released by july 29 2026	No	SELL	396	23¢	$90	0x40e3cf…
07-24 06:11:36	will the next claude opus model be released by july 29 2026	No	BUY	499	34¢	$170	0x644edb…
07-23 23:08:22	sbux quarterly earnings gaap eps 07 28 2026 0pt69	No	SELL	9	9¢	$1	0x77375a…
07-23 23:07:52	sbux quarterly earnings gaap eps 07 28 2026 0pt69	No	SELL	354	16¢	$58	0xdf4181…
07-23 23:07:49	sbux quarterly earnings gaap eps 07 28 2026 0pt69	No	BUY	363	25¢	$91	0xb8d811…
07-16 23:25:52	will the announcers say trump during the argentina vs spain fifa world cup match 20260716161403317	No	SELL	40	14¢	$6	0x5e79fa…
07-16 23:25:49	will the announcers say trump during the argentina vs spain fifa world cup match 20260716161403317	No	BUY	40	14¢	$6	0x87497d…
07-16 01:31:13	will a uk social media ban take effect by december 31 2026 20260616193018844	Yes	SELL	455	7¢	$30	0xbbf3e8…
07-16 01:31:10	will a uk social media ban take effect by december 31 2026 20260616193018844	Yes	BUY	455	22¢	$100	0x02b5c6…
07-16 00:49:47	will jordan bardella leave the national rally by december 31 2026 20260709012217844	Yes	SELL	769	2¢	$12	0x2c1545…
07-16 00:49:44	will jordan bardella leave the national rally by december 31 2026 20260709012217844	Yes	BUY	769	13¢	$100	0xdc21cc…
07-15 01:39:04	over 35m committed to the credible public sale 20260708134325653	Yes	SELL	4	32¢	$1	0x214072…
07-15 01:35:04	over 35m committed to the credible public sale 20260708134325653	Yes	SELL	274	32¢	$88	0x58c947…
07-15 01:30:41	over 35m committed to the credible public sale 20260708134325653	Yes	BUY	278	36¢	$100	0x569aec…
07-14 21:38:38	over 50m committed to the credible public sale 20260708134325656	Yes	SELL	112	6¢	$7	0x2cb986…
07-14 21:37:52	over 50m committed to the credible public sale 20260708134325656	Yes	SELL	73	6¢	$4	0xa6227a…
07-14 21:37:49	over 50m committed to the credible public sale 20260708134325656	Yes	SELL	73	6¢	$4	0x95469b…
07-14 21:37:44	over 50m committed to the credible public sale 20260708134325656	Yes	SELL	70	6¢	$4	0x5ca20a…
07-14 21:37:04	over 50m committed to the credible public sale 20260708134325656	Yes	SELL	75	6¢	$4	0xad5d7e…
07-14 21:29:04	over 50m committed to the credible public sale 20260708134325656	Yes	SELL	222	11¢	$24	0xc9758a…
07-14 21:25:41	over 50m committed to the credible public sale 20260708134325656	Yes	BUY	625	16¢	$100	0xe15ec7…
07-14 16:06:35	us charges hormuz fees by july 31 2026 20260713151243233	Yes	SELL	636	4¢	$26	0x9d7972…
07-14 16:06:22	us charges hormuz fees by august 31 2026 20260713151243234	Yes	SELL	500	7¢	$37	0xb6bea3…
07-14 15:04:56	us charges hormuz fees by august 31 2026 20260713151243234	Yes	BUY	500	14¢	$70	0x2f1de7…
07-14 15:04:50	us charges hormuz fees by july 31 2026 20260713151243233	Yes	BUY	636	11¢	$70	0x7414ba…
07-14 13:58:52	us charges hormuz fees by july 31 2026 20260713151243233	Yes	SELL	691	13¢	$90	0xf1d1eb…
07-14 12:32:56	us charges hormuz fees by july 31 2026 20260713151243233	Yes	SELL	1	12¢	$0	0xe49758…
07-14 12:20:25	us charges hormuz fees by july 31 2026 20260713151243233	Yes	BUY	692	13¢	$90	0xd8c8bd…
07-14 11:14:47	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	Yes	SELL	78	34¢	$27	0xb6cc88…
07-14 11:02:56	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	Yes	SELL	22	34¢	$7	0xd7f2d5…
07-14 10:41:28	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	36¢	$36	0x90ad8c…
07-12 12:00:13	Fed rate hike in 2026?	No	SELL	159	37¢	$59	0x69e8a0…
07-12 11:52:02	Fed rate hike in 2026?	No	SELL	10	38¢	$4	0x57aa31…
07-12 10:49:01	Fed rate hike in 2026?	No	SELL	31	38¢	$12	0x7ca03e…
07-12 05:54:14	Fed rate hike in 2026?	No	BUY	200	40¢	$80	0xe90e7c…
07-10 09:56:58	Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?	Yes	SELL	649	40¢	$260	0x24dd6d…
07-10 02:30:53	fifwc esp bel 2026 07 10 first half total 1pt5	Over	SELL	500	32¢	$160	0xd0ed42…
07-10 02:14:47	fifwc esp bel 2026 07 10 first half total 1pt5	Over	BUY	500	32¢	$160	0x2f0a36…
07-09 22:52:23	fifwc esp bel 2026 07 10 btts first half	Yes	SELL	500	18¢	$90	0x00bb5f…
07-09 22:36:41	fifwc esp bel 2026 07 10 btts first half	Yes	BUY	500	19¢	$95	0x0cd141…
07-09 12:01:17	fifwc fra mar 2026 07 09 first half total 1pt5	Over	SELL	500	27¢	$135	0xe0215f…
07-09 11:46:05	fifwc fra mar 2026 07 09 first half total 1pt5	Over	BUY	500	28¢	$140	0xec89a2…
07-09 11:16:16	fifwc fra mar 2026 07 09 team total home 2pt5	Over	SELL	500	26¢	$130	0xdf6ae6…
07-09 11:13:17	fifwc fra mar 2026 07 09 first half total 1pt5	Over	SELL	500	28¢	$140	0xef4f91…
07-09 11:00:35	fifwc fra mar 2026 07 09 team total home 2pt5	Over	BUY	500	27¢	$135	0x91f0be…
07-09 10:57:17	fifwc fra mar 2026 07 09 first half total 1pt5	Over	BUY	500	29¢	$145	0x2fbd8c…
07-08 18:31:10	Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?	Yes	BUY	195	48¢	$94	0x07bdc0…
07-08 18:31:05	Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?	Yes	BUY	195	48¢	$94	0xd0cf1e…
07-08 18:30:59	Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?	Yes	BUY	195	49¢	$96	0x29abab…
07-08 18:30:59	Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?	No	SELL	195	51¢	$99	0x29abab…
07-08 18:30:10	Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?	Yes	SELL	131	50¢	$66	0xdf709f…
07-08 18:30:10	Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?	No	BUY	195	50¢	$98	0xdf709f…
07-08 18:25:32	Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?	Yes	SELL	5	44¢	$2	0x676144…
07-08 18:06:20	Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?	Yes	BUY	200	45¢	$90	0xefb382…
07-08 17:45:25	Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?	Yes	SELL	39	43¢	$17	0x6689d6…
07-08 17:30:02	Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?	Yes	BUY	39	44¢	$17	0xc94315…
07-07 12:41:29	fifwc arg egy 2026 07 07 team total home 0pt5	Under	SELL	403	11¢	$44	0x01e3c1…
07-07 10:09:32	fifwc arg egy 2026 07 07 btts first half	Yes	SELL	19	13¢	$2	0xd8c8e3…
07-07 09:24:37	fifwc arg egy 2026 07 07 team total away 1pt5	Over	SELL	500	11¢	$55	0xc6b8a6…
07-07 09:22:44	fifwc arg egy 2026 07 07 btts first half	Yes	BUY	19	13¢	$2	0xcd6032…
07-07 09:21:34	fifwc arg egy 2026 07 07 team total away 1pt5	Over	BUY	500	11¢	$55	0xc5d26e…
07-07 07:51:14	fifwc arg egy 2026 07 07 team total home 0pt5	Under	SELL	13	12¢	$2	0xf077e2…
07-07 07:51:14	fifwc arg egy 2026 07 07 team total home 0pt5	Under	SELL	17	12¢	$2	0x21f8ea…
07-07 06:27:46	fifwc arg egy 2026 07 07 team total home 0pt5	Under	BUY	28	11¢	$3	0x7b6fe1…
07-07 04:20:26	fifwc arg egy 2026 07 07 first half total 0pt5	Under	SELL	683	30¢	$205	0xc4b3d5…
07-07 04:12:22	fifwc arg egy 2026 07 07 first half total 0pt5	Under	BUY	500	30¢	$150	0xb41f42…
07-07 04:11:04	fifwc arg egy 2026 07 07 first half total 0pt5	Under	BUY	11	31¢	$4	0x7e93ff…
07-07 04:11:04	fifwc arg egy 2026 07 07 first half total 0pt5	Under	BUY	43	31¢	$13	0x510571…
07-07 04:11:04	fifwc arg egy 2026 07 07 first half total 0pt5	Under	BUY	9	31¢	$3	0x2faa01…
07-07 03:55:02	fifwc che col 2026 07 07 team total away 0pt5	Under	SELL	29	25¢	$7	0xbdca80…
07-07 03:32:10	fifwc arg egy 2026 07 07 team total home 0pt5	Under	BUY	405	12¢	$49	0xb9ca48…
07-07 03:16:52	fifwc arg egy 2026 07 07 first half total 0pt5	Under	BUY	119	31¢	$37	0xda35cf…
07-07 03:12:50	fifwc arg egy 2026 07 07 team total home 0pt5	Under	SELL	10	12¢	$1	0x42623a…
07-07 02:47:43	fifwc arg egy 2026 07 07 team total home 1pt5	Under	SELL	181	39¢	$70	0x1b2b9c…
07-07 02:32:43	fifwc che col 2026 07 07 team total away 0pt5	Under	SELL	4	25¢	$1	0xe67ec0…
07-07 02:11:37	fifwc arg egy 2026 07 07 team total home 1pt5	Under	BUY	24	39¢	$9	0x736387…
07-07 02:11:35	fifwc arg egy 2026 07 07 team total home 1pt5	Under	BUY	157	39¢	$61	0x37ece2…
07-07 02:11:22	fifwc che col 2026 07 07 team total away 0pt5	Under	BUY	33	25¢	$8	0xaa0354…
07-06 22:50:32	btc updown 15m 1783377900	Down	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0x74b23a…
07-06 22:49:08	fifwc arg egy 2026 07 07 team total home 0pt5	Under	BUY	10	12¢	$1	0xd26f83…
07-06 21:07:50	btc updown 15m 1783371600	Down	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0x2ac3a8…
07-06 20:34:55	fifwc usa bel 2026 07 06 second half total 1pt5	Under	SELL	35	45¢	$16	0x4a34c4…
07-06 16:02:07	fifwc usa bel 2026 07 06 second half total 1pt5	Under	BUY	35	45¢	$16	0x42a9b1…
06-12 21:24:46	btc updown 15m 1781298900	Up	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0x5d89de…
06-12 14:52:46	btc updown 15m 1781275500	Down	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x129530…
06-12 12:44:27	btc updown 15m 1781267400	Up	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0xdb4dc8…
06-12 11:59:39	btc updown 15m 1781264700	Up	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0xb0ece2…
06-12 11:30:03	btc updown 15m 1781262900	Up	BUY	16	6¢	$1	0x0dd833…
06-11 09:52:39	btc updown 15m 1781171100	Down	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0x51c4bf…
06-11 04:50:40	btc updown 15m 1781153100	Down	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0xbc3b7c…
06-11 04:44:06	btc updown 15m 1781152200	Down	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0x6ba497…
06-10 18:29:58	btc updown 15m 1781115300	Down	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x8ec1b9…
06-10 17:38:57	btc updown 15m 1781112600	Up	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0x64cead…
06-10 15:53:49	btc updown 15m 1781106300	Down	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0x52f54b…
06-10 15:07:00	btc updown 15m 1781103600	Up	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0x4c9455…
06-10 13:36:09	btc updown 15m 1781098200	Down	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0x7d07b8…
06-09 21:45:00	btc updown 15m 1781040600	Up	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0x81b790…
06-09 17:44:40	btc updown 15m 1781026200	Up	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x2c8926…
06-09 09:29:51	btc updown 15m 1780996500	Up	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0x30b050…