Guilty-Transfer — Polymarket

Realized P&L (90d)

+$162

Unrealized P&L

-$14

Hit rate

66.9%

Resolved (90d)

Trades (90d)

14 lifetime

Volume (90d)

$650

$650 lifetime

Avg / trade

$46

Open exposure

$85

2 positions

First seen

2026-05-06

last 05-16 23:23

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Sports

100% 64% +$162

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

6 active days in 12wk • peak 3 trades/day

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
New York Yankees vs. New York Mets	New York Mets		+87	$45	98¢	$85	+$40	05-16 23:20
San Diego Padres vs. Seattle Mariners	Seattle Mariners		+84	$54	0¢	$0	$-54	05-16 23:23

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Atlanta Braves vs. Seattle Mariners	1	$67	119	+119	Seattle Mariners	+$52	05-06 20:15
San Diego Padres vs. San Francisco Giants	1	$67	142	+142	San Diego Padres	+$75	05-06 19:50
Chicago White Sox vs. Los Angeles Angels	1	$67	130	+130	Los Angeles Angels	+$64	05-06 20:10
San Diego Padres vs. Seattle Mariners	1	$54	84	+84	open	—	05-16 23:23
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Toronto Blue Jays	1	$51	83	+83	Toronto Blue Jays	+$32	05-13 23:14
New York Yankees vs. New York Mets	1	$45	87	+87	open	—	05-16 23:20
Baltimore Orioles vs. Washington Nationals	1	$45	93	+93	open	—	05-15 22:50
Atlanta Braves vs. Los Angeles Dodgers	1	$44	99	+99	Los Angeles Dodgers	$-44	05-09 02:15
St. Louis Cardinals vs. San Diego Padres	1	$44	79	+79	St. Louis Cardinals	$-44	05-09 01:50
New York Mets vs. Arizona Diamondbacks	1	$44	85	+85	New York Mets	$-44	05-09 01:45
Atlanta Braves vs. Los Angeles Dodgers	1	$34	73	+73	Atlanta Braves	+$39	05-10 01:15
Atlanta Braves vs. Los Angeles Dodgers	1	$34	85	+85	Atlanta Braves	+$51	05-10 20:15
St. Louis Cardinals vs. San Diego Padres	1	$34	79	+79	San Diego Padres	$-34	05-10 20:15
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Texas Rangers	1	$20	35	+35	Texas Rangers	+$15	05-13 00:11

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-16 23:23:00	San Diego Padres vs. Seattle Mariners	Seattle Mariners	BUY	84	64¢	$54	0x2db9ee…
05-16 23:20:49	New York Yankees vs. New York Mets	New York Mets	BUY	87	52¢	$45	0x1cd022…
05-15 22:50:42	Baltimore Orioles vs. Washington Nationals	Washington Nationals	BUY	93	48¢	$45	0xcdf252…
05-13 23:14:40	Tampa Bay Rays vs. Toronto Blue Jays	Toronto Blue Jays	BUY	83	61¢	$51	0x3b732d…
05-13 00:11:21	Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Texas Rangers	Texas Rangers	BUY	35	56¢	$20	0x6cf387…
05-10 20:15:28	Atlanta Braves vs. Los Angeles Dodgers	Atlanta Braves	BUY	85	40¢	$34	0x4fc919…
05-10 20:15:28	St. Louis Cardinals vs. San Diego Padres	St. Louis Cardinals	BUY	79	43¢	$34	0x55a59a…
05-10 01:15:24	Atlanta Braves vs. Los Angeles Dodgers	Atlanta Braves	BUY	73	47¢	$34	0x265c24…
05-09 02:15:25	Atlanta Braves vs. Los Angeles Dodgers	Atlanta Braves	BUY	99	45¢	$44	0xbdebfe…
05-09 01:50:29	St. Louis Cardinals vs. San Diego Padres	San Diego Padres	BUY	79	56¢	$44	0x3cf3f1…
05-09 01:45:26	New York Mets vs. Arizona Diamondbacks	Arizona Diamondbacks	BUY	85	52¢	$44	0x4a8d6f…
05-06 20:15:36	Atlanta Braves vs. Seattle Mariners	Seattle Mariners	BUY	119	56¢	$67	0xc4e8df…
05-06 20:10:35	Chicago White Sox vs. Los Angeles Angels	Los Angeles Angels	BUY	130	51¢	$67	0x5bd9d8…
05-06 19:50:32	San Diego Padres vs. San Francisco Giants	San Diego Padres	BUY	142	47¢	$67	0xabc19a…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
Gorgeous-Concert 0x7d9a…05e6	14	$952	59	05-17 02:08
Agitated-Bricklaying 0x84cf…2f63	13	$11.2K	234	05-16 23:08
Cuddly-Will 0x7fea…8f74	13	$6.84K	124	05-17 01:09
Happy-Go-Lucky-Min 0x84ad…bfb7	13	$4.51K	134	05-17 00:55
(anonymous) 0x5375…aeea	12	$49.5K	181	05-16 01:10
Monstrous-Dew 0x5b63…11a4	12	$7.54K	29	05-17 02:08
Frizzy-User 0xa42f…5f5a	12	$873	32	05-17 01:38
Frail-Possible 0x204f…5e14	11	$6.49K	48	05-17 02:13