Yawning-Lay — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$4.99K

Unrealized P&L

+$88

Hit rate

61.1%

Resolved

2,973

Trades

17,972

lifetime

Volume

$163.8K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$581

5 positions

First seen

2026-05-01

last 10-29 15:27

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 107 days

Categories

Other

78% 55% -$3,799

Crypto

22% 53% -$1,060

Sports

0% 43% -$237

Politics

0% 100% +$59

Tech

0% 100% +$42

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

45 active days in 12wk • peak 3273 trades/day

Open positions (5) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?	No	+258	$166	84¢	$218	+$52	09-05 14:26
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	No	+245	$148	86¢	$212	+$64	09-21 13:04
Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?	No	+190	$150	79¢	$150	+$0	09-11 13:07
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?	Yes	+79	$27	1¢	$1	-$26	09-04 21:39
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	Yes	+4	$2	14¢	$0	-$2	09-21 13:28

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will CR Flamengo win on 2026-05-07?	16	$2.1K	1,523	1,523	+0	Yes	+$424	05-09 10:23
Will Al Hilal Saudi Club win on 2026-05-12?	11	$1.9K	2,085	1,000	+1,085	No	+$59	05-12 20:02
Will Club Cerro Porteño win on 2026-05-07?	29	$1.8K	2,544	1,570	+973	Yes	-$513	05-08 03:54
Konyaspor vs. Fenerbahçe SK: O/U 1.5	42	$1.6K	1,736	0	+1,736	Over	+$166	05-09 18:18
Will Villarreal CF win on 2026-05-24?	34	$1.4K	1,576	958	+618	Yes	-$76	05-24 19:46
Will Grêmio FBPA win on 2026-05-05?	16	$1.3K	1,945	0	+1,945	Yes	+$634	05-05 23:16
Will Inter Miami CF win on 2026-05-24?	40	$1.2K	1,556	744	+812	Yes	-$10	05-25 00:04
Spread: Holstein Kiel (-1.5)	6	$1.1K	1,171	0	+1,171	1. FC Magdeburg	+$95	05-09 11:38
Will United States win on 2026-05-31?	25	$1.0K	1,263	560	+702	Yes	-$314	05-31 20:53
Will SC Freiburg win on 2026-05-07?	7	$991	1,066	0	+1,066	Yes	+$75	05-07 19:24
Crystal Palace FC vs. FK Shakhtar Donetsk: O/U 2.5	4	$954	1,199	0	+1,199	Over	+$245	05-07 20:08
Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-05-09?	2	$949	1,095	0	+1,095	Yes	+$146	05-09 14:01
Will FK Shakhtar Donetsk win on 2026-05-07?	10	$923	1,200	0	+1,200	No	+$276	05-07 20:06
Will Santos FC win on 2026-05-05?	8	$919	973	0	+973	No	-$919	05-06 02:15
Will Karlsruher SC win on 2026-05-08?	4	$910	980	0	+980	No	+$70	05-08 18:05
Will Fenerbahçe SK win on 2026-05-09?	2	$877	1,154	0	+1,154	Yes	+$277	05-09 17:42
Will Al Nassr Saudi Club win on 2026-05-12?	21	$845	1,144	145	+1,000	No	-$751	05-12 20:02
Will Independiente Medellín win on 2026-05-07?	10	$805	944	0	+944	No	+$139	05-08 01:22
Will Canada win on 2026-06-01?	21	$804	510	463	+47	Yes	+$18	06-02 02:40
Will Al Khaleej Saudi Club win on 2026-04-11?	8	$798	831	0	+831	No	+$33	05-05 19:26
Spread: Al Hazem SC (-2.5)	4	$797	805	0	+805	Al Najmah Saudi Club	+$8	05-09 17:03
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-05-10?	26	$793	1,141	434	+707	No	+$402	05-10 13:48
Will AC Monza win on 2026-05-08?	18	$785	1,221	0	+1,221	No	+$415	05-08 19:59
Will Al Hilal Saudi Club win on 2026-04-11?	7	$765	1,340	0	+1,340	Yes	+$575	05-05 19:27
Spread: Fulham FC (-1.5)	5	$721	733	0	+733	AFC Bournemouth	+$13	05-09 15:16
Will Valencia CF win on 2026-05-23?	10	$704	1,230	272	+958	Yes	+$662	05-23 20:28
CDP Junior FC vs. Club Cerro Porteño: O/U 2.5	3	$702	1,298	0	+1,298	Under	-$702	05-08 02:42
Will Houston Dynamo win on 2026-05-02?	31	$649	821	0	+821	Yes	+$172	05-03 02:17
Holstein Kiel vs. 1. FC Magdeburg: O/U 3.5	21	$643	1,524	0	+1,524	Over	+$881	05-09 12:43
Will Atlanta United FC win on 2026-05-02?	10	$642	1,170	0	+1,170	Yes	+$528	05-03 00:34

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-29 15:27:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	66¢	$3	0x52b508…
10-29 13:43:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	90¢	$4	0xc56547…
10-29 13:43:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x8b3b6c…
10-29 13:32:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Down	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x41b0ce…
10-29 13:32:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Down	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x4cba1a…
10-29 13:28:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	90¢	$4	0x65fa6f…
10-29 13:27:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Up	BUY	0	86¢	$0	0xb5afb7…
10-29 13:27:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	86¢	$4	0x9af813…
10-29 13:21:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Down	BUY	5	74¢	$4	0x2a3d7d…
10-29 09:07:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Up	BUY	5	89¢	$4	0x68e8c1…
10-29 09:07:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Up	BUY	5	88¢	$4	0xa6efe8…
10-29 09:06:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Up	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0x18c7f0…
10-29 07:13:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xf10250…
10-29 07:12:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	Down	BUY	0	79¢	$0	0x7992ff…
10-29 07:12:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	79¢	$4	0x0765fc…
10-29 07:11:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	78¢	$4	0x03850a…
10-29 07:08:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	Down	BUY	5	88¢	$4	0xeb8812…
10-29 07:06:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	Down	BUY	5	75¢	$4	0x867f73…
10-29 07:06:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	Down	BUY	0	75¢	$0	0x22c0f7…
10-29 07:06:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	Down	BUY	5	75¢	$4	0xc8052c…
10-29 07:05:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	Down	BUY	3	60¢	$2	0x217a1a…
10-29 07:01:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	Up	BUY	5	67¢	$3	0xca4a63…
10-29 07:00:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	Up	BUY	4	64¢	$2	0x7ef4a5…
10-29 07:00:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	Up	BUY	1	64¢	$1	0x473a76…
10-29 04:02:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET	Down	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x8e72fd…
10-29 04:02:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET	Down	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0x35e89e…
10-29 04:01:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET	Down	BUY	5	85¢	$4	0xdb5956…
10-29 03:52:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET	Down	BUY	5	88¢	$4	0xd4baa8…
10-29 03:51:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET	Down	BUY	0	87¢	$0	0x953bda…
10-29 03:51:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET	Down	BUY	5	87¢	$4	0x624e22…
10-29 03:50:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET	Down	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0xd16e44…
10-29 03:50:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET	Down	BUY	4	74¢	$3	0x068d0f…
10-29 03:47:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	Down	BUY	5	86¢	$4	0xab7950…
10-29 03:46:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	Down	BUY	5	90¢	$4	0xcc6423…
10-29 03:46:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	Down	BUY	5	79¢	$4	0xd9d0de…
10-29 03:41:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	65¢	$3	0xa20525…
10-29 03:38:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	Down	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x71a76c…
10-29 03:27:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	Down	BUY	0	73¢	$0	0xc942f8…
10-29 03:27:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	73¢	$4	0x249340…
10-29 03:27:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	Down	BUY	0	73¢	$0	0x05c10d…
10-29 03:26:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	77¢	$4	0xa417b5…
10-29 03:21:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Down	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x3a5ec8…
10-29 03:20:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Down	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0xfbb32a…
10-29 03:18:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Up	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xbef625…
10-29 03:18:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Up	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x2a1860…
10-29 03:16:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Up	BUY	5	88¢	$4	0x58be2e…
10-29 03:16:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Up	BUY	5	87¢	$4	0x98b4f3…
10-29 03:06:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Up	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0x65208d…
10-29 03:02:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	Up	BUY	5	89¢	$4	0x03e2f3…
10-29 02:44:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x8e1fe2…
10-29 01:42:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xb0c07a…
10-29 01:42:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	74¢	$4	0x320854…
10-28 23:23:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	Up	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x97de5f…
10-28 23:18:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Down	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0xf27611…
10-28 23:11:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0x2ee5b8…
10-28 23:11:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	67¢	$3	0x4357be…
10-28 22:58:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Down	BUY	3	54¢	$2	0x79aff8…
10-28 22:58:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Down	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x6a5f59…
10-28 22:57:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0xbee2cf…
10-28 22:56:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Up	BUY	3	63¢	$2	0x561372…
10-28 22:56:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0x10c98b…
10-28 22:56:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	71¢	$4	0x2d9e0b…
10-28 22:56:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	71¢	$4	0xecece1…
10-28 22:56:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	72¢	$4	0x384893…
10-28 22:56:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	73¢	$4	0x0970f6…
10-28 22:56:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	73¢	$4	0xcf335d…
10-28 22:56:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Up	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0x3c0f1c…
10-28 22:55:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Up	BUY	4	74¢	$3	0x4dadad…
10-28 22:55:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0xc0f4dd…
10-28 22:55:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0x0058a9…
10-28 22:55:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0x499d52…
10-28 22:55:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0x689cae…
10-28 22:54:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Up	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x866a52…
10-28 22:53:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Up	BUY	5	14¢	$1	0x5ac4c4…
10-28 22:53:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Up	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0x5e3754…
10-28 22:53:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Up	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0x419cb2…
10-28 22:53:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Up	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0xf31fc0…
10-28 22:53:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Up	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0x1d911a…
10-28 22:53:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Up	BUY	0	47¢	$0	0xbc6c52…
10-28 22:53:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Up	BUY	0	47¢	$0	0xb895c8…
10-28 22:53:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Up	BUY	3	42¢	$1	0xf99d66…
10-28 22:53:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Up	BUY	0	42¢	$0	0xdd5a7f…
10-28 22:53:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Up	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x88297f…
10-28 22:53:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Up	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0xef121b…
10-28 22:52:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Up	BUY	2	32¢	$0	0x6778c4…
10-28 22:52:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Up	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0x717f33…
10-28 22:52:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Up	BUY	5	36¢	$2	0xcd82dd…
10-28 22:52:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Up	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0x988f9a…
10-28 22:52:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Up	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0xe9a0cc…
10-28 22:52:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Up	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0xd136d9…
10-28 22:50:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Down	BUY	5	64¢	$3	0x7728b7…
10-28 22:50:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Down	BUY	5	65¢	$3	0x4f57d5…
10-28 22:50:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Down	BUY	5	66¢	$3	0x652460…
10-28 22:50:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Down	BUY	5	67¢	$3	0xc6f80a…
10-28 22:50:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Down	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0xc1e0d2…
10-28 22:50:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Down	BUY	5	65¢	$3	0x9d39d1…
10-28 22:50:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Down	BUY	5	66¢	$3	0x6093df…
10-28 22:49:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Down	BUY	5	70¢	$4	0x228c86…
10-28 22:46:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Up	BUY	5	86¢	$4	0x4e90de…
10-28 22:46:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Up	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0xbec1db…