Imperturbable-Factor-Trial — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$30

Unrealized P&L

-$2

Hit rate

49.9%

Resolved

Trades

126

lifetime

Volume

$411

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-05-17

last 07-11 17:37

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 23 days

Categories

Other

70% 33% -$27

Sports

18% 33% +$4

Crypto

12% 46% -$6

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-07-11).

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?	Yes		+15	$3	4¢	$1	-$2	06-05 17:06

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	4	$38	1,017	1,017	+0	No	-$2	06-15 16:02
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17?	3	$35	47	0	+47	No	-$35	06-17 18:08
Will England win on 2026-07-11?	3	$29	56	0	+56	No	-$29	07-11 17:37
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	2	$26	833	833	+0	No	+$6	06-13 14:33
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons (BO5) - PGL Astana Playoffs	5	$22	13	13	+0	Spirit	+$2	05-17 14:51
Will Japan win on 2026-06-21?	1	$15	23	0	+23	Yes	+$8	06-20 14:42
cs2 aur1 ts7 2026 06 12	1	$15	17	0	+17	Spirit	+$2	06-12 13:08
Will England win on 2026-06-17?	2	$14	24	0	+24	Yes	+$10	06-17 19:00
cs2 navi ts7 2026 06 11	1	$10	16	0	+16	Spirit	+$6	06-11 16:34
Will France win on 2026-07-09?	1	$10	16	0	+16	Yes	+$6	07-07 17:28
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29?	1	$10	18	0	+18	Yes	+$8	06-29 16:52
Will France win on 2026-06-16?	2	$10	14	0	+14	Yes	+$5	06-15 16:12
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	2	$9	28	28	+0	No	-$1	06-11 16:24
Exact Score: Any Other Score?	4	$8	80	27	+53	No	-$4	06-24 16:56
Will France win on 2026-06-26?	2	$7	11	0	+11	Yes	+$4	06-26 15:18
Will England win on 2026-07-05?	1	$6	15	0	+15	Yes	+$9	07-03 16:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	4	$5	9	9	+0	Down	+$1	05-17 17:03
Exact Score: Any Other Score?	1	$5	15	0	+15	No	-$5	06-27 17:13
Will Morocco win on 2026-07-04?	1	$5	9	0	+9	Yes	+$4	07-03 16:35
Exact Score: Any Other Score?	1	$5	19	0	+19	No	-$5	07-03 16:36
Will Spain win on 2026-06-26?	1	$5	9	0	+9	Yes	+$4	06-26 15:13
Will Croatia win on 2026-06-27?	1	$5	9	0	+9	Yes	+$4	06-27 17:20
Exact Score: Any Other Score?	2	$4	12	0	+12	Yes	+$8	06-23 15:24
Will Colombia win on 2026-07-07?	1	$4	9	0	+9	No	-$4	07-07 17:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	2	$4	3	3	+0	Up	+$2	05-17 16:54
Exact Score: Portugal 3 - 0 Uzbekistan?	3	$4	12	12	+0	No	$0	06-23 17:40
Exact Score: Portugal 3 - 1 Uzbekistan?	2	$3	25	25	+0	No	-$1	06-23 17:22
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	2	$3	2	2	+0	Down	+$1	05-17 16:00
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?	1	$3	15	0	+15	open	—	06-05 17:06
Will Norway win on 2026-06-30?	1	$3	7	0	+7	Yes	+$4	06-29 16:57

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-11 17:37:07	Will England win on 2026-07-11?	Yes	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x2a0c15…
07-11 17:34:35	Exact Score: Norway 0 - 2 England?	Yes	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0xf87cfd…
07-11 17:33:47	Exact Score: Norway 2 - 3 England?	Yes	BUY	23	4¢	$1	0x1f9962…
07-11 17:33:34	Exact Score: Norway 1 - 2 England?	Yes	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0x0f613d…
07-11 17:33:19	Exact Score: Norway 0 - 1 England?	Yes	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0xbb83d3…
07-11 17:32:52	Will England win on 2026-07-11?	Yes	BUY	16	50¢	$8	0x2003bd…
07-07 17:30:28	Will Colombia win on 2026-07-07?	Yes	BUY	9	43¢	$4	0xfb8710…
07-07 17:28:49	Will France win on 2026-07-09?	Yes	BUY	16	62¢	$10	0x194373…
07-07 17:28:01	Will England win on 2026-07-11?	Yes	BUY	38	52¢	$20	0x932b21…
07-03 16:38:34	Will England win on 2026-07-05?	Yes	BUY	15	40¢	$6	0xb258b6…
07-03 16:38:02	Exact Score: Brazil 2 - 1 Norway?	Yes	BUY	18	11¢	$2	0x1d9a92…
07-03 16:36:59	Exact Score: Paraguay 0 - 3 France?	Yes	BUY	15	13¢	$2	0xb69710…
07-03 16:36:37	Exact Score: Any Other Score?	Yes	BUY	19	26¢	$5	0xde839b…
07-03 16:36:08	Exact Score: Canada 1 - 2 Morocco?	Yes	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0xfe3f8a…
07-03 16:35:58	Exact Score: Canada 0 - 2 Morocco?	Yes	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0x01c4aa…
07-03 16:35:41	Will Morocco win on 2026-07-04?	Yes	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0x9054e3…
07-03 16:34:56	Exact Score: Argentina 3 - 0 Cabo Verde?	Yes	BUY	12	17¢	$2	0x4415f0…
07-03 16:33:55	Exact Score: Argentina 3 - 1 Cabo Verde?	Yes	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0xa71950…
06-30 16:54:08	Exact Score: Côte d'Ivoire 2 - 3 Norway?	Yes	BUY	61	3¢	$2	0xd33b37…
06-30 16:53:14	Exact Score: Portugal 1 - 1 Croatia?	Yes	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0x080f6e…
06-30 16:52:50	Exact Score: France 3 - 1 Sweden?	Yes	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x26c141…
06-29 16:57:50	Will Norway win on 2026-06-30?	Yes	BUY	7	46¢	$3	0x1f3f1f…
06-29 16:56:17	Exact Score: Netherlands 2 - 2 Morocco?	Yes	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0x16f992…
06-29 16:56:10	Exact Score: Netherlands 1 - 1 Morocco?	Yes	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0x5f3f96…
06-29 16:54:56	Exact Score: France 3 - 1 Sweden?	Yes	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0xad7410…
06-29 16:52:59	Exact Score: Portugal 1 - 1 Croatia?	Yes	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0xe089e5…
06-29 16:52:05	Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29?	Yes	BUY	18	56¢	$10	0x6441c5…
06-29 16:51:40	Exact Score: Brazil 2 - 1 Japan?	Yes	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0xfed848…
06-27 17:20:37	Exact Score: Croatia 2 - 0 Ghana?	Yes	BUY	18	11¢	$2	0xe5d414…
06-27 17:20:08	Will Croatia win on 2026-06-27?	Yes	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0x5ebe86…
06-27 17:18:32	Exact Score: Any Other Score?	Yes	BUY	7	29¢	$2	0x17863d…
06-27 17:15:40	Exact Score: Colombia 1 - 2 Portugal?	Yes	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0x556992…
06-27 17:15:26	Exact Score: Colombia 0 - 1 Portugal?	Yes	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x890f0e…
06-27 17:13:10	Exact Score: Any Other Score?	Yes	BUY	15	34¢	$5	0xe50800…
06-26 15:21:35	Exact Score: Norway 2 - 3 France?	Yes	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x300cc3…
06-26 15:18:05	Will France win on 2026-06-26?	Yes	BUY	3	61¢	$2	0xf28461…
06-26 15:14:47	Exact Score: Norway 1 - 2 France?	Yes	BUY	17	12¢	$2	0x5c4262…
06-26 15:14:29	Exact Score: Norway 2 - 3 France?	Yes	BUY	39	5¢	$2	0xe83096…
06-26 15:14:02	Exact Score: Norway 1 - 3 France?	Yes	BUY	25	8¢	$2	0x82495d…
06-26 15:13:26	Will France win on 2026-06-26?	Yes	BUY	8	61¢	$5	0x33dcbd…
06-26 15:13:02	Will Spain win on 2026-06-26?	Yes	BUY	9	58¢	$5	0x70f6a7…
06-24 16:56:50	Exact Score: Any Other Score?	Yes	BUY	27	7¢	$2	0xe2417e…
06-24 16:54:35	Exact Score: Any Other Score?	Yes	BUY	27	7¢	$2	0x7bbaf6…
06-24 16:53:47	Exact Score: Scotland 0 - 1 Brazil?	Yes	BUY	14	14¢	$2	0x8325c3…
06-24 16:53:32	Exact Score: Scotland 0 - 2 Brazil?	Yes	BUY	12	16¢	$2	0x5dc671…
06-24 16:52:46	Exact Score: Any Other Score?	Yes	BUY	6	31¢	$2	0x54727c…
06-24 16:48:47	Exact Score: Any Other Score?	Yes	SELL	27	7¢	$2	0xc8d314…
06-24 16:47:53	Exact Score: Any Other Score?	Yes	BUY	27	7¢	$2	0x3ed121…
06-24 16:46:53	Exact Score: South Africa 1 - 2 Korea Republic?	Yes	BUY	18	11¢	$2	0x9a823d…
06-23 17:40:02	Exact Score: Portugal 3 - 0 Uzbekistan?	Yes	SELL	5	9¢	$0	0x004d06…
06-23 17:31:32	Exact Score: Portugal 2 - 1 Uzbekistan?	Yes	SELL	25	3¢	$1	0x9d052d…
06-23 17:22:37	Exact Score: Portugal 3 - 0 Uzbekistan?	Yes	SELL	8	14¢	$1	0xd1874e…
06-23 17:22:17	Exact Score: Portugal 3 - 1 Uzbekistan?	Yes	SELL	25	5¢	$1	0x28321e…
06-23 15:24:22	Exact Score: Any Other Score?	Yes	BUY	6	33¢	$2	0xaff7aa…
06-23 15:19:50	Exact Score: England 3 - 1 Ghana?	Yes	BUY	25	8¢	$2	0x46dee5…
06-23 15:19:37	Exact Score: England 3 - 0 Ghana?	Yes	BUY	14	14¢	$2	0xc1034c…
06-23 15:18:47	Exact Score: England 2 - 0 Ghana?	Yes	BUY	12	16¢	$2	0x7eb5fa…
06-23 15:12:01	Exact Score: Any Other Score?	Yes	BUY	6	32¢	$2	0xaa513e…
06-23 14:59:46	Exact Score: Portugal 2 - 1 Uzbekistan?	Yes	BUY	25	8¢	$2	0x9e9e9c…
06-23 14:59:34	Exact Score: Portugal 3 - 1 Uzbekistan?	Yes	BUY	25	8¢	$2	0xf350fe…
06-23 14:59:14	Exact Score: Portugal 3 - 0 Uzbekistan?	Yes	BUY	12	16¢	$2	0x4784f8…
06-20 14:42:16	Will Japan win on 2026-06-21?	Yes	BUY	23	64¢	$15	0x5f4e22…
06-17 19:00:55	Will England win on 2026-06-17?	Yes	BUY	7	58¢	$4	0xcd24a4…
06-17 18:08:13	Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17?	Yes	BUY	8	65¢	$5	0xd6602f…
06-17 15:11:04	Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17?	Yes	BUY	18	77¢	$14	0xeaf67a…
06-17 15:01:08	Will England win on 2026-06-17?	Yes	BUY	17	58¢	$10	0x5b6166…
06-15 16:12:36	Will France win on 2026-06-16?	Yes	BUY	4	67¢	$3	0x59e07e…
06-15 16:10:24	Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17?	Yes	BUY	21	77¢	$16	0xae26ab…
06-15 16:08:57	Will France win on 2026-06-16?	Yes	BUY	10	67¢	$7	0xde7624…
06-15 16:02:36	Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	1,017	2¢	$18	0xc7fb40…
06-13 14:33:04	Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	833	2¢	$16	0x5e1342…
06-12 13:08:34	cs2 aur1 ts7 2026 06 12	Spirit	BUY	17	87¢	$15	0x1e9e91…
06-11 16:34:40	cs2 navi ts7 2026 06 11	Spirit	BUY	16	64¢	$10	0x155fbc…
06-11 16:24:54	Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	28	16¢	$4	0x2cebbb…
06-05 17:06:12	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?	Yes	BUY	15	20¢	$3	0xedb627…
06-05 17:02:34	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-05 17:00 UTC	Down	SELL	2	87¢	$2	0x7cf267…
06-05 16:59:33	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-05 17:00 UTC	Down	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0xeab5c0…
06-05 16:57:06	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-05 16:55 UTC	Down	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0xe31996…
06-05 16:27:13	Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	227	2¢	$5	0x140a2c…
06-05 04:51:22	Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	526	2¢	$10	0x37f96a…
06-05 04:50:25	Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	833	1¢	$10	0xa12fe2…
06-05 04:42:31	Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	263	2¢	$5	0x6f52b9…
05-17 17:09:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Up	SELL	3	56¢	$2	0xa3ed66…
05-17 17:05:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Up	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x65d3bc…
05-17 17:03:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Up	SELL	7	22¢	$1	0x310932…
05-17 17:02:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Up	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0x904327…
05-17 17:01:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Down	SELL	2	93¢	$2	0x8cf276…
05-17 16:59:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Down	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0xe02454…
05-17 16:56:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Up	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0x10fce9…
05-17 16:54:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Up	SELL	3	86¢	$3	0x17d36a…
05-17 16:50:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Up	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0x517147…
05-17 16:44:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Up	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x825f80…
05-17 16:39:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x30a11e…
05-17 16:36:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Down	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x9a6484…
05-17 16:34:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Down	SELL	2	84¢	$2	0x831061…
05-17 16:29:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Down	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x1f2214…
05-17 16:29:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Down	SELL	3	17¢	$1	0x7c6c26…
05-17 16:24:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Down	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0x975bb7…
05-17 16:19:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Down	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x9050da…
05-17 16:16:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Down	SELL	2	73¢	$1	0x9496d4…