Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1.47K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

47.8%

Resolved

180

Trades

571

lifetime

Volume

$9.90K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$17

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-22

last 09-21 19:58

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 55 days

Categories

Politics

50% 33% -$1,786

Other

29% 48% +$168

Crypto

19% 63% +$156

Sports

2% 100% +$21

Tech

0% 50% -$30

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

12 active days in 12wk • peak 19 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will israel or the us target isfahan nuclear technology center nuclear facility	33	$1.1K	2,772	0	+2,772	Yes	-$1,133	04-03 10:02
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	19	$984	1,969	1,969	+0	No	-$200	04-02 13:18
will cdu win the second most seats in the 2026 baden wrttemberg parliamentary elections	24	$611	5,632	5,632	+0	Yes	+$106	03-10 20:04
will the greens win the second most seats in the 2026 baden wrttemberg parliamentary elections	33	$551	11,942	8,942	+3,000	No	+$206	03-12 22:52
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	3	$423	278	278	+0	Yes	+$113	03-07 14:07
will iran announce a new supreme leader on march 9 2026	11	$423	224	224	+0	Yes	+$15	03-08 21:50
us forces enter iran by march 14 337	14	$282	5,500	400	+5,100	No	-$210	03-15 00:25
will qatar strike iran by march 31	11	$224	380	380	+0	No	-$72	03-09 15:07
Mecklenburg-Vorpommern Parliamentary Election: CDU Over/Under 5%?	11	$212	3,000	0	+3,000	Under	-$212	09-20 19:51
US forces enter Iran by December 31?	3	$203	160	160	+0	Yes	-$5	03-16 20:29
will the greens win the most seats in the 2026 baden wrttemberg parliamentary elections	4	$183	1,906	1,906	+0	No	-$144	03-09 10:14
will the us invade iran by march 31	10	$139	222	639	-417	No	+$94	03-14 13:03
will cdu win the most seats in the 2026 rhineland palatinate parliamentary elections	6	$132	113	113	+0	Yes	-$2	03-16 09:38
Will there be a safety car during the 2026 F1 Italian Grand Prix?	8	$121	133	0	+133	Yes	+$13	09-13 23:41
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-12 18:15 UTC	3	$119	142	0	+142	Down	-$12	03-12 18:19
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-13 21:55 UTC	7	$113	147	63	+84	Down	+$17	03-13 21:59
will israel launch a major ground offensive in lebanon by march 31	2	$113	80	80	+0	Yes	-$1	03-09 11:40
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	2	$106	120	120	+0	Yes	-$7	03-25 20:17
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-10 21:10 UTC	2	$105	117	0	+117	Down	-$4	03-10 21:13
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-12 19:50 UTC	3	$104	120	0	+120	Down	+$16	03-12 19:54
another us bank failure by march 31	2	$98	60	60	+0	No	-$1	03-08 21:31
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-12 21:55 UTC	3	$79	52	51	+1	Down	+$20	03-12 21:59
will iran announce a new supreme leader by march 31 2026	2	$78	40	40	+0	No	+$2	03-08 21:33
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-14 10:05 UTC	3	$77	104	0	+104	Up	+$27	03-14 10:09
will iran announce a new supreme leader on march 8 2026	9	$72	2,500	0	+2,500	No	-$72	03-08 22:06
ucl mnc1 rma1 2026 03 17 rma1	2	$69	60	60	+0	Yes	+$49	03-17 21:54
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-12 20:40 UTC	2	$65	73	0	+73	Down	+$8	03-12 20:43
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-10 21:20 UTC	3	$65	77	45	+32	Down	-$4	03-10 21:25
will iran strike israel on march 10	13	$60	12,224	224	+12,000	Yes	-$31	03-16 20:09
Will Linke win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?	2	$60	44	44	+0	Yes	+$0	09-12 18:29

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-21 19:58:37	Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before September 30, 2026	Yes	BUY	770	2¢	$18	0x79fcf5…
09-21 19:58:15	Will Real Madrid win the 2026-27 LALIGA Championship?	Yes	SELL	105	18¢	$19	0xbfee85…
09-20 22:34:49	Will Real Madrid win the 2026-27 LALIGA Championship?	Yes	BUY	105	19¢	$20	0xd34330…
09-20 19:51:37	Mecklenburg-Vorpommern Parliamentary Election: CDU Over/Under 5%?	Over	BUY	1,400	2¢	$27	0x9bf4ba…
09-20 19:51:11	Mecklenburg-Vorpommern Parliamentary Election: CDU Over/Under 5%?	Over	BUY	600	2¢	$11	0xeb0051…
09-20 19:49:49	Mecklenburg-Vorpommern Parliamentary Election: CDU Over/Under 5%?	Over	BUY	370	2¢	$7	0x373756…
09-20 19:13:11	Mecklenburg-Vorpommern Parliamentary Election: CDU Over/Under 5%?	Over	BUY	59	8¢	$5	0x8857b7…
09-20 19:12:49	Mecklenburg-Vorpommern Parliamentary Election: CDU Over/Under 5%?	Over	BUY	15	8¢	$1	0x85b6c2…
09-20 19:10:49	Mecklenburg-Vorpommern Parliamentary Election: CDU Over/Under 5%?	Over	BUY	361	3¢	$11	0x44b7cc…
09-20 18:34:24	Mecklenburg-Vorpommern Parliamentary Election: CDU Over/Under 5%?	Over	BUY	25	48¢	$12	0xc30d20…
09-20 18:34:00	Mecklenburg-Vorpommern Parliamentary Election: CDU Over/Under 5%?	Over	BUY	15	47¢	$7	0x0c4aeb…
09-20 18:33:30	Will Ulrich Siegmund be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt?	Yes	SELL	50	41¢	$20	0xc74adf…
09-18 17:50:33	Mecklenburg-Vorpommern Parliamentary Election: CDU Over/Under 5%?	Over	BUY	5	79¢	$4	0xc3e275…
09-18 17:49:55	Mecklenburg-Vorpommern Parliamentary Election: CDU Over/Under 5%?	Over	BUY	14	79¢	$11	0x97f67a…
09-18 17:44:22	2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House	Yes	SELL	21	60¢	$12	0xb662b3…
09-15 23:09:34	Mecklenburg-Vorpommern Parliamentary Election: CDU Over/Under 5%?	Over	BUY	136	85¢	$116	0x4473d8…
09-15 23:07:30	Will Ulrich Siegmund be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt?	Yes	BUY	50	40¢	$20	0xae36b7…
09-13 23:41:12	Will there be a safety car during the 2026 F1 Italian Grand Prix?	Yes	BUY	8	90¢	$7	0xf92aca…
09-13 23:40:33	NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	62	8¢	$5	0x3c01ee…
09-12 18:35:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 12, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Up	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0xf5b5ea…
09-12 18:35:06	Will there be a safety car during the 2026 F1 Italian Grand Prix?	Yes	BUY	52	90¢	$47	0xf1115a…
09-12 18:30:19	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	23	61¢	$14	0x9e0f6a…
09-12 18:30:09	Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?	Yes	SELL	32	17¢	$5	0x614c57…
09-12 18:29:51	Will Linke win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?	Yes	SELL	44	68¢	$30	0x4449ca…
09-11 23:24:24	2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House	Yes	SELL	9	49¢	$5	0x0cd3b6…
09-11 23:20:43	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	23	62¢	$14	0xc33941…
09-11 23:16:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Down	BUY	15	33¢	$5	0xef27c2…
09-11 23:15:55	Will the Democrats win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	24	82¢	$20	0x362cb2…
09-11 23:11:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Up	BUY	15	33¢	$5	0x88b623…
09-11 23:04:58	Will there be a safety car during the 2026 F1 Italian Grand Prix?	Yes	BUY	6	91¢	$5	0xb65de2…
09-11 23:04:28	Will there be a safety car during the 2026 F1 Italian Grand Prix?	Yes	BUY	21	92¢	$19	0x35b0fa…
09-11 23:04:06	2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House	No	SELL	28	87¢	$24	0xc1d4db…
09-11 23:03:16	Will there be a safety car during the 2026 F1 Italian Grand Prix?	Yes	BUY	7	85¢	$6	0xa51582…
09-11 23:03:01	Will there be a safety car during the 2026 F1 Italian Grand Prix?	Yes	BUY	9	82¢	$7	0x0a696d…
09-11 23:02:46	Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?	Yes	SELL	126	16¢	$20	0x2484be…
09-11 10:36:55	NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	62	8¢	$5	0x43e679…
09-11 10:35:28	Will Mercedes have the highest constructor score at the 2026 F1 Spanish Grand Prix?	Yes	BUY	7	64¢	$5	0xf8e58c…
09-11 10:31:15	Will there be a safety car during the 2026 F1 Italian Grand Prix?	Yes	BUY	25	96¢	$24	0x6d6b2c…
09-11 10:30:46	Will there be a safety car during the 2026 F1 Italian Grand Prix?	Yes	BUY	5	88¢	$4	0x83623a…
09-11 10:28:18	Will the Democrats win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	24	83¢	$20	0x43fd6a…
09-11 10:25:27	Will Linke win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?	Yes	BUY	44	68¢	$30	0x92ee8a…
09-11 10:23:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Up	BUY	167	3¢	$5	0xb811e7…
09-11 10:23:28	Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?	Yes	BUY	118	17¢	$20	0xa6e588…
09-10 00:23:12	2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House	No	BUY	28	88¢	$25	0x640d10…
09-10 00:21:58	2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House	Yes	BUY	30	51¢	$15	0xb11298…
09-10 00:19:13	Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?	Yes	BUY	40	16¢	$6	0xe4b883…
09-06 10:08:01	Will Russia target Kyiv on September 5, 2026?	No	BUY	48	98¢	$47	0x502e34…
08-31 13:41:36	Will Russia target Kyiv on August 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	46	99¢	$46	0xe78422…
08-26 21:13:22	Will Russia target Kyiv on August 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	46	39¢	$18	0x01c9cd…
08-25 18:57:51	Will Russia target Kyiv on August 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	41¢	$20	0xc8f125…
04-03 10:02:33	will israel or the us target isfahan nuclear technology center nuclear facility	No	BUY	888	3¢	$23	0x1ba252…
04-02 13:26:33	will israel or the us target isfahan nuclear technology center nuclear facility	No	BUY	54	85¢	$46	0x734157…
04-02 13:18:17	will israel or the us target isfahan nuclear technology center nuclear facility	No	BUY	10	85¢	$9	0x954f1f…
04-02 13:18:03	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	No	SELL	9	100¢	$9	0xa60394…
03-30 22:06:17	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	No	BUY	9	95¢	$8	0x0a9e80…
03-29 21:26:00	will israel or the us target isfahan nuclear technology center nuclear facility	No	BUY	50	84¢	$42	0x0d7b67…
03-29 21:25:46	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	Yes	SELL	360	14¢	$49	0x15c189…
03-25 22:01:09	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	Yes	BUY	50	20¢	$10	0x74995f…
03-25 21:33:43	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	Yes	BUY	10	20¢	$2	0xd7d54a…
03-25 20:17:49	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	Yes	BUY	300	18¢	$54	0xf9f0e0…
03-25 20:17:27	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	No	SELL	120	41¢	$49	0x7b09d8…
03-25 10:55:49	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	No	BUY	120	47¢	$56	0x13cc4a…
03-25 10:49:39	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	Yes	SELL	400	15¢	$60	0x83e960…
03-24 13:10:13	will israel or the us target isfahan nuclear technology center nuclear facility	No	BUY	61	69¢	$42	0xf6c0eb…
03-24 10:48:31	will israel or the us target isfahan nuclear technology center nuclear facility	No	BUY	39	60¢	$23	0x9a59f0…
03-24 10:47:47	will israel or the us target isfahan nuclear technology center nuclear facility	No	BUY	52	60¢	$31	0xa8c344…
03-23 20:54:09	will israel or the us target isfahan nuclear technology center nuclear facility	No	BUY	28	64¢	$18	0x5768a1…
03-23 20:21:45	will israel or the us target isfahan nuclear technology center nuclear facility	No	BUY	141	64¢	$90	0x6aa790…
03-23 20:02:53	will israel or the us target isfahan nuclear technology center nuclear facility	No	BUY	13	64¢	$8	0x53a6b4…
03-23 20:00:33	will israel or the us target isfahan nuclear technology center nuclear facility	No	BUY	88	64¢	$56	0xda5fc3…
03-23 19:59:27	will israel or the us target isfahan nuclear technology center nuclear facility	No	BUY	454	62¢	$282	0x3153b3…
03-23 14:54:45	will israel or the us target isfahan nuclear technology center nuclear facility	No	BUY	16	60¢	$10	0x7ea27b…
03-22 00:21:43	will israel or the us target isfahan nuclear technology center nuclear facility	No	BUY	55	64¢	$35	0x130826…
03-22 00:21:19	will israel or the us target isfahan nuclear technology center nuclear facility	No	BUY	45	64¢	$29	0xd6403a…
03-22 00:20:33	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	Yes	SELL	300	20¢	$60	0x327ffe…
03-21 22:56:31	will israel or the us target isfahan nuclear technology center nuclear facility	No	BUY	100	65¢	$65	0x39971a…
03-21 20:24:15	will israel or the us target isfahan nuclear technology center nuclear facility	No	BUY	40	63¢	$25	0xa6d29c…
03-21 20:24:07	will israel or the us target isfahan nuclear technology center nuclear facility	No	BUY	5	63¢	$3	0x4f3eb8…
03-21 20:23:53	will israel or the us target isfahan nuclear technology center nuclear facility	No	BUY	35	63¢	$22	0x9dca60…
03-21 17:02:27	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	Yes	SELL	100	22¢	$22	0x088726…
03-21 17:01:15	will israel or the us target isfahan nuclear technology center nuclear facility	No	BUY	114	55¢	$63	0x0732e5…
03-21 10:30:09	will israel or the us target isfahan nuclear technology center nuclear facility	No	BUY	46	48¢	$22	0xb59119…
03-21 10:22:23	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	Yes	SELL	800	24¢	$192	0xab5e71…
03-18 08:11:01	ucl fcb1 new 2026 03 18 new	Yes	BUY	6	19¢	$1	0x5ab0fb…
03-17 23:16:05	will israel or the us target isfahan nuclear technology center nuclear facility	No	BUY	93	58¢	$54	0xd821c3…
03-17 21:55:25	will israel or the us target isfahan nuclear technology center nuclear facility	No	BUY	7	58¢	$4	0x735feb…
03-17 21:54:35	ucl mnc1 rma1 2026 03 17 rma1	Yes	SELL	60	98¢	$59	0xf1a094…
03-16 21:17:09	will israel or the us target isfahan nuclear technology center nuclear facility	No	BUY	30	40¢	$12	0x6f9d98…
03-16 21:11:49	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-16 21:10 UTC	Down	BUY	7	42¢	$3	0xa07dda…
03-16 21:09:17	will israel or the us target isfahan nuclear technology center nuclear facility	No	BUY	10	40¢	$4	0xaf022a…
03-16 21:08:49	will israel or the us target isfahan nuclear technology center nuclear facility	No	BUY	52	40¢	$21	0xe01368…
03-16 21:04:41	will trump say ayatollah or khamenei this week march 15	Yes	BUY	23	2¢	$1	0x4330f9…
03-16 21:04:19	will trump say ayatollah or khamenei this week march 15	Yes	BUY	40	2¢	$1	0x23763b…
03-16 21:01:41	will israel or the us target isfahan nuclear technology center nuclear facility	No	BUY	35	40¢	$14	0xa7f623…
03-16 20:54:47	will israel or the us target isfahan nuclear technology center nuclear facility	No	BUY	24	39¢	$9	0x688443…
03-16 20:29:59	will israel or the us target isfahan nuclear technology center nuclear facility	No	BUY	1	39¢	$1	0x66474b…
03-16 20:29:59	will israel or the us target isfahan nuclear technology center nuclear facility	No	BUY	87	39¢	$34	0x23bd4a…
03-16 20:29:39	US forces enter Iran by December 31?	Yes	SELL	160	62¢	$99	0x0d1535…
03-16 20:09:55	will iran strike israel on march 10	No	BUY	2,000	0¢	$4	0x33541a…
03-16 20:06:39	will israel or the us target isfahan nuclear technology center nuclear facility	No	BUY	30	39¢	$12	0xdefadf…