Shadowy-Triumph — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$80

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

79.8%

Resolved

Trades

118

lifetime

Volume

$19.9K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$169

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-24

last 06-14 03:05

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 44 days

Categories

Crypto

50% 100% +$6

Other

34% 88% +$9

Politics

15% 50% +$65

Tech

0% 100% +$0

Sports

0% 100% +$0

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-06-14).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
bitcoin above 74k on march 27	2	$2.0K	1,001	1,001	+0	No	+$0	03-27 11:57
bitcoin above 74k on march 28	2	$2.0K	1,001	1,001	+0	No	+$0	03-28 02:05
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	2	$2.0K	1,230	1,230	+0	No	+$0	03-27 14:00
bitcoin above 64k on march 25	1	$1.5K	1,502	0	+1,502	Yes	+$2	03-25 02:55
bitcoin above 66k on march 26	1	$1.5K	1,502	0	+1,502	Yes	+$2	03-26 02:45
bitcoin above 76k on march 24	1	$1.5K	1,501	0	+1,501	No	+$2	03-24 07:17
us x iran ceasefire by april 7	3	$1.1K	591	591	+0	Yes	+$65	04-06 14:38
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	3	$602	302	302	+0	No	$0	04-07 11:04
Will Saudi Aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	2	$600	301	301	+0	No	$0	04-08 12:33
Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	3	$404	202	202	+0	No	$0	04-07 11:04
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on May 22?	1	$201	202	0	+202	No	+$0	05-21 09:29
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 22°C or below on June 5?	1	$200	200	0	+200	No	+$0	06-04 05:38
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?	2	$198	101	101	+0	No	-$2	05-22 13:59
bitcoin above 68k on june 6 2026	1	$175	175	0	+175	No	+$0	06-06 02:46
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 23?	1	$171	171	0	+171	No	+$0	05-23 01:00
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 33°C on June 13?	1	$164	164	0	+164	No	+$0	06-12 14:50
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?	1	$151	151	0	+151	No	+$0	05-19 05:12
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 42°C or higher on May 31?	1	$150	150	0	+150	No	+$0	05-30 09:22
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on June 2?	1	$150	150	0	+150	No	+$0	06-01 09:12
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C or higher on June 14?	1	$150	150	0	+150	No	+$0	06-13 03:36
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 33°C or higher on May 26?	2	$139	139	0	+139	No	+$0	05-25 15:17
Will Moonshot have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	2	$134	67	67	+0	No	$0	04-07 11:04
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026?	1	$112	112	0	+112	No	+$0	05-27 03:57
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 26°C on June 14?	1	$108	108	0	+108	No	+$0	06-14 02:52
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 41°C on June 2?	1	$104	104	0	+104	No	+$0	06-01 09:13
bitcoin above 70k on june 4 2026	1	$101	101	0	+101	No	+$0	06-04 05:41
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 26?	1	$100	101	0	+101	Yes	+$0	05-25 15:06
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 37°C on May 29?	1	$100	100	0	+100	No	+$0	05-29 02:06
Will Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?	1	$100	100	0	+100	No	+$0	05-27 03:58
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 31°C or higher on May 24?	1	$100	100	0	+100	No	+$0	05-23 01:02

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-14 03:05:46	bitcoin above 56k on june 15 2026	Yes	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0xcb81d6…
06-14 02:59:27	Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13?	Yes	BUY	11	94¢	$10	0xb5c5b6…
06-14 02:56:09	Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13?	Yes	BUY	11	92¢	$10	0xec25ae…
06-14 02:55:00	ethereum above 1300 on june 15 2026	Yes	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xf65718…
06-14 02:54:04	Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?	No	BUY	40	100¢	$40	0x9ce131…
06-14 02:53:40	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?	No	BUY	55	100¢	$55	0x0ed3ea…
06-14 02:52:24	Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13?	Yes	BUY	6	87¢	$5	0xb533f2…
06-14 02:52:01	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 26°C on June 14?	No	BUY	108	100¢	$108	0x6f26e5…
06-13 03:36:18	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C or higher on June 14?	No	BUY	150	100¢	$150	0x24c986…
06-13 03:35:54	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 24°C or below on June 14?	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x75c53d…
06-13 01:57:34	Will United States win on 2026-06-12?	Yes	BUY	11	99¢	$11	0xf23eaa…
06-13 01:53:21	Will United States win on 2026-06-12?	Yes	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xfdafa5…
06-13 01:53:03	Will United States win on 2026-06-12?	Yes	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xdecc21…
06-13 01:36:24	Will United States win on 2026-06-12?	Yes	BUY	8	93¢	$7	0x4223ff…
06-13 01:35:43	Will United States win on 2026-06-12?	Yes	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x28dd45…
06-12 14:52:13	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 32°C or higher on June 13?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x73e61a…
06-12 14:50:07	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 33°C on June 13?	No	BUY	164	100¢	$164	0xfa17ff…
06-12 14:49:12	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	30	100¢	$30	0x8ce530…
06-11 06:17:30	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 34°C on June 11?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x1756a7…
06-11 06:16:42	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 39°C or higher on June 12?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x1d7ca2…
06-11 06:15:28	bitcoin above 50k on june 12 2026	Yes	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x25f6e2…
06-11 06:14:36	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?	No	BUY	43	100¢	$42	0xfd5d54…
06-10 12:28:24	bitcoin above 56k on june 10 2026	Yes	BUY	92	100¢	$92	0x0bf01a…
06-10 12:26:45	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 37°C or higher on June 11?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x3d707f…
06-10 08:20:06	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 29°C on June 10?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xfac152…
06-10 04:43:31	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 36°C on June 11?	No	BUY	49	100¢	$48	0x4e5a63…
06-10 04:43:07	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 37°C or higher on June 11?	No	BUY	77	100¢	$77	0x7a0f93…
06-09 11:24:00	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 21°C on June 10?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xe5db96…
06-09 11:22:42	bitcoin above 70k on june 10 2026	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x9e8039…
06-08 06:55:22	bitcoin above 56k on june 8 2026	Yes	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x79f082…
06-08 06:53:10	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xe7c0f0…
06-08 06:52:37	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 33°C or higher on June 9?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x9bb814…
06-08 06:51:52	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 31°C on June 8?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xcf6055…
06-08 06:50:54	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 20°C on June 9?	No	BUY	95	100¢	$95	0x7246e9…
06-06 04:12:27	bitcoin above 70k on june 7 2026	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x814e95…
06-06 04:10:52	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 24°C on June 6?	No	BUY	66	100¢	$66	0xabc184…
06-06 02:52:06	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?	No	BUY	80	100¢	$80	0x95ebed…
06-06 02:50:52	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on June 6?	No	BUY	54	100¢	$54	0x442ef5…
06-06 02:46:03	bitcoin above 68k on june 6 2026	No	BUY	175	100¢	$175	0x3f6d6e…
06-04 05:41:36	bitcoin above 70k on june 4 2026	No	BUY	101	100¢	$101	0xb4d98c…
06-04 05:40:31	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 33°C or higher on June 5?	No	BUY	73	100¢	$73	0x1c0238…
06-04 05:39:21	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 30°C on June 4?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xe520cd…
06-04 05:38:18	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 22°C or below on June 5?	No	BUY	200	100¢	$200	0xe319b7…
06-01 09:13:51	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 41°C on June 2?	No	BUY	104	100¢	$104	0x2b22b2…
06-01 09:12:03	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on June 2?	No	BUY	150	100¢	$150	0xfe1997…
05-31 08:38:05	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 22°C or below on June 1?	No	BUY	49	100¢	$49	0x462308…
05-30 09:25:56	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?	No	BUY	70	100¢	$70	0x7ba209…
05-30 09:23:43	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on May 31?	No	BUY	53	100¢	$53	0x80ce5c…
05-30 09:22:24	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 42°C or higher on May 31?	No	BUY	150	100¢	$150	0x022111…
05-29 06:04:05	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 42°C on May 30?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x479a43…
05-29 06:03:37	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 44°C or higher on May 30?	No	BUY	43	100¢	$43	0x33d848…
05-29 05:59:07	Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?	No	BUY	51	100¢	$51	0x047226…
05-29 05:57:50	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 32°C on May 30?	No	SELL	40	99¢	$40	0xaa520d…
05-29 02:07:08	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 32°C on May 30?	No	BUY	40	100¢	$40	0xc71137…
05-29 02:06:10	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 37°C on May 29?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x3ce610…
05-27 04:01:38	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 34°C or higher on May 28?	No	BUY	49	100¢	$49	0x64f320…
05-27 04:00:56	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 37°C or higher on May 28?	No	BUY	51	100¢	$51	0x8e438b…
05-27 03:58:57	Will Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xb71493…
05-27 03:58:22	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on May 28?	Yes	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xdff6bd…
05-27 03:57:35	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026?	No	BUY	112	100¢	$112	0x755497…
05-25 15:19:44	Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?	No	BUY	61	100¢	$61	0xa18c81…
05-25 15:17:21	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 33°C or higher on May 26?	No	BUY	39	100¢	$39	0xc5b0d6…
05-25 15:12:30	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 33°C or higher on May 26?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x15d657…
05-25 15:06:47	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 26?	Yes	BUY	101	100¢	$100	0x8a99d6…
05-24 07:01:53	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 17°C or below on May 25?	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xdf57fa…
05-24 07:01:30	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on May 25?	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x68f504…
05-24 06:59:57	Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?	No	BUY	72	100¢	$71	0x092040…
05-23 01:03:54	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 37°C or higher on May 24?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x023777…
05-23 01:02:47	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 31°C or higher on May 24?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x79f1f2…
05-23 01:00:31	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 23?	No	BUY	171	100¢	$171	0x3783ca…
05-22 14:11:49	Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xf45739…
05-22 14:07:51	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 22?	No	BUY	98	100¢	$98	0xd2482c…
05-22 13:59:48	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?	No	SELL	101	97¢	$98	0x8ba3de…
05-21 09:29:42	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on May 22?	No	BUY	202	100¢	$201	0xd5cb15…
05-20 10:10:26	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 32°C or higher on May 21?	No	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0xfa75f3…
05-20 10:08:39	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?	No	BUY	72	100¢	$72	0xaa521e…
05-20 10:08:23	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?	No	BUY	101	99¢	$100	0xb7bc18…
05-19 05:12:27	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?	No	BUY	151	100¢	$151	0x3959b4…
05-17 01:54:57	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 17?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x07e02e…
05-17 01:50:23	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 22°C on May 18?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xeee568…
05-17 01:46:42	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?	No	BUY	101	99¢	$100	0x3a27e8…
05-17 01:43:07	Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C or higher on May 18?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x09ce2b…
05-17 01:39:39	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from May 16 to May 18, 2026?	No	BUY	51	99¢	$50	0x794456…
05-17 01:34:50	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0xb9eed7…
05-15 11:05:48	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x4ce096…
05-07 11:48:29	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x7f4319…
05-07 11:46:29	Will San Marino win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xf0e1a9…
05-07 11:46:08	Will Portugal win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x5b1da0…
04-26 14:53:28	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on April 27?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xca53ba…
04-26 14:39:06	Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in April?	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0xaa7ce8…
04-08 13:41:23	Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in April?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x846327…
04-08 13:40:05	Will Portugal win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x01f923…
04-08 13:39:45	Will San Marino win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x873fd6…
04-08 12:33:31	Will Saudi Aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	No	SELL	301	100¢	$300	0x1b3972…
04-07 11:06:35	Will Saudi Aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	No	BUY	301	100¢	$300	0x540bb6…
04-07 11:04:57	Will Moonshot have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	No	SELL	67	100¢	$67	0xaef22b…
04-07 11:04:25	Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	No	SELL	202	100¢	$202	0xbdee1a…
04-07 11:04:09	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	302	100¢	$301	0x776ffb…
04-06 14:42:07	Will Moonshot have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	No	BUY	67	100¢	$67	0xda8b68…
04-06 14:39:43	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	301	100¢	$300	0x67060e…