Bold-Nail — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$464

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

28.0%

Resolved

Trades

5,929

lifetime

Volume

$21.2K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-23

last 05-26 18:49

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 5 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 33% $-464

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

15 active days in 12wk • peak 3421 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (9) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	70	$459	1,752	0	+1,752	Up	$-279	05-05 11:27
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	61	$379	448	439	+8	Up	$-19	05-05 10:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	63	$360	417	371	+47	Up	$-9	05-07 23:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	53	$339	318	308	+11	open	—	05-14 21:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	69	$335	460	338	+121	open	—	04-30 08:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	70	$314	374	311	+63	Up	+$28	05-07 21:12
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	67	$278	415	415	+0	Up	$-31	05-09 17:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	71	$261	376	358	+18	open	—	04-30 15:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	65	$248	447	404	+43	open	—	04-30 12:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	89	$242	518	381	+137	open	—	04-30 13:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	72	$242	573	521	+51	open	—	04-30 13:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	87	$241	465	462	+4	open	—	04-30 14:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	40	$235	344	236	+108	open	—	05-14 21:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	90	$232	552	435	+117	open	—	04-30 13:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	69	$229	271	231	+41	open	—	04-30 10:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	76	$225	309	296	+13	open	—	04-30 14:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	46	$221	399	325	+74	Up	$-43	05-07 21:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	63	$220	257	240	+17	open	—	04-30 13:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	61	$218	270	240	+30	open	—	04-30 10:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	49	$216	358	293	+65	open	—	04-30 13:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	26	$213	223	195	+28	Up	+$3	05-05 11:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	38	$208	219	206	+13	open	—	05-14 20:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	20	$208	242	211	+31	open	—	04-28 07:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	59	$208	297	232	+66	open	—	04-30 11:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	44	$205	282	213	+69	Up	$-26	05-09 18:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	58	$204	222	191	+31	open	—	04-30 15:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	61	$197	234	169	+65	open	—	04-30 13:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	57	$196	226	216	+10	open	—	04-30 10:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	28	$195	267	178	+89	Up	+$10	05-05 13:11
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	51	$194	241	195	+46	open	—	05-26 13:35

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-26 18:49:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Up	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0x48385a…
05-26 18:49:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Up	SELL	5	95¢	$5	0x1c682e…
05-26 18:49:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Up	BUY	6	78¢	$5	0xe4bcfd…
05-26 18:49:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Up	BUY	6	82¢	$5	0xc96611…
05-26 18:46:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Down	SELL	10	52¢	$5	0x847514…
05-26 18:45:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Down	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x83e099…
05-26 18:45:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Down	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x71e7b7…
05-26 18:45:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Down	BUY	3	40¢	$1	0x2165f0…
05-26 18:45:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Down	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x01a606…
05-26 18:36:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Up	BUY	1	17¢	$0	0xc18b75…
05-26 18:36:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Up	BUY	0	17¢	$0	0xa34ebf…
05-26 18:36:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Up	BUY	7	17¢	$1	0x95d0ca…
05-26 18:36:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Up	BUY	3	17¢	$1	0x228e4a…
05-26 18:36:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Up	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0x223d39…
05-26 18:36:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Up	BUY	10	17¢	$2	0x12db4c…
05-26 18:33:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Down	SELL	4	26¢	$1	0xc95cee…
05-26 18:33:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Down	SELL	15	26¢	$4	0xbeb517…
05-26 18:33:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Up	BUY	7	70¢	$5	0x8ede9d…
05-26 18:33:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Up	SELL	8	66¢	$5	0x619ec7…
05-26 18:33:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Down	BUY	16	32¢	$5	0x619ec7…
05-26 18:32:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Up	BUY	3	50¢	$1	0xd94854…
05-26 18:32:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Down	SELL	10	50¢	$5	0xd94854…
05-26 18:32:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Up	BUY	7	50¢	$4	0xccf7ab…
05-26 18:31:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Down	BUY	12	37¢	$4	0x6be627…
05-26 18:31:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Down	BUY	2	37¢	$1	0x1ae3d8…
05-26 18:26:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Up	BUY	12	42¢	$5	0xb0f0ca…
05-26 18:26:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Down	SELL	10	52¢	$5	0x876014…
05-26 18:26:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Down	SELL	5	59¢	$3	0x3b63c7…
05-26 18:25:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Down	BUY	14	33¢	$5	0xde0998…
05-26 18:25:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Down	BUY	1	33¢	$0	0x722da5…
05-26 18:25:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Up	BUY	6	51¢	$3	0xccd537…
05-26 18:21:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Down	BUY	39	12¢	$5	0x897fb3…
05-26 18:21:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Up	SELL	5	51¢	$3	0xc4f735…
05-26 18:20:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Up	BUY	5	49¢	$3	0x95bab8…
05-26 18:17:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Up	BUY	8	66¢	$5	0x827fa7…
05-26 18:16:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Up	SELL	0	70¢	$0	0xfff6e6…
05-26 18:16:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Up	SELL	5	70¢	$3	0xb9221c…
05-26 18:15:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Up	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x730069…
05-26 18:14:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Up	SELL	7	81¢	$6	0xd94ea8…
05-26 18:14:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Down	BUY	23	18¢	$4	0x9e85a9…
05-26 18:14:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Down	BUY	22	16¢	$4	0x628338…
05-26 18:14:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Up	SELL	7	80¢	$5	0x454cdd…
05-26 18:14:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Down	BUY	4	18¢	$1	0x23251a…
05-26 18:14:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Up	BUY	6	85¢	$5	0xa7564e…
05-26 18:14:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Down	SELL	15	11¢	$2	0xa12452…
05-26 18:14:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Up	BUY	6	81¢	$5	0x962454…
05-26 18:14:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Up	BUY	6	90¢	$5	0x9213cf…
05-26 18:14:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Down	SELL	0	11¢	$0	0x730f3d…
05-26 18:14:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Down	BUY	7	10¢	$1	0xe9ba8a…
05-26 18:14:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Down	BUY	2	10¢	$0	0xc9a7c0…
05-26 18:14:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	10¢	$1	0x262b93…
05-26 18:13:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Down	BUY	12	41¢	$5	0x59742f…
05-26 18:13:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Down	SELL	9	55¢	$5	0xe43a3f…
05-26 18:13:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Down	BUY	11	47¢	$5	0xf8d696…
05-26 18:11:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Up	SELL	5	36¢	$2	0x267f61…
05-26 18:10:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0xeb3264…
05-26 18:10:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Down	SELL	27	19¢	$5	0x3007c1…
05-26 18:09:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Down	BUY	38	13¢	$5	0x3315c5…
05-26 18:09:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Up	SELL	7	76¢	$5	0x3315c5…
05-26 18:09:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Up	SELL	6	79¢	$5	0xfe82f7…
05-26 18:09:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Down	SELL	34	22¢	$7	0xe9e4bb…
05-26 18:09:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Up	BUY	6	86¢	$5	0x9084d3…
05-26 18:09:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Down	SELL	4	9¢	$0	0xa5f13e…
05-26 18:09:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Up	SELL	6	89¢	$5	0xf5991e…
05-26 18:09:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Down	BUY	41	11¢	$5	0xdc83a7…
05-26 18:09:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Up	SELL	6	89¢	$5	0xabe486…
05-26 18:09:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Up	SELL	6	86¢	$5	0x59ed74…
05-26 18:09:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Up	SELL	1	70¢	$1	0xcba10c…
05-26 18:09:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Up	BUY	7	58¢	$4	0xc4d120…
05-26 18:09:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Down	SELL	18	17¢	$3	0xe174d1…
05-26 18:09:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Up	BUY	6	83¢	$5	0xe174d1…
05-26 18:09:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Up	BUY	8	65¢	$5	0xce3dcf…
05-26 18:09:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Up	BUY	6	79¢	$5	0x048025…
05-26 18:09:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Down	BUY	15	34¢	$5	0x53b732…
05-26 18:08:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Down	SELL	10	53¢	$5	0xbfce60…
05-26 18:08:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Down	BUY	13	39¢	$5	0x3cc7a1…
05-26 18:07:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Up	SELL	5	44¢	$2	0x8ec039…
05-26 18:05:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Up	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x2285dd…
05-26 18:03:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Up	BUY	1	54¢	$1	0xdc5eb3…
05-26 18:03:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Up	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0xc38d6e…
05-26 18:03:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Down	SELL	12	44¢	$5	0xb6180b…
05-26 18:03:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Up	BUY	0	54¢	$0	0xa55e59…
05-26 18:03:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Down	SELL	11	46¢	$5	0x7f0611…
05-26 18:03:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Up	BUY	3	54¢	$2	0x1cd620…
05-26 18:03:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Down	SELL	13	40¢	$5	0x31b9f8…
05-26 18:03:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Down	SELL	9	55¢	$5	0xbf4341…
05-26 18:00:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Down	BUY	11	45¢	$5	0x98c2dc…
05-26 18:00:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Down	BUY	8	65¢	$5	0xee2e42…
05-26 18:00:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Down	BUY	7	67¢	$5	0xff5f01…
05-26 18:00:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Down	BUY	6	64¢	$4	0x336367…
05-26 18:00:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Down	BUY	6	65¢	$4	0x8e8ea3…
05-26 18:00:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Down	BUY	7	70¢	$5	0x3b53e2…
05-26 17:57:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Down	SELL	10	49¢	$5	0xa9d9cd…
05-26 17:57:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Up	SELL	8	60¢	$5	0xfb0672…
05-26 17:57:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0xfaca55…
05-26 17:57:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Down	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0x6575db…
05-26 17:57:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Up	SELL	11	49¢	$5	0x593e5c…
05-26 17:57:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Down	BUY	1	51¢	$0	0x104078…
05-26 17:57:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Up	BUY	11	46¢	$5	0x319d49…
05-26 17:57:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Up	BUY	8	66¢	$5	0x7b29a7…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
All-Peasant-Drug 0xe907…cff6	320	$273.1K	12,264	05-26 18:50
(anonymous) 0x424e…263b	320	$144.8K	21,384	05-26 18:47
(anonymous) 0x48ac…4a7e	320	$134.5K	35,332	05-26 18:49
(anonymous) 0xd901…8e14	320	$129.4K	33,286	05-26 18:49
(anonymous) 0xba67…4727	320	$124.2K	17,427	05-26 18:47
(anonymous) 0x4c94…ffad	320	$83.5K	22,354	05-26 18:49
(anonymous) 0x568b…0b3b	320	$60.9K	12,837	05-26 18:49
(anonymous) 0x75cc…3ce1	320	$28.8K	3,950	05-26 18:49