Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$6.65K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

55.2%

Resolved

137

Trades

729

lifetime

Volume

$194.7K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$267

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-02

last 03-05 19:28

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 24 days

Categories

Crypto

37% 28% -$6,150

Politics

35% 18% -$1,351

Other

28% 15% +$851

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-03-05).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	53	$32.8K	523,650	634,808	-111,158	No	+$3,674	02-25 19:02
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	51	$20.0K	208,494	208,494	+0	Yes	+$213	02-25 18:14
will the fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	49	$15.8K	1,299,914	1,275,247	+24,667	No	-$762	03-05 19:28
elon musk of tweets february 6 february 13 360 379	8	$9.3K	8,503	8,503	+0	Yes	+$7,353	02-13 16:16
will trump say crypto or bitcoin during the 2026 state of the union address 556	19	$7.7K	20,678	7,252	+13,426	No	-$3,865	02-25 00:43
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-13 17:45 UTC	6	$6.1K	5,305	4,872	+433	Down	+$487	02-13 17:58
elon musk of tweets february 6 february 13 380 399	15	$6.0K	11,386	11,386	+0	No	+$1,131	02-13 08:33
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-09 23:00 UTC	2	$5.5K	4,480	4,411	+69	Up	+$797	02-09 23:04
will bitcoin dip to 60000 in february 694	4	$4.6K	8,235	8,235	+0	No	-$124	02-13 22:31
Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?	13	$4.2K	941,655	941,655	+0	No	-$1,621	02-25 18:14
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-09 22:30 UTC	2	$3.8K	2,456	2,419	+37	Up	+$1,008	02-09 22:44
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-10 02:45 UTC	4	$3.7K	4,358	4,290	+68	Up	-$443	02-10 02:59
elon musk of tweets february 6 february 13 420 439	5	$3.7K	13,047	13,047	+0	No	-$762	02-13 01:24
elon musk of tweets february 6 february 13 400 419	15	$3.3K	11,482	11,482	+0	No	-$566	02-13 07:07
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-10 15:30 UTC	5	$3.3K	3,782	3,261	+520	Up	-$441	02-10 15:44
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-13 18:00 UTC	2	$3.0K	2,419	2,382	+37	Down	+$486	02-13 18:02
will bitcoin dip to 55k in february 2026 644 513 935	3	$2.9K	14,661	14,661	+0	No	-$69	02-13 19:29
Will Trump nominate no one before 2027?	48	$2.9K	283,255	283,255	+0	No	-$694	03-04 08:59
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-09 23:30 UTC	3	$2.8K	3,704	2,662	+1,042	Up	+$245	02-09 23:45
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-13 17:55 UTC	2	$2.6K	1,335	1,335	+0	Down	+$22	02-13 18:00
will the fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	5	$2.3K	20,833	20,833	+0	No	-$208	02-13 21:47
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-03 22:15 UTC	4	$2.2K	1,406	1,400	+6	Down	+$144	03-03 22:30
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-10 16:00 UTC	3	$2.2K	3,464	2,466	+998	Up	-$798	02-10 16:12
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-09 23:15 UTC	2	$2.1K	1,980	1,950	+30	Down	+$479	02-09 23:21
us strikes iran by february 22 2026	11	$2.1K	114,995	77,041	+37,954	No	-$806	02-23 03:02
will trump say epstein during the 2026 state of the union address 269	9	$2.1K	8,375	4,139	+4,236	No	-$1,033	02-25 00:08
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-13 17:40 UTC	2	$2.1K	1,105	1,102	+3	Up	+$109	02-13 17:45
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-10 02:15 UTC	4	$2.1K	2,060	2,028	+32	Down	-$51	02-10 02:25
bitcoin above 70k on february 10	2	$1.9K	8,626	8,626	+0	No	-$140	02-10 15:58
trump out as president by march 31	37	$1.8K	31,707	31,707	+0	No	-$573	03-03 22:09

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
03-05 19:28:01	will the fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	24,667	0¢	$74	0xa4c32b…
03-04 17:00:29	will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	No	SELL	9,011	2¢	$189	0x2e0bd5…
03-04 16:44:35	solana up or down march 4 11am et	Up	BUY	1,183	5¢	$55	0xa5940a…
03-04 16:43:49	solana up or down march 4 11am et	Up	BUY	1,740	3¢	$50	0x96db75…
03-04 16:41:43	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-04 16:30 UTC	Down	BUY	341	3¢	$10	0x87c0b5…
03-04 15:12:13	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-04 15:00 UTC	Down	BUY	500	1¢	$5	0xb0c97c…
03-04 14:40:33	elon musk of tweets february 27 march 6 100 119	Yes	SELL	500	0¢	$0	0x9931f2…
03-04 14:40:05	elon musk of tweets february 27 march 6 120 139	Yes	SELL	483	7¢	$31	0x357fff…
03-04 14:39:59	elon musk of tweets february 27 march 6 180 199	Yes	SELL	1,519	15¢	$223	0xa71506…
03-04 14:39:57	elon musk of tweets february 27 march 6 160 179	Yes	SELL	1,263	27¢	$346	0xc2532f…
03-04 14:39:57	elon musk of tweets february 27 march 6 140 159	Yes	SELL	1,234	28¢	$340	0x940a8c…
03-04 13:28:21	will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	No	BUY	9,011	2¢	$214	0x8900d4…
03-04 13:25:53	will the fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	Yes	SELL	42,682	0¢	$213	0xf12800…
03-04 13:06:57	elon musk of tweets february 27 march 6 100 119	Yes	BUY	500	0¢	$2	0xcdbb97…
03-04 09:06:11	elon musk of tweets february 27 march 6 160 179	Yes	BUY	31	16¢	$5	0x77af1a…
03-04 09:04:49	elon musk of tweets february 27 march 6 180 199	Yes	BUY	84	8¢	$7	0xf1f92c…
03-04 09:03:55	elon musk of tweets february 27 march 6 120 139	Yes	BUY	483	31¢	$150	0xc377ba…
03-04 09:01:57	elon musk of tweets february 27 march 6 140 159	Yes	BUY	495	30¢	$150	0x104878…
03-04 09:00:29	elon musk of tweets february 27 march 6 160 179	Yes	BUY	553	18¢	$100	0x95a42e…
03-04 08:59:41	Will Trump nominate no one before 2027?	Yes	SELL	74,924	1¢	$407	0xe7f6a6…
03-04 08:58:19	elon musk of tweets february 27 march 6 160 179	Yes	BUY	678	18¢	$122	0x4c56de…
03-04 08:58:03	elon musk of tweets february 27 march 6 140 159	Yes	BUY	490	31¢	$150	0x4b8a60…
03-04 08:56:41	elon musk of tweets february 27 march 6 140 159	Yes	BUY	249	30¢	$75	0xe87807…
03-04 08:55:39	elon musk of tweets february 27 march 6 180 199	Yes	BUY	1,435	10¢	$146	0x6a83f4…
03-03 22:44:45	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-03 22:30 UTC	Down	BUY	111	1¢	$1	0x5f293d…
03-03 22:44:01	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-03 22:30 UTC	Down	BUY	1,646	3¢	$50	0x8c48d8…
03-03 22:33:11	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-03 22:30 UTC	Down	BUY	254	39¢	$100	0x0afd9a…
03-03 22:32:29	will the fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	36,015	1¢	$270	0x59947d…
03-03 22:30:21	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-03 22:15 UTC	Down	SELL	922	99¢	$913	0xfa0459…
03-03 22:29:53	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-03 22:15 UTC	Down	BUY	922	96¢	$888	0xa383d7…
03-03 22:25:33	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-03 22:15 UTC	Down	SELL	479	55¢	$263	0xc65864…
03-03 22:23:51	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-03 22:15 UTC	Down	BUY	484	31¢	$150	0xffed4b…
03-03 22:15:19	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-03 22:10 UTC	Down	SELL	787	99¢	$780	0x9b9f46…
03-03 22:13:51	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-03 22:10 UTC	Down	BUY	791	83¢	$660	0xf8011b…
03-03 22:10:45	ethereum above 1600 on march 4	No	SELL	222	0¢	$0	0x392fd3…
03-03 22:10:43	ethereum above 1500 on march 4	No	SELL	1,425	0¢	$1	0x06b6e7…
03-03 22:10:39	solana above 50 on march 4	No	SELL	1,500	0¢	$2	0xf45ded…
03-03 22:10:35	will solana dip to 10 in march 2026	Yes	SELL	2,500	0¢	$8	0x0059a5…
03-03 22:10:29	will ethereum dip to 400 in march 2026	Yes	SELL	6,028	0¢	$12	0xae05f4…
03-03 22:09:51	trump out as president by march 31	Yes	SELL	31,707	2¢	$635	0xc22960…
03-03 19:05:05	solana above 60 on march 4	No	SELL	479	0¢	$2	0x35c4c4…
03-03 18:48:31	will the fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	6,667	1¢	$40	0xd408ad…
03-03 18:48:07	will bitcoin dip to 20k in march 2026	Yes	SELL	16,498	0¢	$33	0x93bfa1…
03-03 18:47:53	solana above 40 on march 4	No	SELL	6,492	0¢	$7	0x220d62…
03-03 14:11:19	will bitcoin dip to 20k in march 2026	Yes	SELL	3,870	0¢	$8	0x03354e…
03-03 14:07:29	will bitcoin dip to 20k in march 2026	Yes	SELL	24,895	0¢	$50	0x85fd69…
03-02 17:25:31	bitcoin above 56k on march 3	No	BUY	49,328	0¢	$100	0x30a162…
03-02 17:13:13	bitcoin above 54k on march 3	No	BUY	37,373	0¢	$72	0x8396e6…
03-02 16:59:17	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-02 17:00 UTC	Up	BUY	73	52¢	$38	0xa35fa5…
03-02 16:58:11	bitcoin above 54k on march 3	No	BUY	17,500	0¢	$35	0xc623fe…
03-02 16:57:37	Will Trump nominate no one before 2027?	Yes	SELL	7,410	1¢	$53	0x6c9218…
03-02 16:56:17	bitcoin above 56k on march 3	No	SELL	10,274	0¢	$20	0x25fd91…
03-02 14:52:23	trump out as president by march 31	Yes	BUY	849	4¢	$32	0x364285…
03-02 14:52:09	Will Trump nominate no one before 2027?	Yes	SELL	3,431	1¢	$32	0xc398bd…
03-02 14:51:29	trump out as president by march 31	Yes	BUY	1,968	4¢	$73	0xde58fb…
03-02 14:50:23	will ethereum dip to 400 in march 2026	Yes	BUY	6,028	0¢	$25	0x9f8caf…
03-02 14:47:07	will the price of solana be less than 40 on march 4	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$2	0xdbaf95…
03-02 14:42:13	ethereum above 1400 on march 3	No	BUY	5,000	0¢	$15	0xef9e5a…
03-02 14:41:21	trump out as president by march 31	Yes	BUY	1,382	4¢	$50	0x402452…
03-02 14:41:03	Will Trump nominate no one before 2027?	Yes	BUY	3,239	1¢	$45	0xee82a6…
03-02 14:40:55	bitcoin above 56k on march 3	No	BUY	4,008	1¢	$25	0xd625e8…
03-02 14:38:31	will the price of solana be between 30 40 on march 3	Yes	BUY	1,667	0¢	$5	0x609f60…
03-02 14:38:13	trump out as president by march 31	Yes	BUY	3,208	3¢	$110	0x921a6b…
03-02 14:37:43	will bitcoin dip to 20k in march 2026	Yes	BUY	26,692	1¢	$150	0x4ee950…
03-02 14:28:25	ethereum above 1400 on march 3	No	BUY	6,333	0¢	$19	0x45630a…
03-02 14:25:43	will the price of solana be less than 30 on march 3	Yes	BUY	14,000	0¢	$14	0xbf9be0…
03-02 14:25:19	ethereum above 1600 on march 3	No	SELL	2,526	1¢	$34	0xa9e38f…
03-02 13:32:45	Will Trump nominate no one before 2027?	Yes	BUY	5,814	1¢	$84	0xa1ddb3…
03-02 13:32:35	trump out as president by march 31	Yes	BUY	1,577	3¢	$50	0x19c65f…
03-02 13:32:19	ethereum above 1400 on march 3	No	BUY	5,000	0¢	$25	0xabee60…
03-02 13:31:53	will bitcoin dip to 20k in march 2026	Yes	BUY	18,571	1¢	$100	0x1725bc…
03-02 13:14:47	ethereum above 1400 on march 3	No	BUY	5,233	0¢	$25	0xd29b07…
03-02 13:14:31	solana above 50 on march 3	No	BUY	5,450	0¢	$25	0xc604b3…
03-02 13:12:09	trump out as president by march 31	Yes	BUY	527	4¢	$20	0x0c42e8…
03-02 13:11:49	bitcoin above 54k on march 3	No	BUY	811	1¢	$5	0x19d390…
03-02 13:11:17	will the price of solana be less than 30 on march 3	Yes	BUY	1,054	1¢	$10	0xf15f22…
03-02 13:10:11	trump out as president by march 31	Yes	BUY	626	4¢	$25	0x75bae5…
03-02 13:09:47	ethereum above 1500 on march 3	No	BUY	1,138	1¢	$12	0x33faba…
03-02 13:09:37	ethereum above 1500 on march 3	No	BUY	600	1¢	$4	0xc07ab4…
03-02 13:09:27	ethereum above 1400 on march 3	No	BUY	4,430	0¢	$15	0x131e7d…
03-02 13:01:25	will the price of solana be less than 30 on march 3	Yes	BUY	1,200	0¢	$6	0x71219a…
03-02 13:00:27	ethereum above 1500 on march 3	No	BUY	143	1¢	$1	0x677e00…
03-02 13:00:23	ethereum above 1400 on march 3	No	BUY	250	0¢	$1	0x939118…
03-02 12:59:09	will the price of solana be between 40 50 on march 3	Yes	BUY	2,594	1¢	$22	0x19c9a6…
03-02 12:58:35	will the price of solana be less than 30 on march 3	Yes	BUY	2,600	0¢	$13	0xb14bbf…
03-02 12:57:31	ethereum above 1600 on march 3	No	BUY	1,626	1¢	$15	0xefec38…
03-02 12:57:13	ethereum above 1400 on march 3	No	BUY	6,849	1¢	$70	0x7fe4f2…
03-02 12:53:21	trump out as president by march 31	Yes	BUY	2,043	4¢	$80	0x0ed646…
03-02 12:52:39	bitcoin above 54k on march 3	No	BUY	250	0¢	$1	0xff2213…
03-02 12:52:25	bitcoin above 54k on march 3	No	BUY	2,137	1¢	$15	0xf82025…
03-02 12:48:23	ethereum above 1600 on march 3	No	BUY	500	1¢	$4	0xc46ae1…
03-02 12:48:07	ethereum above 1400 on march 3	No	BUY	675	0¢	$3	0x3928f0…
03-02 12:46:21	will the price of solana be less than 30 on march 3	Yes	BUY	503	1¢	$5	0xbac7e9…
03-02 12:45:03	bitcoin above 54k on march 3	No	BUY	4,096	1¢	$35	0x7df68f…
03-02 12:44:33	bitcoin above 54k on march 3	No	BUY	923	0¢	$3	0x20ea39…
03-02 12:44:11	Will Trump nominate no one before 2027?	Yes	BUY	1,012	1¢	$10	0x29dec7…
03-02 12:43:27	trump out as president by march 31	Yes	BUY	405	4¢	$15	0xc78cd4…
03-02 12:35:49	will the price of solana be between 30 40 on march 3	Yes	BUY	4,104	0¢	$13	0xafb5ca…
03-02 12:35:19	will the price of solana be less than 30 on march 3	Yes	BUY	9,162	0¢	$15	0x36ab6c…
03-02 12:33:01	will the price of bitcoin be less than 56000 on march 3	Yes	BUY	1,500	1¢	$9	0xbc2ad2…