Ancient-Kettledrum — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$2

Unrealized P&L

-$9

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$160

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

3 positions

First seen

2026-05-04

last 05-06 03:54

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 100% +$2

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

3 active days in 12wk • peak 21 trades/day

Open positions (3) Resolved markets (7) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	Up	+5	$5	82¢	$4	$-1	05-06 03:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	Down	+5	$5	24¢	$1	$-4	05-06 03:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET	Up	+6	$5	1¢	$0	$-5	05-06 03:54

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-06 03:54:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET	Up	BUY	6	90¢	$5	0x216de7…
05-06 03:39:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	Up	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x969e18…
05-06 03:29:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x83ad10…
05-06 03:09:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Down	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x3c0937…
05-06 02:59:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x458e32…
05-06 02:49:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Up	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0x65dc59…
05-06 02:34:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Down	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0xa3701c…
05-06 02:19:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Down	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x32655f…
05-06 02:09:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Up	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x0eaba2…
05-06 01:54:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Up	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0xd6f0ba…
05-06 01:49:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x7548b5…
05-06 01:29:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x6f650f…
05-06 01:24:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	Down	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x4f514c…
05-06 00:49:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	Down	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xeb2329…
05-06 00:44:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xa26c2f…
05-06 00:39:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Up	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0xf143af…
05-06 00:34:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Up	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x957191…
05-06 00:29:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x3e34bb…
05-06 00:19:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Down	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x773360…
05-06 00:14:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x85aa32…
05-06 00:09:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Up	BUY	6	82¢	$5	0xc0a77b…
05-05 22:30:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x589486…
05-05 21:09:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xb8052e…
05-05 19:54:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Down	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x41e1df…
05-05 18:14:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x692dca…
05-05 03:24:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Up	BUY	6	79¢	$5	0xcf6c3e…
05-04 23:24:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x0889c5…
05-04 23:09:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Down	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x7f1281…
05-04 23:04:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x831504…
05-04 22:09:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Down	BUY	6	90¢	$5	0xf8ec04…
05-04 21:49:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x9d82e0…
05-04 20:04:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x5917c8…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
(anonymous) 0xe907…cff6	31	$4.36K	217	05-06 03:54
Equal-Renaissance 0x1c4e…4150	29	$827	139	05-06 03:54
Popular-Insurrection 0xeebd…ba30	26	$10.3K	142	05-06 03:40
Sentimental-Differential 0x510a…d77f	26	$773	87	05-06 03:39
Little-Fraction 0xcfb1…f694	25	$2.14K	69	05-06 03:54
Exalted-Mattress 0xa8cc…41a9	24	$3.80K	70	05-06 03:54
Upset-Sight 0xe022…6603	24	$3.06K	284	05-06 03:54
Novel-Morbid 0x4766…5a03	24	$1.89K	173	05-06 03:54

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	1	$5	5	+5	open	—	05-05 22:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	1	$5	5	+5	open	—	05-06 02:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	1	$5	5	+5	open	—	05-06 02:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	1	$5	5	+5	open	—	05-06 00:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	1	$5	6	+6	Up	+$1	05-05 03:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	1	$5	5	+5	open	—	05-06 02:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET	1	$5	6	+6	open	—	05-06 03:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	1	$5	5	+5	Down	+$0	05-04 23:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	1	$5	5	+5	open	—	05-06 01:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	1	$5	5	+5	open	—	05-06 00:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	1	$5	5	+5	Down	+$0	05-04 23:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	1	$5	5	+5	open	—	05-05 21:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	1	$5	5	+5	Up	+$0	05-04 21:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	1	$5	6	+6	Down	+$1	05-04 22:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	1	$5	6	+6	open	—	05-06 00:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	1	$5	5	+5	open	—	05-05 18:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	1	$5	5	+5	Down	+$0	05-04 20:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	1	$5	5	+5	open	—	05-06 02:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	1	$5	5	+5	open	—	05-05 19:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	1	$5	5	+5	open	—	05-06 00:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	1	$5	5	+5	Down	+$0	05-04 23:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	1	$5	5	+5	open	—	05-06 03:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	1	$5	5	+5	open	—	05-06 03:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	1	$5	5	+5	open	—	05-06 02:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	1	$5	5	+5	open	—	05-06 01:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	1	$5	5	+5	open	—	05-06 03:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	1	$5	5	+5	open	—	05-06 00:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	1	$5	5	+5	open	—	05-06 00:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	1	$5	5	+5	open	—	05-06 01:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	1	$5	5	+5	open	—	05-06 01:54