Rewarding-Nickel — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$17

Unrealized P&L

+$13

Hit rate

69.0%

Resolved

2,526

Trades

2,953

lifetime

Volume

$127.9K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$43

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-01-01

last 06-03 04:09

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 101 days

Categories

Crypto

48% 51% -$1,337

Other

37% 54% +$745

Politics

8% 89% +$278

Sports

6% 78% +$336

Tech

0% 0% -$39

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-06-03).

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?	Yes		-118	-$16	3¢	$-3	+$13	05-06 12:49

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?	3	$9.5K	5,934	5,934	+0	No	+$589	05-21 03:21
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in May?	2	$8.8K	4,959	4,959	+0	No	-$95	05-20 00:38
Will Russia capture all of Drobysheve by April 30?	3	$7.7K	3,949	3,949	+0	No	+$81	04-23 21:24
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?	3	$4.5K	2,500	2,488	+12	No	+$132	04-30 04:42
Over $10M committed to the Infinex public sale?	5	$3.7K	2,133	2,133	+0	No	+$385	01-10 03:55
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	4	$3.2K	3,650	3,650	+0	Yes	+$146	01-23 19:01
will trump establish a gaza board of peace by march 31 681	2	$3.1K	1,596	1,596	+0	Yes	+$94	01-16 00:59
will jason day win the 2026 masters tournament	1	$3.0K	3,087	0	+3,087	No	+$87	04-11 23:52
will the houston texans win super bowl 2026	2	$2.9K	1,534	1,534	+0	No	+$132	01-18 23:10
will the united states win the most gold medals in the 2026 winter olympics	3	$2.9K	1,535	1,535	+0	No	+$202	02-17 21:17
bitcoin up or down february 22 12am et	2	$2.5K	1,666	1,666	+0	Down	+$812	02-22 06:01
will russia capture all of huliaipole by march 31	12	$2.0K	1,114	1,114	+0	No	+$2	03-29 13:49
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in April?	2	$1.9K	1,070	1,067	+3	No	-$99	04-30 04:02
bitcoin up or down february 24 2am et	5	$1.9K	1,204	1,204	+0	Up	+$484	02-24 07:58
Will Ukraine re-enter Rodynske by April 30?	1	$1.7K	1,800	0	+1,800	Yes	+$73	04-24 18:56
will finland win the mens ice hockey gold medal at the 2026 winter olympics	2	$1.5K	805	805	+0	No	+$47	02-18 18:30
Will Trump visit China by June 30?	2	$1.1K	601	601	+0	Yes	+$83	05-06 12:50
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-11 19:45 UTC	1	$1000	1,513	0	+1,513	Down	+$513	04-11 19:44
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-08 03:15 UTC	1	$1000	1,303	0	+1,303	Up	+$303	03-08 03:16
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-02 04:00 UTC	1	$850	1,515	0	+1,515	Down	-$850	04-02 03:59
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-19 04:15 UTC	2	$800	1,556	0	+1,556	Down	-$800	04-19 04:14
will rory mcilroy win the 2026 masters tournament	6	$785	597	597	+0	Yes	-$15	04-13 01:12
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-08 03:00 UTC	1	$770	1,554	0	+1,554	Up	-$770	03-08 02:57
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-13 14:30 UTC	1	$700	1,167	0	+1,167	Down	+$467	03-13 14:29
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-17 14:15 UTC	3	$660	895	487	+407	Up	+$99	03-17 14:22
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-23 14:15 UTC	1	$600	1,022	0	+1,022	Down	+$422	03-23 14:15
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-31 01:45 UTC	1	$600	1,009	0	+1,009	Down	+$409	03-31 01:40
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-31 01:45 UTC	1	$600	1,006	0	+1,006	Down	+$406	03-31 01:40
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-13 14:30 UTC	1	$600	1,037	0	+1,037	Down	+$437	03-13 14:29
will parivision win krakow 2026	2	$522	272	272	+0	No	+$22	02-01 22:08

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-03 04:09:55	Will Bitcoin dip to $62,000 June 1-7?	No	BUY	84	80¢	$67	0xded8b1…
06-02 23:38:17	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in June?	Yes	SELL	91	75¢	$68	0x7a849b…
06-02 02:49:57	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in June?	Yes	BUY	91	60¢	$55	0x9f0dcb…
06-01 23:55:22	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	56	99¢	$56	0x23bf5c…
05-31 19:09:39	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	56	89¢	$50	0x4f5a21…
05-31 19:09:06	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	51	97¢	$49	0x5cd066…
05-28 00:10:30	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	51	79¢	$40	0x1ee5f8…
05-28 00:10:13	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 28, 2026?	No	SELL	42	95¢	$40	0x1b462e…
05-27 13:31:50	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 28, 2026?	No	BUY	42	85¢	$36	0x390ace…
05-27 13:30:11	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in May?	No	SELL	37	98¢	$36	0xbdb9bf…
05-22 13:24:46	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in May?	No	BUY	37	86¢	$32	0x25ac82…
05-22 13:18:25	Will global temperature increase by less than 1.10ºC in May 2026?	No	SELL	48	68¢	$33	0xda3d01…
05-21 03:21:53	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?	No	SELL	5,934	85¢	$5,044	0x1ddc39…
05-20 00:38:27	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?	No	BUY	5,773	75¢	$4,321	0x502c2d…
05-20 00:38:07	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in May?	No	SELL	4,959	88¢	$4,364	0x125bb1…
05-19 19:28:50	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 19?	Up	SELL	26	100¢	$26	0xb8979f…
05-18 19:55:04	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 19?	Up	BUY	26	72¢	$19	0x375402…
05-18 19:53:16	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May?	Yes	SELL	19	100¢	$19	0x6d9d9f…
05-12 14:39:43	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May?	Yes	BUY	19	78¢	$15	0xa7eea9…
05-12 14:39:25	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?	Yes	SELL	47	34¢	$16	0xe4339f…
05-10 15:08:30	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?	No	BUY	162	83¢	$134	0xb3f860…
05-10 03:29:15	Will New York Knicks advance to the Conference Finals in the 2026 NBA Playoffs?	Yes	SELL	137	98¢	$134	0x788313…
05-06 20:09:42	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?	Yes	BUY	47	64¢	$30	0xf07615…
05-06 13:27:40	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in May?	No	BUY	4,959	90¢	$4,459	0x566ddb…
05-06 12:50:26	Will Trump visit China by June 30?	Yes	SELL	601	97¢	$583	0xd2a174…
05-06 12:50:10	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on May 9?	No	SELL	98	10¢	$10	0xf8186f…
05-06 12:49:36	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on May 10?	No	SELL	109	13¢	$14	0x814452…
05-06 12:49:16	Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?	Yes	SELL	118	14¢	$16	0x77d19b…
05-06 12:48:34	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 6?	Down	SELL	550	7¢	$39	0x293508…
05-05 20:22:54	Ethereum Up or Down on May 6?	Down	BUY	8	50¢	$4	0x9ea4b8…
05-05 20:20:42	Ethereum Up or Down on May 6?	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x71773e…
05-05 20:15:22	Ethereum Up or Down on May 6?	Down	BUY	12	50¢	$6	0xc7250e…
05-05 13:56:20	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 6?	Down	BUY	550	51¢	$280	0xf52fce…
05-05 04:12:02	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on May 5?	No	BUY	72	69¢	$50	0x56f390…
05-04 19:07:34	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 5?	Down	BUY	51	49¢	$25	0x835d01…
05-04 16:19:52	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 5?	Down	BUY	100	50¢	$50	0x5a6e5c…
05-04 15:48:44	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 5?	Down	BUY	35	51¢	$18	0x4d066a…
05-04 15:48:12	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 5?	Down	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x4c8af1…
05-04 15:28:56	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 5?	Down	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x830907…
05-04 14:51:28	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 5?	Down	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xe5dc43…
05-04 14:48:14	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 5?	Down	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x9870a5…
05-04 13:15:36	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 5?	Down	BUY	22	51¢	$11	0x3d2a5a…
05-04 12:57:18	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 4?	No	SELL	96	90¢	$87	0x483834…
05-04 11:01:40	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 5?	Down	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0xdd774c…
05-04 08:51:46	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 5?	Down	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xa2ee99…
05-04 05:04:30	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 5?	Down	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x1e03f5…
05-04 04:15:50	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 5?	Down	BUY	23	51¢	$12	0x234b1c…
05-04 03:44:10	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 4?	No	BUY	96	52¢	$50	0x627b37…
05-04 00:00:36	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on May 10?	No	BUY	109	46¢	$50	0x1ca7a7…
05-03 23:02:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET	Down	SELL	29	14¢	$4	0x1c9a77…
05-03 20:00:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET	Down	BUY	29	51¢	$15	0xb21155…
05-03 15:38:42	Will New York Knicks advance to the Conference Finals in the 2026 NBA Playoffs?	Yes	BUY	137	73¢	$100	0x3bd3e5…
05-03 15:26:44	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 4?	Down	BUY	106	51¢	$54	0x425e6e…
05-03 14:53:20	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 4?	Down	BUY	44	51¢	$22	0x56d7c1…
05-03 05:15:12	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on May 9?	No	BUY	98	51¢	$50	0xfd0f1d…
05-02 23:55:20	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in May?	Yes	BUY	135	74¢	$100	0x9e8428…
05-02 23:54:16	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in May?	Yes	BUY	270	74¢	$200	0x0069f5…
05-02 16:08:10	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 3?	Down	BUY	3	50¢	$2	0x537059…
05-02 16:07:50	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 3?	Down	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0xbe521a…
05-02 16:07:38	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 3?	Down	BUY	77	50¢	$38	0xc5f9f6…
05-01 14:06:36	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 2?	Down	BUY	88	53¢	$47	0x03c102…
05-01 13:38:06	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 2?	Down	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x0bd155…
05-01 13:22:06	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 2?	Down	BUY	10	53¢	$5	0xb56fcd…
05-01 13:06:32	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 2?	No	SELL	136	93¢	$127	0xdc196e…
04-30 16:06:34	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 1?	Down	BUY	50	50¢	$25	0x0e3ee0…
04-30 13:18:48	Clavicular pregnancy in 2026?	No	BUY	294	2¢	$5	0x03bf34…
04-30 04:42:08	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?	No	SELL	2,488	94¢	$2,329	0x26c64a…
04-30 04:02:22	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in April?	No	SELL	1,067	84¢	$898	0xc66776…
04-30 03:19:28	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on April 30?	No	SELL	193	95¢	$184	0x108cd9…
04-29 20:33:30	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April?	No	SELL	83	47¢	$39	0xf2b48d…
04-29 19:06:54	Bitcoin Up or Down on April 30?	Up	BUY	247	41¢	$100	0x257517…
04-29 19:06:16	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on April 30?	No	SELL	272	62¢	$169	0xfb2a1d…
04-29 01:54:42	Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in April?	No	BUY	158	57¢	$90	0xb0519f…
04-28 20:38:44	Will global temperature increase by less than 1.10ºC in May 2026?	No	BUY	48	62¢	$30	0x9548da…
04-28 20:01:02	Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?	No	BUY	333	90¢	$300	0x410180…
04-28 19:58:40	Bitcoin Up or Down on April 29?	Up	BUY	82	61¢	$50	0x65a2fb…
04-28 13:54:12	Bitcoin Up or Down on April 28?	Down	BUY	6	88¢	$5	0xe44779…
04-28 13:53:38	Bitcoin Up or Down on April 28?	Up	SELL	45	12¢	$6	0x59695e…
04-27 23:43:28	Will Trump say "King" during King Charles visit?	Yes	BUY	474	95¢	$449	0xd5aa13…
04-27 16:19:26	Bitcoin Up or Down on April 28?	Up	BUY	47	53¢	$25	0xc5d921…
04-27 14:54:54	Bitcoin Up or Down on April 27?	Down	SELL	110	61¢	$67	0x8f09d1…
04-27 13:59:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 10AM ET	Up	BUY	19	53¢	$10	0xda388c…
04-27 13:56:26	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in April?	No	BUY	1,070	93¢	$1,000	0x5d1f9f…
04-27 13:15:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 9AM ET	Up	BUY	18	56¢	$10	0xd692db…
04-27 05:56:32	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on April 27?	No	SELL	76	56¢	$42	0xe655b6…
04-27 04:00:18	Ethereum Up or Down - April 27, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET	Down	BUY	154	52¢	$80	0x0edaf1…
04-27 00:00:42	Ethereum Up or Down - April 26, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET	Down	BUY	59	51¢	$30	0x1b0461…
04-26 23:27:34	Will Ethereum reach $2,600 in April?	No	SELL	91	89¢	$81	0xf38686…
04-26 21:34:34	Will Russia enter Novyi Donbas by May 31?	Yes	SELL	80	59¢	$47	0x64e7ee…
04-26 20:59:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	Down	BUY	13	54¢	$7	0x63f909…
04-26 20:30:20	Ethereum Up or Down - April 26, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET	Down	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0x227551…
04-26 20:29:14	Ethereum Up or Down - April 26, 4PM ET	Down	BUY	18	57¢	$10	0x728fb2…
04-26 20:14:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	Down	BUY	13	55¢	$7	0x13ac92…
04-26 19:30:18	Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 in April?	No	SELL	209	98¢	$204	0xc1d2c6…
04-26 19:21:50	Bitcoin Up or Down on April 27?	Down	BUY	75	40¢	$30	0xf61e61…
04-26 19:18:20	Will Russia enter Novyi Donbas by April 30?	No	SELL	127	89¢	$113	0xd7f498…
04-26 18:59:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET	Down	BUY	164	61¢	$100	0xa8d778…
04-26 18:57:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 3PM ET	Down	BUY	37	54¢	$20	0xca4fc4…
04-26 18:44:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	Down	BUY	574	61¢	$350	0xd7ac79…
04-26 18:28:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET	Down	BUY	213	61¢	$130	0x8a9beb…