Ancient-Cormorant — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$41

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

68.4%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$282

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-07

last 05-11 15:51

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

96% 52% $-41

Politics

4% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

3 active days in 12wk • peak 15 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (21) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	5	$112	130	101	+29	Down	+$21	05-11 15:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	1	$20	400	0	+400	Up	$-20	05-11 15:26
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	1	$20	61	0	+61	Up	$-20	05-11 15:21
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	1	$20	33	0	+33	Up	+$13	05-11 15:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	2	$16	12	12	+0	Down	+$6	05-10 01:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	2	$10	5	5	+0	Down	+$0	05-10 02:15
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	1	$10	25	0	+25	open	—	05-07 16:47
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	2	$10	74	0	+74	Down	$-10	05-10 17:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	2	$10	530	0	+530	Up	$-10	05-11 15:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	2	$10	5	5	+0	Down	+$0	05-10 01:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	1	$5	68	0	+68	Down	$-5	05-10 00:47
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	1	$5	7	0	+7	Up	$-5	05-10 00:31
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	1	$5	8	0	+8	Up	+$3	05-10 01:07
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	1	$5	38	0	+38	Down	$-5	05-10 03:42
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	1	$5	9	0	+9	Down	$-5	05-11 03:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	1	$5	9	0	+9	Down	$-5	05-10 00:37
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	1	$5	5	0	+5	Up	+$0	05-10 17:42
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	1	$5	5	0	+5	Down	+$0	05-10 00:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	1	$1	1	0	+1	Up	+$0	05-11 15:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	1	$1	9	0	+9	Up	$-1	05-11 15:51
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	1	$1	1	0	+1	Down	+$0	05-11 15:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	1	$1	1	0	+1	Up	+$0	05-11 15:36

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-11 15:51:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Down	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0x143507…
05-11 15:48:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Up	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0x05c9e6…
05-11 15:36:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Up	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0x6f4f66…
05-11 15:34:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Down	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0x0d590e…
05-11 15:26:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Down	BUY	400	5¢	$20	0x49f246…
05-11 15:21:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Down	BUY	61	33¢	$20	0x5cb619…
05-11 15:19:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Down	BUY	29	69¢	$20	0x373807…
05-11 15:18:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Down	SELL	35	79¢	$27	0x49e241…
05-11 15:18:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Down	BUY	34	58¢	$20	0x4e7ed5…
05-11 15:17:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Down	SELL	67	37¢	$25	0xdd14c3…
05-11 15:17:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Down	BUY	67	30¢	$20	0x588219…
05-11 15:14:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Down	BUY	500	1¢	$5	0xa102c7…
05-11 15:12:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Down	BUY	30	17¢	$5	0xabbd47…
05-11 15:08:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Up	BUY	33	60¢	$20	0x72b329…
05-11 03:05:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Up	BUY	9	57¢	$5	0xaf4c37…
05-10 17:42:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0x447ec5…
05-10 17:39:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Up	BUY	50	10¢	$5	0x6fb34b…
05-10 17:38:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Up	BUY	24	21¢	$5	0x995303…
05-10 03:42:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	Up	BUY	38	13¢	$5	0xc692cc…
05-10 02:15:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Down	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x601b24…
05-10 02:14:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0x26b915…
05-10 01:25:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	Down	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xd70e7b…
05-10 01:24:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xb117a5…
05-10 01:13:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Down	SELL	12	89¢	$11	0x7afa5e…
05-10 01:13:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Down	BUY	12	40¢	$5	0xdab59d…
05-10 01:07:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Up	BUY	8	61¢	$5	0xce20e9…
05-10 00:54:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Down	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x0ee14c…
05-10 00:47:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	Up	BUY	68	7¢	$5	0x750427…
05-10 00:37:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Up	BUY	9	57¢	$5	0xc2e159…
05-10 00:31:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Down	BUY	7	73¢	$5	0x350e6f…
05-07 16:47:37	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	25	41¢	$10	0x26fd7f…