Paltry-Chitchat — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$17

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

99.8%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$3.16K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$67

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 10-11 08:15

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 38 days

Categories

Crypto

47% 100% +$2

Other

38% 82% +$14

Politics

11% 100% +$1

Tech

4% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

3 active days in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will the price of bitcoin be between 70000 72000 on april 2	1	$111	111	+111	No	+$0	04-02 10:42
donald trump of truth social posts march 27 april 3 140 159	1	$111	111	+111	No	+$0	04-03 10:18
bitcoin above 64k on march 19	1	$111	111	+111	Yes	+$0	03-18 13:23
bitcoin above 62k on march 21	1	$111	111	+111	Yes	+$0	03-20 10:32
will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31 323	1	$111	111	+111	Yes	+$0	03-30 12:16
bitcoin above 66k on april 13	1	$110	110	+110	Yes	+$0	04-13 10:38
highest temperature in london on march 9 2026 19corhigher	1	$110	110	+110	No	+$0	03-09 11:39
bitcoin above 72k on june 5 2026	1	$110	110	+110	No	+$0	06-04 12:21
military action against iran ends on march 16 2026	1	$110	110	+110	No	+$0	03-15 06:30
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 19?	1	$109	109	+109	No	+$0	05-19 11:26
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 13?	1	$109	109	+109	No	+$0	05-13 13:13
Will the highest temperature in London be 13°C on April 26?	1	$109	109	+109	No	+$0	04-25 12:36
Will MrBeast's video get between 74 and 75 million views on day 4?	1	$108	108	+108	No	+$0	05-06 11:07
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,600 and $2,700 on May 9?	1	$108	108	+108	No	+$0	05-08 11:01
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 22, 2026?	1	$108	108	+108	No	+$0	05-22 11:37
bitcoin above 70k on april 20	1	$108	108	+108	Yes	+$0	04-20 12:31
will the price of ethereum be between 2200 2300 on march 1	1	$108	108	+108	No	+$0	03-01 13:25
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from June 1 to June 3, 2026?	1	$108	109	+109	No	+$1	06-01 13:53
Will "Michael" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 35m and 40m?	1	$104	104	+104	No	+$0	05-03 07:14
will the price of ethereum be less than 2500 on january 2	1	$91	91	+91	No	+$0	01-01 13:27
elon musk of tweets december 30 january 6 620 639	1	$91	91	+91	No	+$0	01-06 13:14
will the price of bitcoin be between 84000 86000 on january 12	1	$90	90	+90	No	+$0	01-12 12:16
will the price of bitcoin be between 86000 88000 on january 11	1	$90	90	+90	No	+$0	01-11 07:47
highest temperature in hong kong on april 12 2026 23c	1	$72	72	+72	No	+$0	04-11 07:24
will ethereum reach 2700 march 2 8	1	$61	61	+61	No	+$0	03-04 13:17
will google gemini be 1 free app in the us apple app store on february 6	1	$58	58	+58	No	+$0	02-05 11:51
highest temperature in nyc on april 18 2026 54 55f	1	$57	57	+57	No	+$0	04-18 03:47
ethereum above 2700 on april 18	1	$52	52	+52	No	+$0	04-18 03:54
will shelter opening weekend box office be less than 2pt5m	1	$51	51	+51	No	+$0	01-30 12:12
will opinion launch a token on march 5	1	$49	49	+49	Yes	+$0	03-04 13:05

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-11 08:15:16	Will Ethereum dip to $2,200 October 5-11?	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x49c3dc…
10-11 08:05:04	James Talarico campaigns in-person this weekend?	No	BUY	261	1¢	$2	0x0c81d8…
09-19 09:24:19	Will Anthropic IPO by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x7b3038…
08-17 08:43:24	iran leadership change by august 22	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x8f1edd…
07-17 13:37:37	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x3de79a…
06-04 12:21:49	bitcoin above 72k on june 5 2026	No	BUY	110	100¢	$110	0x8345c2…
06-02 13:42:56	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on June 3?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xb73744…
06-01 13:53:44	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from June 1 to June 3, 2026?	No	BUY	109	100¢	$108	0xe11e7e…
05-22 11:37:14	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 22, 2026?	No	BUY	108	100¢	$108	0x4ecf75…
05-19 11:26:25	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 19?	No	BUY	109	100¢	$109	0xb40754…
05-13 13:13:45	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 13?	No	BUY	109	100¢	$109	0xf1025b…
05-08 11:01:05	Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,600 and $2,700 on May 9?	No	BUY	108	100¢	$108	0x450586…
05-06 11:07:48	Will MrBeast's video get between 74 and 75 million views on day 4?	No	BUY	108	100¢	$108	0x492072…
05-04 06:21:42	Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $86,000 on May 4?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xe79221…
05-03 07:21:40	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 5, 2026?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x3ea429…
05-03 07:16:30	Will the highest temperature in New York City be 80°F or higher on May 4?	Yes	BUY	167	1¢	$1	0xacf227…
05-03 07:14:32	Will "Michael" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 35m and 40m?	No	BUY	104	100¢	$104	0x47dd44…
05-01 04:02:48	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026?	No	BUY	48	100¢	$48	0x24fdd6…
04-25 12:36:58	Will the highest temperature in London be 13°C on April 26?	No	BUY	109	100¢	$109	0xcf1d15…
04-20 12:31:04	bitcoin above 70k on april 20	Yes	BUY	108	100¢	$108	0x67a4ef…
04-18 03:54:34	ethereum above 2700 on april 18	No	BUY	52	100¢	$52	0x88c224…
04-18 03:48:06	highest temperature in london on april 18 2026 21corhigher	Yes	BUY	500	0¢	$1	0x14ce2f…
04-18 03:47:10	highest temperature in nyc on april 18 2026 54 55f	No	BUY	57	100¢	$57	0x3fb7d8…
04-13 10:38:39	bitcoin above 66k on april 13	Yes	BUY	110	100¢	$110	0x3afd43…
04-11 07:24:57	highest temperature in hong kong on april 12 2026 23c	No	BUY	72	100¢	$72	0x2cba18…
04-11 07:14:29	highest temperature in hong kong on april 12 2026 21c	Yes	BUY	600	0¢	$1	0x9698a5…
04-11 07:13:43	highest temperature in munich on april 11 2026 12c	No	BUY	38	100¢	$38	0x8188f2…
04-03 10:18:27	donald trump of truth social posts march 27 april 3 140 159	No	BUY	111	100¢	$111	0xb49552…
04-02 10:42:55	will the price of bitcoin be between 70000 72000 on april 2	No	BUY	111	100¢	$111	0x178ebe…
03-30 12:16:32	will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31 323	Yes	BUY	111	100¢	$111	0x9ac4b9…
03-20 10:32:45	bitcoin above 62k on march 21	Yes	BUY	111	100¢	$111	0x30b6ce…
03-18 13:23:43	bitcoin above 64k on march 19	Yes	BUY	111	100¢	$111	0x56ff92…
03-15 06:30:27	military action against iran ends on march 16 2026	No	BUY	110	100¢	$110	0x57a3f1…
03-09 11:39:35	highest temperature in london on march 9 2026 19corhigher	No	BUY	110	100¢	$110	0x07325f…
03-04 13:17:29	will ethereum reach 2700 march 2 8	No	BUY	61	100¢	$61	0xce8da6…
03-04 13:05:05	will opinion launch a token on march 5	Yes	BUY	49	100¢	$49	0xc11b0e…
03-01 13:25:23	will the price of ethereum be between 2200 2300 on march 1	No	BUY	108	100¢	$108	0x1968f5…
02-05 11:51:55	will google gemini be 1 free app in the us apple app store on february 6	No	BUY	58	100¢	$58	0x1bdafe…
02-05 11:51:37	lol phx2 pcific 2026 02 05	PCIFIC	BUY	50	67¢	$34	0x24a1e9…
02-01 11:38:48	will melania opening weekend box office be between 4pt5m and 5m	No	BUY	41	99¢	$41	0x1467ae…
01-30 12:12:36	will shelter opening weekend box office be less than 2pt5m	No	BUY	51	100¢	$51	0x638d98…
01-21 13:12:06	will google gemini 3 score at least 70 on the frontiermath benchmark	No	BUY	41	98¢	$40	0xeb3f7f…
01-21 13:11:42	will google gemini be 1 free app in the us apple app store on january 23	No	BUY	49	99¢	$49	0x26bd1c…
01-12 12:16:20	will the price of bitcoin be between 84000 86000 on january 12	No	BUY	90	100¢	$90	0x2dd91f…
01-11 07:47:54	will the price of bitcoin be between 86000 88000 on january 11	No	BUY	90	100¢	$90	0x5e8b0b…
01-06 13:14:15	elon musk of tweets december 30 january 6 620 639	No	BUY	91	100¢	$91	0xb6534c…
01-01 13:27:01	will the price of ethereum be less than 2500 on january 2	No	BUY	91	100¢	$91	0xd556a6…