Plush-Inequality — Polymarket

Realized P&L (30d)

-$19

Unrealized P&L

-$0

Hit rate

48.9%

Resolved (30d)

Trades (30d)

37 lifetime

Volume (30d)

$61

$61 lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-05-13

last 05-14 10:54

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

82% 28% $-7

Other

18% 33% $-11

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

2 active days in 12wk • peak 19 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (28) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET	Down		+50	$1	1¢	$0	$-0	05-14 10:54

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	4	$12	20	0	+20	Down	+$1	05-14 01:19
Will CR Vasco da Gama vs. Paysandu SC end in a draw?	2	$9	7	27	-20	Yes	$-13	05-13 23:11
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	4	$6	17	0	+17	Up	+$2	05-13 22:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	2	$4	21	0	+21	Down	+$0	05-14 00:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	1	$3	0	17	-17	Up	+$3	05-14 01:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	1	$2	25	0	+25	Down	$-2	05-14 01:07
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	1	$2	9	0	+9	Up	$-2	05-14 02:01
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	1	$2	7	0	+7	Down	+$5	05-14 01:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	1	$2	6	0	+6	Up	$-2	05-14 02:06
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	1	$1	20	0	+20	Up	$-1	05-13 19:58
XRP Up or Down - May 13, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	1	$1	5	0	+5	Down	$-1	05-13 19:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	1	$1	20	0	+20	Down	$-1	05-14 00:29
XRP Up or Down - May 13, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	1	$1	10	0	+10	Up	$-1	05-13 19:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	1	$1	20	0	+20	Up	$-1	05-13 22:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	1	$1	11	0	+11	Down	$-1	05-14 01:58
Solana Up or Down - May 13, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	1	$1	11	0	+11	Up	$-1	05-13 19:32
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	1	$1	5	0	+5	Up	$-1	05-14 00:56
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	1	$1	3	0	+3	Down	+$2	05-13 19:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	1	$1	5	0	+5	Down	$-1	05-13 22:27
Will Paysandu SC win on 2026-05-13?	1	$1	9	0	+9	No	$-1	05-13 20:07
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	1	$1	4	0	+4	Up	$-1	05-14 00:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET	1	$1	5	0	+5	Down	$-1	05-13 22:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	1	$1	14	0	+14	Down	$-1	05-13 22:16
Will CR Vasco da Gama win on 2026-05-13?	1	$1	3	0	+3	No	+$2	05-13 20:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	1	$1	17	0	+17	Down	$-1	05-14 01:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	1	$1	17	0	+17	Down	$-1	05-13 22:32
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET	1	$1	45	0	+45	Up	$-1	05-14 01:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	1	$1	1	0	+1	Down	+$1	05-13 13:43

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-14 10:54:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET	Down	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x08f324…
05-14 02:06:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Down	BUY	6	36¢	$2	0x19169d…
05-14 02:01:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Down	BUY	9	22¢	$2	0xa696fd…
05-14 01:58:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Up	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0x292b80…
05-14 01:54:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET	Down	BUY	45	1¢	$1	0x9b50ec…
05-14 01:25:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Down	BUY	7	29¢	$2	0x72a6c6…
05-14 01:23:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	Up	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0x62c27f…
05-14 01:19:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Down	BUY	6	86¢	$5	0x8d7011…
05-14 01:18:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Down	BUY	3	70¢	$2	0xf7e730…
05-14 01:17:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Down	BUY	4	76¢	$3	0x16263a…
05-14 01:15:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Up	BUY	7	27¢	$2	0x35906b…
05-14 01:07:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Up	BUY	25	8¢	$2	0x975557…
05-14 01:03:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	Down	SELL	17	18¢	$3	0x1de9a8…
05-14 00:56:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x7e4199…
05-14 00:29:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Up	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0xc5c363…
05-14 00:24:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Down	BUY	4	74¢	$3	0x61b384…
05-14 00:23:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Up	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0x3ac7e1…
05-14 00:13:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Down	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x9dc06b…
05-13 23:11:01	Will CR Vasco da Gama vs. Paysandu SC end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	27	31¢	$8	0xc60cb1…
05-13 22:53:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Down	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0xce01dd…
05-13 22:38:05	Will CR Vasco da Gama vs. Paysandu SC end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0xcab981…
05-13 22:32:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Up	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0x70c0e4…
05-13 22:27:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0xde3d9e…
05-13 22:24:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Down	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0x3d6e92…
05-13 22:23:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Up	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0xfd9e49…
05-13 22:23:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Up	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0xd5e9b2…
05-13 22:21:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Down	BUY	7	27¢	$2	0x69f992…
05-13 22:18:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x689b14…
05-13 22:16:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Up	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0x82bc9a…
05-13 20:08:24	Will CR Vasco da Gama win on 2026-05-13?	No	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x05a75c…
05-13 20:07:42	Will Paysandu SC win on 2026-05-13?	Yes	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0xadcc50…
05-13 19:58:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x2070d9…
05-13 19:53:37	XRP Up or Down - May 13, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Up	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x066577…
05-13 19:33:12	XRP Up or Down - May 13, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Down	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0xccf503…
05-13 19:32:55	Solana Up or Down - May 13, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Down	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0xf16ac5…
05-13 19:15:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Down	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0xe9f8cf…
05-13 13:43:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	1	39¢	$1	0xc90b92…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
Upset-Sight 0xe022…6603	23	$2.85K	289	05-14 10:49
Impressive-Buck 0xbd05…0a55	23	$1.00K	117	05-14 10:45
(anonymous) 0xe907…cff6	22	$2.00K	107	05-14 10:54
(anonymous) 0x75cc…3ce1	22	$826	93	05-14 10:49
(anonymous) 0x5e2b…9101	22	$577	88	05-14 10:45
(anonymous) 0x20d2…e29d	20	$618	49	05-14 10:49
Novel-Morbid 0x4766…5a03	19	$1.33K	121	05-14 02:08
Equal-Renaissance 0x1c4e…4150	19	$703	179	05-14 02:07