Salty-Barge — Polymarket

Realized P&L (7d)

+$3

Unrealized P&L

-$2

Hit rate

84.2%

Resolved (7d)

Trades (7d)

4,349 lifetime

Volume (7d)

$135

$46.7K lifetime

Avg / trade

$11

Open exposure

$64

4 positions

First seen

2026-01-05

last 10-27 15:10

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 288 days

Categories

Other

95% 91% -$82

Crypto

3% 99% -$1

Politics

1% 100% +$9

Sports

0% 85% +$1

Tech

0% 100% +$1

Pop-Culture

0% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

84 active days in 12wk • peak 22 trades/day

Open positions (4) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31, 2026?	No	+21	$20	99¢	$21	+$1	10-01 18:12
Will Ukraine agree to give up the rest of Donbas before 2027?	No	+21	$20	96¢	$20	$0	10-04 12:16
Opensea FDV above $1B one day after launch?	No	-14	-$11	94¢	$-13	-$2	06-25 09:16
Human moon landing in 2026?	No	-11	-$10	99¢	$-10	$0	07-24 22:26

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6pt5 or higher worldwide by march 22	3	$670	337	337	+0	No	+$4	03-21 13:54
will there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6pt5 or higher worldwide by april 5	6	$541	272	272	+0	No	+$3	04-02 05:00
highest temperature in dallas on april 12 2026 74forhigher	11	$482	265	265	+0	No	-$21	04-12 23:05
highest temperature in paris on march 27 2026 8c	10	$367	187	187	+0	No	+$0	03-26 16:08
cbb txam hou 2026 03 21	3	$303	288	25	+263	Houston Cougars	+$1	03-21 23:54
Will Linera launch a token by September 30, 2026?	1	$300	300	0	+300	No	+$0	09-30 23:12
will there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6pt5 or higher worldwide by march 29	5	$295	301	0	+301	No	+$6	03-27 00:05
cbb uconn stjohn 2026 03 14	2	$255	256	0	+256	St. John's Red Storm	+$1	03-15 00:36
will there be exactly 2 earthquakes of magnitude 6pt5 or higher worldwide by march 29	1	$171	175	0	+175	Yes	+$3	03-29 23:32
highest temperature in san francisco on march 27 2026 76 77f	7	$169	173	7	+167	Yes	-$2	03-28 00:00
cbb maslow umbc 2026 03 10	4	$122	113	13	+100	UMBC Retrievers	+$3	03-10 23:45
highest temperature in paris on march 28 2026 9c	1	$121	121	0	+121	No	+$0	03-28 09:08
cbb tulane templ 2026 03 05	2	$120	120	0	+120	Temple Owls	+$0	03-06 01:35
cbb njit nhamp 2026 02 12	6	$110	70	70	+0	NJIT Highlanders	+$0	02-13 01:01
cbb cencon chist 2026 02 21	2	$109	55	55	+0	Chicago State Cougars	+$1	02-21 21:04
cbb sea aubrn 2026 03 22	1	$108	108	0	+108	Auburn Tigers	+$0	03-23 00:26
cbb sfl lou 2026 03 19	4	$100	107	26	+81	Louisville Cardinals	+$0	03-19 19:50
cbb akron txtech 2026 03 20	1	$100	100	0	+100	Texas Tech Red Raiders	+$0	03-20 18:38
cbb nw pur 2026 03 12	1	$100	100	0	+100	Purdue Boilermakers	+$0	03-12 23:56
highest temperature in munich on march 22 2026 15c	1	$100	100	0	+100	No	+$0	03-22 16:04
cbb vand fl 2026 03 14	1	$100	100	0	+100	Vanderbilt Commodores	+$0	03-14 19:03
cbb alaam south 2026 02 07	2	$86	43	43	+0	Southern Jaguars	+$0	02-08 01:14
cbb merc samf 2026 02 07	4	$84	45	40	+6	Samford Bulldogs	+$1	02-08 00:46
cbb uconn duke 2026 03 29	4	$83	88	88	+0	Connecticut Huskies	+$3	03-29 21:27
cbb sill indst 2026 02 09	7	$80	49	49	+0	Southern Illinois Salukis	+$1	02-10 01:41
cbb troy nebr 2026 03 19	2	$80	40	40	+0	Nebraska Cornhuskers	+$0	03-19 18:17
highest temperature in madrid on march 27 2026 15c	8	$80	40	40	+0	No	+$0	03-26 17:06
cbb lou clmsn 2026 02 28	4	$78	80	79	+0	Clemson Tigers	-$2	02-28 18:24
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be 71°F or below on April 25?	4	$65	41	41	+0	No	-$15	04-25 18:34
highest temperature in houston on march 25 2026 88 89f	2	$64	64	0	+64	No	+$0	03-25 21:59

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-27 15:10:05	Will the highest temperature in Houston be 73°F or below on October 27?	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x21985b…
10-26 20:02:02	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 50-51°F on October 26?	No	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0xce0f78…
10-26 01:27:33	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 28°C or below on October 26?	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xda3eec…
10-25 19:55:11	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 86-87°F on October 25?	No	BUY	10	98¢	$9	0x6b6802…
10-25 17:32:35	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 52-53°F on October 25?	No	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0xe87271…
10-24 03:26:21	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 20°C on October 24?	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x9fdd41…
10-23 23:59:33	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 16°C on October 24?	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xa67cdb…
10-23 21:26:14	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 26°C on October 24?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x3739e7…
10-23 11:44:26	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on October 24?	No	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x904bd4…
10-23 11:43:30	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on October 24?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x79d5df…
10-22 17:03:03	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 22°C on October 23?	No	BUY	0	96¢	$0	0x1ee791…
10-22 14:11:03	Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 33°C or higher on October 22?	No	BUY	6	90¢	$5	0x5a7b6b…
10-22 13:59:39	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 66-67°F on October 22?	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xda48c8…
10-22 13:02:47	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 22°C on October 23?	No	BUY	9	96¢	$9	0x0212c1…
10-22 12:02:30	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 22°C on October 23?	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x975663…
10-22 03:55:29	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 24°C on October 22?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x334fb2…
10-21 21:48:09	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 24°C on October 22?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x8d103b…
10-21 17:24:30	Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by October 31?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xa75566…
10-21 03:17:30	Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by October 31?	No	BUY	19	99¢	$19	0xf10c7f…
10-20 04:21:21	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 32°C on October 20?	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x0a0a8d…
10-19 23:20:18	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 20°C on October 20?	No	BUY	0	98¢	$0	0xa32666…
10-19 22:35:08	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C or below on October 20?	No	BUY	8	98¢	$7	0x1f41bb…
10-19 22:32:00	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C or below on October 20?	No	BUY	3	98¢	$3	0xa3aef3…
10-19 21:34:28	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 20°C on October 20?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x6b3014…
10-19 21:14:27	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 20°C on October 20?	No	BUY	9	98¢	$9	0xb9566b…
10-19 13:40:57	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 21°C on October 19?	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xc8a35b…
10-19 10:40:51	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 84-85°F on October 19?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x65fe2e…
10-18 07:04:54	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 18°C on October 18?	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xe28999…
10-18 04:58:51	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 34°C on October 18?	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xa86de6…
10-17 23:10:38	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 18°C on October 18?	No	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xb3208f…
10-17 23:01:36	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 17°C on October 18?	No	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0x1be5c3…
10-17 19:27:17	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 74-75°F on October 17?	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x306da2…
10-17 17:25:29	highest temperature in wellington on october 18 2026 18c	No	BUY	9	98¢	$9	0xdff6dc…
10-17 17:24:06	highest temperature in wellington on october 18 2026 18c	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xa5f59b…
10-17 16:00:09	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 64-65°F on October 17?	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x22fc52…
10-17 15:48:53	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 18°C on October 18?	No	BUY	0	98¢	$0	0x980499…
10-17 12:38:53	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 18°C on October 18?	No	BUY	0	98¢	$0	0x599530…
10-17 11:29:18	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 19°C or higher on October 17?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xeb2fce…
10-17 10:44:14	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 18°C on October 17?	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x18cd16…
10-17 00:36:06	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 22°C on October 17?	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x1827b1…
10-16 18:44:37	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be 77°F or below on October 16?	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xd37860…
10-16 15:54:10	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 68-69°F on October 16?	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x9d5bf7…
10-16 12:38:15	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 28°C on October 16?	No	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x1fc55a…
10-16 06:49:28	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 17°C on October 16?	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x46e0e6…
10-16 00:59:54	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 22°C on October 16?	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x24e6cf…
10-15 20:00:38	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 74-75°F on October 15?	No	BUY	3	95¢	$3	0x6670df…
10-15 14:19:43	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be 94°F or higher on October 15?	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x140c0e…
10-15 13:36:22	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 76-77°F on October 15?	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x8e745c…
10-14 23:31:01	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 18°C on October 15?	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x356b6f…
10-14 15:07:19	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 84-85°F on October 14?	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xc5ede7…
10-14 11:56:53	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 14°C or below on October 14?	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x7de378…
10-14 11:30:16	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 22°C on October 14?	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xa997c9…
10-14 11:11:14	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 48-49°F on October 14?	No	BUY	4	99¢	$4	0x7b5b39…
10-14 01:00:06	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C or higher on October 14?	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xa8cc50…
10-13 19:57:39	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 30°C or higher on October 13?	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x0570bf…
10-13 03:59:54	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C or higher on October 13?	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xc22a69…
10-12 22:47:17	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 24°C on October 13?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x2fb2cd…
10-12 15:42:27	Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on October 12?	No	BUY	8	98¢	$8	0x3f4e53…
10-12 08:49:18	Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on October 12?	No	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0x8da6bc…
10-12 01:29:02	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 22°C on October 12?	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xa7b167…
10-12 00:58:38	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 21°C on October 12?	No	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0x0811f9…
10-12 00:58:36	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 21°C on October 12?	No	BUY	9	98¢	$8	0xa0df6b…
10-12 00:49:32	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 21°C or below on October 12?	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xb88e98…
10-11 18:29:51	Will there be 3 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	No	SELL	14	92¢	$13	0x6496da…
10-11 13:36:49	Will there be 3 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	No	SELL	7	92¢	$7	0xd5d6d8…
10-11 10:48:11	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 76-77°F on October 11?	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x59bd27…
10-11 10:34:21	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 22°C on October 11?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x5b8fd7…
10-11 06:22:03	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 22°C on October 11?	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x8262d9…
10-11 06:13:02	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 22°C on October 11?	No	BUY	4	98¢	$4	0xc275c1…
10-10 15:44:39	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 76-77°F on October 10?	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xfb1061…
10-10 14:59:30	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 20°C on October 11?	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x9f1c3d…
10-10 13:20:37	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 62-63°F on October 10?	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x0b71bc…
10-10 05:10:03	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 35°C on October 10?	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x8eeba6…
10-10 05:10:03	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 35°C on October 10?	No	BUY	0	98¢	$0	0x68a1e7…
10-10 02:53:36	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on October 10?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x473c41…
10-10 02:20:42	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on October 10?	No	BUY	4	98¢	$4	0x825dc4…
10-10 02:20:41	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on October 10?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xc93ec3…
10-09 23:58:29	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 31°C on October 10?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x6aa405…
10-09 23:20:58	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 20°C on October 10?	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x58c700…
10-09 22:49:10	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 23°C on October 10?	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x67c2b8…
10-09 21:59:28	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C or below on October 10?	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x0d0ab3…
10-09 19:12:58	Will there be 3 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	No	BUY	0	91¢	$0	0x54400d…
10-09 18:22:26	Will there be 3 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	No	BUY	12	91¢	$11	0x285d43…
10-09 18:04:44	Will there be 3 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	No	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0x9eb735…
10-09 18:04:38	Will there be 3 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	No	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0x83c6f2…
10-09 16:55:23	Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 34°C or higher on October 9?	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x583bad…
10-09 16:37:43	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 21°C on October 10?	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x2abcc8…
10-09 13:15:37	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 18°C on October 9?	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x536d78…
10-09 08:46:19	Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C on October 9?	No	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x833116…
10-08 17:58:11	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 34°C on October 8?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x3f17bd…
10-08 15:46:32	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be 75°F or below on October 8?	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x696c83…
10-08 15:09:23	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 33°C on October 8?	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x91c4ea…
10-08 14:31:15	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 76°F or higher on October 8?	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xae7150…
10-07 19:17:55	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 82°F or higher on October 7?	No	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x3d5529…
10-07 16:24:05	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 19°C on October 7?	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xdb6b83…
10-07 14:13:59	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 80-81°F on October 7?	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x5e99c0…
10-07 14:05:19	Will the highest temperature in New York City be 59°F or below on October 7?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x0f301b…
10-07 13:03:53	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be 71°F or below on October 7?	Yes	BUY	12	5¢	$1	0xf1005e…
10-07 13:03:47	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be 71°F or below on October 7?	Yes	BUY	8	5¢	$0	0xc39aa1…
10-07 12:35:34	Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 34°C or higher on October 7?	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x7a3daa…