Quirky-Analytics — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$135

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

75.9%

Resolved

Trades

312

lifetime

Volume

$15.7K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$50

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-13

last 06-18 20:27

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 5 days

Categories

Crypto

87% 56% $-135

Politics

8% — —

Other

3% — —

Pop-Culture

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

16 active days in 12wk • peak 90 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (16) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	1	$841	0	1,682	-1,682	open	—	05-27 20:31
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	3	$813	860	860	+0	open	—	05-23 05:52
btc updown 5m 1776368100	2	$597	417	401	+16	open	—	04-16 19:40
btc updown 5m 1776344400	2	$540	401	386	+14	open	—	04-16 13:02
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	3	$477	1,100	476	+623	Down	$-98	05-08 18:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	5	$450	462	452	+10	Up	+$48	05-05 14:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	6	$414	295	295	+0	open	—	05-23 06:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	6	$372	364	364	+0	Down	+$92	05-08 16:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	6	$320	389	389	+0	Up	+$33	05-10 12:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	4	$309	532	532	+0	Up	+$40	05-08 18:34
btc updown 5m 1776384900	2	$295	204	197	+8	open	—	04-17 00:20
btc updown 5m 1776420000	1	$291	364	0	+364	open	—	04-17 10:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	4	$277	364	364	+0	Down	+$17	05-05 15:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	4	$259	317	317	+0	open	—	05-23 06:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	8	$259	294	244	+50	Down	+$0	05-05 15:19
btc updown 5m 1776417900	3	$258	286	197	+89	open	—	04-17 09:26
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	3	$251	304	227	+77	Up	+$31	05-05 14:53
fifwc prt cdr 2026 06 17 total 2pt5	2	$249	271	271	+0	open	—	06-17 18:55
btc updown 5m 1776418200	2	$245	179	173	+6	open	—	04-17 09:30
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 8?	4	$237	302	208	+94	Yes	+$87	05-08 15:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	2	$222	227	226	+0	Down	+$22	05-08 18:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	8	$218	586	586	+0	Down	+$28	05-05 14:19
btc updown 5m 1776367200	2	$215	162	156	+6	open	—	04-16 19:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	2	$214	200	200	+0	Down	+$14	05-08 16:15
Will Drake officially release Iceman by April 30, 2026?	2	$208	172	172	+0	open	—	04-16 23:06
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11AM ET	2	$206	216	216	+0	Up	+$6	05-05 15:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	3	$202	45	295	-250	open	—	05-23 05:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	12	$198	275	209	+67	Down	+$3	05-05 16:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	1	$198	393	0	+393	Down	$-198	05-08 18:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	5	$192	221	221	+0	Down	+$23	05-08 19:29

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-18 20:27:53	fifwc che bih 2026 06 18 total 0pt5	Under	BUY	45	44¢	$20	0xa6476e…
06-18 03:23:47	fifwc uzb col 2026 06 17 total 2pt5	Under	SELL	167	34¢	$57	0x8ce682…
06-18 02:53:58	fifwc uzb col 2026 06 17 total 2pt5	Under	BUY	167	54¢	$90	0x349983…
06-17 18:55:10	fifwc prt cdr 2026 06 17 total 2pt5	Over	SELL	271	18¢	$49	0xe71074…
06-17 17:10:04	fifwc prt cdr 2026 06 17 total 2pt5	Over	BUY	271	74¢	$200	0x5486a6…
06-16 07:38:34	btc updown 5m 1781595300	Up	SELL	16	66¢	$10	0xe47907…
06-16 07:37:51	btc updown 5m 1781595300	Up	BUY	16	64¢	$10	0xca2792…
06-16 07:36:54	btc updown 5m 1781595300	Down	SELL	38	29¢	$11	0xe0719b…
06-16 07:36:24	btc updown 5m 1781595300	Down	BUY	38	26¢	$10	0xe0d575…
06-16 07:31:28	btc updown 5m 1781595000	Down	SELL	222	25¢	$56	0xbaf88a…
06-16 07:31:01	btc updown 5m 1781595000	Down	BUY	222	27¢	$60	0xb57505…
06-16 07:28:34	btc updown 5m 1781594700	Up	SELL	119	35¢	$41	0x5a15cf…
06-16 07:25:51	btc updown 5m 1781594700	Up	BUY	119	42¢	$50	0xe5db5b…
06-16 07:17:07	btc updown 5m 1781594100	Down	SELL	50	8¢	$4	0x0e96e1…
06-16 07:15:57	btc updown 5m 1781594100	Down	BUY	50	40¢	$20	0x9b597d…
06-16 07:06:18	btc updown 5m 1781593500	Down	SELL	48	52¢	$25	0x39204d…
06-16 07:05:27	btc updown 5m 1781593500	Down	BUY	48	42¢	$20	0xd95a06…
06-16 07:02:55	btc updown 5m 1781593200	Up	SELL	61	6¢	$4	0x3994d8…
06-16 07:00:57	btc updown 5m 1781593200	Up	BUY	9	36¢	$3	0x0aa7b1…
06-16 07:00:55	btc updown 5m 1781593200	Up	BUY	22	36¢	$8	0xfc8d54…
06-16 07:00:55	btc updown 5m 1781593200	Up	BUY	29	36¢	$10	0x43de25…
05-27 20:31:07	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	1,682	50¢	$841	0x962d86…
05-23 06:18:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	Down	BUY	18	11¢	$2	0xa84392…
05-23 06:14:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	Down	SELL	82	96¢	$79	0xc44ee7…
05-23 06:13:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	Down	BUY	82	61¢	$50	0x31d746…
05-23 06:13:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	Down	SELL	116	70¢	$81	0x7ba453…
05-23 06:13:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	Down	BUY	116	69¢	$80	0x13f88c…
05-23 06:11:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	Down	SELL	96	77¢	$74	0x350915…
05-23 06:10:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	Down	BUY	96	52¢	$50	0xf38c04…
05-23 06:03:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Up	SELL	34	40¢	$14	0x685ddf…
05-23 06:02:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Up	BUY	34	29¢	$10	0xc0e8dd…
05-23 06:00:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Down	SELL	282	48¢	$135	0x7e78d1…
05-23 06:00:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Down	BUY	282	35¢	$100	0x336419…
05-23 05:59:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Up	SELL	45	87¢	$40	0xe0d1a6…
05-23 05:58:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Up	BUY	45	66¢	$30	0x13f21f…
05-23 05:57:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Down	SELL	250	53¢	$133	0xc4e0ff…
05-23 05:52:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	Up	SELL	504	50¢	$253	0xe844c8…
05-23 05:52:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	Up	SELL	356	45¢	$160	0x6e1dc1…
05-23 05:50:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	Up	BUY	860	46¢	$400	0xc4a4d9…
05-23 05:49:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	Up	SELL	109	2¢	$2	0xf9f7d3…
05-23 05:48:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	Up	BUY	109	9¢	$10	0x80de6a…
05-21 06:19:08	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	6,000	0¢	$12	0x204af5…
05-19 08:19:12	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	1,228	1¢	$15	0x46b98b…
05-17 16:38:32	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	895	3¢	$25	0x633b01…
05-13 11:56:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	4	53¢	$2	0xc70021…
05-13 11:50:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Up	BUY	47	53¢	$25	0x44ee5f…
05-13 11:48:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Up	SELL	68	3¢	$2	0xc8d909…
05-13 11:47:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Up	BUY	68	37¢	$25	0x9ee42f…
05-10 13:20:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Down	BUY	109	35¢	$38	0xcc2aa6…
05-10 13:17:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Down	BUY	78	39¢	$31	0xd02d76…
05-10 13:13:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Up	SELL	38	32¢	$12	0x439ee5…
05-10 13:12:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Up	BUY	38	26¢	$10	0xbf15be…
05-10 13:08:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Up	SELL	233	24¢	$55	0xd3884d…
05-10 13:07:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Up	BUY	233	21¢	$50	0x9c8bb9…
05-10 13:02:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Up	SELL	133	45¢	$60	0x1c5ac9…
05-10 13:00:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Up	BUY	133	38¢	$50	0x8aff35…
05-10 12:57:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Down	SELL	128	48¢	$62	0x5a8f1e…
05-10 12:57:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Down	BUY	128	39¢	$50	0x52656a…
05-10 12:57:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Down	SELL	149	40¢	$60	0x0dc902…
05-10 12:56:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Down	BUY	149	34¢	$50	0xd7bbe9…
05-10 12:55:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Down	SELL	112	49¢	$55	0x860f28…
05-10 12:55:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Down	BUY	112	39¢	$44	0x422136…
05-10 12:53:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Up	SELL	72	59¢	$42	0x3318db…
05-10 12:53:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Up	BUY	72	56¢	$40	0x5a7653…
05-10 12:43:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Down	SELL	16	46¢	$7	0x43d140…
05-10 12:43:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Down	SELL	92	41¢	$38	0xa9aff3…
05-10 12:42:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Down	BUY	108	37¢	$40	0xa6d10e…
05-10 12:41:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Up	SELL	92	50¢	$46	0xc1360a…
05-10 12:41:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Up	BUY	92	33¢	$30	0x598e3d…
05-10 12:34:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Up	SELL	176	9¢	$16	0x306e1b…
05-10 12:34:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Up	BUY	176	11¢	$19	0x5dc97e…
05-10 12:33:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Down	SELL	35	71¢	$25	0xde72c3…
05-10 12:33:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Down	BUY	35	35¢	$12	0x07faba…
05-10 12:32:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Up	SELL	35	60¢	$21	0x396ab1…
05-10 12:30:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Up	BUY	35	42¢	$15	0x40f770…
05-10 12:26:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Up	SELL	5	40¢	$2	0x7e11e7…
05-10 12:26:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0x644486…
05-10 12:23:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Up	SELL	29	70¢	$20	0xf7a983…
05-10 12:20:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Up	BUY	29	52¢	$15	0x345ba9…
05-10 12:18:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Down	SELL	48	28¢	$13	0xf6d5c2…
05-10 12:17:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Down	SELL	8	35¢	$3	0x96d2c1…
05-10 12:16:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Down	BUY	56	24¢	$14	0x3ad860…
05-10 12:12:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Down	BUY	417	12¢	$50	0x3248ee…
05-10 12:11:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Down	SELL	251	28¢	$71	0x7f50fa…
05-10 12:10:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Down	BUY	251	20¢	$50	0x0ae295…
05-08 19:40:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Down	BUY	83	23¢	$19	0xa3da0e…
05-08 19:39:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Down	SELL	29	70¢	$20	0xabde9e…
05-08 19:37:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Down	BUY	29	35¢	$10	0x166018…
05-08 19:36:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Up	SELL	29	40¢	$11	0x06a4d2…
05-08 19:35:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Up	BUY	29	27¢	$8	0xf3cff3…
05-08 19:30:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Down	BUY	125	40¢	$50	0xffd43c…
05-08 19:29:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Down	SELL	8	64¢	$5	0x3ce594…
05-08 19:28:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Down	SELL	107	49¢	$52	0x058d7f…
05-08 19:27:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Down	BUY	114	39¢	$45	0xf6cc71…
05-08 19:26:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Down	SELL	107	47¢	$50	0x75fdc7…
05-08 19:26:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Down	BUY	107	38¢	$40	0xa43fa8…
05-08 19:24:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Up	SELL	8	46¢	$4	0xff94a6…
05-08 19:23:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Up	SELL	143	26¢	$37	0x656ccd…
05-08 19:23:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Up	BUY	151	20¢	$30	0xf5a827…
05-08 19:22:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Up	SELL	15	45¢	$7	0x91269e…