Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$67

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

46.1%

Resolved

Trades

244

lifetime

Volume

$544

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-09-18

last 10-14 17:17

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 22 days

Categories

Other

59% 54% -$19

Crypto

17% 57% -$36

Politics

13% 60% +$1

Tech

6% 43% +$8

Sports

5% 17% -$22

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

21 active days in 12wk • peak 32 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (24) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET	9	$49	115	0	+115	Up	-$49	10-03 07:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET	6	$22	49	0	+49	Down	+$11	10-03 07:40
Will no qualifying Russia x Ukraine peace talks take place by December 31, 2027?	2	$18	10	10	+0	open	—	10-13 20:05
Russia lifts diesel export ban by October 30?	2	$17	9	9	+0	Yes	-$1	10-10 18:50
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 82-83°F on October 4?	16	$16	10	10	+0	No	+$4	10-04 22:24
Will "Other Mommy" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 24m and 27m?	6	$15	13	13	+0	No	-$1	10-10 21:38
Will "Other Mommy" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 27m and 30m?	2	$15	12	12	+0	Yes	+$4	10-11 17:59
Will Trump speak to Mark Rutte by October 31?	5	$15	13	13	+0	open	—	10-12 21:41
Will United Russia win between 340 and 354 seats in the next Russian State Duma election?	2	$13	10	10	+0	Yes	+$7	09-23 04:13
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 22°C on October 5?	2	$13	8	8	+0	Yes	+$1	10-05 08:10
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 86-87°F on October 6?	2	$12	13	13	+0	Yes	+$1	10-05 05:10
Russia Elections: United Russia Wins Every Region?	3	$12	9	9	+0	Yes	$0	09-19 03:40
Russia lifts diesel export ban by October 15?	2	$12	7	7	+0	Yes	$0	10-10 19:05
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 25°C on October 5?	3	$12	16	5	+11	Yes	-$6	10-05 09:11
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 22°C on October 6?	3	$12	10	10	+0	No	$0	10-05 17:36
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?	7	$12	15	15	+0	open	—	10-03 07:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET	2	$11	19	0	+19	Up	+$8	10-03 07:27
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 84-85°F on October 5?	3	$9	5	5	+0	No	+$0	10-05 17:36
Will "The Social Reckoning" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 5m?	6	$9	16	12	+5	No	-$7	10-12 15:35
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.25T and $2.5T at market close on IPO day?	6	$8	28	28	+0	open	—	10-14 17:17
Will "Resident Evil" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 65m and 70m?	4	$7	14	14	+0	No	-$4	09-19 06:11
anthropic announces a full training pause in 2026	5	$7	57	57	+0	open	—	10-14 17:17
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.5T and $2.75T at market close on IPO day?	6	$7	34	34	+0	open	—	10-14 17:17
Will Racing Club de Lens win on 2026-09-18?	3	$7	9	0	+9	No	+$2	09-18 20:12
Chicago Cubs vs. Cincinnati Reds	2	$7	10	0	+10	Cincinnati Reds	-$7	09-19 00:26
Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 20°C on October 5?	2	$6	8	8	+0	Yes	+$1	10-04 05:10
Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 32°C on October 5?	1	$6	10	0	+10	Yes	-$6	10-04 20:10
Broncos vs. Chargers	1	$6	16	0	+16	Broncos	-$6	10-11 20:10
Lions vs. Bills: O/U 54.5	2	$6	12	0	+12	Over	-$6	09-18 00:21
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on October 6?	1	$6	10	0	+10	No	+$4	10-05 08:10

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-14 17:17:55	Will Anthropic’s market cap be 1.8T or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027?	Yes	SELL	3	64¢	$2	0xbe3987…
10-14 17:17:43	Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.5T and $2.75T at market close on IPO day?	Yes	SELL	8	2¢	$0	0x4403e6…
10-14 17:17:42	Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	Yes	SELL	1	45¢	$0	0xdab8c0…
10-14 17:17:42	Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	Yes	SELL	2	54¢	$1	0xa3a7ca…
10-14 17:17:27	Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.25T and $2.5T at market close on IPO day?	Yes	SELL	28	12¢	$3	0x803999…
10-14 17:17:27	Will OpenAI’s valuation be at least $1.30T at the end of October 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	5¢	$1	0x1cb050…
10-14 17:17:18	Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1490?	No	SELL	1	73¢	$1	0x1cf6be…
10-14 17:17:16	next claude opus released by october 31 2026	No	SELL	1	91¢	$1	0x2e9afc…
10-14 17:17:13	anthropic announces a full training pause in 2026	Yes	SELL	57	6¢	$3	0xd2c23e…
10-14 17:15:24	Will Google have the best AI Agent at the end of October 2026?	Yes	SELL	32	2¢	$1	0x032f5f…
10-14 17:15:21	next muse spark 1pt4 released by october 16 2026	No	SELL	2	97¢	$2	0xf81253…
10-14 17:15:19	Will Google have the best AI model on LiveBench (Mathematics) at the end of October 2026?	No	SELL	1	90¢	$1	0xd44e19…
10-14 17:15:19	Will Anthropic have the best AI Agent at the end of October 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	91¢	$1	0x81d19c…
10-14 17:15:16	Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1495?	No	SELL	1	73¢	$1	0xdc4e85…
10-14 17:15:15	next astra model 6pt1 released by october 23 2026	No	SELL	1	86¢	$1	0x369d26…
10-14 17:15:12	Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?	Yes	SELL	2	48¢	$1	0x7bff03…
10-14 17:15:12	Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?	Yes	SELL	2	51¢	$1	0x22c7a3…
10-14 16:09:46	Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x7be0c8…
10-14 10:38:35	Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.25T and $2.5T at market close on IPO day?	Yes	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0x3cc932…
10-14 10:37:25	Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.25T and $2.5T at market close on IPO day?	Yes	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0x065767…
10-14 10:36:55	Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.25T and $2.5T at market close on IPO day?	Yes	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0xf4c3c7…
10-14 10:36:53	Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.25T and $2.5T at market close on IPO day?	Yes	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0x2de8ab…
10-14 10:36:31	Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.25T and $2.5T at market close on IPO day?	Yes	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0x5552ef…
10-13 20:06:06	US imports Russian diesel by October 31?	Yes	SELL	4	19¢	$1	0x5ab197…
10-13 20:05:52	Will Apple release a new product line before 2027?	Yes	SELL	3	89¢	$3	0xd49aad…
10-13 20:05:31	Will no qualifying Russia x Ukraine peace talks take place by December 31, 2027?	No	SELL	10	86¢	$9	0x5893dd…
10-13 19:54:55	Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by October 23, 2026?	No	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0x9d07c1…
10-13 16:42:34	Next Claude Opus (5.6+) released by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x650f9f…
10-13 16:09:48	Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1495?	No	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0x40fa2b…
10-13 16:09:42	Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1490?	No	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0x5a3a2c…
10-13 16:02:48	Will Google have the best AI model on LiveBench (Mathematics) at the end of October 2026?	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x294689…
10-13 13:44:20	Will Apple release a new product line before 2027?	Yes	BUY	3	87¢	$3	0x70babf…
10-13 12:25:49	Gemini Argon released by October 14, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0xf349d3…
10-13 04:24:33	will zacharia say karoline during the next white house press briefing 20261012	Yes	BUY	2	93¢	$2	0xaf68ac…
10-13 03:47:05	will trump say israel during his midterm rally in alaska october 13	No	SELL	5	58¢	$3	0x25c2d8…
10-13 02:30:44	will trump say japan during his midterm rally in alaska october 13	Yes	BUY	3	65¢	$2	0x749f23…
10-13 02:21:24	Gemini 4.0 released by October 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0x52cb24…
10-13 02:05:59	will trump say reagan during his midterm rally in alaska october 13	Yes	BUY	3	58¢	$2	0x1b5fb4…
10-13 00:36:26	will trump say israel during his midterm rally in alaska october 13	No	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0x2c7008…
10-12 21:41:51	Will Trump speak to Mark Rutte by October 31?	No	SELL	4	42¢	$2	0xac3e90…
10-12 16:30:39	Will the next Muse model family be named Muse Fire?	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0xa8c4aa…
10-12 15:35:57	Will "The Social Reckoning" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 5m?	Yes	SELL	5	2¢	$0	0xdad58a…
10-12 14:46:32	Will Trump say "SI" or "Super Intelligence" 5+ times during his Midterm Rally in Ohio?	Yes	BUY	12	17¢	$2	0x2466dd…
10-12 14:21:12	Will Trump speak to Mark Rutte by October 31?	No	SELL	4	43¢	$2	0xabb6e0…
10-12 10:20:47	Will Trump speak to Mark Rutte by October 31?	No	SELL	2	43¢	$1	0x61b88d…
10-12 09:03:58	Will Trump say "Steel" during his Midterm Rally in Ohio?	Yes	BUY	2	85¢	$2	0xe9dbc7…
10-12 08:55:37	Will Trump say "Columbus" during his Midterm Rally in Ohio?	Yes	BUY	3	77¢	$2	0x5b55f9…
10-11 20:42:48	Will Google have the best AI Agent at the end of October 2026?	Yes	BUY	32	2¢	$1	0xf89281…
10-11 20:42:44	Will Anthropic have the best AI Agent at the end of October 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0x6ceb30…
10-11 20:10:19	Broncos vs. Chargers	Chargers	BUY	16	38¢	$6	0x1faff1…
10-11 17:59:27	Will "Other Mommy" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 27m and 30m?	Yes	SELL	12	82¢	$9	0x3fdd81…
10-11 15:04:42	Will Trump speak to Mark Rutte by October 31?	No	SELL	3	43¢	$1	0x6cae29…
10-11 14:57:00	Will "The Social Reckoning" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 5m?	Yes	SELL	7	6¢	$0	0xf114f0…
10-11 02:04:42	Will Domino's say "Pizza" 20+ times during earnings call?	Yes	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0xc439da…
10-10 23:32:16	Will "The Social Reckoning" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 5m?	Yes	BUY	7	28¢	$2	0x9d209a…
10-10 21:39:18	Will "The Social Reckoning" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 5m?	Yes	BUY	3	64¢	$2	0x93c9ac…
10-10 21:39:18	Will "The Social Reckoning" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 5m?	Yes	BUY	3	63¢	$2	0x0ba867…
10-10 21:38:49	Will "Other Mommy" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 27m and 30m?	Yes	BUY	12	47¢	$5	0x3cc668…
10-10 21:38:42	Will "Other Mommy" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 24m and 27m?	Yes	SELL	10	54¢	$5	0xd13c42…
10-10 20:29:43	Will "Other Mommy" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 24m and 27m?	Yes	BUY	3	69¢	$2	0x22d4e1…
10-10 19:32:34	Will "Other Mommy" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 24m and 27m?	Yes	BUY	4	56¢	$2	0xb6d7ac…
10-10 19:31:00	Will "Other Mommy" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 24m and 27m?	Yes	SELL	4	55¢	$2	0xfbca92…
10-10 19:31:00	Will "Other Mommy" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 24m and 27m?	Yes	BUY	3	59¢	$2	0xaf482d…
10-10 19:30:40	Will "Other Mommy" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 24m and 27m?	Yes	BUY	4	57¢	$2	0x94aa12…
10-10 19:05:10	Russia lifts diesel export ban by October 15?	Yes	SELL	7	88¢	$6	0xa3735d…
10-10 18:50:09	Russia lifts diesel export ban by October 30?	Yes	SELL	9	86¢	$8	0xa60d81…
10-10 18:48:55	Will Trump say "Drill Baby Drill" during his Midterm Rally in Tennessee?	Yes	BUY	18	27¢	$5	0xa46deb…
10-10 18:41:12	Russia lifts diesel export ban by October 30?	Yes	BUY	9	96¢	$9	0x951a93…
10-10 18:41:03	Russia lifts diesel export ban by October 15?	Yes	BUY	7	92¢	$6	0xba97f0…
10-10 18:05:13	Will "The Social Reckoning" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 5m?	Yes	BUY	3	69¢	$2	0x70b146…
10-10 14:22:51	US imports Russian diesel by October 31?	Yes	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0xe04277…
10-10 12:16:07	Will no qualifying Russia x Ukraine peace talks take place by December 31, 2027?	No	BUY	10	88¢	$9	0x51a9df…
10-10 10:11:00	Will Trump speak to Mark Rutte by October 31?	No	BUY	13	67¢	$9	0x919d60…
10-10 07:14:45	Next Muse Spark (1.4+) released by October 16, 2026?	No	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0x0f8ad0…
10-10 02:48:33	Next Muse Spark (1.4+) released by October 16, 2026?	No	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0xec42e2…
10-08 21:44:27	gemini 4pt0 released by october 12 2026	No	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0x9a3caf…
10-08 21:44:20	gemini 4pt0 released by october 12 2026	No	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0x347431…
10-08 18:28:39	Will OpenAI’s valuation be at least $1.30T at the end of October 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0xc75c21…
10-08 17:45:06	Gemini 4.0 released by October 12, 2026?	No	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0x36eee4…
10-08 01:20:25	Gemini Argon released by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x52e36c…
10-07 17:57:03	Will the next Claude Haiku model (4.6+) be released on October 7, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xcc39f6…
10-07 17:52:19	Will the next Claude Haiku model (4.6+) be released on October 7, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x052d03…
10-07 17:52:15	Will the next Claude Haiku model (4.6+) be released on October 7, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x890368…
10-07 17:52:03	Will the next Claude Haiku model (4.6+) be released on October 7, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x4b1280…
10-07 13:14:35	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 12, 2026?	No	SELL	2	65¢	$1	0xbd23ca…
10-07 10:43:45	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 12, 2026?	No	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x38e1ac…
10-07 10:42:59	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 10, 2026?	No	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0x159df3…
10-05 17:36:40	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 84-85°F on October 6?	No	SELL	1	82¢	$1	0xeafcf8…
10-05 17:36:37	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 26°C on October 6?	Yes	SELL	5	19¢	$1	0xc62f81…
10-05 17:36:35	Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 9°C on October 6?	Yes	SELL	4	7¢	$0	0xde5a6b…
10-05 17:36:34	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 84-85°F on October 5?	No	SELL	5	89¢	$5	0x55985a…
10-05 17:36:31	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 13°C on October 6?	No	SELL	5	33¢	$2	0x4122d9…
10-05 17:36:28	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 21°C on October 7?	Yes	SELL	4	26¢	$1	0xe4329a…
10-05 17:36:28	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 31°C on October 7?	Yes	SELL	5	19¢	$1	0xb13608…
10-05 17:36:28	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 22°C on October 6?	No	SELL	9	59¢	$5	0xa4a6ab…
10-05 17:36:26	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on October 7?	No	SELL	1	86¢	$1	0xa28051…
10-05 13:10:53	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on October 7?	No	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0xe57668…
10-05 12:11:14	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 21°C on October 7?	Yes	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x61605e…
10-05 12:11:13	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 22°C on October 6?	No	SELL	1	64¢	$0	0x71cf0d…
10-05 11:10:29	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 94-95°F on October 6?	No	BUY	7	75¢	$5	0xf528d2…