Mortified-Vernacular — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$325

Unrealized P&L

+$49

Hit rate

66.9%

Resolved

1,329

Trades

4,576

lifetime

Volume

$197.6K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$43

Open exposure

$966

1 position

First seen

2026-04-14

last 11-03 07:55

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 64 days

Categories

Crypto

84% 63% -$1,520

Politics

8% 85% +$648

Other

8% 89% +$541

Tech

0% 100% +$6

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

4 active days in 12wk • peak 3 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 15, 2026?	No		+1,079	$917	90¢	$966	+$49	11-03 07:55

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	6	$3.3K	1,750	1,750	+0	No	+$125	05-18 17:56
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-15 07:10 UTC	3	$2.0K	1,012	1,011	+0	Up	+$5	04-15 07:15
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	5	$1.5K	919	919	+0	No	-$68	05-20 16:57
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 15, 2026?	2	$1.5K	784	784	+0	No	+$75	10-14 06:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 12PM ET	33	$1.3K	873	873	+0	Up	-$81	05-18 17:00
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	2	$1.0K	549	549	+0	No	+$21	05-20 16:57
Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by May 31?	2	$1.0K	523	523	+0	No	+$10	05-20 16:57
Will Trump visit Pakistan by May 31?	2	$1.0K	512	512	+0	No	+$6	05-20 16:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 5AM ET	15	$1.0K	639	639	+0	Down	+$5	05-18 10:01
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	3	$1000	1,072	0	+1,072	No	+$72	05-06 12:19
US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 15, 2026?	1	$917	1,079	0	+1,079	open	—	11-03 07:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 1PM ET	14	$890	640	640	+0	Down	-$81	05-29 18:00
US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 2, 2026?	3	$889	917	0	+917	No	+$28	11-01 18:42
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 8AM ET	13	$860	536	536	+0	Up	+$23	05-30 13:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 10AM ET	8	$818	452	452	+0	Down	+$18	05-18 14:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 6AM ET	27	$812	562	352	+210	Down	+$22	05-18 10:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 7AM ET	2	$799	457	457	+0	Down	+$105	05-30 12:00
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?	1	$773	889	0	+889	No	+$116	10-14 06:26
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 10AM ET	23	$772	503	503	+0	Down	-$108	05-29 14:57
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?	3	$750	538	538	+0	No	-$50	05-06 11:18
bitcoin up or down june 7 2026 10pm et	4	$716	409	409	+0	Down	+$94	06-08 03:00
bitcoin up or down june 7 2026 11pm et	44	$712	481	481	+0	Up	-$106	06-08 03:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 11AM ET	8	$709	477	477	+0	Up	-$91	05-18 15:59
bitcoin up or down june 8 2026 12am et	8	$706	401	401	+0	Down	+$96	06-08 05:00
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 17, 2026?	4	$684	411	310	+101	No	-$4	04-17 19:22
bitcoin up or down june 9 2026 8am et	8	$670	461	461	+0	Down	-$60	06-09 13:00
bitcoin up or down june 9 2026 11am et	15	$660	375	375	+0	Down	+$90	06-09 16:00
Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?	2	$641	349	349	+0	No	+$41	05-29 07:05
Iran leadership change by May 31?	2	$624	341	341	+0	No	+$24	05-20 17:17
will trump praise allah again by april 15 423	4	$609	309	309	+0	No	+$9	04-16 05:49

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-03 07:55:34	US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 15, 2026?	No	BUY	1,079	85¢	$917	0xd1c797…
11-01 18:42:24	US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 2, 2026?	No	BUY	40	97¢	$39	0x140fd2…
11-01 18:41:48	US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 2, 2026?	No	BUY	867	97¢	$840	0x5aaf6e…
11-01 18:41:34	US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 2, 2026?	No	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0xd73427…
10-14 06:26:53	US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	889	87¢	$773	0xe2f03b…
10-14 06:25:49	US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 15, 2026?	No	SELL	784	99¢	$773	0xe476d6…
10-07 14:54:37	US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 15, 2026?	No	BUY	784	89¢	$698	0x286bcc…
07-01 08:52:04	bitcoin up or down july 1 2026 4am et	Down	SELL	65	55¢	$36	0x1b4b82…
07-01 08:23:14	bitcoin up or down july 1 2026 4am et	Down	BUY	65	77¢	$50	0x7bd277…
07-01 07:50:11	bitcoin up or down july 1 2026 3am et	Down	SELL	66	30¢	$20	0x038bb4…
07-01 07:10:17	bitcoin up or down july 1 2026 3am et	Down	BUY	66	76¢	$50	0x8cb474…
06-30 13:30:17	bitcoin up or down june 30 2026 9am et	Up	BUY	81	78¢	$63	0x5f0482…
06-30 13:00:10	bitcoin up or down june 30 2026 8am et	Down	SELL	66	100¢	$66	0x8018a6…
06-30 12:47:37	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-06-30 12:00 UTC	Down	BUY	52	77¢	$40	0x995fbc…
06-30 12:06:47	bitcoin up or down june 30 2026 8am et	Down	BUY	66	76¢	$50	0x367f96…
06-30 12:00:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET	Down	SELL	40	100¢	$40	0x4e741c…
06-30 11:49:26	bitcoin up or down june 30 2026 7am et	Down	SELL	77	65¢	$50	0x228177…
06-30 11:26:49	bitcoin up or down june 30 2026 7am et	Down	BUY	20	78¢	$15	0xb2b294…
06-30 11:26:49	bitcoin up or down june 30 2026 7am et	Down	BUY	9	78¢	$7	0x94754e…
06-30 11:26:49	bitcoin up or down june 30 2026 7am et	Down	BUY	24	78¢	$19	0x4d3e3a…
06-30 11:26:46	bitcoin up or down june 30 2026 7am et	Down	BUY	24	78¢	$18	0x67dd5c…
06-30 11:00:10	bitcoin up or down june 30 2026 6am et	Down	SELL	61	99¢	$60	0xe24830…
06-30 10:36:16	bitcoin up or down june 30 2026 6am et	Down	BUY	61	80¢	$49	0x9b7b91…
06-30 10:00:07	bitcoin up or down june 30 2026 5am et	Up	SELL	104	100¢	$104	0x467a9e…
06-30 09:42:46	bitcoin up or down june 30 2026 5am et	Up	BUY	104	82¢	$85	0xafe94a…
06-30 09:00:08	bitcoin up or down june 30 2026 4am et	Down	SELL	86	100¢	$85	0xa6c204…
06-30 08:36:49	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-06-30 08:00 UTC	Down	BUY	40	76¢	$31	0x1870dc…
06-30 08:15:58	bitcoin up or down june 30 2026 4am et	Down	BUY	86	76¢	$65	0xccc0b1…
06-30 08:00:10	bitcoin up or down june 30 2026 3am et	Down	SELL	66	100¢	$66	0x24c2d9…
06-30 08:00:05	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-06-30 04:00 UTC	Down	SELL	32	100¢	$32	0xb9382d…
06-30 07:09:23	bitcoin up or down june 30 2026 3am et	Down	BUY	66	76¢	$50	0x801f3f…
06-30 07:09:20	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-06-30 04:00 UTC	Down	BUY	2	79¢	$1	0x7efe16…
06-30 07:09:20	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-06-30 04:00 UTC	Down	BUY	10	79¢	$8	0x227266…
06-30 07:09:20	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-06-30 04:00 UTC	Down	BUY	20	79¢	$16	0x1ec2bd…
06-30 06:29:56	bitcoin up or down june 30 2026 2am et	Down	SELL	86	37¢	$32	0x90438e…
06-30 06:19:56	bitcoin up or down june 30 2026 2am et	Down	BUY	17	76¢	$13	0xda579f…
06-30 06:19:56	bitcoin up or down june 30 2026 2am et	Down	BUY	8	76¢	$6	0xbe18a1…
06-30 06:19:56	bitcoin up or down june 30 2026 2am et	Down	BUY	20	76¢	$15	0xa185b1…
06-30 06:19:56	bitcoin up or down june 30 2026 2am et	Down	BUY	4	76¢	$3	0x37cbe5…
06-30 06:18:20	bitcoin up or down june 30 2026 2am et	Down	BUY	19	76¢	$15	0x38e07d…
06-30 06:18:05	bitcoin up or down june 30 2026 2am et	Down	BUY	8	76¢	$6	0x92eaae…
06-30 06:17:46	bitcoin up or down june 30 2026 2am et	Down	BUY	5	76¢	$4	0xc1ca48…
06-30 06:17:44	bitcoin up or down june 30 2026 2am et	Down	BUY	5	76¢	$4	0xa4d95a…
06-30 06:00:05	bitcoin up or down june 30 2026 1am et	Up	SELL	66	100¢	$66	0x7bb50e…
06-30 05:41:29	bitcoin up or down june 30 2026 1am et	Up	BUY	66	75¢	$50	0x571544…
06-30 05:41:14	bitcoin up or down june 30 2026 1am et	Down	SELL	65	38¢	$25	0x46a39b…
06-30 05:27:19	bitcoin up or down june 30 2026 1am et	Down	BUY	65	77¢	$50	0x3fc15a…
06-30 04:40:49	bitcoin up or down june 30 2026 12am et	Up	SELL	64	38¢	$24	0xe3b2e8…
06-30 04:35:10	bitcoin up or down june 30 2026 12am et	Up	BUY	64	78¢	$50	0x943029…
06-30 04:32:31	bitcoin up or down june 30 2026 12am et	Down	SELL	86	38¢	$33	0x56980f…
06-30 04:08:28	bitcoin up or down june 30 2026 12am et	Down	BUY	86	76¢	$65	0xdbef3b…
06-30 04:00:07	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-06-30 00:00 UTC	Down	SELL	25	100¢	$25	0xa57f6c…
06-30 04:00:05	bitcoin up or down june 29 2026 11pm et	Down	SELL	66	100¢	$66	0xd45c84…
06-30 03:26:26	bitcoin up or down june 29 2026 11pm et	Down	BUY	16	76¢	$12	0x14cdc5…
06-30 03:24:49	bitcoin up or down june 29 2026 11pm et	Down	BUY	50	76¢	$38	0x7a564d…
06-30 02:59:08	bitcoin up or down june 29 2026 10pm et	Up	SELL	66	53¢	$35	0x335485…
06-30 02:38:31	bitcoin up or down june 29 2026 10pm et	Up	BUY	66	76¢	$50	0xe79705…
06-30 02:28:19	bitcoin up or down june 29 2026 10pm et	Down	SELL	62	33¢	$21	0x996c17…
06-30 02:12:19	bitcoin up or down june 29 2026 10pm et	Down	BUY	10	80¢	$8	0x061c70…
06-30 02:12:13	bitcoin up or down june 29 2026 10pm et	Down	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0xca4839…
06-30 02:12:13	bitcoin up or down june 29 2026 10pm et	Down	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0x6522eb…
06-30 02:12:13	bitcoin up or down june 29 2026 10pm et	Down	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0x12172b…
06-30 02:12:10	bitcoin up or down june 29 2026 10pm et	Down	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0xefc052…
06-30 02:12:10	bitcoin up or down june 29 2026 10pm et	Down	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0x6a3d95…
06-30 02:12:10	bitcoin up or down june 29 2026 10pm et	Down	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0x49e282…
06-30 02:12:10	bitcoin up or down june 29 2026 10pm et	Down	BUY	18	80¢	$14	0x4024f7…
06-30 02:12:10	bitcoin up or down june 29 2026 10pm et	Down	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0x13dcbf…
06-30 01:38:40	bitcoin up or down june 29 2026 9pm et	Up	SELL	66	59¢	$39	0x6dd7df…
06-30 01:19:11	bitcoin up or down june 29 2026 9pm et	Up	BUY	66	76¢	$50	0x681fed…
06-30 01:00:07	bitcoin up or down june 29 2026 8pm et	Down	SELL	109	100¢	$109	0x9a053d…
06-30 00:35:08	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-06-30 00:00 UTC	Down	BUY	5	76¢	$4	0xe03fa7…
06-30 00:28:49	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-06-30 00:00 UTC	Down	BUY	20	76¢	$15	0xe9f71f…
06-30 00:20:20	bitcoin up or down june 29 2026 8pm et	Down	BUY	109	77¢	$84	0x2059c2…
06-30 00:00:08	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-06-29 20:00 UTC	Down	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0x455540…
06-30 00:00:07	bitcoin up or down june 29 2026 7pm et	Down	SELL	84	100¢	$84	0x11f41a…
06-29 23:22:43	bitcoin up or down june 29 2026 7pm et	Down	BUY	84	76¢	$64	0x92f613…
06-29 23:10:46	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-06-29 20:00 UTC	Down	BUY	20	76¢	$15	0x5f1fc5…
06-29 23:00:08	bitcoin up or down june 29 2026 6pm et	Down	SELL	65	100¢	$65	0xd3f9b8…
06-29 22:12:19	bitcoin up or down june 29 2026 6pm et	Down	BUY	2	77¢	$1	0xa7f73d…
06-29 22:12:13	bitcoin up or down june 29 2026 6pm et	Down	BUY	43	77¢	$33	0x4cf879…
06-29 22:12:10	bitcoin up or down june 29 2026 6pm et	Down	BUY	20	77¢	$15	0x8b9343…
06-29 22:00:05	bitcoin up or down june 29 2026 5pm et	Up	SELL	105	100¢	$105	0x966e95…
06-29 21:13:07	bitcoin up or down june 29 2026 5pm et	Up	BUY	105	77¢	$81	0x543cdd…
06-29 21:00:08	bitcoin up or down june 29 2026 4pm et	Down	SELL	82	100¢	$82	0x8128b0…
06-29 20:45:43	bitcoin up or down june 29 2026 4pm et	Down	BUY	82	79¢	$65	0x4f3662…
06-29 20:00:07	bitcoin up or down june 29 2026 3pm et	Up	SELL	66	100¢	$66	0x848679…
06-29 20:00:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET	Up	SELL	16	100¢	$16	0x47a164…
06-29 19:27:35	bitcoin up or down june 29 2026 3pm et	Up	BUY	66	76¢	$50	0x05faef…
06-29 19:00:07	bitcoin up or down june 29 2026 2pm et	Down	SELL	106	100¢	$106	0x7eb517…
06-29 18:29:01	bitcoin up or down june 29 2026 2pm et	Down	BUY	106	78¢	$83	0xd18066…
06-29 18:00:10	bitcoin up or down june 29 2026 1pm et	Up	SELL	83	100¢	$83	0x07fd60…
06-29 17:05:10	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-06-29 16:00 UTC	Up	BUY	16	76¢	$12	0xb38f91…
06-29 17:03:55	bitcoin up or down june 29 2026 1pm et	Up	BUY	83	77¢	$64	0xa240f5…
06-29 17:00:07	bitcoin up or down june 29 2026 12pm et	Up	SELL	65	99¢	$64	0x890754…
06-29 16:48:07	bitcoin up or down june 29 2026 12pm et	Up	BUY	65	77¢	$50	0xfc319c…
06-29 16:42:34	bitcoin up or down june 29 2026 12pm et	Down	SELL	83	39¢	$32	0x209315…
06-29 16:25:32	bitcoin up or down june 29 2026 12pm et	Down	BUY	83	77¢	$64	0x06384b…
06-29 16:00:10	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-06-29 12:00 UTC	Down	SELL	12	100¢	$12	0xb57757…
06-29 16:00:07	bitcoin up or down june 29 2026 11am et	Up	SELL	65	100¢	$65	0x2e3045…
06-29 15:32:23	bitcoin up or down june 29 2026 11am et	Up	BUY	65	77¢	$50	0x9f76f8…