Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$31

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

87.9%

Resolved

Trades

2,963

lifetime

Volume

$70.1K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$24

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-02

last 08-22 18:02

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 20 days

Categories

Politics

46% 76% $-17

Other

31% 77% $-42

Tech

22% 100% +$27

Crypto

1% 100% +$1

Sports

0% 50% $-1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

37 active days in 12wk • peak 88 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (28) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31 323	253	$11.6K	6,542	5,125	+1,418	Yes	+$24	03-31 16:23
strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	184	$7.2K	4,288	4,098	+190	open	—	08-18 13:35
Will Trump nominate Michelle Bowman as the next Fed chair?	195	$6.4K	3,230	3,230	+0	No	+$2	02-04 13:28
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by january 31	254	$6.1K	3,068	3,095	-27	No	+$4	02-01 05:36
Will Trump visit China by April 30?	106	$5.6K	3,284	2,608	+677	No	+$5	04-30 23:07
will the iranian regime fall by january 31	137	$3.4K	1,746	1,716	+30	No	+$1	02-01 06:23
Will Trump nominate Scott Bessent as the next Fed chair?	107	$3.2K	1,551	1,632	-81	No	$-0	01-31 05:24
will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on january 31 985	193	$3.0K	1,566	1,498	+68	Yes	+$2	01-31 05:06
russia x ukraine ceasefire by january 31 2026	160	$2.8K	1,407	1,395	+12	No	+$2	02-01 04:46
no change in fed interest rates after january 2026 meeting	113	$2.5K	1,275	1,325	-50	Yes	+$0	01-28 18:49
will khamenei leave iran by jan 31 322	92	$2.0K	1,021	1,051	-30	No	+$1	02-01 05:01
no change in bank of japans interest rates after march 2026 meeting	135	$2.0K	1,071	1,023	+47	Yes	+$2	03-19 01:21
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	163	$1.8K	923	923	+0	Yes	+$1	03-04 16:07
Will Trump nominate Christopher Waller as the next Fed chair?	69	$1.2K	640	640	+0	No	$-5	01-21 10:51
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	14	$1.1K	800	800	+0	Yes	$-27	06-13 13:38
another critical cloudflare incident by january 31	58	$870	439	544	-105	No	$-7	01-31 19:08
will andr ventura win the 2026 portugal presidential election	29	$759	382	382	+0	No	+$0	02-08 20:00
ilhan omar town hall attack staged	35	$663	338	338	+0	No	+$0	02-11 18:18
will xai have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	31	$643	325	325	+0	No	+$0	02-14 13:16
will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on february 28 846	40	$584	297	297	+0	Yes	+$1	02-26 17:23
will deepseek have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	57	$515	253	264	-11	No	+$0	02-26 14:16
another critical cloudflare incident by february 28	18	$515	319	301	+18	Yes	$-14	02-04 16:43
another critical cloudflare incident by march 31 723 844 877 246 427 922	52	$502	506	529	-23	Yes	+$10	02-02 22:43
will binance be accused of insider trading	41	$493	252	252	+0	No	+$1	02-26 13:41
Starmer out by February 28, 2026?	44	$451	214	244	-30	No	$-0	02-27 13:01
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by January 31?	14	$333	168	168	+0	No	+$0	01-30 04:37
bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by august 31	48	$325	174	158	+16	open	—	08-22 18:02
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	24	$310	156	156	+0	No	+$0	05-01 00:38
will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	27	$303	156	156	+0	Yes	+$0	02-27 08:12
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	15	$258	140	140	+0	Yes	+$1	02-07 10:55

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-22 18:02:51	bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by august 31	No	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0x9bbefc…
08-22 18:02:18	bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by august 31	No	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x7ddf20…
08-22 17:23:04	bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by august 31	No	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0xa2131d…
08-22 16:58:10	bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by august 31	No	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0x25a578…
08-22 13:47:18	bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by august 31	No	BUY	8	99¢	$8	0x376365…
08-22 09:22:42	bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by august 31	No	SELL	8	99¢	$8	0xbf24c4…
08-22 08:22:36	bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by august 31	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x2b8cb7…
08-22 08:22:34	bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by august 31	No	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0x0b35c3…
08-22 07:29:04	bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by august 31	No	SELL	8	99¢	$8	0x96d9ec…
08-22 06:44:07	bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by august 31	No	BUY	8	99¢	$8	0xcfff5a…
08-22 06:27:12	bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by august 31	No	SELL	8	99¢	$8	0x3180f9…
08-21 17:59:01	bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by august 31	No	BUY	8	99¢	$8	0xa4dce8…
08-21 11:51:36	bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by august 31	No	SELL	8	99¢	$8	0xc2b8d6…
08-21 04:05:24	bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by august 31	No	BUY	8	99¢	$8	0x7291a0…
08-20 23:47:43	bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by august 31	No	SELL	8	99¢	$8	0x9b5320…
08-19 23:07:52	bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by august 31	No	BUY	8	99¢	$8	0x788ada…
08-19 17:49:49	bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by august 31	No	SELL	8	99¢	$8	0x3e947e…
08-18 13:35:57	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	SELL	95	99¢	$94	0x450827…
08-17 15:07:28	bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by august 31	No	BUY	8	98¢	$8	0xcbd8b8…
08-17 12:00:15	bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by august 31	No	SELL	8	98¢	$8	0xeac248…
08-17 07:29:39	bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by august 31	No	BUY	8	98¢	$8	0x1dd25f…
08-16 15:22:28	bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by august 31	No	SELL	8	98¢	$8	0x4e006d…
08-16 10:15:18	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	BUY	95	99¢	$94	0x08e412…
08-15 15:13:42	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	SELL	24	98¢	$23	0x65a435…
08-15 15:13:00	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	BUY	24	98¢	$23	0x97a4c9…
08-15 15:12:24	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	SELL	33	98¢	$33	0xfea0ff…
08-15 15:12:09	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	BUY	33	98¢	$33	0x630e7d…
08-15 15:07:19	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	SELL	95	98¢	$93	0x90854c…
08-15 14:56:15	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	BUY	35	98¢	$34	0x3397d1…
08-15 14:54:58	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	BUY	60	98¢	$59	0x94382b…
08-15 14:54:34	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	SELL	55	98¢	$54	0xabf14b…
08-15 14:54:27	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	SELL	10	98¢	$10	0x7dda79…
08-15 14:53:43	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	BUY	50	98¢	$49	0x0c385d…
08-15 14:53:13	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	BUY	16	98¢	$15	0x53afe6…
08-15 14:52:10	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	SELL	79	98¢	$78	0xf7a5c1…
08-15 14:51:16	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	BUY	79	98¢	$78	0x83aa8a…
08-15 14:51:13	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	SELL	16	98¢	$15	0xda1a0f…
08-15 14:50:42	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	BUY	16	98¢	$15	0x3998be…
08-15 14:50:36	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	SELL	12	98¢	$11	0x88185e…
08-15 14:50:28	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	BUY	12	98¢	$11	0x602532…
08-15 14:49:06	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	SELL	68	98¢	$66	0x82abd6…
08-15 14:47:46	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	SELL	27	98¢	$27	0x2f0716…
08-15 14:47:43	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	BUY	68	98¢	$66	0x0b52f9…
08-15 14:47:18	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	BUY	27	98¢	$27	0xe4f516…
08-15 14:45:25	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	SELL	95	98¢	$93	0xc33ba3…
08-15 14:45:19	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	BUY	95	98¢	$93	0x8d0067…
08-15 13:54:45	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	SELL	95	98¢	$93	0x7e87c2…
08-15 13:53:37	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	BUY	95	98¢	$93	0xcb8df7…
08-15 06:49:25	bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by august 31	No	BUY	8	98¢	$8	0xd6eb27…
08-15 02:58:06	bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by august 31	No	SELL	8	98¢	$8	0x963ef9…
08-15 00:57:30	bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by august 31	No	BUY	8	98¢	$8	0x85655d…
08-15 00:26:42	bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by august 31	No	SELL	8	98¢	$8	0x2f13f5…
08-14 20:32:03	bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by august 31	No	BUY	8	98¢	$8	0x9336e2…
08-14 17:22:36	bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by august 31	No	SELL	6	98¢	$6	0x5290fe…
08-14 16:52:36	bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by august 31	No	SELL	2	98¢	$2	0xccef63…
08-14 12:50:34	bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by august 31	No	BUY	8	98¢	$8	0x78c001…
08-14 10:27:18	bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by august 31	No	SELL	8	98¢	$8	0x88984d…
08-14 10:23:31	bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by august 31	No	BUY	8	98¢	$8	0x3cd843…
08-14 09:18:34	bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by august 31	No	SELL	8	98¢	$8	0xad14df…
08-14 07:33:48	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	SELL	95	98¢	$93	0x3938b4…
08-14 06:29:52	bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by august 31	No	BUY	8	98¢	$8	0x7b2d93…
08-13 07:45:54	bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by august 31	No	BUY	8	97¢	$8	0x7aa9ca…
08-13 07:03:22	bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by august 31	No	SELL	5	97¢	$5	0xf38777…
08-13 03:55:18	bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by august 31	No	SELL	3	97¢	$3	0x47add5…
08-13 03:15:06	bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by august 31	No	BUY	8	97¢	$8	0x53b44b…
08-13 01:32:21	bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by august 31	No	SELL	4	98¢	$4	0xb8cd01…
08-13 01:32:13	bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by august 31	No	SELL	4	98¢	$4	0xe0d748…
08-13 01:31:54	bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by august 31	No	BUY	8	97¢	$8	0xb04e79…
08-13 01:29:51	bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by august 31	No	SELL	8	97¢	$8	0xd3900e…
08-12 21:25:07	bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by august 31	No	BUY	8	97¢	$8	0x2f1f00…
08-12 21:22:43	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	BUY	95	98¢	$93	0xd7b209…
08-12 21:05:48	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	SELL	95	98¢	$93	0x1fa176…
08-12 21:05:36	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	BUY	95	98¢	$93	0x48a928…
08-12 20:34:10	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	SELL	95	98¢	$93	0x38eed3…
08-12 20:34:01	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	BUY	95	98¢	$93	0xae6ac6…
08-12 20:02:55	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xc53411…
08-12 20:02:33	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	SELL	94	98¢	$92	0x180427…
08-12 19:37:19	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	BUY	6	98¢	$6	0xa887f2…
08-12 19:37:07	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	BUY	0	98¢	$0	0x506036…
08-12 19:36:24	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	SELL	6	98¢	$6	0xb0b294…
08-12 19:35:54	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	BUY	6	98¢	$6	0x2dcb1e…
08-12 19:35:01	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	SELL	6	98¢	$6	0x13b144…
08-12 19:29:54	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	BUY	95	98¢	$93	0x316c2c…
08-12 16:21:01	bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by august 31	No	SELL	8	97¢	$8	0xd06967…
08-12 15:09:03	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	SELL	95	97¢	$92	0xd7b0f7…
08-12 14:15:34	bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by august 31	No	BUY	8	97¢	$8	0xdce5fb…
08-12 13:59:21	bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by august 31	No	SELL	8	96¢	$8	0x9cd9a8…
08-12 12:26:51	bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by august 31	No	BUY	8	96¢	$8	0xd027f8…
08-12 10:19:34	bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by august 31	No	SELL	8	96¢	$8	0x73ede4…
08-12 06:42:51	bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by august 31	No	BUY	8	96¢	$8	0x3434ca…
08-10 18:34:00	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	BUY	95	97¢	$92	0x9f04ef…
08-10 16:27:46	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	SELL	95	96¢	$91	0x602b70…
08-10 16:10:21	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	BUY	95	96¢	$91	0xfca421…
08-10 16:00:58	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	SELL	95	96¢	$91	0x530a19…
08-10 16:00:43	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	BUY	94	96¢	$90	0x32d5bc…
08-10 13:20:52	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x35a541…
08-10 13:19:25	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	SELL	9	96¢	$9	0xd2c3d4…
08-10 13:19:00	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	BUY	5	96¢	$4	0xdf332a…
08-10 13:18:58	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	BUY	5	96¢	$4	0x80177b…
08-10 13:14:09	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	SELL	11	96¢	$10	0xaff138…